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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Tool and Die Machinist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #358 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

51%

“Tool and Die Machinist” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 51% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“Tool and Die Machinist” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Machinists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Set up and operate a variety of machine tools to produce precision parts and instruments out of metal. Includes precision instrument makers who fabricate, modify, or repair mechanical instruments. May also fabricate and modify parts to make or repair machine tools or maintain industrial machines, applying knowledge of mechanics, mathematics, metal properties, layout, and machining procedures.

Avg. Annual Salary $57,390
Avg. Hourly Wage $27.59
Available Jobs (US) 298,790
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Machinists #51-4041
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Machinists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Dispose of scrap or waste material in accordance with company policies and environmental regulations.

  • Operate equipment to verify operational efficiency.

  • Diagnose machine tool malfunctions to determine need for adjustments or repairs.

  • Machine parts to specifications, using machine tools, such as lathes, milling machines, shapers, or grinders.

  • Fit and assemble parts to make or repair machine tools.

  • Dismantle machines or equipment, using hand tools or power tools to examine parts for defects and replace defective parts where needed.

  • Establish work procedures for fabricating new structural products, using a variety of metalworking machines.

  • Calculate dimensions or tolerances, using instruments, such as micrometers or vernier calipers.

  • Set up or operate metalworking, brazing, heat-treating, welding, or cutting equipment.

  • Align and secure holding fixtures, cutting tools, attachments, accessories, or materials onto machines.

  • Maintain machine tools in proper operational condition.

  • Set up, adjust, or operate basic or specialized machine tools used to perform precision machining operations.

  • Lay out, measure, and mark metal stock to display placement of cuts.

  • Confer with numerical control programmers to check and ensure that new programs or machinery will function properly and that output will meet specifications.

  • Separate scrap waste and related materials for reuse, recycling, or disposal.

  • Prepare working sketches for the illustration of product appearance.

  • Test experimental models under simulated operating conditions, for purposes such as development, standardization, or feasibility of design.

  • Monitor the feed and speed of machines during the machining process.

  • Support metalworking projects from planning and fabrication through assembly, inspection, and testing, using knowledge of machine functions, metal properties, and mathematics.

  • Design fixtures, tooling, or experimental parts to meet special engineering needs.

  • Check work pieces to ensure that they are properly lubricated or cooled.

  • Study sample parts, blueprints, drawings, or engineering information to determine methods or sequences of operations needed to fabricate products.

  • Measure, examine, or test completed units to check for defects and ensure conformance to specifications, using precision instruments, such as micrometers.

  • Advise clients about the materials being used for finished products.

  • Program computers or electronic instruments, such as numerically controlled machine tools.

  • Install experimental parts or assemblies, such as hydraulic systems, electrical wiring, lubricants, or batteries into machines or mechanisms.

  • Confer with engineering, supervisory, or manufacturing personnel to exchange technical information.

  • Evaluate machining procedures and recommend changes or modifications for improved efficiency or adaptability.

  • Install repaired parts into equipment or install new equipment.

