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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “CNC Mill Machinist (Computer Numerically Controlled Mill Machinist)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #358 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

51%

“CNC Mill Machinist (Computer Numerically Controlled Mill Machinist)” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 51% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“CNC Mill Machinist (Computer Numerically Controlled Mill Machinist)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Machinists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Set up and operate a variety of machine tools to produce precision parts and instruments out of metal. Includes precision instrument makers who fabricate, modify, or repair mechanical instruments. May also fabricate and modify parts to make or repair machine tools or maintain industrial machines, applying knowledge of mechanics, mathematics, metal properties, layout, and machining procedures.

Avg. Annual Salary $57,390
Avg. Hourly Wage $27.59
Available Jobs (US) 298,790
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Machinists #51-4041
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Machinists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Install repaired parts into equipment or install new equipment.

  • Design fixtures, tooling, or experimental parts to meet special engineering needs.

  • Establish work procedures for fabricating new structural products, using a variety of metalworking machines.

  • Dispose of scrap or waste material in accordance with company policies and environmental regulations.

  • Evaluate machining procedures and recommend changes or modifications for improved efficiency or adaptability.

  • Install experimental parts or assemblies, such as hydraulic systems, electrical wiring, lubricants, or batteries into machines or mechanisms.

  • Prepare working sketches for the illustration of product appearance.

  • Machine parts to specifications, using machine tools, such as lathes, milling machines, shapers, or grinders.

  • Study sample parts, blueprints, drawings, or engineering information to determine methods or sequences of operations needed to fabricate products.

  • Advise clients about the materials being used for finished products.

  • Confer with engineering, supervisory, or manufacturing personnel to exchange technical information.

  • Confer with numerical control programmers to check and ensure that new programs or machinery will function properly and that output will meet specifications.

  • Dismantle machines or equipment, using hand tools or power tools to examine parts for defects and replace defective parts where needed.

  • Set up or operate metalworking, brazing, heat-treating, welding, or cutting equipment.

  • Set up, adjust, or operate basic or specialized machine tools used to perform precision machining operations.

  • Operate equipment to verify operational efficiency.

  • Monitor the feed and speed of machines during the machining process.

  • Align and secure holding fixtures, cutting tools, attachments, accessories, or materials onto machines.

  • Lay out, measure, and mark metal stock to display placement of cuts.

  • Calculate dimensions or tolerances, using instruments, such as micrometers or vernier calipers.

  • Maintain machine tools in proper operational condition.

  • Test experimental models under simulated operating conditions, for purposes such as development, standardization, or feasibility of design.

  • Diagnose machine tool malfunctions to determine need for adjustments or repairs.

  • Measure, examine, or test completed units to check for defects and ensure conformance to specifications, using precision instruments, such as micrometers.

  • Check work pieces to ensure that they are properly lubricated or cooled.

  • Support metalworking projects from planning and fabrication through assembly, inspection, and testing, using knowledge of machine functions, metal properties, and mathematics.

  • Program computers or electronic instruments, such as numerically controlled machine tools.

  • Separate scrap waste and related materials for reuse, recycling, or disposal.

  • Fit and assemble parts to make or repair machine tools.

