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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “CNC Lathe Machinist (Computer Numerically Controlled Lathe Machinist)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #358 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

51%

“CNC Lathe Machinist (Computer Numerically Controlled Lathe Machinist)” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 51% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“CNC Lathe Machinist (Computer Numerically Controlled Lathe Machinist)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Machinists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Set up and operate a variety of machine tools to produce precision parts and instruments out of metal. Includes precision instrument makers who fabricate, modify, or repair mechanical instruments. May also fabricate and modify parts to make or repair machine tools or maintain industrial machines, applying knowledge of mechanics, mathematics, metal properties, layout, and machining procedures.

Avg. Annual Salary $57,390
Avg. Hourly Wage $27.59
Available Jobs (US) 298,790
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Machinists #51-4041
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Machinists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Prepare working sketches for the illustration of product appearance.

  • Advise clients about the materials being used for finished products.

  • Machine parts to specifications, using machine tools, such as lathes, milling machines, shapers, or grinders.

  • Lay out, measure, and mark metal stock to display placement of cuts.

  • Install experimental parts or assemblies, such as hydraulic systems, electrical wiring, lubricants, or batteries into machines or mechanisms.

  • Test experimental models under simulated operating conditions, for purposes such as development, standardization, or feasibility of design.

  • Study sample parts, blueprints, drawings, or engineering information to determine methods or sequences of operations needed to fabricate products.

  • Establish work procedures for fabricating new structural products, using a variety of metalworking machines.

  • Check work pieces to ensure that they are properly lubricated or cooled.

  • Set up, adjust, or operate basic or specialized machine tools used to perform precision machining operations.

  • Design fixtures, tooling, or experimental parts to meet special engineering needs.

  • Separate scrap waste and related materials for reuse, recycling, or disposal.

  • Evaluate machining procedures and recommend changes or modifications for improved efficiency or adaptability.

  • Align and secure holding fixtures, cutting tools, attachments, accessories, or materials onto machines.

  • Dispose of scrap or waste material in accordance with company policies and environmental regulations.

  • Diagnose machine tool malfunctions to determine need for adjustments or repairs.

  • Confer with numerical control programmers to check and ensure that new programs or machinery will function properly and that output will meet specifications.

  • Program computers or electronic instruments, such as numerically controlled machine tools.

  • Install repaired parts into equipment or install new equipment.

  • Set up or operate metalworking, brazing, heat-treating, welding, or cutting equipment.

  • Confer with engineering, supervisory, or manufacturing personnel to exchange technical information.

  • Maintain machine tools in proper operational condition.

  • Support metalworking projects from planning and fabrication through assembly, inspection, and testing, using knowledge of machine functions, metal properties, and mathematics.

  • Measure, examine, or test completed units to check for defects and ensure conformance to specifications, using precision instruments, such as micrometers.

  • Monitor the feed and speed of machines during the machining process.

  • Operate equipment to verify operational efficiency.

  • Dismantle machines or equipment, using hand tools or power tools to examine parts for defects and replace defective parts where needed.

  • Calculate dimensions or tolerances, using instruments, such as micrometers or vernier calipers.

  • Fit and assemble parts to make or repair machine tools.

