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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Jobber” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #358 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

51%

“Jobber” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 51% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“Jobber” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Machinists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Set up and operate a variety of machine tools to produce precision parts and instruments out of metal. Includes precision instrument makers who fabricate, modify, or repair mechanical instruments. May also fabricate and modify parts to make or repair machine tools or maintain industrial machines, applying knowledge of mechanics, mathematics, metal properties, layout, and machining procedures.

Avg. Annual Salary $57,390
Avg. Hourly Wage $27.59
Available Jobs (US) 298,790
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Machinists #51-4041
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Machinists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Set up or operate metalworking, brazing, heat-treating, welding, or cutting equipment.

  • Monitor the feed and speed of machines during the machining process.

  • Confer with numerical control programmers to check and ensure that new programs or machinery will function properly and that output will meet specifications.

  • Operate equipment to verify operational efficiency.

  • Study sample parts, blueprints, drawings, or engineering information to determine methods or sequences of operations needed to fabricate products.

  • Support metalworking projects from planning and fabrication through assembly, inspection, and testing, using knowledge of machine functions, metal properties, and mathematics.

  • Prepare working sketches for the illustration of product appearance.

  • Align and secure holding fixtures, cutting tools, attachments, accessories, or materials onto machines.

  • Measure, examine, or test completed units to check for defects and ensure conformance to specifications, using precision instruments, such as micrometers.

  • Fit and assemble parts to make or repair machine tools.

  • Dispose of scrap or waste material in accordance with company policies and environmental regulations.

  • Machine parts to specifications, using machine tools, such as lathes, milling machines, shapers, or grinders.

  • Test experimental models under simulated operating conditions, for purposes such as development, standardization, or feasibility of design.

  • Program computers or electronic instruments, such as numerically controlled machine tools.

  • Set up, adjust, or operate basic or specialized machine tools used to perform precision machining operations.

  • Advise clients about the materials being used for finished products.

  • Check work pieces to ensure that they are properly lubricated or cooled.

  • Establish work procedures for fabricating new structural products, using a variety of metalworking machines.

  • Dismantle machines or equipment, using hand tools or power tools to examine parts for defects and replace defective parts where needed.

  • Install experimental parts or assemblies, such as hydraulic systems, electrical wiring, lubricants, or batteries into machines or mechanisms.

  • Design fixtures, tooling, or experimental parts to meet special engineering needs.

  • Maintain machine tools in proper operational condition.

  • Evaluate machining procedures and recommend changes or modifications for improved efficiency or adaptability.

  • Install repaired parts into equipment or install new equipment.

  • Confer with engineering, supervisory, or manufacturing personnel to exchange technical information.

  • Lay out, measure, and mark metal stock to display placement of cuts.

  • Calculate dimensions or tolerances, using instruments, such as micrometers or vernier calipers.

  • Diagnose machine tool malfunctions to determine need for adjustments or repairs.

  • Separate scrap waste and related materials for reuse, recycling, or disposal.

