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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Geothermal Heat Pump Machinist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #358 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

51%

“Geothermal Heat Pump Machinist” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 51% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“Geothermal Heat Pump Machinist” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Machinists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Set up and operate a variety of machine tools to produce precision parts and instruments out of metal. Includes precision instrument makers who fabricate, modify, or repair mechanical instruments. May also fabricate and modify parts to make or repair machine tools or maintain industrial machines, applying knowledge of mechanics, mathematics, metal properties, layout, and machining procedures.

Avg. Annual Salary $57,390
Avg. Hourly Wage $27.59
Available Jobs (US) 298,790
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Machinists #51-4041
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Machinists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Study sample parts, blueprints, drawings, or engineering information to determine methods or sequences of operations needed to fabricate products.

  • Align and secure holding fixtures, cutting tools, attachments, accessories, or materials onto machines.

  • Lay out, measure, and mark metal stock to display placement of cuts.

  • Dismantle machines or equipment, using hand tools or power tools to examine parts for defects and replace defective parts where needed.

  • Prepare working sketches for the illustration of product appearance.

  • Test experimental models under simulated operating conditions, for purposes such as development, standardization, or feasibility of design.

  • Dispose of scrap or waste material in accordance with company policies and environmental regulations.

  • Program computers or electronic instruments, such as numerically controlled machine tools.

  • Set up or operate metalworking, brazing, heat-treating, welding, or cutting equipment.

  • Design fixtures, tooling, or experimental parts to meet special engineering needs.

  • Advise clients about the materials being used for finished products.

  • Separate scrap waste and related materials for reuse, recycling, or disposal.

  • Fit and assemble parts to make or repair machine tools.

  • Confer with numerical control programmers to check and ensure that new programs or machinery will function properly and that output will meet specifications.

  • Establish work procedures for fabricating new structural products, using a variety of metalworking machines.

  • Evaluate machining procedures and recommend changes or modifications for improved efficiency or adaptability.

  • Monitor the feed and speed of machines during the machining process.

  • Diagnose machine tool malfunctions to determine need for adjustments or repairs.

  • Machine parts to specifications, using machine tools, such as lathes, milling machines, shapers, or grinders.

  • Calculate dimensions or tolerances, using instruments, such as micrometers or vernier calipers.

  • Confer with engineering, supervisory, or manufacturing personnel to exchange technical information.

  • Operate equipment to verify operational efficiency.

  • Measure, examine, or test completed units to check for defects and ensure conformance to specifications, using precision instruments, such as micrometers.

  • Support metalworking projects from planning and fabrication through assembly, inspection, and testing, using knowledge of machine functions, metal properties, and mathematics.

  • Set up, adjust, or operate basic or specialized machine tools used to perform precision machining operations.

  • Check work pieces to ensure that they are properly lubricated or cooled.

  • Install experimental parts or assemblies, such as hydraulic systems, electrical wiring, lubricants, or batteries into machines or mechanisms.

  • Install repaired parts into equipment or install new equipment.

  • Maintain machine tools in proper operational condition.

