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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Lathe Machinist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #358 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

51%

“Lathe Machinist” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 51% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“Lathe Machinist” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Machinists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Set up and operate a variety of machine tools to produce precision parts and instruments out of metal. Includes precision instrument makers who fabricate, modify, or repair mechanical instruments. May also fabricate and modify parts to make or repair machine tools or maintain industrial machines, applying knowledge of mechanics, mathematics, metal properties, layout, and machining procedures.

Avg. Annual Salary $57,390
Avg. Hourly Wage $27.59
Available Jobs (US) 298,790
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Machinists #51-4041
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Machinists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Set up or operate metalworking, brazing, heat-treating, welding, or cutting equipment.

  • Test experimental models under simulated operating conditions, for purposes such as development, standardization, or feasibility of design.

  • Set up, adjust, or operate basic or specialized machine tools used to perform precision machining operations.

  • Confer with engineering, supervisory, or manufacturing personnel to exchange technical information.

  • Support metalworking projects from planning and fabrication through assembly, inspection, and testing, using knowledge of machine functions, metal properties, and mathematics.

  • Establish work procedures for fabricating new structural products, using a variety of metalworking machines.

  • Check work pieces to ensure that they are properly lubricated or cooled.

  • Prepare working sketches for the illustration of product appearance.

  • Install experimental parts or assemblies, such as hydraulic systems, electrical wiring, lubricants, or batteries into machines or mechanisms.

  • Install repaired parts into equipment or install new equipment.

  • Fit and assemble parts to make or repair machine tools.

  • Design fixtures, tooling, or experimental parts to meet special engineering needs.

  • Evaluate machining procedures and recommend changes or modifications for improved efficiency or adaptability.

  • Calculate dimensions or tolerances, using instruments, such as micrometers or vernier calipers.

  • Study sample parts, blueprints, drawings, or engineering information to determine methods or sequences of operations needed to fabricate products.

  • Operate equipment to verify operational efficiency.

  • Monitor the feed and speed of machines during the machining process.

  • Diagnose machine tool malfunctions to determine need for adjustments or repairs.

  • Align and secure holding fixtures, cutting tools, attachments, accessories, or materials onto machines.

  • Dismantle machines or equipment, using hand tools or power tools to examine parts for defects and replace defective parts where needed.

  • Measure, examine, or test completed units to check for defects and ensure conformance to specifications, using precision instruments, such as micrometers.

  • Lay out, measure, and mark metal stock to display placement of cuts.

  • Advise clients about the materials being used for finished products.

  • Separate scrap waste and related materials for reuse, recycling, or disposal.

  • Dispose of scrap or waste material in accordance with company policies and environmental regulations.

  • Program computers or electronic instruments, such as numerically controlled machine tools.

  • Maintain machine tools in proper operational condition.

  • Machine parts to specifications, using machine tools, such as lathes, milling machines, shapers, or grinders.

  • Confer with numerical control programmers to check and ensure that new programs or machinery will function properly and that output will meet specifications.