Technologies & Software

  • Autodesk Fusion 360
  • ERP software
  • Llama (Meta)
  • DeepSeek
  • EditCNC
  • JobBOSS
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Microsoft Word
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • SolidCAM CAM software
  • CNC Consulting Machinists' Calculator
  • IMSI TurboCAD
  • Armchair Machinist software
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • 3D Printing software
  • OnShape
  • CNC Mastercam
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Mazak Mazatrol SMART CNC
  • Rockwell Automation AI
  • OneCNC CAD/CAM
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Kentech Kipware Studio
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Siemens Industrial AI
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Hexagon Metrology PC-DMIS
  • SAP software
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Cognex Vision AI
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Sight Machine AI
  • Dassault Systemes CATIA
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Vero Software SURFCAM
  • GRZ Software MeshCAM
  • Autodesk HSMWorks
  • Kentech Kipware Trig Kalculator
  • G-code
  • JETCAM
  • Dassault Systemes SolidWorks
  • ABB AI Robotics
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Mastercam computer-aided design and manufacturing software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Siemens NX
  • Magnetic retrievers
  • 3-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Spirit levels
  • Drum lathes
  • Cold saws
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Centrifugal spin casters
  • Hex keys
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Breaker lathes
  • Threading machines
  • Shears
  • Grinding dogs
  • Brazing equipment
  • Outside micrometers
  • Grinders
  • Cylindrical grinders
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Power drills
  • Feeler gauges
  • Welding lenses
  • Brass hammers
  • Marking blocks
  • Binocular light compound microscopes
  • Sharpening equipment
  • Planer gauges
  • Height gauges
  • Parallel blocks
  • Resurfacing machines
  • Sensitive drill presses
  • Radial drill presses
  • Wedges
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Steel rules
  • Hand clamps
  • Sine bars
  • Shielded arc welding tools
  • Power sanders
  • Vernier bevel protractors
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Grinding wheel arbors
  • Deburring tools
  • Scribers
  • Planers
  • Hydraulic presses
  • Plasma welders
  • Vernier gear tooth calipers
  • Horizontal boring bars
  • Jointers
  • Pry bars
  • Laser printers
  • Hermaphrodite calipers
  • Heat-treating equipment
  • Dial calipers
  • Screw pitch gauges
  • Swaging tools
  • Combination drills
  • Lathes
  • Surface gauges
  • Combination pliers
  • Punches
  • Machine shop rigging equipment
  • Chamfer tools
  • Turning lathes
  • Shapers
  • Handheld welders
  • Ring gauges
  • Valve grinding machines
  • Horizontal mills
  • Surface grinding machines
  • Anvils
  • Staging equipment
  • Ladders
  • Sandblasters
  • Machinists' hammers
  • Soldering equipment
  • Ratchet sets
  • Torches
  • Reamers
  • Vernier height gauges
  • Chucks
  • Broachers
  • Angled feeler gauges
  • Milling machines
  • Edge finders
  • Prick punches
  • Micrometers
  • Boring tools
  • Composition hammers
  • Hacksaws
  • Hex wrenches
  • Coordinate measuring machines CMM
  • Cylinder honers
  • Chippers
  • Vertical turret lathes VTL
  • Square chisels
  • Radial drills
  • Single-cut mill saw files
  • Utility knives
  • Undercut tools
  • Forklifts
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Vertical milling machines
  • Pillar drill machines
  • Ball peen hammers
  • Horizontal lathes
  • Steel wedges
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Bandsaws
  • Turret lathes
  • Arbor presses
  • Thread gauges
  • Power hacksaws
  • Screwdrivers
  • Cutoff saws
  • Knee mills
  • Telescoping gauges
  • Calipers
  • Welding shields
  • Metal shears
  • Cold chisels
  • Platforms
  • Putty knives
  • Full face shields
  • Angle plates
  • Milling angle form cutters
  • Desktop computers
  • Tongs
  • Center drills
  • Dial indicators
  • Inside spring calipers
  • Rubber mallets
  • Tube benders
  • V blocks
  • Brake presses
  • Aviation snips
  • Pipe threaders
  • Computerized numerical control CNC machining centers
  • Workshop cranes
  • Machinists' squares
  • Computerized numerical control CNC turning lathes
  • Outside spring calipers
  • Gauges
  • Combination wrenches
  • Metal spray equipment
  • Oxyacetylene welding equipment
  • Tungsten inert gas TIG welding equipment
  • Boring bars
  • Half-round files
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Metal cutting taps
  • Hand saws
  • Flat files
  • Radius gauges
  • Spindle blade screwdrivers
  • Multi-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Sledgehammers
  • Buffers
  • Inside micrometers
  • Beverly shears
  • Shims
  • Personal computers
  • Engine lathes
  • Flywheel lathes
  • Vernier calipers
  • Metal inert gas MIG welders
  • Milling vises
  • Crankshaft grinders
  • Portable welding equipment