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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Precision Machinist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #358 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

51%

“Precision Machinist” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 51% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“Precision Machinist” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Machinists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Set up and operate a variety of machine tools to produce precision parts and instruments out of metal. Includes precision instrument makers who fabricate, modify, or repair mechanical instruments. May also fabricate and modify parts to make or repair machine tools or maintain industrial machines, applying knowledge of mechanics, mathematics, metal properties, layout, and machining procedures.

Avg. Annual Salary $57,390
Avg. Hourly Wage $27.59
Available Jobs (US) 298,790
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Machinists #51-4041
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Machinists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Confer with numerical control programmers to check and ensure that new programs or machinery will function properly and that output will meet specifications.

  • Install repaired parts into equipment or install new equipment.

  • Evaluate machining procedures and recommend changes or modifications for improved efficiency or adaptability.

  • Check work pieces to ensure that they are properly lubricated or cooled.

  • Support metalworking projects from planning and fabrication through assembly, inspection, and testing, using knowledge of machine functions, metal properties, and mathematics.

  • Confer with engineering, supervisory, or manufacturing personnel to exchange technical information.

  • Separate scrap waste and related materials for reuse, recycling, or disposal.

  • Set up, adjust, or operate basic or specialized machine tools used to perform precision machining operations.

  • Set up or operate metalworking, brazing, heat-treating, welding, or cutting equipment.

  • Design fixtures, tooling, or experimental parts to meet special engineering needs.

  • Install experimental parts or assemblies, such as hydraulic systems, electrical wiring, lubricants, or batteries into machines or mechanisms.

  • Align and secure holding fixtures, cutting tools, attachments, accessories, or materials onto machines.

  • Lay out, measure, and mark metal stock to display placement of cuts.

  • Calculate dimensions or tolerances, using instruments, such as micrometers or vernier calipers.

  • Study sample parts, blueprints, drawings, or engineering information to determine methods or sequences of operations needed to fabricate products.

  • Fit and assemble parts to make or repair machine tools.

  • Prepare working sketches for the illustration of product appearance.

  • Test experimental models under simulated operating conditions, for purposes such as development, standardization, or feasibility of design.

  • Dismantle machines or equipment, using hand tools or power tools to examine parts for defects and replace defective parts where needed.

  • Advise clients about the materials being used for finished products.

  • Diagnose machine tool malfunctions to determine need for adjustments or repairs.

  • Operate equipment to verify operational efficiency.

  • Monitor the feed and speed of machines during the machining process.

  • Dispose of scrap or waste material in accordance with company policies and environmental regulations.

  • Maintain machine tools in proper operational condition.

  • Machine parts to specifications, using machine tools, such as lathes, milling machines, shapers, or grinders.

  • Program computers or electronic instruments, such as numerically controlled machine tools.

  • Measure, examine, or test completed units to check for defects and ensure conformance to specifications, using precision instruments, such as micrometers.

  • Establish work procedures for fabricating new structural products, using a variety of metalworking machines.

