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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “CNC Machinist (Computer Numeric Controlled Machinist)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #358 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

51%

“CNC Machinist (Computer Numeric Controlled Machinist)” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 51% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“CNC Machinist (Computer Numeric Controlled Machinist)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Machinists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Set up and operate a variety of machine tools to produce precision parts and instruments out of metal. Includes precision instrument makers who fabricate, modify, or repair mechanical instruments. May also fabricate and modify parts to make or repair machine tools or maintain industrial machines, applying knowledge of mechanics, mathematics, metal properties, layout, and machining procedures.

Avg. Annual Salary $57,390
Avg. Hourly Wage $27.59
Available Jobs (US) 298,790
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Machinists #51-4041
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Machinists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Check work pieces to ensure that they are properly lubricated or cooled.

  • Lay out, measure, and mark metal stock to display placement of cuts.

  • Install experimental parts or assemblies, such as hydraulic systems, electrical wiring, lubricants, or batteries into machines or mechanisms.

  • Design fixtures, tooling, or experimental parts to meet special engineering needs.

  • Prepare working sketches for the illustration of product appearance.

  • Align and secure holding fixtures, cutting tools, attachments, accessories, or materials onto machines.

  • Set up, adjust, or operate basic or specialized machine tools used to perform precision machining operations.

  • Dispose of scrap or waste material in accordance with company policies and environmental regulations.

  • Dismantle machines or equipment, using hand tools or power tools to examine parts for defects and replace defective parts where needed.

  • Advise clients about the materials being used for finished products.

  • Operate equipment to verify operational efficiency.

  • Separate scrap waste and related materials for reuse, recycling, or disposal.

  • Monitor the feed and speed of machines during the machining process.

  • Program computers or electronic instruments, such as numerically controlled machine tools.

  • Measure, examine, or test completed units to check for defects and ensure conformance to specifications, using precision instruments, such as micrometers.

  • Establish work procedures for fabricating new structural products, using a variety of metalworking machines.

  • Calculate dimensions or tolerances, using instruments, such as micrometers or vernier calipers.

  • Install repaired parts into equipment or install new equipment.

  • Support metalworking projects from planning and fabrication through assembly, inspection, and testing, using knowledge of machine functions, metal properties, and mathematics.

  • Confer with engineering, supervisory, or manufacturing personnel to exchange technical information.

  • Study sample parts, blueprints, drawings, or engineering information to determine methods or sequences of operations needed to fabricate products.

  • Diagnose machine tool malfunctions to determine need for adjustments or repairs.

  • Evaluate machining procedures and recommend changes or modifications for improved efficiency or adaptability.

  • Confer with numerical control programmers to check and ensure that new programs or machinery will function properly and that output will meet specifications.

  • Maintain machine tools in proper operational condition.

  • Fit and assemble parts to make or repair machine tools.

  • Machine parts to specifications, using machine tools, such as lathes, milling machines, shapers, or grinders.

  • Test experimental models under simulated operating conditions, for purposes such as development, standardization, or feasibility of design.

  • Set up or operate metalworking, brazing, heat-treating, welding, or cutting equipment.

