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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Tool Machinist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #358 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

51%

“Tool Machinist” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 51% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“Tool Machinist” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Machinists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Set up and operate a variety of machine tools to produce precision parts and instruments out of metal. Includes precision instrument makers who fabricate, modify, or repair mechanical instruments. May also fabricate and modify parts to make or repair machine tools or maintain industrial machines, applying knowledge of mechanics, mathematics, metal properties, layout, and machining procedures.

Avg. Annual Salary $57,390
Avg. Hourly Wage $27.59
Available Jobs (US) 298,790
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Machinists #51-4041
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Machinists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Dispose of scrap or waste material in accordance with company policies and environmental regulations.

  • Evaluate machining procedures and recommend changes or modifications for improved efficiency or adaptability.

  • Monitor the feed and speed of machines during the machining process.

  • Separate scrap waste and related materials for reuse, recycling, or disposal.

  • Fit and assemble parts to make or repair machine tools.

  • Align and secure holding fixtures, cutting tools, attachments, accessories, or materials onto machines.

  • Establish work procedures for fabricating new structural products, using a variety of metalworking machines.

  • Set up or operate metalworking, brazing, heat-treating, welding, or cutting equipment.

  • Machine parts to specifications, using machine tools, such as lathes, milling machines, shapers, or grinders.

  • Measure, examine, or test completed units to check for defects and ensure conformance to specifications, using precision instruments, such as micrometers.

  • Calculate dimensions or tolerances, using instruments, such as micrometers or vernier calipers.

  • Study sample parts, blueprints, drawings, or engineering information to determine methods or sequences of operations needed to fabricate products.

  • Lay out, measure, and mark metal stock to display placement of cuts.

  • Support metalworking projects from planning and fabrication through assembly, inspection, and testing, using knowledge of machine functions, metal properties, and mathematics.

  • Install experimental parts or assemblies, such as hydraulic systems, electrical wiring, lubricants, or batteries into machines or mechanisms.

  • Diagnose machine tool malfunctions to determine need for adjustments or repairs.

  • Operate equipment to verify operational efficiency.

  • Design fixtures, tooling, or experimental parts to meet special engineering needs.

  • Advise clients about the materials being used for finished products.

  • Confer with numerical control programmers to check and ensure that new programs or machinery will function properly and that output will meet specifications.

  • Confer with engineering, supervisory, or manufacturing personnel to exchange technical information.

  • Test experimental models under simulated operating conditions, for purposes such as development, standardization, or feasibility of design.

  • Prepare working sketches for the illustration of product appearance.

  • Maintain machine tools in proper operational condition.

  • Check work pieces to ensure that they are properly lubricated or cooled.

  • Set up, adjust, or operate basic or specialized machine tools used to perform precision machining operations.

  • Dismantle machines or equipment, using hand tools or power tools to examine parts for defects and replace defective parts where needed.

  • Program computers or electronic instruments, such as numerically controlled machine tools.

  • Install repaired parts into equipment or install new equipment.

