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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Machinist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #358 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

51%

“Machinist” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 51% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“Machinist” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Machinists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Set up and operate a variety of machine tools to produce precision parts and instruments out of metal. Includes precision instrument makers who fabricate, modify, or repair mechanical instruments. May also fabricate and modify parts to make or repair machine tools or maintain industrial machines, applying knowledge of mechanics, mathematics, metal properties, layout, and machining procedures.

Avg. Annual Salary $57,390
Avg. Hourly Wage $27.59
Available Jobs (US) 298,790
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Machinists #51-4041
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Machinists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Evaluate machining procedures and recommend changes or modifications for improved efficiency or adaptability.

  • Program computers or electronic instruments, such as numerically controlled machine tools.

  • Set up, adjust, or operate basic or specialized machine tools used to perform precision machining operations.

  • Design fixtures, tooling, or experimental parts to meet special engineering needs.

  • Prepare working sketches for the illustration of product appearance.

  • Install repaired parts into equipment or install new equipment.

  • Test experimental models under simulated operating conditions, for purposes such as development, standardization, or feasibility of design.

  • Machine parts to specifications, using machine tools, such as lathes, milling machines, shapers, or grinders.

  • Monitor the feed and speed of machines during the machining process.

  • Confer with engineering, supervisory, or manufacturing personnel to exchange technical information.

  • Operate equipment to verify operational efficiency.

  • Separate scrap waste and related materials for reuse, recycling, or disposal.

  • Set up or operate metalworking, brazing, heat-treating, welding, or cutting equipment.

  • Support metalworking projects from planning and fabrication through assembly, inspection, and testing, using knowledge of machine functions, metal properties, and mathematics.

  • Install experimental parts or assemblies, such as hydraulic systems, electrical wiring, lubricants, or batteries into machines or mechanisms.

  • Dismantle machines or equipment, using hand tools or power tools to examine parts for defects and replace defective parts where needed.

  • Measure, examine, or test completed units to check for defects and ensure conformance to specifications, using precision instruments, such as micrometers.

  • Maintain machine tools in proper operational condition.

  • Dispose of scrap or waste material in accordance with company policies and environmental regulations.

  • Diagnose machine tool malfunctions to determine need for adjustments or repairs.

  • Fit and assemble parts to make or repair machine tools.

  • Confer with numerical control programmers to check and ensure that new programs or machinery will function properly and that output will meet specifications.

  • Check work pieces to ensure that they are properly lubricated or cooled.

  • Establish work procedures for fabricating new structural products, using a variety of metalworking machines.

  • Lay out, measure, and mark metal stock to display placement of cuts.

  • Study sample parts, blueprints, drawings, or engineering information to determine methods or sequences of operations needed to fabricate products.

  • Advise clients about the materials being used for finished products.

  • Align and secure holding fixtures, cutting tools, attachments, accessories, or materials onto machines.

