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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Toolroom Machinist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #358 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

51%

“Toolroom Machinist” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 51% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“Toolroom Machinist” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Machinists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Set up and operate a variety of machine tools to produce precision parts and instruments out of metal. Includes precision instrument makers who fabricate, modify, or repair mechanical instruments. May also fabricate and modify parts to make or repair machine tools or maintain industrial machines, applying knowledge of mechanics, mathematics, metal properties, layout, and machining procedures.

Avg. Annual Salary $57,390
Avg. Hourly Wage $27.59
Available Jobs (US) 298,790
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Machinists #51-4041
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Machinists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Test experimental models under simulated operating conditions, for purposes such as development, standardization, or feasibility of design.

  • Program computers or electronic instruments, such as numerically controlled machine tools.

  • Confer with engineering, supervisory, or manufacturing personnel to exchange technical information.

  • Establish work procedures for fabricating new structural products, using a variety of metalworking machines.

  • Install repaired parts into equipment or install new equipment.

  • Measure, examine, or test completed units to check for defects and ensure conformance to specifications, using precision instruments, such as micrometers.

  • Separate scrap waste and related materials for reuse, recycling, or disposal.

  • Dispose of scrap or waste material in accordance with company policies and environmental regulations.

  • Monitor the feed and speed of machines during the machining process.

  • Set up, adjust, or operate basic or specialized machine tools used to perform precision machining operations.

  • Evaluate machining procedures and recommend changes or modifications for improved efficiency or adaptability.

  • Install experimental parts or assemblies, such as hydraulic systems, electrical wiring, lubricants, or batteries into machines or mechanisms.

  • Dismantle machines or equipment, using hand tools or power tools to examine parts for defects and replace defective parts where needed.

  • Fit and assemble parts to make or repair machine tools.

  • Set up or operate metalworking, brazing, heat-treating, welding, or cutting equipment.

  • Study sample parts, blueprints, drawings, or engineering information to determine methods or sequences of operations needed to fabricate products.

  • Calculate dimensions or tolerances, using instruments, such as micrometers or vernier calipers.

  • Advise clients about the materials being used for finished products.

  • Confer with numerical control programmers to check and ensure that new programs or machinery will function properly and that output will meet specifications.

  • Align and secure holding fixtures, cutting tools, attachments, accessories, or materials onto machines.

  • Operate equipment to verify operational efficiency.

  • Lay out, measure, and mark metal stock to display placement of cuts.

  • Check work pieces to ensure that they are properly lubricated or cooled.

  • Machine parts to specifications, using machine tools, such as lathes, milling machines, shapers, or grinders.

  • Prepare working sketches for the illustration of product appearance.

  • Support metalworking projects from planning and fabrication through assembly, inspection, and testing, using knowledge of machine functions, metal properties, and mathematics.

  • Design fixtures, tooling, or experimental parts to meet special engineering needs.

  • Maintain machine tools in proper operational condition.

  • Diagnose machine tool malfunctions to determine need for adjustments or repairs.