Technologies & Software

  • OneCNC CAD/CAM
  • Mazak Mazatrol SMART CNC
  • IMSI TurboCAD
  • 3D Printing software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Siemens Industrial AI
  • SAP software
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Dassault Systemes SolidWorks
  • Rockwell Automation AI
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft Word
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • ABB AI Robotics
  • G-code
  • Siemens NX
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • DeepSeek
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Cognex Vision AI
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Mastercam computer-aided design and manufacturing software
  • EditCNC
  • Autodesk HSMWorks
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • JETCAM
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • OnShape
  • Autodesk Fusion 360
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Vero Software SURFCAM
  • CNC Mastercam
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • CNC Consulting Machinists' Calculator
  • Dassault Systemes CATIA
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Hexagon Metrology PC-DMIS
  • JobBOSS
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • SolidCAM CAM software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Kentech Kipware Trig Kalculator
  • GRZ Software MeshCAM
  • Sight Machine AI
  • Kentech Kipware Studio
  • Armchair Machinist software
  • ERP software
  • Bandsaws
  • Parallel blocks
  • Knee mills
  • Utility knives
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Computerized numerical control CNC machining centers
  • Rubber mallets
  • Chamfer tools
  • Telescoping gauges
  • V blocks
  • Center drills
  • Half-round files
  • Metal inert gas MIG welders
  • Outside spring calipers
  • Boring tools
  • Anvils
  • Breaker lathes
  • Milling machines
  • Hacksaws
  • Torches
  • Cylinder honers
  • Flywheel lathes
  • Metal cutting taps
  • Swaging tools
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Edge finders
  • Putty knives
  • Grinding wheel arbors
  • Ball peen hammers
  • Height gauges
  • Cold chisels
  • Sensitive drill presses
  • Hex wrenches
  • Shims
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Cold saws
  • Angled feeler gauges
  • Cutoff saws
  • Micrometers
  • Combination wrenches
  • Planer gauges
  • Horizontal lathes
  • Surface gauges
  • Hex keys
  • Milling angle form cutters
  • Thread gauges
  • Turret lathes
  • Pillar drill machines
  • Machinists' squares
  • Sledgehammers
  • Welding shields
  • Feeler gauges
  • Pry bars
  • Tongs
  • Coordinate measuring machines CMM
  • Planers
  • Shears
  • Inside micrometers
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Multi-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Binocular light compound microscopes
  • Single-cut mill saw files
  • Wedges
  • Brass hammers
  • Engine lathes
  • Grinding dogs
  • Arbor presses
  • 3-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Tube benders
  • Vernier height gauges
  • Beverly shears
  • Horizontal boring bars
  • Soldering equipment
  • Plasma welders
  • Undercut tools
  • Combination drills
  • Flat files
  • Cylindrical grinders
  • Welding lenses
  • Desktop computers
  • Steel rules
  • Portable welding equipment
  • Power sanders
  • Punches
  • Power hacksaws
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Screw pitch gauges
  • Shapers
  • Spirit levels
  • Tungsten inert gas TIG welding equipment
  • Dial calipers
  • Threading machines
  • Laser printers
  • Staging equipment
  • Radial drill presses
  • Vernier bevel protractors
  • Sine bars
  • Angle plates
  • Oxyacetylene welding equipment
  • Crankshaft grinders
  • Buffers
  • Personal computers
  • Outside micrometers
  • Reamers
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Composition hammers
  • Ring gauges
  • Boring bars
  • Full face shields
  • Lathes
  • Vertical turret lathes VTL
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Machine shop rigging equipment
  • Heat-treating equipment
  • Scribers
  • Horizontal mills
  • Hand saws
  • Spindle blade screwdrivers
  • Vernier gear tooth calipers
  • Radial drills
  • Inside spring calipers
  • Deburring tools
  • Marking blocks
  • Calipers
  • Hermaphrodite calipers
  • Hydraulic presses
  • Pipe threaders
  • Resurfacing machines
  • Vernier calipers
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Square chisels
  • Machinists' hammers
  • Chippers
  • Broachers
  • Centrifugal spin casters
  • Power drills
  • Prick punches
  • Platforms
  • Handheld welders
  • Ratchet sets
  • Valve grinding machines
  • Workshop cranes
  • Radius gauges
  • Steel wedges
  • Grinders
  • Jointers
  • Metal shears
  • Ladders
  • Screwdrivers
  • Gauges
  • Magnetic retrievers
  • Forklifts
  • Surface grinding machines
  • Drum lathes
  • Vertical milling machines
  • Hand clamps
  • Dial indicators
  • Metal spray equipment
  • Chucks
  • Sharpening equipment
  • Turning lathes
  • Computerized numerical control CNC turning lathes
  • Combination pliers
  • Brake presses
  • Sandblasters
  • Milling vises
  • Shielded arc welding tools
  • Aviation snips
  • Brazing equipment