Technologies & Software

  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • Rockwell Automation AI
  • Microsoft Word
  • Dassault Systemes CATIA
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Armchair Machinist software
  • JobBOSS
  • CNC Mastercam
  • CNC Consulting Machinists' Calculator
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Autodesk HSMWorks
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Mastercam computer-aided design and manufacturing software
  • ERP software
  • OnShape
  • Siemens NX
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Dassault Systemes SolidWorks
  • 3D Printing software
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Kentech Kipware Trig Kalculator
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Sight Machine AI
  • Gemini (Google)
  • DeepSeek
  • Mazak Mazatrol SMART CNC
  • Hexagon Metrology PC-DMIS
  • Autodesk Fusion 360
  • GRZ Software MeshCAM
  • OneCNC CAD/CAM
  • IMSI TurboCAD
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Siemens Industrial AI
  • G-code
  • Vero Software SURFCAM
  • Llama (Meta)
  • ABB AI Robotics
  • Kentech Kipware Studio
  • Cognex Vision AI
  • JETCAM
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • SolidCAM CAM software
  • SAP software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • EditCNC
  • Rubber mallets
  • Full face shields
  • Combination drills
  • Breaker lathes
  • Center drills
  • Cylinder honers
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Bandsaws
  • Vertical milling machines
  • Computerized numerical control CNC turning lathes
  • Vernier calipers
  • Jointers
  • Steel wedges
  • Portable welding equipment
  • Surface grinding machines
  • Grinding wheel arbors
  • Half-round files
  • Aviation snips
  • V blocks
  • Sine bars
  • Wedges
  • Cold chisels
  • Chippers
  • Prick punches
  • Gauges
  • Lathes
  • Telescoping gauges
  • Composition hammers
  • Metal shears
  • Hand clamps
  • Welding lenses
  • Cold saws
  • Computerized numerical control CNC machining centers
  • Turret lathes
  • Power drills
  • Outside micrometers
  • Horizontal lathes
  • Cutoff saws
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Dial calipers
  • Machinists' hammers
  • Horizontal boring bars
  • Tongs
  • Sledgehammers
  • Vernier height gauges
  • Power sanders
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Outside spring calipers
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Radial drill presses
  • Brake presses
  • Calipers
  • Binocular light compound microscopes
  • Centrifugal spin casters
  • Desktop computers
  • Broachers
  • Tube benders
  • Crankshaft grinders
  • Radius gauges
  • Inside micrometers
  • Hydraulic presses
  • Spirit levels
  • Brazing equipment
  • Personal computers
  • Shapers
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Boring tools
  • Feeler gauges
  • Milling vises
  • Punches
  • Buffers
  • Sharpening equipment
  • Flywheel lathes
  • Welding shields
  • Screw pitch gauges
  • Machine shop rigging equipment
  • Threading machines
  • Undercut tools
  • Ratchet sets
  • Sensitive drill presses
  • Pry bars
  • Ladders
  • Staging equipment
  • Spindle blade screwdrivers
  • Tungsten inert gas TIG welding equipment
  • Flat files
  • Square chisels
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Forklifts
  • Edge finders
  • Swaging tools
  • Machinists' squares
  • Screwdrivers
  • Multi-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Combination pliers
  • Dial indicators
  • Vernier gear tooth calipers
  • Hand saws
  • Anvils
  • Power hacksaws
  • Hermaphrodite calipers
  • Chucks
  • Metal inert gas MIG welders
  • Torches
  • Plasma welders
  • Micrometers
  • Valve grinding machines
  • Pipe threaders
  • Sandblasters
  • Marking blocks
  • Arbor presses
  • Brass hammers
  • Planers
  • Milling machines
  • Workshop cranes
  • Angled feeler gauges
  • Parallel blocks
  • Heat-treating equipment
  • Grinders
  • Surface gauges
  • Shielded arc welding tools
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Oxyacetylene welding equipment
  • 3-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Radial drills
  • Angle plates
  • Reamers
  • Putty knives
  • Boring bars
  • Handheld welders
  • Shears
  • Laser printers
  • Turning lathes
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Ring gauges
  • Single-cut mill saw files
  • Vertical turret lathes VTL
  • Horizontal mills
  • Deburring tools
  • Chamfer tools
  • Vernier bevel protractors
  • Steel rules
  • Hacksaws
  • Platforms
  • Pillar drill machines
  • Shims
  • Ball peen hammers
  • Beverly shears
  • Cylindrical grinders
  • Scribers
  • Grinding dogs
  • Magnetic retrievers
  • Hex keys
  • Planer gauges
  • Combination wrenches
  • Resurfacing machines
  • Metal cutting taps
  • Milling angle form cutters
  • Thread gauges
  • Drum lathes
  • Utility knives
  • Engine lathes
  • Soldering equipment
  • Metal spray equipment
  • Coordinate measuring machines CMM
  • Height gauges
  • Inside spring calipers
  • Hex wrenches
  • Knee mills