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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “CNC Machinist (Computer Numeric Controlled Machinist)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #358 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

51%

“CNC Machinist (Computer Numeric Controlled Machinist)” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 51% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“CNC Machinist (Computer Numeric Controlled Machinist)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Machinists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Set up and operate a variety of machine tools to produce precision parts and instruments out of metal. Includes precision instrument makers who fabricate, modify, or repair mechanical instruments. May also fabricate and modify parts to make or repair machine tools or maintain industrial machines, applying knowledge of mechanics, mathematics, metal properties, layout, and machining procedures.

Avg. Annual Salary $57,390
Avg. Hourly Wage $27.59
Available Jobs (US) 298,790
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Machinists #51-4041
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Machinists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Support metalworking projects from planning and fabrication through assembly, inspection, and testing, using knowledge of machine functions, metal properties, and mathematics.

  • Measure, examine, or test completed units to check for defects and ensure conformance to specifications, using precision instruments, such as micrometers.

  • Design fixtures, tooling, or experimental parts to meet special engineering needs.

  • Separate scrap waste and related materials for reuse, recycling, or disposal.

  • Establish work procedures for fabricating new structural products, using a variety of metalworking machines.

  • Fit and assemble parts to make or repair machine tools.

  • Dispose of scrap or waste material in accordance with company policies and environmental regulations.

  • Calculate dimensions or tolerances, using instruments, such as micrometers or vernier calipers.

  • Program computers or electronic instruments, such as numerically controlled machine tools.

  • Maintain machine tools in proper operational condition.

  • Prepare working sketches for the illustration of product appearance.

  • Advise clients about the materials being used for finished products.

  • Confer with engineering, supervisory, or manufacturing personnel to exchange technical information.

  • Diagnose machine tool malfunctions to determine need for adjustments or repairs.

  • Lay out, measure, and mark metal stock to display placement of cuts.

  • Install repaired parts into equipment or install new equipment.

  • Evaluate machining procedures and recommend changes or modifications for improved efficiency or adaptability.

  • Operate equipment to verify operational efficiency.

  • Align and secure holding fixtures, cutting tools, attachments, accessories, or materials onto machines.

  • Set up, adjust, or operate basic or specialized machine tools used to perform precision machining operations.

  • Install experimental parts or assemblies, such as hydraulic systems, electrical wiring, lubricants, or batteries into machines or mechanisms.

  • Machine parts to specifications, using machine tools, such as lathes, milling machines, shapers, or grinders.

  • Check work pieces to ensure that they are properly lubricated or cooled.

  • Study sample parts, blueprints, drawings, or engineering information to determine methods or sequences of operations needed to fabricate products.

  • Dismantle machines or equipment, using hand tools or power tools to examine parts for defects and replace defective parts where needed.

  • Confer with numerical control programmers to check and ensure that new programs or machinery will function properly and that output will meet specifications.

  • Test experimental models under simulated operating conditions, for purposes such as development, standardization, or feasibility of design.

  • Monitor the feed and speed of machines during the machining process.