  • Calculate dimensions or tolerances, using instruments, such as micrometers or vernier calipers.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Gemini (Google)
  • CNC Consulting Machinists' Calculator
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • GRZ Software MeshCAM
  • Mastercam computer-aided design and manufacturing software
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Kentech Kipware Studio
  • Microsoft Word
  • ERP software
  • Vero Software SURFCAM
  • Autodesk HSMWorks
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Siemens Industrial AI
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Siemens NX
  • CNC Mastercam
  • Autodesk Fusion 360
  • Hexagon Metrology PC-DMIS
  • JobBOSS
  • Dassault Systemes CATIA
  • Cognex Vision AI
  • Dassault Systemes SolidWorks
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • DeepSeek
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Mazak Mazatrol SMART CNC
  • JETCAM
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Armchair Machinist software
  • 3D Printing software
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Sight Machine AI
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • ABB AI Robotics
  • Kentech Kipware Trig Kalculator
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • SAP software
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Rockwell Automation AI
  • OneCNC CAD/CAM
  • IMSI TurboCAD
  • G-code
  • EditCNC
  • OnShape
  • SolidCAM CAM software
  • Computerized numerical control CNC turning lathes
  • Combination wrenches
  • Resurfacing machines
  • Knee mills
  • Parallel blocks
  • Prick punches
  • Thread gauges
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Horizontal mills
  • Welding lenses
  • Portable welding equipment
  • Aviation snips
  • Flat files
  • Tongs
  • Machinists' squares
  • Telescoping gauges
  • Sine bars
  • Angled feeler gauges
  • Vertical milling machines
  • Grinders
  • Inside spring calipers
  • Flywheel lathes
  • Rubber mallets
  • Milling vises
  • Hand saws
  • Spindle blade screwdrivers
  • Grinding dogs
  • Inside micrometers
  • Dial indicators
  • V blocks
  • Lathes
  • Brake presses
  • Radial drill presses
  • Spirit levels
  • Utility knives
  • Personal computers
  • Full face shields
  • Radial drills
  • Grinding wheel arbors
  • Turning lathes
  • Hydraulic presses
  • Chamfer tools
  • Half-round files
  • Screw pitch gauges
  • Height gauges
  • Heat-treating equipment
  • Torches
  • Deburring tools
  • Jointers
  • Buffers
  • Platforms
  • Swaging tools
  • Ball peen hammers
  • Ladders
  • Screwdrivers
  • Planers
  • Computerized numerical control CNC machining centers
  • Wedges
  • Hand clamps
  • Horizontal boring bars
  • Beverly shears
  • Feeler gauges
  • Machinists' hammers
  • Brass hammers
  • Boring bars
  • Vernier gear tooth calipers
  • Engine lathes
  • Undercut tools
  • Tube benders
  • Welding shields
  • Hex wrenches
  • Plasma welders
  • Coordinate measuring machines CMM
  • Center drills
  • Soldering equipment
  • Handheld welders
  • Magnetic retrievers
  • Surface gauges
  • Hex keys
  • Sandblasters
  • Dial calipers
  • Arbor presses
  • Cylindrical grinders
  • Workshop cranes
  • Ring gauges
  • Cold saws
  • Outside spring calipers
  • Hacksaws
  • Putty knives
  • Planer gauges
  • Pipe threaders
  • Cutoff saws
  • Shears
  • Vernier height gauges
  • Valve grinding machines
  • Composition hammers
  • Vernier bevel protractors
  • Punches
  • Centrifugal spin casters
  • Sensitive drill presses
  • Turret lathes
  • Steel wedges
  • Milling angle form cutters
  • Tungsten inert gas TIG welding equipment
  • Milling machines
  • Oxyacetylene welding equipment
  • Reamers
  • Pillar drill machines
  • Square chisels
  • Power sanders
  • Multi-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Breaker lathes
  • Marking blocks
  • Micrometers
  • Outside micrometers
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Shielded arc welding tools
  • Shapers
  • Gauges
  • Crankshaft grinders
  • Scribers
  • Metal spray equipment
  • Drum lathes
  • Metal shears
  • Ratchet sets
  • Power drills
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Vernier calipers
  • Calipers
  • Combination drills
  • Hermaphrodite calipers
  • Angle plates
  • Surface grinding machines
  • Edge finders
  • Shims
  • Threading machines
  • Binocular light compound microscopes
  • Brazing equipment
  • 3-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Radius gauges
  • Broachers
  • Steel rules
  • Laser printers
  • Power hacksaws
  • Vertical turret lathes VTL
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Machine shop rigging equipment
  • Bandsaws
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Single-cut mill saw files
  • Metal cutting taps
  • Boring tools
  • Cold chisels
  • Pry bars
  • Anvils
  • Sledgehammers
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Chucks
  • Staging equipment
  • Desktop computers
  • Combination pliers
  • Chippers
  • Forklifts
  • Cylinder honers
  • Metal inert gas MIG welders
  • Horizontal lathes
  • Sharpening equipment
  • Personal digital assistants PDA