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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “CNC Machinist (Computer Numerical Control Machinist)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #358 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

51%

“CNC Machinist (Computer Numerical Control Machinist)” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 51% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“CNC Machinist (Computer Numerical Control Machinist)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Machinists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Set up and operate a variety of machine tools to produce precision parts and instruments out of metal. Includes precision instrument makers who fabricate, modify, or repair mechanical instruments. May also fabricate and modify parts to make or repair machine tools or maintain industrial machines, applying knowledge of mechanics, mathematics, metal properties, layout, and machining procedures.

Avg. Annual Salary $57,390
Avg. Hourly Wage $27.59
Available Jobs (US) 298,790
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Machinists #51-4041
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Machinists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Dismantle machines or equipment, using hand tools or power tools to examine parts for defects and replace defective parts where needed.

  • Set up, adjust, or operate basic or specialized machine tools used to perform precision machining operations.

  • Program computers or electronic instruments, such as numerically controlled machine tools.

  • Maintain machine tools in proper operational condition.

  • Separate scrap waste and related materials for reuse, recycling, or disposal.

  • Diagnose machine tool malfunctions to determine need for adjustments or repairs.

  • Design fixtures, tooling, or experimental parts to meet special engineering needs.

  • Monitor the feed and speed of machines during the machining process.

  • Study sample parts, blueprints, drawings, or engineering information to determine methods or sequences of operations needed to fabricate products.

  • Check work pieces to ensure that they are properly lubricated or cooled.

  • Confer with numerical control programmers to check and ensure that new programs or machinery will function properly and that output will meet specifications.

  • Set up or operate metalworking, brazing, heat-treating, welding, or cutting equipment.

  • Evaluate machining procedures and recommend changes or modifications for improved efficiency or adaptability.

  • Install experimental parts or assemblies, such as hydraulic systems, electrical wiring, lubricants, or batteries into machines or mechanisms.

  • Fit and assemble parts to make or repair machine tools.

  • Support metalworking projects from planning and fabrication through assembly, inspection, and testing, using knowledge of machine functions, metal properties, and mathematics.

  • Dispose of scrap or waste material in accordance with company policies and environmental regulations.

  • Install repaired parts into equipment or install new equipment.

  • Prepare working sketches for the illustration of product appearance.

  • Machine parts to specifications, using machine tools, such as lathes, milling machines, shapers, or grinders.

  • Calculate dimensions or tolerances, using instruments, such as micrometers or vernier calipers.

  • Confer with engineering, supervisory, or manufacturing personnel to exchange technical information.

  • Operate equipment to verify operational efficiency.

  • Align and secure holding fixtures, cutting tools, attachments, accessories, or materials onto machines.

  • Advise clients about the materials being used for finished products.

  • Measure, examine, or test completed units to check for defects and ensure conformance to specifications, using precision instruments, such as micrometers.

  • Establish work procedures for fabricating new structural products, using a variety of metalworking machines.

  • Lay out, measure, and mark metal stock to display placement of cuts.

  • Test experimental models under simulated operating conditions, for purposes such as development, standardization, or feasibility of design.

