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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Maintenance Machinist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #358 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

51%

“Maintenance Machinist” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 51% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“Maintenance Machinist” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Machinists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Set up and operate a variety of machine tools to produce precision parts and instruments out of metal. Includes precision instrument makers who fabricate, modify, or repair mechanical instruments. May also fabricate and modify parts to make or repair machine tools or maintain industrial machines, applying knowledge of mechanics, mathematics, metal properties, layout, and machining procedures.

Avg. Annual Salary $57,390
Avg. Hourly Wage $27.59
Available Jobs (US) 298,790
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Machinists #51-4041
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Machinists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Confer with engineering, supervisory, or manufacturing personnel to exchange technical information.

  • Program computers or electronic instruments, such as numerically controlled machine tools.

  • Machine parts to specifications, using machine tools, such as lathes, milling machines, shapers, or grinders.

  • Maintain machine tools in proper operational condition.

  • Dismantle machines or equipment, using hand tools or power tools to examine parts for defects and replace defective parts where needed.

  • Set up or operate metalworking, brazing, heat-treating, welding, or cutting equipment.

  • Evaluate machining procedures and recommend changes or modifications for improved efficiency or adaptability.

  • Design fixtures, tooling, or experimental parts to meet special engineering needs.

  • Separate scrap waste and related materials for reuse, recycling, or disposal.

  • Measure, examine, or test completed units to check for defects and ensure conformance to specifications, using precision instruments, such as micrometers.

  • Diagnose machine tool malfunctions to determine need for adjustments or repairs.

  • Confer with numerical control programmers to check and ensure that new programs or machinery will function properly and that output will meet specifications.

  • Align and secure holding fixtures, cutting tools, attachments, accessories, or materials onto machines.

  • Operate equipment to verify operational efficiency.

  • Set up, adjust, or operate basic or specialized machine tools used to perform precision machining operations.

  • Fit and assemble parts to make or repair machine tools.

  • Establish work procedures for fabricating new structural products, using a variety of metalworking machines.

  • Install repaired parts into equipment or install new equipment.

  • Support metalworking projects from planning and fabrication through assembly, inspection, and testing, using knowledge of machine functions, metal properties, and mathematics.

  • Prepare working sketches for the illustration of product appearance.

  • Monitor the feed and speed of machines during the machining process.

  • Test experimental models under simulated operating conditions, for purposes such as development, standardization, or feasibility of design.

  • Calculate dimensions or tolerances, using instruments, such as micrometers or vernier calipers.

  • Dispose of scrap or waste material in accordance with company policies and environmental regulations.

  • Advise clients about the materials being used for finished products.

  • Lay out, measure, and mark metal stock to display placement of cuts.

  • Study sample parts, blueprints, drawings, or engineering information to determine methods or sequences of operations needed to fabricate products.

  • Check work pieces to ensure that they are properly lubricated or cooled.

  • Install experimental parts or assemblies, such as hydraulic systems, electrical wiring, lubricants, or batteries into machines or mechanisms.