Technologies & Software

  • Nova (Amazon)
  • 3D Printing software
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Mazak Mazatrol SMART CNC
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Armchair Machinist software
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • JobBOSS
  • GRZ Software MeshCAM
  • Hexagon Metrology PC-DMIS
  • Cognex Vision AI
  • CNC Mastercam
  • Kentech Kipware Studio
  • OneCNC CAD/CAM
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • SAP software
  • Dassault Systemes SolidWorks
  • Siemens Industrial AI
  • Vero Software SURFCAM
  • Microsoft Word
  • Mastercam computer-aided design and manufacturing software
  • Dassault Systemes CATIA
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • SolidCAM CAM software
  • DeepSeek
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • JETCAM
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • IMSI TurboCAD
  • CNC Consulting Machinists' Calculator
  • ABB AI Robotics
  • Rockwell Automation AI
  • Autodesk Fusion 360
  • EditCNC
  • G-code
  • Sight Machine AI
  • Kentech Kipware Trig Kalculator
  • ERP software
  • Siemens NX
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Autodesk HSMWorks
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • Gemini (Google)
  • OnShape
  • Ladders
  • Planers
  • Handheld welders
  • Thread gauges
  • Swaging tools
  • Cylindrical grinders
  • Buffers
  • Angle plates
  • Single-cut mill saw files
  • Combination wrenches
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Shapers
  • Vernier bevel protractors
  • Deburring tools
  • Reamers
  • Flat files
  • Desktop computers
  • Hermaphrodite calipers
  • Square chisels
  • Plasma welders
  • Beverly shears
  • Machinists' squares
  • Gauges
  • Cutoff saws
  • Flywheel lathes
  • Brass hammers
  • Heat-treating equipment
  • Hacksaws
  • Chippers
  • Edge finders
  • Turret lathes
  • Metal shears
  • Boring bars
  • Metal spray equipment
  • Hand clamps
  • Pipe threaders
  • Cold saws
  • Magnetic retrievers
  • Milling vises
  • Punches
  • Personal computers
  • Jointers
  • Shielded arc welding tools
  • Composition hammers
  • Dial indicators
  • Drum lathes
  • Steel rules
  • Radial drills
  • Crankshaft grinders
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Utility knives
  • Vernier height gauges
  • Grinding wheel arbors
  • Machine shop rigging equipment
  • Combination drills
  • Scribers
  • Wedges
  • Forklifts
  • Staging equipment
  • Shears
  • Shims
  • Parallel blocks
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Micrometers
  • Marking blocks
  • Binocular light compound microscopes
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Soldering equipment
  • Outside spring calipers
  • Hand saws
  • Cylinder honers
  • Putty knives
  • Welding shields
  • Portable welding equipment
  • Turning lathes
  • Screwdrivers
  • Hydraulic presses
  • Anvils
  • Horizontal mills
  • Center drills
  • Grinders
  • Resurfacing machines
  • Engine lathes
  • Dial calipers
  • Prick punches
  • Centrifugal spin casters
  • Multi-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Calipers
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Milling angle form cutters
  • Aviation snips
  • Boring tools
  • Planer gauges
  • Vernier gear tooth calipers
  • Computerized numerical control CNC turning lathes
  • Surface gauges
  • Combination pliers
  • Cold chisels
  • Laser printers
  • Vertical milling machines
  • Screw pitch gauges
  • Horizontal lathes
  • Feeler gauges
  • Tongs
  • Height gauges
  • Torches
  • Pry bars
  • Platforms
  • Radial drill presses
  • Chamfer tools
  • Power sanders
  • Breaker lathes
  • Steel wedges
  • Vertical turret lathes VTL
  • Sensitive drill presses
  • Lathes
  • Ball peen hammers
  • Knee mills
  • Rubber mallets
  • 3-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Vernier calipers
  • Welding lenses
  • Ring gauges
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Computerized numerical control CNC machining centers
  • Metal inert gas MIG welders
  • Ratchet sets
  • Power drills
  • Metal cutting taps
  • Machinists' hammers
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Chucks
  • Spirit levels
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Brake presses
  • Inside micrometers
  • Coordinate measuring machines CMM
  • Power hacksaws
  • Half-round files
  • Undercut tools
  • Threading machines
  • Grinding dogs
  • Surface grinding machines
  • Milling machines
  • Broachers
  • Sine bars
  • Hex keys
  • Sharpening equipment
  • Arbor presses
  • V blocks
  • Valve grinding machines
  • Radius gauges
  • Sandblasters
  • Telescoping gauges
  • Brazing equipment
  • Tube benders
  • Spindle blade screwdrivers
  • Full face shields
  • Outside micrometers
  • Workshop cranes
  • Hex wrenches
  • Sledgehammers
  • Horizontal boring bars
  • Bandsaws
  • Tungsten inert gas TIG welding equipment
  • Angled feeler gauges
  • Inside spring calipers
  • Pillar drill machines
  • Oxyacetylene welding equipment