Technologies & Software

  • Siemens NX
  • ABB AI Robotics
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • 3D Printing software
  • SolidCAM CAM software
  • Grok (xAI)
  • ERP software
  • EditCNC
  • DeepSeek
  • Hexagon Metrology PC-DMIS
  • OneCNC CAD/CAM
  • G-code
  • CNC Mastercam
  • Siemens Industrial AI
  • IMSI TurboCAD
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Mastercam computer-aided design and manufacturing software
  • Sight Machine AI
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Autodesk HSMWorks
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Rockwell Automation AI
  • OnShape
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Autodesk Fusion 360
  • Microsoft Word
  • Vero Software SURFCAM
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Armchair Machinist software
  • CNC Consulting Machinists' Calculator
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • SAP software
  • Dassault Systemes SolidWorks
  • JobBOSS
  • JETCAM
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Kentech Kipware Trig Kalculator
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Mazak Mazatrol SMART CNC
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • GRZ Software MeshCAM
  • Kentech Kipware Studio
  • Cognex Vision AI
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Dassault Systemes CATIA
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • Brazing equipment
  • Height gauges
  • Welding lenses
  • Engine lathes
  • Micrometers
  • Aviation snips
  • Undercut tools
  • Grinders
  • Drum lathes
  • Lathes
  • Punches
  • Cylindrical grinders
  • Forklifts
  • Pipe threaders
  • Hydraulic presses
  • Spirit levels
  • Flat files
  • Angle plates
  • Binocular light compound microscopes
  • Swaging tools
  • Vertical turret lathes VTL
  • Jointers
  • Surface gauges
  • Utility knives
  • Outside spring calipers
  • Plasma welders
  • Feeler gauges
  • Sensitive drill presses
  • Turret lathes
  • Machinists' squares
  • Shielded arc welding tools
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Centrifugal spin casters
  • Oxyacetylene welding equipment
  • Prick punches
  • Turning lathes
  • Milling angle form cutters
  • Broachers
  • Reamers
  • Sine bars
  • Heat-treating equipment
  • Knee mills
  • Crankshaft grinders
  • Bandsaws
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Portable welding equipment
  • Platforms
  • Vernier height gauges
  • Combination wrenches
  • Brake presses
  • Brass hammers
  • Center drills
  • Milling machines
  • Laser printers
  • Calipers
  • Chippers
  • Resurfacing machines
  • Dial calipers
  • Breaker lathes
  • Threading machines
  • Screwdrivers
  • Shears
  • Computerized numerical control CNC machining centers
  • Angled feeler gauges
  • Tube benders
  • Power sanders
  • Beverly shears
  • Sharpening equipment
  • Ratchet sets
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Ball peen hammers
  • Horizontal boring bars
  • Computerized numerical control CNC turning lathes
  • Ring gauges
  • Magnetic retrievers
  • Hermaphrodite calipers
  • Composition hammers
  • Hacksaws
  • Shapers
  • Hand saws
  • Telescoping gauges
  • Staging equipment
  • Steel rules
  • Metal cutting taps
  • Machinists' hammers
  • Pry bars
  • Hex keys
  • Putty knives
  • Power drills
  • Chucks
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Combination pliers
  • Radial drill presses
  • Planers
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Horizontal lathes
  • Sandblasters
  • Workshop cranes
  • Combination drills
  • Sledgehammers
  • Soldering equipment
  • Personal computers
  • Machine shop rigging equipment
  • Coordinate measuring machines CMM
  • Spindle blade screwdrivers
  • Chamfer tools
  • Pillar drill machines
  • Planer gauges
  • Boring tools
  • Cold chisels
  • Handheld welders
  • Screw pitch gauges
  • Milling vises
  • Power hacksaws
  • Valve grinding machines
  • Marking blocks
  • Cylinder honers
  • Vernier gear tooth calipers
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • V blocks
  • Gauges
  • Inside spring calipers
  • Inside micrometers
  • Desktop computers
  • Torches
  • Welding shields
  • Vernier calipers
  • Thread gauges
  • Radial drills
  • Rubber mallets
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Flywheel lathes
  • Radius gauges
  • Cold saws
  • Vernier bevel protractors
  • Full face shields
  • Vertical milling machines
  • Dial indicators
  • Horizontal mills
  • Grinding dogs
  • Shims
  • Ladders
  • Cutoff saws
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Buffers
  • 3-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Wedges
  • Square chisels
  • Metal spray equipment
  • Surface grinding machines
  • Deburring tools
  • Parallel blocks
  • Arbor presses
  • Scribers
  • Tungsten inert gas TIG welding equipment
  • Tongs
  • Anvils
  • Single-cut mill saw files
  • Steel wedges
  • Grinding wheel arbors
  • Boring bars
  • Hex wrenches
  • Outside micrometers
  • Multi-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Edge finders
  • Hand clamps
  • Metal inert gas MIG welders
  • Half-round files
  • Metal shears