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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Metal Machinist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #358 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

51%

“Metal Machinist” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 51% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“Metal Machinist” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Machinists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Set up and operate a variety of machine tools to produce precision parts and instruments out of metal. Includes precision instrument makers who fabricate, modify, or repair mechanical instruments. May also fabricate and modify parts to make or repair machine tools or maintain industrial machines, applying knowledge of mechanics, mathematics, metal properties, layout, and machining procedures.

Avg. Annual Salary $57,390
Avg. Hourly Wage $27.59
Available Jobs (US) 298,790
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Machinists #51-4041
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Machinists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Operate equipment to verify operational efficiency.

  • Prepare working sketches for the illustration of product appearance.

  • Monitor the feed and speed of machines during the machining process.

  • Install experimental parts or assemblies, such as hydraulic systems, electrical wiring, lubricants, or batteries into machines or mechanisms.

  • Fit and assemble parts to make or repair machine tools.

  • Set up, adjust, or operate basic or specialized machine tools used to perform precision machining operations.

  • Measure, examine, or test completed units to check for defects and ensure conformance to specifications, using precision instruments, such as micrometers.

  • Dispose of scrap or waste material in accordance with company policies and environmental regulations.

  • Check work pieces to ensure that they are properly lubricated or cooled.

  • Study sample parts, blueprints, drawings, or engineering information to determine methods or sequences of operations needed to fabricate products.

  • Diagnose machine tool malfunctions to determine need for adjustments or repairs.

  • Dismantle machines or equipment, using hand tools or power tools to examine parts for defects and replace defective parts where needed.

  • Set up or operate metalworking, brazing, heat-treating, welding, or cutting equipment.

  • Evaluate machining procedures and recommend changes or modifications for improved efficiency or adaptability.

  • Lay out, measure, and mark metal stock to display placement of cuts.

  • Design fixtures, tooling, or experimental parts to meet special engineering needs.

  • Maintain machine tools in proper operational condition.

  • Install repaired parts into equipment or install new equipment.

  • Align and secure holding fixtures, cutting tools, attachments, accessories, or materials onto machines.

  • Advise clients about the materials being used for finished products.

  • Confer with numerical control programmers to check and ensure that new programs or machinery will function properly and that output will meet specifications.

  • Confer with engineering, supervisory, or manufacturing personnel to exchange technical information.

  • Program computers or electronic instruments, such as numerically controlled machine tools.

  • Separate scrap waste and related materials for reuse, recycling, or disposal.

  • Support metalworking projects from planning and fabrication through assembly, inspection, and testing, using knowledge of machine functions, metal properties, and mathematics.

  • Calculate dimensions or tolerances, using instruments, such as micrometers or vernier calipers.

  • Establish work procedures for fabricating new structural products, using a variety of metalworking machines.

  • Machine parts to specifications, using machine tools, such as lathes, milling machines, shapers, or grinders.

  • Test experimental models under simulated operating conditions, for purposes such as development, standardization, or feasibility of design.

