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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Production Machinist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #358 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

51%

“Production Machinist” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 51% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“Production Machinist” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Machinists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Set up and operate a variety of machine tools to produce precision parts and instruments out of metal. Includes precision instrument makers who fabricate, modify, or repair mechanical instruments. May also fabricate and modify parts to make or repair machine tools or maintain industrial machines, applying knowledge of mechanics, mathematics, metal properties, layout, and machining procedures.

Avg. Annual Salary $57,390
Avg. Hourly Wage $27.59
Available Jobs (US) 298,790
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Machinists #51-4041
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Machinists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Lay out, measure, and mark metal stock to display placement of cuts.

  • Dismantle machines or equipment, using hand tools or power tools to examine parts for defects and replace defective parts where needed.

  • Design fixtures, tooling, or experimental parts to meet special engineering needs.

  • Establish work procedures for fabricating new structural products, using a variety of metalworking machines.

  • Machine parts to specifications, using machine tools, such as lathes, milling machines, shapers, or grinders.

  • Prepare working sketches for the illustration of product appearance.

  • Set up, adjust, or operate basic or specialized machine tools used to perform precision machining operations.

  • Program computers or electronic instruments, such as numerically controlled machine tools.

  • Install repaired parts into equipment or install new equipment.

  • Study sample parts, blueprints, drawings, or engineering information to determine methods or sequences of operations needed to fabricate products.

  • Measure, examine, or test completed units to check for defects and ensure conformance to specifications, using precision instruments, such as micrometers.

  • Separate scrap waste and related materials for reuse, recycling, or disposal.

  • Advise clients about the materials being used for finished products.

  • Test experimental models under simulated operating conditions, for purposes such as development, standardization, or feasibility of design.

  • Support metalworking projects from planning and fabrication through assembly, inspection, and testing, using knowledge of machine functions, metal properties, and mathematics.

  • Install experimental parts or assemblies, such as hydraulic systems, electrical wiring, lubricants, or batteries into machines or mechanisms.

  • Fit and assemble parts to make or repair machine tools.

  • Diagnose machine tool malfunctions to determine need for adjustments or repairs.

  • Confer with engineering, supervisory, or manufacturing personnel to exchange technical information.

  • Align and secure holding fixtures, cutting tools, attachments, accessories, or materials onto machines.

  • Evaluate machining procedures and recommend changes or modifications for improved efficiency or adaptability.

  • Set up or operate metalworking, brazing, heat-treating, welding, or cutting equipment.

  • Operate equipment to verify operational efficiency.

  • Calculate dimensions or tolerances, using instruments, such as micrometers or vernier calipers.

  • Maintain machine tools in proper operational condition.

  • Monitor the feed and speed of machines during the machining process.

  • Check work pieces to ensure that they are properly lubricated or cooled.

  • Confer with numerical control programmers to check and ensure that new programs or machinery will function properly and that output will meet specifications.

  • Dispose of scrap or waste material in accordance with company policies and environmental regulations.

