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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Tool and Die Machinist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #358 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

51%

“Tool and Die Machinist” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 51% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“Tool and Die Machinist” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Machinists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Set up and operate a variety of machine tools to produce precision parts and instruments out of metal. Includes precision instrument makers who fabricate, modify, or repair mechanical instruments. May also fabricate and modify parts to make or repair machine tools or maintain industrial machines, applying knowledge of mechanics, mathematics, metal properties, layout, and machining procedures.

Avg. Annual Salary $57,390
Avg. Hourly Wage $27.59
Available Jobs (US) 298,790
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Machinists #51-4041
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Machinists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Calculate dimensions or tolerances, using instruments, such as micrometers or vernier calipers.

  • Install repaired parts into equipment or install new equipment.

  • Design fixtures, tooling, or experimental parts to meet special engineering needs.

  • Lay out, measure, and mark metal stock to display placement of cuts.

  • Prepare working sketches for the illustration of product appearance.

  • Study sample parts, blueprints, drawings, or engineering information to determine methods or sequences of operations needed to fabricate products.

  • Support metalworking projects from planning and fabrication through assembly, inspection, and testing, using knowledge of machine functions, metal properties, and mathematics.

  • Monitor the feed and speed of machines during the machining process.

  • Maintain machine tools in proper operational condition.

  • Evaluate machining procedures and recommend changes or modifications for improved efficiency or adaptability.

  • Dismantle machines or equipment, using hand tools or power tools to examine parts for defects and replace defective parts where needed.

  • Advise clients about the materials being used for finished products.

  • Install experimental parts or assemblies, such as hydraulic systems, electrical wiring, lubricants, or batteries into machines or mechanisms.

  • Set up or operate metalworking, brazing, heat-treating, welding, or cutting equipment.

  • Separate scrap waste and related materials for reuse, recycling, or disposal.

  • Check work pieces to ensure that they are properly lubricated or cooled.

  • Test experimental models under simulated operating conditions, for purposes such as development, standardization, or feasibility of design.

  • Establish work procedures for fabricating new structural products, using a variety of metalworking machines.

  • Operate equipment to verify operational efficiency.

  • Machine parts to specifications, using machine tools, such as lathes, milling machines, shapers, or grinders.

  • Confer with numerical control programmers to check and ensure that new programs or machinery will function properly and that output will meet specifications.

  • Align and secure holding fixtures, cutting tools, attachments, accessories, or materials onto machines.

  • Dispose of scrap or waste material in accordance with company policies and environmental regulations.

  • Measure, examine, or test completed units to check for defects and ensure conformance to specifications, using precision instruments, such as micrometers.

  • Set up, adjust, or operate basic or specialized machine tools used to perform precision machining operations.

  • Confer with engineering, supervisory, or manufacturing personnel to exchange technical information.

  • Fit and assemble parts to make or repair machine tools.

  • Program computers or electronic instruments, such as numerically controlled machine tools.

  • Diagnose machine tool malfunctions to determine need for adjustments or repairs.

