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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Thermometer Maker” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #358 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

51%

“Thermometer Maker” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 51% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“Thermometer Maker” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Machinists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Set up and operate a variety of machine tools to produce precision parts and instruments out of metal. Includes precision instrument makers who fabricate, modify, or repair mechanical instruments. May also fabricate and modify parts to make or repair machine tools or maintain industrial machines, applying knowledge of mechanics, mathematics, metal properties, layout, and machining procedures.

Avg. Annual Salary $57,390
Avg. Hourly Wage $27.59
Available Jobs (US) 298,790
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Machinists #51-4041
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Machinists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Separate scrap waste and related materials for reuse, recycling, or disposal.

  • Support metalworking projects from planning and fabrication through assembly, inspection, and testing, using knowledge of machine functions, metal properties, and mathematics.

  • Study sample parts, blueprints, drawings, or engineering information to determine methods or sequences of operations needed to fabricate products.

  • Measure, examine, or test completed units to check for defects and ensure conformance to specifications, using precision instruments, such as micrometers.

  • Evaluate machining procedures and recommend changes or modifications for improved efficiency or adaptability.

  • Confer with numerical control programmers to check and ensure that new programs or machinery will function properly and that output will meet specifications.

  • Set up, adjust, or operate basic or specialized machine tools used to perform precision machining operations.

  • Calculate dimensions or tolerances, using instruments, such as micrometers or vernier calipers.

  • Dispose of scrap or waste material in accordance with company policies and environmental regulations.

  • Machine parts to specifications, using machine tools, such as lathes, milling machines, shapers, or grinders.

  • Program computers or electronic instruments, such as numerically controlled machine tools.

  • Install experimental parts or assemblies, such as hydraulic systems, electrical wiring, lubricants, or batteries into machines or mechanisms.

  • Align and secure holding fixtures, cutting tools, attachments, accessories, or materials onto machines.

  • Check work pieces to ensure that they are properly lubricated or cooled.

  • Operate equipment to verify operational efficiency.

  • Set up or operate metalworking, brazing, heat-treating, welding, or cutting equipment.

  • Establish work procedures for fabricating new structural products, using a variety of metalworking machines.

  • Diagnose machine tool malfunctions to determine need for adjustments or repairs.

  • Advise clients about the materials being used for finished products.

  • Fit and assemble parts to make or repair machine tools.

  • Test experimental models under simulated operating conditions, for purposes such as development, standardization, or feasibility of design.

  • Monitor the feed and speed of machines during the machining process.

  • Design fixtures, tooling, or experimental parts to meet special engineering needs.

  • Install repaired parts into equipment or install new equipment.

  • Maintain machine tools in proper operational condition.

  • Confer with engineering, supervisory, or manufacturing personnel to exchange technical information.

  • Dismantle machines or equipment, using hand tools or power tools to examine parts for defects and replace defective parts where needed.

  • Prepare working sketches for the illustration of product appearance.

  • Lay out, measure, and mark metal stock to display placement of cuts.