Technologies & Software

  • Mastercam computer-aided design and manufacturing software
  • SolidCAM CAM software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • ABB AI Robotics
  • Microsoft Word
  • Kentech Kipware Studio
  • GRZ Software MeshCAM
  • IMSI TurboCAD
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • OneCNC CAD/CAM
  • OnShape
  • DeepSeek
  • Siemens Industrial AI
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Siemens NX
  • JETCAM
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Armchair Machinist software
  • Rockwell Automation AI
  • EditCNC
  • Vero Software SURFCAM
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • ERP software
  • JobBOSS
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Autodesk Fusion 360
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • Autodesk HSMWorks
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Cognex Vision AI
  • SAP software
  • G-code
  • Sight Machine AI
  • CNC Mastercam
  • Mazak Mazatrol SMART CNC
  • CNC Consulting Machinists' Calculator
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • Dassault Systemes CATIA
  • Hexagon Metrology PC-DMIS
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Kentech Kipware Trig Kalculator
  • 3D Printing software
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Dassault Systemes SolidWorks
  • Ladders
  • Tungsten inert gas TIG welding equipment
  • Portable welding equipment
  • Platforms
  • Planers
  • Metal spray equipment
  • Feeler gauges
  • Boring tools
  • Dial calipers
  • Marking blocks
  • Inside micrometers
  • Binocular light compound microscopes
  • Reamers
  • Dial indicators
  • Boring bars
  • Metal shears
  • Anvils
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Parallel blocks
  • Bandsaws
  • Hand clamps
  • Resurfacing machines
  • Crankshaft grinders
  • Vernier gear tooth calipers
  • Metal inert gas MIG welders
  • Centrifugal spin casters
  • Composition hammers
  • Utility knives
  • Laser printers
  • Sine bars
  • Aviation snips
  • Horizontal mills
  • Sharpening equipment
  • Grinding wheel arbors
  • Square chisels
  • Steel rules
  • Cylindrical grinders
  • Radial drill presses
  • Multi-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Sandblasters
  • Pipe threaders
  • Power drills
  • Turning lathes
  • Workshop cranes
  • Grinders
  • Shears
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Magnetic retrievers
  • Radius gauges
  • Ring gauges
  • Grinding dogs
  • Ratchet sets
  • Soldering equipment
  • Horizontal boring bars
  • Outside spring calipers
  • Hermaphrodite calipers
  • Milling machines
  • Valve grinding machines
  • Buffers
  • Surface gauges
  • Torches
  • Shapers
  • Spirit levels
  • Milling vises
  • Flywheel lathes
  • Chucks
  • Breaker lathes
  • Hex keys
  • Combination pliers
  • Shielded arc welding tools
  • Vernier bevel protractors
  • Full face shields
  • Gauges
  • Inside spring calipers
  • Angle plates
  • Wedges
  • Drum lathes
  • Steel wedges
  • 3-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Hand saws
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Machinists' squares
  • Undercut tools
  • Computerized numerical control CNC machining centers
  • Prick punches
  • Vernier height gauges
  • Personal computers
  • Rubber mallets
  • Chippers
  • Heat-treating equipment
  • Height gauges
  • V blocks
  • Shims
  • Pry bars
  • Staging equipment
  • Computerized numerical control CNC turning lathes
  • Punches
  • Brake presses
  • Planer gauges
  • Center drills
  • Brass hammers
  • Threading machines
  • Deburring tools
  • Machine shop rigging equipment
  • Vertical milling machines
  • Brazing equipment
  • Milling angle form cutters
  • Cold chisels
  • Tongs
  • Forklifts
  • Swaging tools
  • Cold saws
  • Hacksaws
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Coordinate measuring machines CMM
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Hydraulic presses
  • Power hacksaws
  • Surface grinding machines
  • Horizontal lathes
  • Combination wrenches
  • Arbor presses
  • Welding lenses
  • Outside micrometers
  • Telescoping gauges
  • Sledgehammers
  • Screw pitch gauges
  • Calipers
  • Radial drills
  • Hex wrenches
  • Screwdrivers
  • Flat files
  • Turret lathes
  • Half-round files
  • Edge finders
  • Jointers
  • Scribers
  • Ball peen hammers
  • Metal cutting taps
  • Cutoff saws
  • Welding shields
  • Handheld welders
  • Vernier calipers
  • Single-cut mill saw files
  • Oxyacetylene welding equipment
  • Power sanders
  • Spindle blade screwdrivers
  • Engine lathes
  • Chamfer tools
  • Thread gauges
  • Broachers
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Plasma welders
  • Angled feeler gauges
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Vertical turret lathes VTL
  • Knee mills
  • Machinists' hammers
  • Tube benders
  • Beverly shears
  • Cylinder honers
  • Putty knives
  • Lathes
  • Micrometers
  • Pillar drill machines
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Sensitive drill presses
  • Desktop computers
  • Combination drills