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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “CNC Lathe Machinist (Computer Numerically Controlled Lathe Machinist)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #358 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

51%

“CNC Lathe Machinist (Computer Numerically Controlled Lathe Machinist)” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 51% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“CNC Lathe Machinist (Computer Numerically Controlled Lathe Machinist)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Machinists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Set up and operate a variety of machine tools to produce precision parts and instruments out of metal. Includes precision instrument makers who fabricate, modify, or repair mechanical instruments. May also fabricate and modify parts to make or repair machine tools or maintain industrial machines, applying knowledge of mechanics, mathematics, metal properties, layout, and machining procedures.

Avg. Annual Salary $57,390
Avg. Hourly Wage $27.59
Available Jobs (US) 298,790
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Machinists #51-4041
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Machinists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Prepare working sketches for the illustration of product appearance.

  • Advise clients about the materials being used for finished products.

  • Install repaired parts into equipment or install new equipment.

  • Support metalworking projects from planning and fabrication through assembly, inspection, and testing, using knowledge of machine functions, metal properties, and mathematics.

  • Design fixtures, tooling, or experimental parts to meet special engineering needs.

  • Test experimental models under simulated operating conditions, for purposes such as development, standardization, or feasibility of design.

  • Align and secure holding fixtures, cutting tools, attachments, accessories, or materials onto machines.

  • Measure, examine, or test completed units to check for defects and ensure conformance to specifications, using precision instruments, such as micrometers.

  • Check work pieces to ensure that they are properly lubricated or cooled.

  • Evaluate machining procedures and recommend changes or modifications for improved efficiency or adaptability.

  • Fit and assemble parts to make or repair machine tools.

  • Program computers or electronic instruments, such as numerically controlled machine tools.

  • Dispose of scrap or waste material in accordance with company policies and environmental regulations.

  • Set up or operate metalworking, brazing, heat-treating, welding, or cutting equipment.

  • Machine parts to specifications, using machine tools, such as lathes, milling machines, shapers, or grinders.

  • Confer with numerical control programmers to check and ensure that new programs or machinery will function properly and that output will meet specifications.

  • Study sample parts, blueprints, drawings, or engineering information to determine methods or sequences of operations needed to fabricate products.

  • Confer with engineering, supervisory, or manufacturing personnel to exchange technical information.

  • Dismantle machines or equipment, using hand tools or power tools to examine parts for defects and replace defective parts where needed.

  • Set up, adjust, or operate basic or specialized machine tools used to perform precision machining operations.

  • Calculate dimensions or tolerances, using instruments, such as micrometers or vernier calipers.

  • Establish work procedures for fabricating new structural products, using a variety of metalworking machines.

  • Operate equipment to verify operational efficiency.

  • Separate scrap waste and related materials for reuse, recycling, or disposal.

  • Maintain machine tools in proper operational condition.

  • Diagnose machine tool malfunctions to determine need for adjustments or repairs.

  • Monitor the feed and speed of machines during the machining process.

  • Install experimental parts or assemblies, such as hydraulic systems, electrical wiring, lubricants, or batteries into machines or mechanisms.

  • Lay out, measure, and mark metal stock to display placement of cuts.

