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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Tool Machinist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #358 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

51%

“Tool Machinist” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 51% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“Tool Machinist” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Machinists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Set up and operate a variety of machine tools to produce precision parts and instruments out of metal. Includes precision instrument makers who fabricate, modify, or repair mechanical instruments. May also fabricate and modify parts to make or repair machine tools or maintain industrial machines, applying knowledge of mechanics, mathematics, metal properties, layout, and machining procedures.

Avg. Annual Salary $57,390
Avg. Hourly Wage $27.59
Available Jobs (US) 298,790
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Machinists #51-4041
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Machinists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Prepare working sketches for the illustration of product appearance.

  • Operate equipment to verify operational efficiency.

  • Dispose of scrap or waste material in accordance with company policies and environmental regulations.

  • Monitor the feed and speed of machines during the machining process.

  • Install repaired parts into equipment or install new equipment.

  • Lay out, measure, and mark metal stock to display placement of cuts.

  • Measure, examine, or test completed units to check for defects and ensure conformance to specifications, using precision instruments, such as micrometers.

  • Set up, adjust, or operate basic or specialized machine tools used to perform precision machining operations.

  • Machine parts to specifications, using machine tools, such as lathes, milling machines, shapers, or grinders.

  • Check work pieces to ensure that they are properly lubricated or cooled.

  • Diagnose machine tool malfunctions to determine need for adjustments or repairs.

  • Support metalworking projects from planning and fabrication through assembly, inspection, and testing, using knowledge of machine functions, metal properties, and mathematics.

  • Install experimental parts or assemblies, such as hydraulic systems, electrical wiring, lubricants, or batteries into machines or mechanisms.

  • Separate scrap waste and related materials for reuse, recycling, or disposal.

  • Set up or operate metalworking, brazing, heat-treating, welding, or cutting equipment.

  • Program computers or electronic instruments, such as numerically controlled machine tools.

  • Evaluate machining procedures and recommend changes or modifications for improved efficiency or adaptability.

  • Fit and assemble parts to make or repair machine tools.

  • Advise clients about the materials being used for finished products.

  • Test experimental models under simulated operating conditions, for purposes such as development, standardization, or feasibility of design.

  • Calculate dimensions or tolerances, using instruments, such as micrometers or vernier calipers.

  • Confer with numerical control programmers to check and ensure that new programs or machinery will function properly and that output will meet specifications.

  • Design fixtures, tooling, or experimental parts to meet special engineering needs.

  • Align and secure holding fixtures, cutting tools, attachments, accessories, or materials onto machines.

  • Establish work procedures for fabricating new structural products, using a variety of metalworking machines.

  • Study sample parts, blueprints, drawings, or engineering information to determine methods or sequences of operations needed to fabricate products.

  • Dismantle machines or equipment, using hand tools or power tools to examine parts for defects and replace defective parts where needed.

  • Maintain machine tools in proper operational condition.

  • Confer with engineering, supervisory, or manufacturing personnel to exchange technical information.