Technologies & Software

  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Gemini (Google)
  • SolidCAM CAM software
  • JobBOSS
  • SAP software
  • GRZ Software MeshCAM
  • Dassault Systemes CATIA
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Kentech Kipware Studio
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Rockwell Automation AI
  • Siemens NX
  • OnShape
  • Hexagon Metrology PC-DMIS
  • Vero Software SURFCAM
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • G-code
  • Llama (Meta)
  • EditCNC
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • CNC Consulting Machinists' Calculator
  • Dassault Systemes SolidWorks
  • Cognex Vision AI
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Sight Machine AI
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Autodesk HSMWorks
  • Autodesk Fusion 360
  • Kentech Kipware Trig Kalculator
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Mazak Mazatrol SMART CNC
  • IMSI TurboCAD
  • Siemens Industrial AI
  • Armchair Machinist software
  • ERP software
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • Mastercam computer-aided design and manufacturing software
  • DeepSeek
  • JETCAM
  • CNC Mastercam
  • OneCNC CAD/CAM
  • ABB AI Robotics
  • 3D Printing software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Drum lathes
  • Arbor presses
  • Vernier calipers
  • Ladders
  • Metal shears
  • Chippers
  • Personal computers
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Hydraulic presses
  • Inside spring calipers
  • Full face shields
  • Cold chisels
  • Steel wedges
  • Sharpening equipment
  • Sandblasters
  • Reamers
  • Swaging tools
  • Shielded arc welding tools
  • Engine lathes
  • Scribers
  • Knee mills
  • Beverly shears
  • Staging equipment
  • Milling machines
  • Tube benders
  • Anvils
  • Ball peen hammers
  • Machine shop rigging equipment
  • Threading machines
  • Tungsten inert gas TIG welding equipment
  • Binocular light compound microscopes
  • Hex wrenches
  • Resurfacing machines
  • Radial drills
  • Multi-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Outside micrometers
  • Platforms
  • Surface grinding machines
  • Computerized numerical control CNC turning lathes
  • Heat-treating equipment
  • Plasma welders
  • Radius gauges
  • Composition hammers
  • Metal cutting taps
  • Valve grinding machines
  • Turret lathes
  • Crankshaft grinders
  • Radial drill presses
  • Vernier height gauges
  • Computerized numerical control CNC machining centers
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Rubber mallets
  • Shapers
  • Welding shields
  • Handheld welders
  • Telescoping gauges
  • Pillar drill machines
  • Single-cut mill saw files
  • Desktop computers
  • Center drills
  • Combination pliers
  • Torches
  • Flywheel lathes
  • Brake presses
  • Welding lenses
  • Horizontal mills
  • Centrifugal spin casters
  • Milling vises
  • Gauges
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Power drills
  • Screw pitch gauges
  • Machinists' squares
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Breaker lathes
  • Dial indicators
  • Pry bars
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Brass hammers
  • Jointers
  • Workshop cranes
  • Height gauges
  • Grinding dogs
  • Spirit levels
  • Vernier gear tooth calipers
  • Laser printers
  • Aviation snips
  • Horizontal lathes
  • Hex keys
  • Wedges
  • Buffers
  • Cylinder honers
  • Portable welding equipment
  • Outside spring calipers
  • Edge finders
  • Machinists' hammers
  • Sine bars
  • Grinding wheel arbors
  • Hermaphrodite calipers
  • Metal inert gas MIG welders
  • Shears
  • Surface gauges
  • Cold saws
  • Lathes
  • Forklifts
  • Magnetic retrievers
  • Planers
  • Tongs
  • Hand saws
  • Flat files
  • V blocks
  • Parallel blocks
  • Angled feeler gauges
  • Cylindrical grinders
  • Brazing equipment
  • Steel rules
  • Hand clamps
  • Milling angle form cutters
  • Calipers
  • Vertical milling machines
  • Sledgehammers
  • Horizontal boring bars
  • Power hacksaws
  • Planer gauges
  • Micrometers
  • Putty knives
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Thread gauges
  • Half-round files
  • Chamfer tools
  • Vernier bevel protractors
  • Square chisels
  • Sensitive drill presses
  • Turning lathes
  • Broachers
  • 3-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Combination drills
  • Combination wrenches
  • Prick punches
  • Punches
  • Cutoff saws
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Grinders
  • Boring tools
  • Vertical turret lathes VTL
  • Deburring tools
  • Metal spray equipment
  • Bandsaws
  • Oxyacetylene welding equipment
  • Utility knives
  • Chucks
  • Hacksaws
  • Soldering equipment
  • Undercut tools
  • Ring gauges
  • Inside micrometers
  • Screwdrivers
  • Pipe threaders
  • Shims
  • Feeler gauges
  • Marking blocks
  • Dial calipers
  • Angle plates
  • Power sanders
  • Ratchet sets
  • Boring bars
  • Coordinate measuring machines CMM
  • Spindle blade screwdrivers