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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Machinist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #358 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

51%

“Machinist” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 51% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“Machinist” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Machinists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Set up and operate a variety of machine tools to produce precision parts and instruments out of metal. Includes precision instrument makers who fabricate, modify, or repair mechanical instruments. May also fabricate and modify parts to make or repair machine tools or maintain industrial machines, applying knowledge of mechanics, mathematics, metal properties, layout, and machining procedures.

Avg. Annual Salary $57,390
Avg. Hourly Wage $27.59
Available Jobs (US) 298,790
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Machinists #51-4041
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Machinists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Separate scrap waste and related materials for reuse, recycling, or disposal.

  • Dismantle machines or equipment, using hand tools or power tools to examine parts for defects and replace defective parts where needed.

  • Maintain machine tools in proper operational condition.

  • Fit and assemble parts to make or repair machine tools.

  • Study sample parts, blueprints, drawings, or engineering information to determine methods or sequences of operations needed to fabricate products.

  • Install experimental parts or assemblies, such as hydraulic systems, electrical wiring, lubricants, or batteries into machines or mechanisms.

  • Diagnose machine tool malfunctions to determine need for adjustments or repairs.

  • Set up or operate metalworking, brazing, heat-treating, welding, or cutting equipment.

  • Program computers or electronic instruments, such as numerically controlled machine tools.

  • Confer with numerical control programmers to check and ensure that new programs or machinery will function properly and that output will meet specifications.

  • Evaluate machining procedures and recommend changes or modifications for improved efficiency or adaptability.

  • Calculate dimensions or tolerances, using instruments, such as micrometers or vernier calipers.

  • Confer with engineering, supervisory, or manufacturing personnel to exchange technical information.

  • Align and secure holding fixtures, cutting tools, attachments, accessories, or materials onto machines.

  • Operate equipment to verify operational efficiency.

  • Test experimental models under simulated operating conditions, for purposes such as development, standardization, or feasibility of design.

  • Check work pieces to ensure that they are properly lubricated or cooled.

  • Advise clients about the materials being used for finished products.

  • Measure, examine, or test completed units to check for defects and ensure conformance to specifications, using precision instruments, such as micrometers.

  • Establish work procedures for fabricating new structural products, using a variety of metalworking machines.

  • Prepare working sketches for the illustration of product appearance.

  • Install repaired parts into equipment or install new equipment.

  • Design fixtures, tooling, or experimental parts to meet special engineering needs.

  • Support metalworking projects from planning and fabrication through assembly, inspection, and testing, using knowledge of machine functions, metal properties, and mathematics.

  • Lay out, measure, and mark metal stock to display placement of cuts.

  • Set up, adjust, or operate basic or specialized machine tools used to perform precision machining operations.

  • Monitor the feed and speed of machines during the machining process.

  • Machine parts to specifications, using machine tools, such as lathes, milling machines, shapers, or grinders.

  • Dispose of scrap or waste material in accordance with company policies and environmental regulations.

