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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Manual Lathe Machinist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #358 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

51%

“Manual Lathe Machinist” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 51% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“Manual Lathe Machinist” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Machinists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Set up and operate a variety of machine tools to produce precision parts and instruments out of metal. Includes precision instrument makers who fabricate, modify, or repair mechanical instruments. May also fabricate and modify parts to make or repair machine tools or maintain industrial machines, applying knowledge of mechanics, mathematics, metal properties, layout, and machining procedures.

Avg. Annual Salary $57,390
Avg. Hourly Wage $27.59
Available Jobs (US) 298,790
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Machinists #51-4041
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Machinists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Dismantle machines or equipment, using hand tools or power tools to examine parts for defects and replace defective parts where needed.

  • Operate equipment to verify operational efficiency.

  • Separate scrap waste and related materials for reuse, recycling, or disposal.

  • Evaluate machining procedures and recommend changes or modifications for improved efficiency or adaptability.

  • Confer with engineering, supervisory, or manufacturing personnel to exchange technical information.

  • Design fixtures, tooling, or experimental parts to meet special engineering needs.

  • Confer with numerical control programmers to check and ensure that new programs or machinery will function properly and that output will meet specifications.

  • Install experimental parts or assemblies, such as hydraulic systems, electrical wiring, lubricants, or batteries into machines or mechanisms.

  • Advise clients about the materials being used for finished products.

  • Check work pieces to ensure that they are properly lubricated or cooled.

  • Prepare working sketches for the illustration of product appearance.

  • Install repaired parts into equipment or install new equipment.

  • Dispose of scrap or waste material in accordance with company policies and environmental regulations.

  • Monitor the feed and speed of machines during the machining process.

  • Machine parts to specifications, using machine tools, such as lathes, milling machines, shapers, or grinders.

  • Set up, adjust, or operate basic or specialized machine tools used to perform precision machining operations.

  • Study sample parts, blueprints, drawings, or engineering information to determine methods or sequences of operations needed to fabricate products.

  • Set up or operate metalworking, brazing, heat-treating, welding, or cutting equipment.

  • Calculate dimensions or tolerances, using instruments, such as micrometers or vernier calipers.

  • Align and secure holding fixtures, cutting tools, attachments, accessories, or materials onto machines.

  • Program computers or electronic instruments, such as numerically controlled machine tools.

  • Maintain machine tools in proper operational condition.

  • Establish work procedures for fabricating new structural products, using a variety of metalworking machines.

  • Measure, examine, or test completed units to check for defects and ensure conformance to specifications, using precision instruments, such as micrometers.

  • Diagnose machine tool malfunctions to determine need for adjustments or repairs.

  • Lay out, measure, and mark metal stock to display placement of cuts.

  • Support metalworking projects from planning and fabrication through assembly, inspection, and testing, using knowledge of machine functions, metal properties, and mathematics.

  • Fit and assemble parts to make or repair machine tools.

  • Test experimental models under simulated operating conditions, for purposes such as development, standardization, or feasibility of design.