Technologies & Software

  • JETCAM
  • CNC Consulting Machinists' Calculator
  • Autodesk HSMWorks
  • Rockwell Automation AI
  • Vero Software SURFCAM
  • SolidCAM CAM software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Autodesk Fusion 360
  • EditCNC
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Cognex Vision AI
  • Microsoft Word
  • CNC Mastercam
  • SAP software
  • Llama (Meta)
  • ABB AI Robotics
  • Mazak Mazatrol SMART CNC
  • Kentech Kipware Trig Kalculator
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Siemens NX
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • 3D Printing software
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • IMSI TurboCAD
  • Grok (xAI)
  • DeepSeek
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Dassault Systemes SolidWorks
  • Mastercam computer-aided design and manufacturing software
  • GRZ Software MeshCAM
  • ERP software
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • JobBOSS
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Kentech Kipware Studio
  • G-code
  • OneCNC CAD/CAM
  • Dassault Systemes CATIA
  • Sight Machine AI
  • OnShape
  • Hexagon Metrology PC-DMIS
  • Siemens Industrial AI
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Armchair Machinist software
  • Computerized numerical control CNC turning lathes
  • Sharpening equipment
  • Rubber mallets
  • Machine shop rigging equipment
  • Half-round files
  • Screw pitch gauges
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Dial indicators
  • Oxyacetylene welding equipment
  • Chamfer tools
  • Knee mills
  • Magnetic retrievers
  • Breaker lathes
  • Surface gauges
  • 3-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Jointers
  • Staging equipment
  • Flat files
  • Tongs
  • Hex wrenches
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Ring gauges
  • Grinding wheel arbors
  • Cylinder honers
  • Tube benders
  • Deburring tools
  • Steel wedges
  • Chucks
  • Centrifugal spin casters
  • Portable welding equipment
  • Center drills
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Shims
  • Prick punches
  • Pipe threaders
  • Sandblasters
  • Inside spring calipers
  • Marking blocks
  • Vernier gear tooth calipers
  • Horizontal mills
  • Lathes
  • Brazing equipment
  • Composition hammers
  • Combination wrenches
  • Vernier bevel protractors
  • Outside spring calipers
  • Hacksaws
  • Scribers
  • Swaging tools
  • Cold chisels
  • Metal shears
  • Turret lathes
  • Hand saws
  • Vernier height gauges
  • Cold saws
  • Engine lathes
  • Drum lathes
  • Pry bars
  • V blocks
  • Brake presses
  • Bandsaws
  • Inside micrometers
  • Reamers
  • Shapers
  • Ratchet sets
  • Telescoping gauges
  • Computerized numerical control CNC machining centers
  • Wedges
  • Calipers
  • Buffers
  • Hermaphrodite calipers
  • Flywheel lathes
  • Spindle blade screwdrivers
  • Resurfacing machines
  • Gauges
  • Valve grinding machines
  • Torches
  • Threading machines
  • Outside micrometers
  • Pillar drill machines
  • Horizontal lathes
  • Milling machines
  • Spirit levels
  • Sensitive drill presses
  • Heat-treating equipment
  • Planer gauges
  • Personal computers
  • Laser printers
  • Forklifts
  • Radial drills
  • Coordinate measuring machines CMM
  • Plasma welders
  • Beverly shears
  • Ladders
  • Dial calipers
  • Anvils
  • Angled feeler gauges
  • Metal inert gas MIG welders
  • Broachers
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Multi-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Boring tools
  • Putty knives
  • Horizontal boring bars
  • Vertical turret lathes VTL
  • Workshop cranes
  • Single-cut mill saw files
  • Undercut tools
  • Turning lathes
  • Ball peen hammers
  • Sledgehammers
  • Height gauges
  • Surface grinding machines
  • Combination pliers
  • Metal spray equipment
  • Hex keys
  • Planers
  • Binocular light compound microscopes
  • Sine bars
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Boring bars
  • Vernier calipers
  • Chippers
  • Parallel blocks
  • Welding shields
  • Combination drills
  • Cutoff saws
  • Hand clamps
  • Machinists' hammers
  • Machinists' squares
  • Vertical milling machines
  • Platforms
  • Edge finders
  • Tungsten inert gas TIG welding equipment
  • Grinding dogs
  • Soldering equipment
  • Square chisels
  • Arbor presses
  • Power hacksaws
  • Shielded arc welding tools
  • Punches
  • Handheld welders
  • Metal cutting taps
  • Thread gauges
  • Desktop computers
  • Feeler gauges
  • Milling angle form cutters
  • Brass hammers
  • Aviation snips
  • Screwdrivers
  • Power drills
  • Grinders
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Full face shields
  • Crankshaft grinders
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Hydraulic presses
  • Milling vises
  • Angle plates
  • Steel rules
  • Utility knives
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Power sanders
  • Radial drill presses
  • Welding lenses
  • Shears
  • Cylindrical grinders
  • Radius gauges
  • Micrometers