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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Manual Lathe Machinist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #358 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

51%

“Manual Lathe Machinist” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 51% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“Manual Lathe Machinist” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Machinists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Set up and operate a variety of machine tools to produce precision parts and instruments out of metal. Includes precision instrument makers who fabricate, modify, or repair mechanical instruments. May also fabricate and modify parts to make or repair machine tools or maintain industrial machines, applying knowledge of mechanics, mathematics, metal properties, layout, and machining procedures.

Avg. Annual Salary $57,390
Avg. Hourly Wage $27.59
Available Jobs (US) 298,790
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Machinists #51-4041
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Machinists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Set up or operate metalworking, brazing, heat-treating, welding, or cutting equipment.

  • Maintain machine tools in proper operational condition.

  • Dismantle machines or equipment, using hand tools or power tools to examine parts for defects and replace defective parts where needed.

  • Confer with engineering, supervisory, or manufacturing personnel to exchange technical information.

  • Evaluate machining procedures and recommend changes or modifications for improved efficiency or adaptability.

  • Support metalworking projects from planning and fabrication through assembly, inspection, and testing, using knowledge of machine functions, metal properties, and mathematics.

  • Set up, adjust, or operate basic or specialized machine tools used to perform precision machining operations.

  • Confer with numerical control programmers to check and ensure that new programs or machinery will function properly and that output will meet specifications.

  • Prepare working sketches for the illustration of product appearance.

  • Dispose of scrap or waste material in accordance with company policies and environmental regulations.

  • Monitor the feed and speed of machines during the machining process.

  • Establish work procedures for fabricating new structural products, using a variety of metalworking machines.

  • Operate equipment to verify operational efficiency.

  • Study sample parts, blueprints, drawings, or engineering information to determine methods or sequences of operations needed to fabricate products.

  • Check work pieces to ensure that they are properly lubricated or cooled.

  • Machine parts to specifications, using machine tools, such as lathes, milling machines, shapers, or grinders.

  • Test experimental models under simulated operating conditions, for purposes such as development, standardization, or feasibility of design.

  • Lay out, measure, and mark metal stock to display placement of cuts.

  • Design fixtures, tooling, or experimental parts to meet special engineering needs.

  • Advise clients about the materials being used for finished products.

  • Diagnose machine tool malfunctions to determine need for adjustments or repairs.

  • Install repaired parts into equipment or install new equipment.

  • Fit and assemble parts to make or repair machine tools.

  • Align and secure holding fixtures, cutting tools, attachments, accessories, or materials onto machines.

  • Separate scrap waste and related materials for reuse, recycling, or disposal.

  • Calculate dimensions or tolerances, using instruments, such as micrometers or vernier calipers.

  • Install experimental parts or assemblies, such as hydraulic systems, electrical wiring, lubricants, or batteries into machines or mechanisms.

  • Program computers or electronic instruments, such as numerically controlled machine tools.

  • Measure, examine, or test completed units to check for defects and ensure conformance to specifications, using precision instruments, such as micrometers.