Technologies & Software

  • IMSI TurboCAD
  • Dassault Systemes SolidWorks
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Armchair Machinist software
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • SAP software
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Rockwell Automation AI
  • Siemens Industrial AI
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Grok (xAI)
  • DeepSeek
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Siemens NX
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Kentech Kipware Trig Kalculator
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Vero Software SURFCAM
  • Mastercam computer-aided design and manufacturing software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • JobBOSS
  • JETCAM
  • CNC Consulting Machinists' Calculator
  • Hexagon Metrology PC-DMIS
  • Mazak Mazatrol SMART CNC
  • CNC Mastercam
  • Autodesk Fusion 360
  • 3D Printing software
  • Gemini (Google)
  • OnShape
  • Sight Machine AI
  • ERP software
  • Cognex Vision AI
  • Llama (Meta)
  • GRZ Software MeshCAM
  • ABB AI Robotics
  • OneCNC CAD/CAM
  • EditCNC
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Kentech Kipware Studio
  • Dassault Systemes CATIA
  • Autodesk HSMWorks
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • G-code
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • SolidCAM CAM software
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Breaker lathes
  • Combination wrenches
  • Shapers
  • Vertical milling machines
  • Height gauges
  • Hermaphrodite calipers
  • Vertical turret lathes VTL
  • Computerized numerical control CNC machining centers
  • Edge finders
  • Soldering equipment
  • Threading machines
  • Multi-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Ball peen hammers
  • Power hacksaws
  • Chamfer tools
  • Tongs
  • Binocular light compound microscopes
  • Lathes
  • Resurfacing machines
  • Spirit levels
  • Laser printers
  • Punches
  • Personal computers
  • Vernier bevel protractors
  • Power sanders
  • Platforms
  • Scribers
  • Oxyacetylene welding equipment
  • Brake presses
  • Cutoff saws
  • Micrometers
  • Dial indicators
  • Shears
  • Radial drills
  • Milling machines
  • Wedges
  • Hand clamps
  • Vernier gear tooth calipers
  • Milling angle form cutters
  • Sensitive drill presses
  • Hydraulic presses
  • Ratchet sets
  • Shielded arc welding tools
  • Planer gauges
  • Swaging tools
  • Shims
  • Boring bars
  • Combination pliers
  • Cold chisels
  • Metal shears
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Tube benders
  • Hex keys
  • Sledgehammers
  • Welding lenses
  • Calipers
  • Machinists' squares
  • Machinists' hammers
  • Surface grinding machines
  • Desktop computers
  • Ring gauges
  • Feeler gauges
  • V blocks
  • Bandsaws
  • Sharpening equipment
  • Planers
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Forklifts
  • Metal spray equipment
  • Turret lathes
  • Metal inert gas MIG welders
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Tungsten inert gas TIG welding equipment
  • Crankshaft grinders
  • Metal cutting taps
  • Drum lathes
  • Combination drills
  • Grinders
  • Prick punches
  • Coordinate measuring machines CMM
  • Workshop cranes
  • Spindle blade screwdrivers
  • Screw pitch gauges
  • Composition hammers
  • Cold saws
  • Full face shields
  • Half-round files
  • Pillar drill machines
  • Buffers
  • Sandblasters
  • Utility knives
  • Angle plates
  • Dial calipers
  • Rubber mallets
  • Flywheel lathes
  • Telescoping gauges
  • Anvils
  • Radial drill presses
  • Power drills
  • Angled feeler gauges
  • Chucks
  • Torches
  • Engine lathes
  • Undercut tools
  • Grinding wheel arbors
  • Brazing equipment
  • Gauges
  • Brass hammers
  • Horizontal boring bars
  • Parallel blocks
  • Centrifugal spin casters
  • Staging equipment
  • Boring tools
  • Pipe threaders
  • Deburring tools
  • Sine bars
  • Cylinder honers
  • Screwdrivers
  • Handheld welders
  • Outside spring calipers
  • Ladders
  • Flat files
  • Radius gauges
  • Turning lathes
  • Vernier calipers
  • Magnetic retrievers
  • Jointers
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Milling vises
  • Single-cut mill saw files
  • Reamers
  • Steel rules
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Inside spring calipers
  • Surface gauges
  • Plasma welders
  • Thread gauges
  • Outside micrometers
  • Valve grinding machines
  • Horizontal mills
  • Knee mills
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Hex wrenches
  • Heat-treating equipment
  • Aviation snips
  • Broachers
  • Center drills
  • Steel wedges
  • Pry bars
  • Chippers
  • Vernier height gauges
  • Computerized numerical control CNC turning lathes
  • Putty knives
  • Inside micrometers
  • Machine shop rigging equipment
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Cylindrical grinders
  • Welding shields
  • Beverly shears
  • Hand saws
  • Square chisels
  • Marking blocks
  • 3-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Horizontal lathes
  • Arbor presses
  • Grinding dogs
  • Hacksaws
  • Portable welding equipment