Technologies & Software

  • Hexagon Metrology PC-DMIS
  • Sight Machine AI
  • Rockwell Automation AI
  • Armchair Machinist software
  • Siemens NX
  • Mazak Mazatrol SMART CNC
  • JETCAM
  • Autodesk Fusion 360
  • JobBOSS
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • 3D Printing software
  • Autodesk HSMWorks
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Dassault Systemes SolidWorks
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Microsoft Word
  • G-code
  • OneCNC CAD/CAM
  • ABB AI Robotics
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • SAP software
  • EditCNC
  • Microsoft Excel
  • ERP software
  • DeepSeek
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • SolidCAM CAM software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • GRZ Software MeshCAM
  • OnShape
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Siemens Industrial AI
  • CNC Mastercam
  • Dassault Systemes CATIA
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Cognex Vision AI
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Kentech Kipware Trig Kalculator
  • IMSI TurboCAD
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Mastercam computer-aided design and manufacturing software
  • CNC Consulting Machinists' Calculator
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Kentech Kipware Studio
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • Vero Software SURFCAM
  • Half-round files
  • Vernier height gauges
  • Pipe threaders
  • Handheld welders
  • Horizontal mills
  • Screw pitch gauges
  • Shapers
  • Platforms
  • Swaging tools
  • Metal spray equipment
  • Ring gauges
  • Sandblasters
  • Vernier gear tooth calipers
  • Composition hammers
  • Screwdrivers
  • Marking blocks
  • Sharpening equipment
  • Milling angle form cutters
  • Crankshaft grinders
  • Vertical turret lathes VTL
  • Lathes
  • Ball peen hammers
  • Metal shears
  • Welding shields
  • Machinists' hammers
  • Milling vises
  • Hex keys
  • Oxyacetylene welding equipment
  • Grinders
  • Shims
  • Cutoff saws
  • Calipers
  • Machine shop rigging equipment
  • 3-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Welding lenses
  • Vernier bevel protractors
  • Sine bars
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Utility knives
  • Power sanders
  • Chucks
  • Vernier calipers
  • Sensitive drill presses
  • Knee mills
  • Hand saws
  • Wedges
  • Cylindrical grinders
  • Pillar drill machines
  • Chamfer tools
  • Planer gauges
  • Prick punches
  • Horizontal boring bars
  • Workshop cranes
  • Flat files
  • Reamers
  • Punches
  • Ladders
  • Staging equipment
  • Laser printers
  • Jointers
  • Thread gauges
  • Steel wedges
  • Angle plates
  • Plasma welders
  • Cold saws
  • Computerized numerical control CNC machining centers
  • Inside spring calipers
  • Power drills
  • Coordinate measuring machines CMM
  • Centrifugal spin casters
  • Combination wrenches
  • Buffers
  • Single-cut mill saw files
  • Multi-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Rubber mallets
  • Drum lathes
  • Computerized numerical control CNC turning lathes
  • Telescoping gauges
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Outside spring calipers
  • Surface grinding machines
  • Power hacksaws
  • Planers
  • Turning lathes
  • Brazing equipment
  • Brake presses
  • Full face shields
  • Shielded arc welding tools
  • Boring tools
  • Chippers
  • Shears
  • Angled feeler gauges
  • Spindle blade screwdrivers
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Machinists' squares
  • Binocular light compound microscopes
  • Scribers
  • Radial drill presses
  • Torches
  • Edge finders
  • Surface gauges
  • Grinding dogs
  • Micrometers
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Breaker lathes
  • Radial drills
  • Magnetic retrievers
  • Arbor presses
  • Inside micrometers
  • Steel rules
  • Personal computers
  • Valve grinding machines
  • Horizontal lathes
  • V blocks
  • Tube benders
  • Heat-treating equipment
  • Brass hammers
  • Parallel blocks
  • Center drills
  • Turret lathes
  • Square chisels
  • Deburring tools
  • Radius gauges
  • Combination pliers
  • Aviation snips
  • Bandsaws
  • Ratchet sets
  • Tongs
  • Combination drills
  • Feeler gauges
  • Hydraulic presses
  • Vertical milling machines
  • Dial indicators
  • Cylinder honers
  • Boring bars
  • Pry bars
  • Soldering equipment
  • Engine lathes
  • Portable welding equipment
  • Grinding wheel arbors
  • Broachers
  • Cold chisels
  • Height gauges
  • Metal inert gas MIG welders
  • Milling machines
  • Tungsten inert gas TIG welding equipment
  • Resurfacing machines
  • Forklifts
  • Undercut tools
  • Flywheel lathes
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Hand clamps
  • Hex wrenches
  • Metal cutting taps
  • Gauges
  • Desktop computers
  • Hacksaws
  • Anvils
  • Sledgehammers
  • Hermaphrodite calipers
  • Beverly shears
  • Putty knives
  • Spirit levels
  • Threading machines
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Dial calipers
  • Outside micrometers