Technologies & Software

  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • Dassault Systemes CATIA
  • Sight Machine AI
  • Siemens NX
  • JETCAM
  • Rockwell Automation AI
  • EditCNC
  • CNC Consulting Machinists' Calculator
  • Kentech Kipware Trig Kalculator
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Siemens Industrial AI
  • ABB AI Robotics
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • GRZ Software MeshCAM
  • OneCNC CAD/CAM
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Cognex Vision AI
  • JobBOSS
  • Microsoft Word
  • Dassault Systemes SolidWorks
  • SolidCAM CAM software
  • DeepSeek
  • Autodesk Fusion 360
  • Vero Software SURFCAM
  • Autodesk HSMWorks
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • SAP software
  • CNC Mastercam
  • G-code
  • Hexagon Metrology PC-DMIS
  • IMSI TurboCAD
  • OnShape
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Mastercam computer-aided design and manufacturing software
  • Kentech Kipware Studio
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Armchair Machinist software
  • Mazak Mazatrol SMART CNC
  • Gemini (Google)
  • 3D Printing software
  • ERP software
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Grinders
  • Cutoff saws
  • Gauges
  • Single-cut mill saw files
  • Turret lathes
  • Coordinate measuring machines CMM
  • Hex wrenches
  • Planer gauges
  • Thread gauges
  • Power hacksaws
  • Knee mills
  • Laser printers
  • Surface gauges
  • Radius gauges
  • Reamers
  • Cylinder honers
  • Aviation snips
  • Grinding wheel arbors
  • Machinists' hammers
  • Marking blocks
  • Wedges
  • Calipers
  • Surface grinding machines
  • Horizontal lathes
  • Full face shields
  • Jointers
  • 3-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Brake presses
  • Computerized numerical control CNC turning lathes
  • Inside spring calipers
  • Pillar drill machines
  • Hacksaws
  • Putty knives
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Shims
  • Torches
  • Boring bars
  • Lathes
  • Planers
  • Turning lathes
  • Binocular light compound microscopes
  • Milling angle form cutters
  • Drum lathes
  • Milling machines
  • Beverly shears
  • Soldering equipment
  • Tungsten inert gas TIG welding equipment
  • Brazing equipment
  • Cylindrical grinders
  • Portable welding equipment
  • Chucks
  • Staging equipment
  • Vernier calipers
  • Spirit levels
  • Radial drill presses
  • Tube benders
  • Computerized numerical control CNC machining centers
  • Dial calipers
  • Tongs
  • Steel rules
  • Engine lathes
  • Chippers
  • Hand saws
  • Buffers
  • Pry bars
  • Angle plates
  • Power drills
  • Punches
  • V blocks
  • Radial drills
  • Cold chisels
  • Resurfacing machines
  • Horizontal mills
  • Metal cutting taps
  • Cold saws
  • Personal computers
  • Platforms
  • Composition hammers
  • Desktop computers
  • Ratchet sets
  • Oxyacetylene welding equipment
  • Outside micrometers
  • Forklifts
  • Telescoping gauges
  • Ball peen hammers
  • Vernier height gauges
  • Steel wedges
  • Vernier bevel protractors
  • Swaging tools
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Magnetic retrievers
  • Metal inert gas MIG welders
  • Edge finders
  • Undercut tools
  • Machine shop rigging equipment
  • Parallel blocks
  • Milling vises
  • Vernier gear tooth calipers
  • Heat-treating equipment
  • Valve grinding machines
  • Multi-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Deburring tools
  • Screwdrivers
  • Hex keys
  • Brass hammers
  • Sine bars
  • Sensitive drill presses
  • Combination drills
  • Breaker lathes
  • Anvils
  • Rubber mallets
  • Screw pitch gauges
  • Shielded arc welding tools
  • Boring tools
  • Dial indicators
  • Hand clamps
  • Inside micrometers
  • Grinding dogs
  • Hermaphrodite calipers
  • Sledgehammers
  • Vertical milling machines
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Utility knives
  • Ring gauges
  • Center drills
  • Flat files
  • Sharpening equipment
  • Horizontal boring bars
  • Flywheel lathes
  • Feeler gauges
  • Welding lenses
  • Machinists' squares
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Spindle blade screwdrivers
  • Prick punches
  • Arbor presses
  • Half-round files
  • Shears
  • Shapers
  • Vertical turret lathes VTL
  • Broachers
  • Hydraulic presses
  • Workshop cranes
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Welding shields
  • Bandsaws
  • Pipe threaders
  • Handheld welders
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Chamfer tools
  • Plasma welders
  • Ladders
  • Crankshaft grinders
  • Micrometers
  • Centrifugal spin casters
  • Power sanders
  • Combination wrenches
  • Metal shears
  • Threading machines
  • Square chisels
  • Scribers
  • Angled feeler gauges
  • Combination pliers
  • Sandblasters
  • Height gauges
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Metal spray equipment
  • Outside spring calipers