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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “CNC Machinist (Computer Numerically Controlled Machinist)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #358 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

51%

“CNC Machinist (Computer Numerically Controlled Machinist)” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 51% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“CNC Machinist (Computer Numerically Controlled Machinist)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Machinists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Set up and operate a variety of machine tools to produce precision parts and instruments out of metal. Includes precision instrument makers who fabricate, modify, or repair mechanical instruments. May also fabricate and modify parts to make or repair machine tools or maintain industrial machines, applying knowledge of mechanics, mathematics, metal properties, layout, and machining procedures.

Avg. Annual Salary $57,390
Avg. Hourly Wage $27.59
Available Jobs (US) 298,790
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Machinists #51-4041
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Machinists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Study sample parts, blueprints, drawings, or engineering information to determine methods or sequences of operations needed to fabricate products.

  • Dismantle machines or equipment, using hand tools or power tools to examine parts for defects and replace defective parts where needed.

  • Operate equipment to verify operational efficiency.

  • Prepare working sketches for the illustration of product appearance.

  • Set up or operate metalworking, brazing, heat-treating, welding, or cutting equipment.

  • Machine parts to specifications, using machine tools, such as lathes, milling machines, shapers, or grinders.

  • Calculate dimensions or tolerances, using instruments, such as micrometers or vernier calipers.

  • Dispose of scrap or waste material in accordance with company policies and environmental regulations.

  • Check work pieces to ensure that they are properly lubricated or cooled.

  • Align and secure holding fixtures, cutting tools, attachments, accessories, or materials onto machines.

  • Separate scrap waste and related materials for reuse, recycling, or disposal.

  • Confer with engineering, supervisory, or manufacturing personnel to exchange technical information.

  • Confer with numerical control programmers to check and ensure that new programs or machinery will function properly and that output will meet specifications.

  • Support metalworking projects from planning and fabrication through assembly, inspection, and testing, using knowledge of machine functions, metal properties, and mathematics.

  • Install repaired parts into equipment or install new equipment.

  • Test experimental models under simulated operating conditions, for purposes such as development, standardization, or feasibility of design.

  • Advise clients about the materials being used for finished products.

  • Maintain machine tools in proper operational condition.

  • Design fixtures, tooling, or experimental parts to meet special engineering needs.

  • Set up, adjust, or operate basic or specialized machine tools used to perform precision machining operations.

  • Fit and assemble parts to make or repair machine tools.

  • Measure, examine, or test completed units to check for defects and ensure conformance to specifications, using precision instruments, such as micrometers.

  • Diagnose machine tool malfunctions to determine need for adjustments or repairs.

  • Program computers or electronic instruments, such as numerically controlled machine tools.

  • Evaluate machining procedures and recommend changes or modifications for improved efficiency or adaptability.

  • Establish work procedures for fabricating new structural products, using a variety of metalworking machines.

  • Install experimental parts or assemblies, such as hydraulic systems, electrical wiring, lubricants, or batteries into machines or mechanisms.

  • Monitor the feed and speed of machines during the machining process.

  • Lay out, measure, and mark metal stock to display placement of cuts.

