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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Toolroom Machinist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #358 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

51%

“Toolroom Machinist” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 51% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“Toolroom Machinist” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Machinists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Set up and operate a variety of machine tools to produce precision parts and instruments out of metal. Includes precision instrument makers who fabricate, modify, or repair mechanical instruments. May also fabricate and modify parts to make or repair machine tools or maintain industrial machines, applying knowledge of mechanics, mathematics, metal properties, layout, and machining procedures.

Avg. Annual Salary $57,390
Avg. Hourly Wage $27.59
Available Jobs (US) 298,790
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Machinists #51-4041
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Machinists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Program computers or electronic instruments, such as numerically controlled machine tools.

  • Dispose of scrap or waste material in accordance with company policies and environmental regulations.

  • Lay out, measure, and mark metal stock to display placement of cuts.

  • Prepare working sketches for the illustration of product appearance.

  • Operate equipment to verify operational efficiency.

  • Evaluate machining procedures and recommend changes or modifications for improved efficiency or adaptability.

  • Study sample parts, blueprints, drawings, or engineering information to determine methods or sequences of operations needed to fabricate products.

  • Install repaired parts into equipment or install new equipment.

  • Install experimental parts or assemblies, such as hydraulic systems, electrical wiring, lubricants, or batteries into machines or mechanisms.

  • Confer with numerical control programmers to check and ensure that new programs or machinery will function properly and that output will meet specifications.

  • Confer with engineering, supervisory, or manufacturing personnel to exchange technical information.

  • Calculate dimensions or tolerances, using instruments, such as micrometers or vernier calipers.

  • Separate scrap waste and related materials for reuse, recycling, or disposal.

  • Align and secure holding fixtures, cutting tools, attachments, accessories, or materials onto machines.

  • Maintain machine tools in proper operational condition.

  • Monitor the feed and speed of machines during the machining process.

  • Check work pieces to ensure that they are properly lubricated or cooled.

  • Machine parts to specifications, using machine tools, such as lathes, milling machines, shapers, or grinders.

  • Design fixtures, tooling, or experimental parts to meet special engineering needs.

  • Test experimental models under simulated operating conditions, for purposes such as development, standardization, or feasibility of design.

  • Measure, examine, or test completed units to check for defects and ensure conformance to specifications, using precision instruments, such as micrometers.

  • Set up, adjust, or operate basic or specialized machine tools used to perform precision machining operations.

  • Fit and assemble parts to make or repair machine tools.

  • Advise clients about the materials being used for finished products.

  • Establish work procedures for fabricating new structural products, using a variety of metalworking machines.

  • Support metalworking projects from planning and fabrication through assembly, inspection, and testing, using knowledge of machine functions, metal properties, and mathematics.

  • Set up or operate metalworking, brazing, heat-treating, welding, or cutting equipment.

  • Dismantle machines or equipment, using hand tools or power tools to examine parts for defects and replace defective parts where needed.

  • Diagnose machine tool malfunctions to determine need for adjustments or repairs.