Technologies & Software

  • JobBOSS
  • Armchair Machinist software
  • IMSI TurboCAD
  • Dassault Systemes CATIA
  • CNC Consulting Machinists' Calculator
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • DeepSeek
  • Grok (xAI)
  • ERP software
  • G-code
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • OneCNC CAD/CAM
  • Gemini (Google)
  • SolidCAM CAM software
  • GRZ Software MeshCAM
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • EditCNC
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Rockwell Automation AI
  • Vero Software SURFCAM
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • Cognex Vision AI
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Dassault Systemes SolidWorks
  • JETCAM
  • ABB AI Robotics
  • OnShape
  • Mastercam computer-aided design and manufacturing software
  • SAP software
  • Mazak Mazatrol SMART CNC
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Microsoft Word
  • CNC Mastercam
  • Hexagon Metrology PC-DMIS
  • Kentech Kipware Trig Kalculator
  • 3D Printing software
  • Siemens NX
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Autodesk HSMWorks
  • Sight Machine AI
  • Kentech Kipware Studio
  • Autodesk Fusion 360
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Siemens Industrial AI
  • Inside spring calipers
  • Vernier height gauges
  • Wedges
  • Brass hammers
  • Bandsaws
  • Radial drills
  • Composition hammers
  • Chippers
  • Milling angle form cutters
  • Turret lathes
  • Knee mills
  • Computerized numerical control CNC machining centers
  • Workshop cranes
  • Undercut tools
  • Single-cut mill saw files
  • Turning lathes
  • Surface gauges
  • Spirit levels
  • Grinders
  • Parallel blocks
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Machine shop rigging equipment
  • Vernier bevel protractors
  • Boring tools
  • Coordinate measuring machines CMM
  • Full face shields
  • Tube benders
  • Cold saws
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Lathes
  • Shears
  • Vertical milling machines
  • Cylindrical grinders
  • Chucks
  • Chamfer tools
  • Magnetic retrievers
  • Heat-treating equipment
  • Flat files
  • Brazing equipment
  • Pipe threaders
  • Crankshaft grinders
  • Soldering equipment
  • Rubber mallets
  • Power hacksaws
  • Sharpening equipment
  • Horizontal boring bars
  • Cylinder honers
  • Shapers
  • Desktop computers
  • Multi-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Radial drill presses
  • Broachers
  • Utility knives
  • Torches
  • Planers
  • Cold chisels
  • Angled feeler gauges
  • Hand clamps
  • Combination drills
  • Screwdrivers
  • Oxyacetylene welding equipment
  • Vernier calipers
  • Platforms
  • Metal shears
  • Boring bars
  • Flywheel lathes
  • Handheld welders
  • Outside micrometers
  • Milling machines
  • Outside spring calipers
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Plasma welders
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Centrifugal spin casters
  • Machinists' hammers
  • Telescoping gauges
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Prick punches
  • Aviation snips
  • Sensitive drill presses
  • Thread gauges
  • Jointers
  • Hacksaws
  • Dial indicators
  • Tungsten inert gas TIG welding equipment
  • Horizontal mills
  • Hydraulic presses
  • Deburring tools
  • Arbor presses
  • Half-round files
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Welding lenses
  • Milling vises
  • Radius gauges
  • Vernier gear tooth calipers
  • Combination wrenches
  • Grinding wheel arbors
  • Planer gauges
  • Putty knives
  • Marking blocks
  • Spindle blade screwdrivers
  • Laser printers
  • Micrometers
  • Staging equipment
  • Angle plates
  • Ring gauges
  • Binocular light compound microscopes
  • Edge finders
  • Personal computers
  • Sine bars
  • Beverly shears
  • Surface grinding machines
  • Vertical turret lathes VTL
  • Calipers
  • Power drills
  • Height gauges
  • Resurfacing machines
  • Gauges
  • Portable welding equipment
  • Sandblasters
  • Horizontal lathes
  • Punches
  • Hermaphrodite calipers
  • Steel wedges
  • Hex keys
  • Metal cutting taps
  • Swaging tools
  • Steel rules
  • Shielded arc welding tools
  • Anvils
  • Tongs
  • Scribers
  • Hand saws
  • Ladders
  • Dial calipers
  • Pillar drill machines
  • Center drills
  • Inside micrometers
  • Feeler gauges
  • V blocks
  • Brake presses
  • Square chisels
  • Screw pitch gauges
  • Shims
  • Threading machines
  • Welding shields
  • Ratchet sets
  • Engine lathes
  • Reamers
  • Buffers
  • Pry bars
  • Power sanders
  • 3-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Cutoff saws
  • Hex wrenches
  • Computerized numerical control CNC turning lathes
  • Machinists' squares
  • Metal spray equipment
  • Forklifts
  • Combination pliers
  • Drum lathes
  • Breaker lathes
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Grinding dogs
  • Sledgehammers
  • Ball peen hammers
  • Valve grinding machines
  • Metal inert gas MIG welders