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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Jobber” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #358 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

51%

“Jobber” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 51% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“Jobber” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Machinists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Set up and operate a variety of machine tools to produce precision parts and instruments out of metal. Includes precision instrument makers who fabricate, modify, or repair mechanical instruments. May also fabricate and modify parts to make or repair machine tools or maintain industrial machines, applying knowledge of mechanics, mathematics, metal properties, layout, and machining procedures.

Avg. Annual Salary $57,390
Avg. Hourly Wage $27.59
Available Jobs (US) 298,790
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Machinists #51-4041
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Machinists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Fit and assemble parts to make or repair machine tools.

  • Set up, adjust, or operate basic or specialized machine tools used to perform precision machining operations.

  • Design fixtures, tooling, or experimental parts to meet special engineering needs.

  • Machine parts to specifications, using machine tools, such as lathes, milling machines, shapers, or grinders.

  • Prepare working sketches for the illustration of product appearance.

  • Align and secure holding fixtures, cutting tools, attachments, accessories, or materials onto machines.

  • Dismantle machines or equipment, using hand tools or power tools to examine parts for defects and replace defective parts where needed.

  • Monitor the feed and speed of machines during the machining process.

  • Program computers or electronic instruments, such as numerically controlled machine tools.

  • Install experimental parts or assemblies, such as hydraulic systems, electrical wiring, lubricants, or batteries into machines or mechanisms.

  • Separate scrap waste and related materials for reuse, recycling, or disposal.

  • Operate equipment to verify operational efficiency.

  • Calculate dimensions or tolerances, using instruments, such as micrometers or vernier calipers.

  • Lay out, measure, and mark metal stock to display placement of cuts.

  • Maintain machine tools in proper operational condition.

  • Confer with engineering, supervisory, or manufacturing personnel to exchange technical information.

  • Diagnose machine tool malfunctions to determine need for adjustments or repairs.

  • Study sample parts, blueprints, drawings, or engineering information to determine methods or sequences of operations needed to fabricate products.

  • Advise clients about the materials being used for finished products.

  • Install repaired parts into equipment or install new equipment.

  • Check work pieces to ensure that they are properly lubricated or cooled.

  • Support metalworking projects from planning and fabrication through assembly, inspection, and testing, using knowledge of machine functions, metal properties, and mathematics.

  • Measure, examine, or test completed units to check for defects and ensure conformance to specifications, using precision instruments, such as micrometers.

  • Set up or operate metalworking, brazing, heat-treating, welding, or cutting equipment.

  • Evaluate machining procedures and recommend changes or modifications for improved efficiency or adaptability.

  • Confer with numerical control programmers to check and ensure that new programs or machinery will function properly and that output will meet specifications.

  • Dispose of scrap or waste material in accordance with company policies and environmental regulations.

  • Test experimental models under simulated operating conditions, for purposes such as development, standardization, or feasibility of design.

  • Establish work procedures for fabricating new structural products, using a variety of metalworking machines.