  • Set up or operate metalworking, brazing, heat-treating, welding, or cutting equipment.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Cognex Vision AI
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Mastercam computer-aided design and manufacturing software
  • CNC Mastercam
  • Mazak Mazatrol SMART CNC
  • Vero Software SURFCAM
  • Sight Machine AI
  • Siemens Industrial AI
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Grok (xAI)
  • GRZ Software MeshCAM
  • Rockwell Automation AI
  • JETCAM
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • IMSI TurboCAD
  • JobBOSS
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • Autodesk Fusion 360
  • Microsoft Word
  • SAP software
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Autodesk HSMWorks
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • CNC Consulting Machinists' Calculator
  • EditCNC
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Dassault Systemes CATIA
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Armchair Machinist software
  • 3D Printing software
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Kentech Kipware Trig Kalculator
  • OneCNC CAD/CAM
  • SolidCAM CAM software
  • Siemens NX
  • Hexagon Metrology PC-DMIS
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Dassault Systemes SolidWorks
  • DeepSeek
  • ABB AI Robotics
  • G-code
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • ERP software
  • Kentech Kipware Studio
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • OnShape
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Machinists' hammers
  • Handheld welders
  • Ball peen hammers
  • Prick punches
  • Gauges
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Desktop computers
  • Shears
  • Buffers
  • Scribers
  • Vertical milling machines
  • Spirit levels
  • Resurfacing machines
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Utility knives
  • Outside micrometers
  • Turning lathes
  • Inside micrometers
  • Pry bars
  • V blocks
  • Hermaphrodite calipers
  • Combination wrenches
  • Pillar drill machines
  • Screwdrivers
  • Angle plates
  • Threading machines
  • Metal shears
  • Parallel blocks
  • Binocular light compound microscopes
  • Arbor presses
  • Ring gauges
  • Horizontal boring bars
  • Valve grinding machines
  • Broachers
  • Full face shields
  • Dial indicators
  • Metal spray equipment
  • Chamfer tools
  • Flat files
  • Milling angle form cutters
  • Calipers
  • Hex wrenches
  • Milling vises
  • Power sanders
  • Computerized numerical control CNC turning lathes
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Horizontal mills
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Brake presses
  • Square chisels
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Steel rules
  • Magnetic retrievers
  • Hydraulic presses
  • Torches
  • Sharpening equipment
  • Planer gauges
  • Engine lathes
  • Sine bars
  • Planers
  • Beverly shears
  • Flywheel lathes
  • Marking blocks
  • Screw pitch gauges
  • Half-round files
  • Reamers
  • Lathes
  • Tube benders
  • Feeler gauges
  • Vertical turret lathes VTL
  • Aviation snips
  • Workshop cranes
  • Laser printers
  • Tongs
  • Punches
  • Radial drill presses
  • Power hacksaws
  • Hand saws
  • Anvils
  • Cylindrical grinders
  • Drum lathes
  • Welding lenses
  • Surface grinding machines
  • Metal inert gas MIG welders
  • Spindle blade screwdrivers
  • Sandblasters
  • Grinders
  • Shims
  • Chippers
  • Breaker lathes
  • Vernier calipers
  • Turret lathes
  • Grinding wheel arbors
  • Vernier height gauges
  • Coordinate measuring machines CMM
  • Hex keys
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Combination drills
  • Centrifugal spin casters
  • Angled feeler gauges
  • Radius gauges
  • Ladders
  • Inside spring calipers
  • Cutoff saws
  • Plasma welders
  • Chucks
  • Steel wedges
  • Soldering equipment
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Machinists' squares
  • Pipe threaders
  • Radial drills
  • Milling machines
  • Surface gauges
  • Sledgehammers
  • Swaging tools
  • Brass hammers
  • Hacksaws
  • Jointers
  • Ratchet sets
  • 3-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Shapers
  • Cylinder honers
  • Vernier gear tooth calipers
  • Boring tools
  • Oxyacetylene welding equipment
  • Boring bars
  • Sensitive drill presses
  • Height gauges
  • Telescoping gauges
  • Computerized numerical control CNC machining centers
  • Deburring tools
  • Wedges
  • Cold chisels
  • Center drills
  • Forklifts
  • Welding shields
  • Bandsaws
  • Horizontal lathes
  • Composition hammers
  • Platforms
  • Single-cut mill saw files
  • Personal computers
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Putty knives
  • Vernier bevel protractors
  • Edge finders
  • Machine shop rigging equipment
  • Dial calipers
  • Hand clamps
  • Brazing equipment
  • Knee mills
  • Shielded arc welding tools
  • Multi-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Portable welding equipment
  • Power drills
  • Micrometers
  • Outside spring calipers
  • Rubber mallets
  • Combination pliers
  • Undercut tools
  • Tungsten inert gas TIG welding equipment
  • Thread gauges
  • Grinding dogs
  • Metal cutting taps
  • Crankshaft grinders
  • Cold saws
  • Heat-treating equipment
  • Staging equipment