Technologies & Software

  • ERP software
  • SAP software
  • IMSI TurboCAD
  • CNC Consulting Machinists' Calculator
  • Mastercam computer-aided design and manufacturing software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • Kentech Kipware Trig Kalculator
  • Siemens NX
  • G-code
  • GRZ Software MeshCAM
  • Grok (xAI)
  • CNC Mastercam
  • Vero Software SURFCAM
  • Cognex Vision AI
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Kentech Kipware Studio
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • JobBOSS
  • OnShape
  • ABB AI Robotics
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • JETCAM
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Dassault Systemes SolidWorks
  • Microsoft Word
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Mazak Mazatrol SMART CNC
  • EditCNC
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • DeepSeek
  • Rockwell Automation AI
  • Sight Machine AI
  • Autodesk Fusion 360
  • Hexagon Metrology PC-DMIS
  • OneCNC CAD/CAM
  • Dassault Systemes CATIA
  • Llama (Meta)
  • SolidCAM CAM software
  • Autodesk HSMWorks
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • 3D Printing software
  • Armchair Machinist software
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Siemens Industrial AI
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Drum lathes
  • Breaker lathes
  • Portable welding equipment
  • Power sanders
  • Magnetic retrievers
  • Grinding wheel arbors
  • Binocular light compound microscopes
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Hand clamps
  • Utility knives
  • Spirit levels
  • Telescoping gauges
  • Turret lathes
  • Welding lenses
  • Swaging tools
  • Hydraulic presses
  • Lathes
  • 3-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Engine lathes
  • Half-round files
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Parallel blocks
  • Flywheel lathes
  • Combination wrenches
  • Milling vises
  • Grinding dogs
  • Pipe threaders
  • Inside micrometers
  • Personal computers
  • Wedges
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Turning lathes
  • Vertical turret lathes VTL
  • Desktop computers
  • Composition hammers
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Ring gauges
  • Radius gauges
  • Boring tools
  • Radial drill presses
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Machinists' hammers
  • Combination drills
  • Vernier calipers
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Scribers
  • Hex keys
  • Power hacksaws
  • Power drills
  • Hermaphrodite calipers
  • Machinists' squares
  • Chucks
  • Cutoff saws
  • Valve grinding machines
  • Undercut tools
  • Single-cut mill saw files
  • Broachers
  • Vernier gear tooth calipers
  • Ladders
  • Spindle blade screwdrivers
  • Deburring tools
  • Vertical milling machines
  • Chamfer tools
  • Vernier height gauges
  • Feeler gauges
  • Flat files
  • Crankshaft grinders
  • Combination pliers
  • Multi-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Tube benders
  • Horizontal lathes
  • Tongs
  • Chippers
  • Cylinder honers
  • Heat-treating equipment
  • Pry bars
  • Surface gauges
  • Hand saws
  • Metal cutting taps
  • Reamers
  • Arbor presses
  • Horizontal boring bars
  • Metal inert gas MIG welders
  • Edge finders
  • Bandsaws
  • Inside spring calipers
  • Dial calipers
  • Anvils
  • Knee mills
  • Tungsten inert gas TIG welding equipment
  • Hex wrenches
  • Sledgehammers
  • Calipers
  • Planer gauges
  • Beverly shears
  • Metal shears
  • Shears
  • Shapers
  • Coordinate measuring machines CMM
  • Sharpening equipment
  • Brazing equipment
  • Punches
  • Workshop cranes
  • Computerized numerical control CNC machining centers
  • Forklifts
  • Rubber mallets
  • Pillar drill machines
  • Aviation snips
  • Shims
  • Buffers
  • Prick punches
  • Thread gauges
  • Milling machines
  • Height gauges
  • Oxyacetylene welding equipment
  • Sensitive drill presses
  • Metal spray equipment
  • Angle plates
  • Surface grinding machines
  • Dial indicators
  • Computerized numerical control CNC turning lathes
  • Platforms
  • Screw pitch gauges
  • Vernier bevel protractors
  • Soldering equipment
  • Centrifugal spin casters
  • Ball peen hammers
  • Shielded arc welding tools
  • Angled feeler gauges
  • Torches
  • Outside spring calipers
  • Gauges
  • Screwdrivers
  • Plasma welders
  • Marking blocks
  • Jointers
  • Staging equipment
  • Square chisels
  • Welding shields
  • Machine shop rigging equipment
  • Planers
  • Putty knives
  • Center drills
  • Brass hammers
  • Grinders
  • Brake presses
  • Cold saws
  • Sandblasters
  • Micrometers
  • Horizontal mills
  • Ratchet sets
  • Steel rules
  • Sine bars
  • Outside micrometers
  • Handheld welders
  • Boring bars
  • Full face shields
  • Radial drills
  • V blocks
  • Cylindrical grinders
  • Threading machines
  • Hacksaws
  • Resurfacing machines
  • Steel wedges
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Laser printers
  • Milling angle form cutters
  • Cold chisels