Technologies & Software

  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Rockwell Automation AI
  • Siemens NX
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Cognex Vision AI
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Dassault Systemes SolidWorks
  • Vero Software SURFCAM
  • G-code
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • SolidCAM CAM software
  • JobBOSS
  • Autodesk Fusion 360
  • GRZ Software MeshCAM
  • Kentech Kipware Trig Kalculator
  • Dassault Systemes CATIA
  • 3D Printing software
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Mastercam computer-aided design and manufacturing software
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • SAP software
  • Sight Machine AI
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • OneCNC CAD/CAM
  • Microsoft Excel
  • OnShape
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • ABB AI Robotics
  • JETCAM
  • Llama (Meta)
  • CNC Mastercam
  • Mazak Mazatrol SMART CNC
  • Autodesk HSMWorks
  • EditCNC
  • Siemens Industrial AI
  • Kentech Kipware Studio
  • Microsoft Word
  • Hexagon Metrology PC-DMIS
  • CNC Consulting Machinists' Calculator
  • IMSI TurboCAD
  • Armchair Machinist software
  • ERP software
  • DeepSeek
  • Pry bars
  • Combination drills
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Planer gauges
  • Cylindrical grinders
  • Outside micrometers
  • Resurfacing machines
  • Centrifugal spin casters
  • Undercut tools
  • Hacksaws
  • Dial indicators
  • Pillar drill machines
  • Shears
  • Angle plates
  • Coordinate measuring machines CMM
  • Utility knives
  • Rubber mallets
  • Tube benders
  • Angled feeler gauges
  • Metal shears
  • Shapers
  • Shielded arc welding tools
  • Hermaphrodite calipers
  • Chippers
  • Ring gauges
  • Hand saws
  • Knee mills
  • Surface gauges
  • 3-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Power sanders
  • Crankshaft grinders
  • Workshop cranes
  • Punches
  • Full face shields
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Tungsten inert gas TIG welding equipment
  • Aviation snips
  • Swaging tools
  • Power hacksaws
  • Multi-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Bandsaws
  • Vernier gear tooth calipers
  • Personal computers
  • Beverly shears
  • Composition hammers
  • Boring bars
  • Torches
  • Buffers
  • Inside micrometers
  • Marking blocks
  • Telescoping gauges
  • Heat-treating equipment
  • Ratchet sets
  • Sharpening equipment
  • Grinders
  • Screw pitch gauges
  • Height gauges
  • Machinists' hammers
  • Computerized numerical control CNC turning lathes
  • Wedges
  • Cold chisels
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Cylinder honers
  • Dial calipers
  • Valve grinding machines
  • Putty knives
  • Radius gauges
  • Soldering equipment
  • Handheld welders
  • Single-cut mill saw files
  • Square chisels
  • Sine bars
  • Metal spray equipment
  • Welding lenses
  • Hydraulic presses
  • Plasma welders
  • Ball peen hammers
  • Combination wrenches
  • Cold saws
  • Sensitive drill presses
  • Screwdrivers
  • Desktop computers
  • Metal cutting taps
  • Breaker lathes
  • Vertical turret lathes VTL
  • Staging equipment
  • Deburring tools
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Radial drill presses
  • Power drills
  • Spindle blade screwdrivers
  • Inside spring calipers
  • Vertical milling machines
  • Hand clamps
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Vernier bevel protractors
  • Spirit levels
  • Broachers
  • Feeler gauges
  • Scribers
  • Portable welding equipment
  • Radial drills
  • Threading machines
  • Outside spring calipers
  • Chucks
  • Metal inert gas MIG welders
  • Lathes
  • Horizontal mills
  • Surface grinding machines
  • Brass hammers
  • Prick punches
  • Hex keys
  • Sledgehammers
  • Chamfer tools
  • Grinding wheel arbors
  • Horizontal boring bars
  • Vernier calipers
  • Hex wrenches
  • Shims
  • Turret lathes
  • Vernier height gauges
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Platforms
  • V blocks
  • Computerized numerical control CNC machining centers
  • Machine shop rigging equipment
  • Jointers
  • Edge finders
  • Flat files
  • Gauges
  • Parallel blocks
  • Calipers
  • Tongs
  • Milling machines
  • Planers
  • Machinists' squares
  • Sandblasters
  • Brazing equipment
  • Steel rules
  • Engine lathes
  • Steel wedges
  • Arbor presses
  • Turning lathes
  • Milling vises
  • Milling angle form cutters
  • Ladders
  • Drum lathes
  • Oxyacetylene welding equipment
  • Center drills
  • Welding shields
  • Horizontal lathes
  • Pipe threaders
  • Grinding dogs
  • Magnetic retrievers
  • Combination pliers
  • Boring tools
  • Reamers
  • Binocular light compound microscopes
  • Brake presses
  • Half-round files
  • Flywheel lathes
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Cutoff saws
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Anvils
  • Micrometers
  • Laser printers
  • Forklifts
  • Thread gauges