Technologies & Software

  • ERP software
  • Sight Machine AI
  • Cognex Vision AI
  • JobBOSS
  • OnShape
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Kentech Kipware Trig Kalculator
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Siemens NX
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Autodesk HSMWorks
  • CNC Mastercam
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Hexagon Metrology PC-DMIS
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Dassault Systemes SolidWorks
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Autodesk Fusion 360
  • Siemens Industrial AI
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Grok (xAI)
  • CNC Consulting Machinists' Calculator
  • 3D Printing software
  • IMSI TurboCAD
  • Mazak Mazatrol SMART CNC
  • DeepSeek
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • JETCAM
  • Rockwell Automation AI
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • Vero Software SURFCAM
  • Dassault Systemes CATIA
  • Mastercam computer-aided design and manufacturing software
  • Armchair Machinist software
  • Microsoft Word
  • SolidCAM CAM software
  • OneCNC CAD/CAM
  • G-code
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • Kentech Kipware Studio
  • EditCNC
  • GRZ Software MeshCAM
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • SAP software
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • ABB AI Robotics
  • Dial indicators
  • Surface gauges
  • Machinists' hammers
  • Tongs
  • Machinists' squares
  • Sharpening equipment
  • Handheld welders
  • Vernier height gauges
  • Staging equipment
  • Angle plates
  • Coordinate measuring machines CMM
  • Beverly shears
  • Vertical turret lathes VTL
  • Sensitive drill presses
  • Soldering equipment
  • 3-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Shielded arc welding tools
  • Shims
  • Shapers
  • Prick punches
  • Chucks
  • Anvils
  • Cylindrical grinders
  • Brake presses
  • Composition hammers
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Engine lathes
  • Cutoff saws
  • Aviation snips
  • Valve grinding machines
  • Screw pitch gauges
  • Tube benders
  • Horizontal lathes
  • Cold chisels
  • Wedges
  • Hex wrenches
  • Edge finders
  • Cold saws
  • Rubber mallets
  • Grinding wheel arbors
  • Half-round files
  • Steel wedges
  • Square chisels
  • Single-cut mill saw files
  • Angled feeler gauges
  • Surface grinding machines
  • Reamers
  • Centrifugal spin casters
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Chippers
  • Flat files
  • Hex keys
  • Full face shields
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Pipe threaders
  • Sledgehammers
  • Planers
  • Turning lathes
  • V blocks
  • Sandblasters
  • Outside spring calipers
  • Metal shears
  • Ratchet sets
  • Metal spray equipment
  • Scribers
  • Computerized numerical control CNC turning lathes
  • Utility knives
  • Parallel blocks
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Knee mills
  • Personal computers
  • Crankshaft grinders
  • Center drills
  • Flywheel lathes
  • Metal cutting taps
  • Horizontal boring bars
  • Milling vises
  • Hermaphrodite calipers
  • Heat-treating equipment
  • Milling angle form cutters
  • Forklifts
  • Thread gauges
  • Telescoping gauges
  • Boring tools
  • Laser printers
  • Gauges
  • Power hacksaws
  • Torches
  • Metal inert gas MIG welders
  • Screwdrivers
  • Breaker lathes
  • Steel rules
  • Lathes
  • Desktop computers
  • Buffers
  • Pillar drill machines
  • Power sanders
  • Sine bars
  • Dial calipers
  • Multi-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Putty knives
  • Hacksaws
  • Ball peen hammers
  • Deburring tools
  • Radial drills
  • Hand saws
  • Combination wrenches
  • Inside spring calipers
  • Threading machines
  • Height gauges
  • Ring gauges
  • Calipers
  • Workshop cranes
  • Vernier gear tooth calipers
  • Resurfacing machines
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Cylinder honers
  • Turret lathes
  • Plasma welders
  • Computerized numerical control CNC machining centers
  • Bandsaws
  • Grinders
  • Grinding dogs
  • Combination drills
  • Machine shop rigging equipment
  • Platforms
  • Binocular light compound microscopes
  • Power drills
  • Hand clamps
  • Combination pliers
  • Welding lenses
  • Radial drill presses
  • Planer gauges
  • Horizontal mills
  • Brazing equipment
  • Inside micrometers
  • Jointers
  • Feeler gauges
  • Drum lathes
  • Oxyacetylene welding equipment
  • Vernier bevel protractors
  • Tungsten inert gas TIG welding equipment
  • Ladders
  • Chamfer tools
  • Vernier calipers
  • Swaging tools
  • Hydraulic presses
  • Broachers
  • Shears
  • Brass hammers
  • Pry bars
  • Spindle blade screwdrivers
  • Arbor presses
  • Radius gauges
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Boring bars
  • Punches
  • Undercut tools
  • Marking blocks
  • Magnetic retrievers
  • Micrometers
  • Spirit levels
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Welding shields
  • Outside micrometers
  • Portable welding equipment
  • Milling machines
  • Vertical milling machines