Technologies & Software

  • Hexagon Metrology PC-DMIS
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Autodesk Fusion 360
  • Sight Machine AI
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Mazak Mazatrol SMART CNC
  • CNC Mastercam
  • Autodesk HSMWorks
  • CNC Consulting Machinists' Calculator
  • Kentech Kipware Studio
  • G-code
  • GRZ Software MeshCAM
  • SolidCAM CAM software
  • 3D Printing software
  • Armchair Machinist software
  • Siemens NX
  • OneCNC CAD/CAM
  • ERP software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Vero Software SURFCAM
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Rockwell Automation AI
  • OnShape
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Siemens Industrial AI
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • JobBOSS
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • ABB AI Robotics
  • Dassault Systemes SolidWorks
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • Cognex Vision AI
  • Dassault Systemes CATIA
  • IMSI TurboCAD
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Mastercam computer-aided design and manufacturing software
  • Grok (xAI)
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • JETCAM
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Kentech Kipware Trig Kalculator
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • SAP software
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • DeepSeek
  • EditCNC
  • Scribers
  • Coordinate measuring machines CMM
  • Surface gauges
  • Heat-treating equipment
  • Boring tools
  • Angled feeler gauges
  • Ladders
  • Threading machines
  • Deburring tools
  • Binocular light compound microscopes
  • Utility knives
  • Ball peen hammers
  • Hand saws
  • Grinders
  • Resurfacing machines
  • Height gauges
  • Undercut tools
  • Full face shields
  • Hydraulic presses
  • Sensitive drill presses
  • Personal computers
  • Hex keys
  • Sine bars
  • Hand clamps
  • Flat files
  • Combination wrenches
  • Machinists' squares
  • Vernier bevel protractors
  • Flywheel lathes
  • Hacksaws
  • Sandblasters
  • Grinding dogs
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Knee mills
  • Centrifugal spin casters
  • Radius gauges
  • Staging equipment
  • Power drills
  • Steel wedges
  • Engine lathes
  • Pry bars
  • Marking blocks
  • Vernier calipers
  • Screwdrivers
  • Horizontal mills
  • Breaker lathes
  • Soldering equipment
  • Angle plates
  • Beverly shears
  • Chamfer tools
  • Forklifts
  • Wedges
  • Combination drills
  • Machine shop rigging equipment
  • Turning lathes
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Turret lathes
  • Surface grinding machines
  • Valve grinding machines
  • Pillar drill machines
  • Sledgehammers
  • Thread gauges
  • Hex wrenches
  • Shears
  • Inside micrometers
  • Power sanders
  • Horizontal lathes
  • Desktop computers
  • Cylinder honers
  • Calipers
  • Chucks
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Metal cutting taps
  • Metal shears
  • Buffers
  • Dial calipers
  • Cylindrical grinders
  • Crankshaft grinders
  • Machinists' hammers
  • Broachers
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • 3-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • V blocks
  • Tungsten inert gas TIG welding equipment
  • Putty knives
  • Planer gauges
  • Reamers
  • Computerized numerical control CNC machining centers
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Aviation snips
  • Torches
  • Telescoping gauges
  • Outside spring calipers
  • Handheld welders
  • Sharpening equipment
  • Magnetic retrievers
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Drum lathes
  • Jointers
  • Milling machines
  • Edge finders
  • Metal inert gas MIG welders
  • Brass hammers
  • Composition hammers
  • Brazing equipment
  • Boring bars
  • Outside micrometers
  • Ring gauges
  • Anvils
  • Single-cut mill saw files
  • Oxyacetylene welding equipment
  • Cold chisels
  • Vernier gear tooth calipers
  • Steel rules
  • Milling angle form cutters
  • Shielded arc welding tools
  • Horizontal boring bars
  • Vernier height gauges
  • Welding lenses
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Radial drills
  • Milling vises
  • Hermaphrodite calipers
  • Prick punches
  • Feeler gauges
  • Radial drill presses
  • Screw pitch gauges
  • Welding shields
  • Shapers
  • Parallel blocks
  • Spindle blade screwdrivers
  • Arbor presses
  • Computerized numerical control CNC turning lathes
  • Inside spring calipers
  • Vertical turret lathes VTL
  • Dial indicators
  • Planers
  • Rubber mallets
  • Portable welding equipment
  • Cutoff saws
  • Platforms
  • Swaging tools
  • Shims
  • Plasma welders
  • Micrometers
  • Ratchet sets
  • Laser printers
  • Workshop cranes
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Spirit levels
  • Pipe threaders
  • Grinding wheel arbors
  • Chippers
  • Tube benders
  • Bandsaws
  • Square chisels
  • Multi-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Lathes
  • Tongs
  • Half-round files
  • Metal spray equipment
  • Punches
  • Cold saws
  • Power hacksaws
  • Brake presses
  • Gauges
  • Vertical milling machines
  • Combination pliers
  • Center drills