Technologies & Software

  • CNC Mastercam
  • 3D Printing software
  • Siemens Industrial AI
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • Dassault Systemes CATIA
  • ABB AI Robotics
  • Autodesk Fusion 360
  • Kentech Kipware Trig Kalculator
  • Rockwell Automation AI
  • SAP software
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • G-code
  • EditCNC
  • OnShape
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Cognex Vision AI
  • JobBOSS
  • Kentech Kipware Studio
  • Siemens NX
  • SolidCAM CAM software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • ERP software
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • CNC Consulting Machinists' Calculator
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Armchair Machinist software
  • JETCAM
  • Mastercam computer-aided design and manufacturing software
  • Dassault Systemes SolidWorks
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Sight Machine AI
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • DeepSeek
  • Mazak Mazatrol SMART CNC
  • Hexagon Metrology PC-DMIS
  • OneCNC CAD/CAM
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Autodesk HSMWorks
  • GRZ Software MeshCAM
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Vero Software SURFCAM
  • IMSI TurboCAD
  • Jointers
  • Computerized numerical control CNC machining centers
  • Hand saws
  • Metal cutting taps
  • Computerized numerical control CNC turning lathes
  • Dial indicators
  • Milling angle form cutters
  • Workshop cranes
  • Thread gauges
  • Combination pliers
  • Milling vises
  • Feeler gauges
  • Engine lathes
  • Telescoping gauges
  • Vernier calipers
  • Shears
  • Brass hammers
  • Vernier gear tooth calipers
  • Angled feeler gauges
  • Prick punches
  • Spindle blade screwdrivers
  • Hand clamps
  • Parallel blocks
  • Laser printers
  • Staging equipment
  • Planer gauges
  • Square chisels
  • Ladders
  • Power hacksaws
  • Cutoff saws
  • Sensitive drill presses
  • Turning lathes
  • Steel wedges
  • Chucks
  • Full face shields
  • Machinists' hammers
  • Ring gauges
  • Plasma welders
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Horizontal mills
  • Power drills
  • Welding lenses
  • Putty knives
  • Buffers
  • Power sanders
  • Milling machines
  • Vernier height gauges
  • Edge finders
  • Drum lathes
  • Sharpening equipment
  • Chamfer tools
  • Cylindrical grinders
  • 3-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Gauges
  • Single-cut mill saw files
  • Tube benders
  • Ratchet sets
  • Centrifugal spin casters
  • Center drills
  • Grinding wheel arbors
  • Personal computers
  • Radius gauges
  • Half-round files
  • Vertical milling machines
  • Tungsten inert gas TIG welding equipment
  • Rubber mallets
  • Swaging tools
  • Handheld welders
  • Resurfacing machines
  • Micrometers
  • Threading machines
  • Steel rules
  • Pillar drill machines
  • Shielded arc welding tools
  • Portable welding equipment
  • Undercut tools
  • Pipe threaders
  • Grinders
  • Desktop computers
  • Machinists' squares
  • Screwdrivers
  • Heat-treating equipment
  • Breaker lathes
  • Scribers
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Hermaphrodite calipers
  • Outside spring calipers
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Brazing equipment
  • Utility knives
  • Horizontal boring bars
  • Composition hammers
  • Hydraulic presses
  • Crankshaft grinders
  • Knee mills
  • Platforms
  • Aviation snips
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Chippers
  • Vernier bevel protractors
  • Sine bars
  • Multi-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Anvils
  • Combination wrenches
  • Cold saws
  • Marking blocks
  • Calipers
  • Boring bars
  • Oxyacetylene welding equipment
  • Radial drill presses
  • Sledgehammers
  • Flat files
  • Tongs
  • Inside micrometers
  • Cold chisels
  • Brake presses
  • Pry bars
  • Horizontal lathes
  • Metal shears
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Deburring tools
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Valve grinding machines
  • Dial calipers
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Hacksaws
  • Surface gauges
  • V blocks
  • Lathes
  • Combination drills
  • Shims
  • Sandblasters
  • Ball peen hammers
  • Beverly shears
  • Boring tools
  • Forklifts
  • Grinding dogs
  • Surface grinding machines
  • Spirit levels
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Hex wrenches
  • Shapers
  • Arbor presses
  • Cylinder honers
  • Machine shop rigging equipment
  • Planers
  • Flywheel lathes
  • Angle plates
  • Screw pitch gauges
  • Torches
  • Inside spring calipers
  • Punches
  • Bandsaws
  • Broachers
  • Coordinate measuring machines CMM
  • Wedges
  • Height gauges
  • Welding shields
  • Reamers
  • Soldering equipment
  • Vertical turret lathes VTL
  • Outside micrometers
  • Turret lathes
  • Binocular light compound microscopes
  • Radial drills
  • Magnetic retrievers
  • Hex keys
  • Metal spray equipment
  • Metal inert gas MIG welders