Technologies & Software

  • Llama (Meta)
  • Cognex Vision AI
  • Vero Software SURFCAM
  • IMSI TurboCAD
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • CNC Mastercam
  • Mastercam computer-aided design and manufacturing software
  • CNC Consulting Machinists' Calculator
  • Armchair Machinist software
  • JETCAM
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Autodesk Fusion 360
  • EditCNC
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Dassault Systemes SolidWorks
  • OneCNC CAD/CAM
  • Autodesk HSMWorks
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • ABB AI Robotics
  • Siemens NX
  • SolidCAM CAM software
  • OnShape
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Sight Machine AI
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • DeepSeek
  • Hexagon Metrology PC-DMIS
  • ERP software
  • Kentech Kipware Studio
  • Dassault Systemes CATIA
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Microsoft Word
  • Siemens Industrial AI
  • Rockwell Automation AI
  • Kentech Kipware Trig Kalculator
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • Mazak Mazatrol SMART CNC
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • G-code
  • JobBOSS
  • GRZ Software MeshCAM
  • SAP software
  • 3D Printing software
  • Soldering equipment
  • Flat files
  • Handheld welders
  • Pipe threaders
  • Deburring tools
  • Surface grinding machines
  • Threading machines
  • Sledgehammers
  • Surface gauges
  • Gauges
  • Boring bars
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Full face shields
  • Spindle blade screwdrivers
  • Knee mills
  • Steel rules
  • Milling machines
  • Tongs
  • Oxyacetylene welding equipment
  • Computerized numerical control CNC turning lathes
  • Cylindrical grinders
  • Hacksaws
  • Combination drills
  • Rubber mallets
  • Workshop cranes
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Metal shears
  • Planers
  • Swaging tools
  • Half-round files
  • Breaker lathes
  • Anvils
  • Chucks
  • Thread gauges
  • Tube benders
  • Torches
  • Magnetic retrievers
  • Inside spring calipers
  • Shims
  • Milling angle form cutters
  • Screw pitch gauges
  • Hydraulic presses
  • Vernier height gauges
  • Tungsten inert gas TIG welding equipment
  • Aviation snips
  • Single-cut mill saw files
  • Turret lathes
  • Square chisels
  • Center drills
  • Feeler gauges
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Portable welding equipment
  • Jointers
  • Machine shop rigging equipment
  • Calipers
  • Arbor presses
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Dial indicators
  • Plasma welders
  • Welding lenses
  • Utility knives
  • Vernier calipers
  • Machinists' squares
  • Cylinder honers
  • Undercut tools
  • Wedges
  • Welding shields
  • Vertical milling machines
  • Parallel blocks
  • Grinding wheel arbors
  • Cutoff saws
  • Hex keys
  • Pry bars
  • Planer gauges
  • Vernier gear tooth calipers
  • Ball peen hammers
  • Binocular light compound microscopes
  • Punches
  • Screwdrivers
  • Chippers
  • Platforms
  • Radial drills
  • Cold saws
  • Boring tools
  • Chamfer tools
  • Steel wedges
  • Vernier bevel protractors
  • Telescoping gauges
  • Coordinate measuring machines CMM
  • Sine bars
  • Ladders
  • Hex wrenches
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Ring gauges
  • Metal inert gas MIG welders
  • Metal spray equipment
  • Horizontal boring bars
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Power drills
  • Sandblasters
  • Brazing equipment
  • Turning lathes
  • V blocks
  • Valve grinding machines
  • Hand saws
  • Micrometers
  • Brass hammers
  • 3-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Combination wrenches
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Resurfacing machines
  • Vertical turret lathes VTL
  • Marking blocks
  • Horizontal lathes
  • Centrifugal spin casters
  • Staging equipment
  • Broachers
  • Lathes
  • Angled feeler gauges
  • Buffers
  • Reamers
  • Cold chisels
  • Putty knives
  • Outside micrometers
  • Angle plates
  • Radius gauges
  • Outside spring calipers
  • Grinders
  • Ratchet sets
  • Computerized numerical control CNC machining centers
  • Desktop computers
  • Hand clamps
  • Heat-treating equipment
  • Shapers
  • Flywheel lathes
  • Hermaphrodite calipers
  • Composition hammers
  • Edge finders
  • Milling vises
  • Combination pliers
  • Engine lathes
  • Dial calipers
  • Sensitive drill presses
  • Pillar drill machines
  • Metal cutting taps
  • Power sanders
  • Personal computers
  • Machinists' hammers
  • Brake presses
  • Laser printers
  • Shears
  • Sharpening equipment
  • Drum lathes
  • Height gauges
  • Scribers
  • Prick punches
  • Radial drill presses
  • Beverly shears
  • Horizontal mills
  • Grinding dogs
  • Crankshaft grinders
  • Forklifts
  • Shielded arc welding tools
  • Bandsaws
  • Spirit levels
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Inside micrometers
  • Multi-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Power hacksaws