Technologies & Software

  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Sight Machine AI
  • IMSI TurboCAD
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • Rockwell Automation AI
  • Vero Software SURFCAM
  • OnShape
  • 3D Printing software
  • Autodesk Fusion 360
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Cognex Vision AI
  • Mastercam computer-aided design and manufacturing software
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Microsoft Word
  • SolidCAM CAM software
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • ERP software
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • EditCNC
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Dassault Systemes CATIA
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Kentech Kipware Trig Kalculator
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • JETCAM
  • Siemens Industrial AI
  • Mazak Mazatrol SMART CNC
  • JobBOSS
  • Dassault Systemes SolidWorks
  • Autodesk HSMWorks
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • CNC Consulting Machinists' Calculator
  • ABB AI Robotics
  • SAP software
  • Kentech Kipware Studio
  • G-code
  • Armchair Machinist software
  • Gemini (Google)
  • GRZ Software MeshCAM
  • Siemens NX
  • OneCNC CAD/CAM
  • Hexagon Metrology PC-DMIS
  • DeepSeek
  • CNC Mastercam
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Forklifts
  • Resurfacing machines
  • Grinding wheel arbors
  • Pipe threaders
  • Dial indicators
  • V blocks
  • Calipers
  • Binocular light compound microscopes
  • Aviation snips
  • Computerized numerical control CNC turning lathes
  • Ratchet sets
  • Edge finders
  • Dial calipers
  • Hydraulic presses
  • Machine shop rigging equipment
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Shims
  • Buffers
  • Milling machines
  • Power hacksaws
  • Chamfer tools
  • Threading machines
  • Handheld welders
  • Horizontal boring bars
  • Planer gauges
  • Swaging tools
  • Broachers
  • Shapers
  • Thread gauges
  • Portable welding equipment
  • Cold chisels
  • Metal shears
  • Sharpening equipment
  • Turning lathes
  • Cylinder honers
  • Angled feeler gauges
  • Bandsaws
  • Brazing equipment
  • Desktop computers
  • Sandblasters
  • Grinders
  • Shears
  • Turret lathes
  • Boring tools
  • Breaker lathes
  • Soldering equipment
  • Beverly shears
  • Sensitive drill presses
  • Plasma welders
  • Vernier bevel protractors
  • Steel wedges
  • Undercut tools
  • Horizontal lathes
  • Brass hammers
  • Punches
  • Vernier height gauges
  • Knee mills
  • Crankshaft grinders
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Brake presses
  • Jointers
  • Valve grinding machines
  • Prick punches
  • Parallel blocks
  • Combination wrenches
  • Hand clamps
  • Height gauges
  • Surface gauges
  • Oxyacetylene welding equipment
  • Magnetic retrievers
  • Chucks
  • Putty knives
  • Scribers
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Composition hammers
  • Pry bars
  • Personal computers
  • Flat files
  • Chippers
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Combination pliers
  • Staging equipment
  • Ring gauges
  • Tongs
  • Feeler gauges
  • Milling vises
  • Planers
  • Welding lenses
  • Pillar drill machines
  • Cylindrical grinders
  • Vernier gear tooth calipers
  • Combination drills
  • Ball peen hammers
  • Grinding dogs
  • Milling angle form cutters
  • Engine lathes
  • Anvils
  • Radial drills
  • Metal inert gas MIG welders
  • Horizontal mills
  • Vernier calipers
  • Metal spray equipment
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Full face shields
  • Reamers
  • Workshop cranes
  • Wedges
  • Tube benders
  • Center drills
  • Steel rules
  • Hacksaws
  • Vertical milling machines
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Sledgehammers
  • Screw pitch gauges
  • Power drills
  • Flywheel lathes
  • Hex wrenches
  • Deburring tools
  • Metal cutting taps
  • Screwdrivers
  • Vertical turret lathes VTL
  • Marking blocks
  • Inside micrometers
  • Cutoff saws
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Inside spring calipers
  • Square chisels
  • 3-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Platforms
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Outside micrometers
  • Power sanders
  • Single-cut mill saw files
  • Tungsten inert gas TIG welding equipment
  • Surface grinding machines
  • Utility knives
  • Laser printers
  • Machinists' hammers
  • Outside spring calipers
  • Gauges
  • Spindle blade screwdrivers
  • Drum lathes
  • Boring bars
  • Half-round files
  • Arbor presses
  • Telescoping gauges
  • Radius gauges
  • Coordinate measuring machines CMM
  • Shielded arc welding tools
  • Angle plates
  • Hex keys
  • Centrifugal spin casters
  • Torches
  • Hermaphrodite calipers
  • Cold saws
  • Heat-treating equipment
  • Sine bars
  • Machinists' squares
  • Computerized numerical control CNC machining centers
  • Spirit levels
  • Lathes
  • Ladders
  • Rubber mallets
  • Multi-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Micrometers
  • Welding shields
  • Radial drill presses
  • Hand saws