Technologies & Software

  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Cognex Vision AI
  • Hexagon Metrology PC-DMIS
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Dassault Systemes SolidWorks
  • JobBOSS
  • Armchair Machinist software
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • SAP software
  • Siemens NX
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Dassault Systemes CATIA
  • 3D Printing software
  • CNC Consulting Machinists' Calculator
  • ERP software
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • SolidCAM CAM software
  • Mastercam computer-aided design and manufacturing software
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • DeepSeek
  • GRZ Software MeshCAM
  • Vero Software SURFCAM
  • ABB AI Robotics
  • OneCNC CAD/CAM
  • OnShape
  • Autodesk HSMWorks
  • Kentech Kipware Trig Kalculator
  • JETCAM
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Autodesk Fusion 360
  • G-code
  • Kentech Kipware Studio
  • Mazak Mazatrol SMART CNC
  • EditCNC
  • Sight Machine AI
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • Siemens Industrial AI
  • Rockwell Automation AI
  • CNC Mastercam
  • IMSI TurboCAD
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Sine bars
  • Ratchet sets
  • Tongs
  • Punches
  • Turning lathes
  • Sledgehammers
  • Vernier gear tooth calipers
  • Centrifugal spin casters
  • Hand saws
  • Center drills
  • Personal computers
  • Micrometers
  • Computerized numerical control CNC turning lathes
  • Cutoff saws
  • Spirit levels
  • Workshop cranes
  • Scribers
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Lathes
  • Half-round files
  • Crankshaft grinders
  • Metal shears
  • Vernier bevel protractors
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Cold saws
  • Dial indicators
  • Drum lathes
  • Machine shop rigging equipment
  • Plasma welders
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Welding lenses
  • Grinding dogs
  • Staging equipment
  • Coordinate measuring machines CMM
  • Putty knives
  • Dial calipers
  • Desktop computers
  • Wedges
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Metal inert gas MIG welders
  • Buffers
  • Multi-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Beverly shears
  • Grinders
  • Square chisels
  • Hand clamps
  • Radial drills
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Sharpening equipment
  • Radius gauges
  • Shielded arc welding tools
  • Rubber mallets
  • Computerized numerical control CNC machining centers
  • Height gauges
  • Inside spring calipers
  • Composition hammers
  • Full face shields
  • Boring bars
  • Forklifts
  • Metal cutting taps
  • Valve grinding machines
  • Combination drills
  • Knee mills
  • Brazing equipment
  • Edge finders
  • Machinists' squares
  • Pillar drill machines
  • Threading machines
  • Parallel blocks
  • Milling vises
  • Prick punches
  • Ring gauges
  • Grinding wheel arbors
  • Spindle blade screwdrivers
  • Vertical turret lathes VTL
  • Hex keys
  • Reamers
  • Welding shields
  • Sandblasters
  • Vernier height gauges
  • Chippers
  • Telescoping gauges
  • Calipers
  • Gauges
  • Vertical milling machines
  • Horizontal lathes
  • Soldering equipment
  • Power hacksaws
  • Pipe threaders
  • Milling machines
  • Horizontal boring bars
  • Steel wedges
  • Inside micrometers
  • Marking blocks
  • Planers
  • Milling angle form cutters
  • Screw pitch gauges
  • Surface grinding machines
  • Tube benders
  • Hydraulic presses
  • Resurfacing machines
  • Heat-treating equipment
  • Breaker lathes
  • Torches
  • Surface gauges
  • Cylinder honers
  • Undercut tools
  • Portable welding equipment
  • Machinists' hammers
  • Boring tools
  • Shapers
  • Magnetic retrievers
  • Oxyacetylene welding equipment
  • Flat files
  • Handheld welders
  • Laser printers
  • Outside micrometers
  • Binocular light compound microscopes
  • Anvils
  • Feeler gauges
  • 3-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Broachers
  • Shears
  • Jointers
  • Bandsaws
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Pry bars
  • Ball peen hammers
  • Chamfer tools
  • Hermaphrodite calipers
  • V blocks
  • Hex wrenches
  • Power sanders
  • Angle plates
  • Single-cut mill saw files
  • Cold chisels
  • Vernier calipers
  • Flywheel lathes
  • Metal spray equipment
  • Brake presses
  • Combination wrenches
  • Outside spring calipers
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Aviation snips
  • Turret lathes
  • Combination pliers
  • Arbor presses
  • Thread gauges
  • Engine lathes
  • Ladders
  • Platforms
  • Steel rules
  • Utility knives
  • Deburring tools
  • Power drills
  • Swaging tools
  • Cylindrical grinders
  • Sensitive drill presses
  • Tungsten inert gas TIG welding equipment
  • Brass hammers
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Hacksaws
  • Planer gauges
  • Screwdrivers
  • Shims
  • Radial drill presses
  • Angled feeler gauges
  • Horizontal mills
  • Chucks