Technologies & Software

  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Mazak Mazatrol SMART CNC
  • CNC Mastercam
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Grok (xAI)
  • CNC Consulting Machinists' Calculator
  • DeepSeek
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • G-code
  • Armchair Machinist software
  • IMSI TurboCAD
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • SAP software
  • SolidCAM CAM software
  • Kentech Kipware Trig Kalculator
  • Dassault Systemes CATIA
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • JobBOSS
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • ABB AI Robotics
  • EditCNC
  • Siemens Industrial AI
  • Cognex Vision AI
  • JETCAM
  • ERP software
  • GRZ Software MeshCAM
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • Vero Software SURFCAM
  • Hexagon Metrology PC-DMIS
  • Mastercam computer-aided design and manufacturing software
  • Sight Machine AI
  • OneCNC CAD/CAM
  • Microsoft Word
  • Siemens NX
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Autodesk HSMWorks
  • Autodesk Fusion 360
  • Rockwell Automation AI
  • Kentech Kipware Studio
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Dassault Systemes SolidWorks
  • 3D Printing software
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • OnShape
  • Angled feeler gauges
  • Utility knives
  • Boring tools
  • Outside spring calipers
  • Milling angle form cutters
  • Workshop cranes
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Machinists' hammers
  • Combination pliers
  • Ring gauges
  • Desktop computers
  • Screw pitch gauges
  • Radius gauges
  • Plasma welders
  • Grinding wheel arbors
  • Steel rules
  • Forklifts
  • Wedges
  • Hex keys
  • Magnetic retrievers
  • Shears
  • Brake presses
  • Surface gauges
  • Oxyacetylene welding equipment
  • Drum lathes
  • Hex wrenches
  • Shims
  • Steel wedges
  • Coordinate measuring machines CMM
  • 3-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Cylindrical grinders
  • Half-round files
  • Vernier calipers
  • Surface grinding machines
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Deburring tools
  • Horizontal lathes
  • Vernier bevel protractors
  • Power sanders
  • Prick punches
  • Computerized numerical control CNC machining centers
  • Spindle blade screwdrivers
  • Platforms
  • Crankshaft grinders
  • Sharpening equipment
  • Hand saws
  • Handheld welders
  • Combination wrenches
  • Inside micrometers
  • Reamers
  • Machinists' squares
  • Computerized numerical control CNC turning lathes
  • Square chisels
  • Welding shields
  • Flywheel lathes
  • Soldering equipment
  • Heat-treating equipment
  • Knee mills
  • Multi-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Beverly shears
  • Binocular light compound microscopes
  • Metal inert gas MIG welders
  • Gauges
  • Laser printers
  • Chippers
  • Rubber mallets
  • Vernier height gauges
  • Screwdrivers
  • Angle plates
  • Sine bars
  • Punches
  • Brazing equipment
  • Torches
  • Parallel blocks
  • Vernier gear tooth calipers
  • Planers
  • Outside micrometers
  • Sledgehammers
  • Planer gauges
  • Boring bars
  • Valve grinding machines
  • Chucks
  • Hand clamps
  • Cold saws
  • Cold chisels
  • Milling machines
  • Combination drills
  • Calipers
  • Feeler gauges
  • Buffers
  • Staging equipment
  • Dial indicators
  • Aviation snips
  • Metal cutting taps
  • Scribers
  • Radial drills
  • Metal shears
  • Anvils
  • Horizontal boring bars
  • Swaging tools
  • Pipe threaders
  • Broachers
  • Bandsaws
  • Pry bars
  • Brass hammers
  • Tongs
  • Hydraulic presses
  • Tungsten inert gas TIG welding equipment
  • Ratchet sets
  • Sensitive drill presses
  • Radial drill presses
  • Pillar drill machines
  • Portable welding equipment
  • Telescoping gauges
  • Vertical milling machines
  • Cylinder honers
  • Turret lathes
  • Grinders
  • Horizontal mills
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Vertical turret lathes VTL
  • Marking blocks
  • Full face shields
  • Shielded arc welding tools
  • Power hacksaws
  • Grinding dogs
  • V blocks
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Breaker lathes
  • Micrometers
  • Cutoff saws
  • Thread gauges
  • Spirit levels
  • Hermaphrodite calipers
  • Height gauges
  • Edge finders
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Milling vises
  • Welding lenses
  • Sandblasters
  • Power drills
  • Arbor presses
  • Threading machines
  • Personal computers
  • Center drills
  • Undercut tools
  • Inside spring calipers
  • Shapers
  • Putty knives
  • Jointers
  • Turning lathes
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Dial calipers
  • Composition hammers
  • Ball peen hammers
  • Single-cut mill saw files
  • Centrifugal spin casters
  • Engine lathes
  • Machine shop rigging equipment
  • Flat files
  • Chamfer tools
  • Lathes
  • Metal spray equipment
  • Tube benders
  • Ladders
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Hacksaws
  • Resurfacing machines