Technologies & Software

  • Hexagon Metrology PC-DMIS
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Armchair Machinist software
  • SAP software
  • Autodesk HSMWorks
  • CNC Mastercam
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • 3D Printing software
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Kentech Kipware Trig Kalculator
  • Microsoft Excel
  • ERP software
  • EditCNC
  • Mastercam computer-aided design and manufacturing software
  • JobBOSS
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • JETCAM
  • DeepSeek
  • Dassault Systemes SolidWorks
  • OneCNC CAD/CAM
  • Mazak Mazatrol SMART CNC
  • Microsoft Word
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • IMSI TurboCAD
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • Siemens NX
  • Cognex Vision AI
  • G-code
  • Siemens Industrial AI
  • CNC Consulting Machinists' Calculator
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Dassault Systemes CATIA
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Llama (Meta)
  • ABB AI Robotics
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Rockwell Automation AI
  • OnShape
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • GRZ Software MeshCAM
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Autodesk Fusion 360
  • Sight Machine AI
  • Kentech Kipware Studio
  • Vero Software SURFCAM
  • SolidCAM CAM software
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Combination pliers
  • Putty knives
  • Height gauges
  • Threading machines
  • Horizontal boring bars
  • Lathes
  • Cylindrical grinders
  • Turret lathes
  • Sharpening equipment
  • Vernier calipers
  • Planer gauges
  • Milling vises
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Aviation snips
  • Shielded arc welding tools
  • Screwdrivers
  • Square chisels
  • Magnetic retrievers
  • Feeler gauges
  • Turning lathes
  • Outside micrometers
  • Shapers
  • Sandblasters
  • Deburring tools
  • Machinists' squares
  • Grinders
  • Anvils
  • Vernier gear tooth calipers
  • Pillar drill machines
  • Power drills
  • Steel rules
  • Hand saws
  • Brake presses
  • Swaging tools
  • Spirit levels
  • Milling angle form cutters
  • Multi-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Metal cutting taps
  • Sine bars
  • Valve grinding machines
  • Power hacksaws
  • Horizontal mills
  • Heat-treating equipment
  • Milling machines
  • Ladders
  • Shims
  • Half-round files
  • Vernier height gauges
  • Radial drill presses
  • Grinding wheel arbors
  • Full face shields
  • Vernier bevel protractors
  • Surface grinding machines
  • Scribers
  • Portable welding equipment
  • Machine shop rigging equipment
  • Brass hammers
  • Metal shears
  • Single-cut mill saw files
  • Spindle blade screwdrivers
  • Ring gauges
  • Bandsaws
  • Utility knives
  • Rubber mallets
  • Radial drills
  • Drum lathes
  • Radius gauges
  • Soldering equipment
  • Chucks
  • Marking blocks
  • Dial indicators
  • Hex keys
  • Ratchet sets
  • Flywheel lathes
  • Personal computers
  • Dial calipers
  • Knee mills
  • Undercut tools
  • Tongs
  • Engine lathes
  • Sledgehammers
  • Torches
  • Metal inert gas MIG welders
  • Outside spring calipers
  • Workshop cranes
  • Vertical milling machines
  • Wedges
  • Cylinder honers
  • Centrifugal spin casters
  • Buffers
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Forklifts
  • Computerized numerical control CNC turning lathes
  • Chamfer tools
  • Reamers
  • Gauges
  • Flat files
  • Hydraulic presses
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Hermaphrodite calipers
  • Hacksaws
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Composition hammers
  • Calipers
  • Staging equipment
  • Cutoff saws
  • Center drills
  • Grinding dogs
  • Computerized numerical control CNC machining centers
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Inside spring calipers
  • Cold chisels
  • Binocular light compound microscopes
  • Vertical turret lathes VTL
  • Shears
  • Power sanders
  • Combination drills
  • Cold saws
  • Laser printers
  • Parallel blocks
  • Plasma welders
  • Jointers
  • Chippers
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Surface gauges
  • Sensitive drill presses
  • Broachers
  • Desktop computers
  • Angled feeler gauges
  • Welding lenses
  • Hand clamps
  • Handheld welders
  • Edge finders
  • Platforms
  • Prick punches
  • Micrometers
  • Horizontal lathes
  • Combination wrenches
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Inside micrometers
  • Machinists' hammers
  • Hex wrenches
  • Steel wedges
  • Planers
  • Pipe threaders
  • Brazing equipment
  • Breaker lathes
  • Angle plates
  • Ball peen hammers
  • Metal spray equipment
  • Screw pitch gauges
  • Tungsten inert gas TIG welding equipment
  • Welding shields
  • Coordinate measuring machines CMM
  • V blocks
  • 3-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Resurfacing machines
  • Punches
  • Boring bars
  • Telescoping gauges
  • Tube benders
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Thread gauges
  • Oxyacetylene welding equipment
  • Boring tools
  • Crankshaft grinders
  • Arbor presses
  • Pry bars
  • Beverly shears