Technologies & Software

  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • G-code
  • SolidCAM CAM software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • JobBOSS
  • Vero Software SURFCAM
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • EditCNC
  • Mazak Mazatrol SMART CNC
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • Microsoft Office software
  • 3D Printing software
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Hexagon Metrology PC-DMIS
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Autodesk HSMWorks
  • Dassault Systemes SolidWorks
  • Siemens Industrial AI
  • ERP software
  • Kentech Kipware Studio
  • Autodesk Fusion 360
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • IMSI TurboCAD
  • GRZ Software MeshCAM
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Rockwell Automation AI
  • Cognex Vision AI
  • OneCNC CAD/CAM
  • Mastercam computer-aided design and manufacturing software
  • Sight Machine AI
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft Word
  • CNC Mastercam
  • Llama (Meta)
  • DeepSeek
  • CNC Consulting Machinists' Calculator
  • Microsoft Excel
  • SAP software
  • Kentech Kipware Trig Kalculator
  • Dassault Systemes CATIA
  • ABB AI Robotics
  • JETCAM
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Armchair Machinist software
  • OnShape
  • Siemens NX
  • Centrifugal spin casters
  • Hand clamps
  • Sledgehammers
  • Vernier gear tooth calipers
  • Personal computers
  • Feeler gauges
  • Cutoff saws
  • Composition hammers
  • Center drills
  • Machine shop rigging equipment
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Portable welding equipment
  • Resurfacing machines
  • Drum lathes
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Planer gauges
  • Wedges
  • Boring tools
  • Hex keys
  • Tongs
  • Shapers
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Grinding wheel arbors
  • Cylinder honers
  • Surface grinding machines
  • Magnetic retrievers
  • Sandblasters
  • Radial drills
  • Half-round files
  • Spindle blade screwdrivers
  • Threading machines
  • Engine lathes
  • Shims
  • Pillar drill machines
  • Chucks
  • Dial calipers
  • V blocks
  • Chamfer tools
  • Pipe threaders
  • Height gauges
  • Buffers
  • Scribers
  • Edge finders
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Welding lenses
  • Screw pitch gauges
  • Arbor presses
  • Ring gauges
  • Parallel blocks
  • Metal cutting taps
  • Reamers
  • Gauges
  • Metal inert gas MIG welders
  • Ladders
  • Chippers
  • Tube benders
  • Thread gauges
  • Pry bars
  • Utility knives
  • Jointers
  • Putty knives
  • Binocular light compound microscopes
  • Breaker lathes
  • Tungsten inert gas TIG welding equipment
  • Radial drill presses
  • Horizontal boring bars
  • Beverly shears
  • Crankshaft grinders
  • Power drills
  • Power sanders
  • Combination drills
  • Oxyacetylene welding equipment
  • Cold chisels
  • Outside spring calipers
  • Full face shields
  • Inside spring calipers
  • Angled feeler gauges
  • Heat-treating equipment
  • Radius gauges
  • Desktop computers
  • Milling machines
  • Horizontal mills
  • Cylindrical grinders
  • Vernier bevel protractors
  • Platforms
  • Planers
  • Vernier height gauges
  • 3-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Brazing equipment
  • Flywheel lathes
  • Forklifts
  • Steel rules
  • Multi-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Angle plates
  • Surface gauges
  • Swaging tools
  • Hydraulic presses
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Undercut tools
  • Punches
  • Calipers
  • Combination pliers
  • Hex wrenches
  • Handheld welders
  • Vernier calipers
  • Grinding dogs
  • Knee mills
  • Telescoping gauges
  • Ball peen hammers
  • Rubber mallets
  • Vertical turret lathes VTL
  • Cold saws
  • Outside micrometers
  • Micrometers
  • Lathes
  • Spirit levels
  • Sine bars
  • Single-cut mill saw files
  • Torches
  • Computerized numerical control CNC turning lathes
  • Shielded arc welding tools
  • Dial indicators
  • Hand saws
  • Soldering equipment
  • Staging equipment
  • Steel wedges
  • Square chisels
  • Vertical milling machines
  • Sensitive drill presses
  • Aviation snips
  • Marking blocks
  • Anvils
  • Prick punches
  • Flat files
  • Milling angle form cutters
  • Ratchet sets
  • Bandsaws
  • Plasma welders
  • Broachers
  • Coordinate measuring machines CMM
  • Machinists' squares
  • Horizontal lathes
  • Hermaphrodite calipers
  • Shears
  • Computerized numerical control CNC machining centers
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Metal spray equipment
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Inside micrometers
  • Brake presses
  • Screwdrivers
  • Combination wrenches
  • Boring bars
  • Brass hammers
  • Machinists' hammers
  • Deburring tools
  • Welding shields
  • Milling vises
  • Hacksaws
  • Power hacksaws
  • Workshop cranes
  • Sharpening equipment
  • Turning lathes
  • Grinders
  • Turret lathes
  • Valve grinding machines
  • Laser printers
  • Metal shears