Technologies & Software

  • GRZ Software MeshCAM
  • Dassault Systemes CATIA
  • JobBOSS
  • IMSI TurboCAD
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Autodesk Fusion 360
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • Sight Machine AI
  • Mastercam computer-aided design and manufacturing software
  • Cognex Vision AI
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Kentech Kipware Trig Kalculator
  • G-code
  • OnShape
  • SolidCAM CAM software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Autodesk HSMWorks
  • SAP software
  • Mazak Mazatrol SMART CNC
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • CNC Consulting Machinists' Calculator
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Siemens NX
  • Hexagon Metrology PC-DMIS
  • ABB AI Robotics
  • Llama (Meta)
  • CNC Mastercam
  • JETCAM
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • ERP software
  • EditCNC
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Siemens Industrial AI
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Kentech Kipware Studio
  • Vero Software SURFCAM
  • Armchair Machinist software
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • DeepSeek
  • OneCNC CAD/CAM
  • Microsoft Excel
  • 3D Printing software
  • Rockwell Automation AI
  • Dassault Systemes SolidWorks
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Microsoft Word
  • Platforms
  • Portable welding equipment
  • Tube benders
  • Combination wrenches
  • Hand clamps
  • Chamfer tools
  • Hydraulic presses
  • Horizontal boring bars
  • Cold chisels
  • Grinding dogs
  • Chucks
  • Putty knives
  • Ladders
  • Desktop computers
  • Shapers
  • Undercut tools
  • Combination drills
  • Power sanders
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Cylindrical grinders
  • Outside spring calipers
  • Edge finders
  • Steel rules
  • Machinists' hammers
  • Steel wedges
  • Ratchet sets
  • Outside micrometers
  • Angle plates
  • Hacksaws
  • Hermaphrodite calipers
  • Crankshaft grinders
  • Vernier gear tooth calipers
  • Workshop cranes
  • Square chisels
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Surface grinding machines
  • Personal computers
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Aviation snips
  • Computerized numerical control CNC machining centers
  • Boring tools
  • Laser printers
  • 3-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Vertical milling machines
  • Screw pitch gauges
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Wedges
  • Staging equipment
  • Vernier bevel protractors
  • Gauges
  • Milling vises
  • Metal inert gas MIG welders
  • Composition hammers
  • Soldering equipment
  • Oxyacetylene welding equipment
  • Threading machines
  • Center drills
  • Metal cutting taps
  • Inside spring calipers
  • Sine bars
  • Shears
  • Bandsaws
  • Buffers
  • Half-round files
  • Brass hammers
  • Cutoff saws
  • Hex wrenches
  • Single-cut mill saw files
  • Full face shields
  • Pipe threaders
  • Heat-treating equipment
  • Coordinate measuring machines CMM
  • Drum lathes
  • Metal shears
  • Horizontal lathes
  • Boring bars
  • Feeler gauges
  • Computerized numerical control CNC turning lathes
  • Broachers
  • Cold saws
  • Thread gauges
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Plasma welders
  • Surface gauges
  • Breaker lathes
  • Cylinder honers
  • Swaging tools
  • Planer gauges
  • Grinding wheel arbors
  • Tungsten inert gas TIG welding equipment
  • Tongs
  • Shims
  • Welding lenses
  • Jointers
  • Machinists' squares
  • Power drills
  • Micrometers
  • Ball peen hammers
  • Marking blocks
  • Scribers
  • V blocks
  • Knee mills
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Planers
  • Combination pliers
  • Anvils
  • Resurfacing machines
  • Sledgehammers
  • Machine shop rigging equipment
  • Vernier height gauges
  • Vertical turret lathes VTL
  • Handheld welders
  • Turret lathes
  • Binocular light compound microscopes
  • Centrifugal spin casters
  • Inside micrometers
  • Calipers
  • Turning lathes
  • Radial drills
  • Milling angle form cutters
  • Grinders
  • Spirit levels
  • Dial calipers
  • Deburring tools
  • Chippers
  • Flat files
  • Hex keys
  • Sandblasters
  • Welding shields
  • Height gauges
  • Reamers
  • Metal spray equipment
  • Flywheel lathes
  • Arbor presses
  • Radial drill presses
  • Brake presses
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Beverly shears
  • Ring gauges
  • Brazing equipment
  • Vernier calipers
  • Prick punches
  • Telescoping gauges
  • Valve grinding machines
  • Shielded arc welding tools
  • Spindle blade screwdrivers
  • Hand saws
  • Forklifts
  • Torches
  • Angled feeler gauges
  • Punches
  • Rubber mallets
  • Pillar drill machines
  • Screwdrivers
  • Radius gauges
  • Utility knives
  • Engine lathes
  • Power hacksaws
  • Lathes
  • Dial indicators
  • Parallel blocks
  • Horizontal mills
  • Sharpening equipment
  • Pry bars
  • Sensitive drill presses
  • Multi-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Milling machines
  • Magnetic retrievers