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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Outside Machinist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #358 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

51%

“Outside Machinist” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 51% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“Outside Machinist” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Machinists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Set up and operate a variety of machine tools to produce precision parts and instruments out of metal. Includes precision instrument makers who fabricate, modify, or repair mechanical instruments. May also fabricate and modify parts to make or repair machine tools or maintain industrial machines, applying knowledge of mechanics, mathematics, metal properties, layout, and machining procedures.

Avg. Annual Salary $57,390
Avg. Hourly Wage $27.59
Available Jobs (US) 298,790
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Machinists #51-4041
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Machinists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Set up or operate metalworking, brazing, heat-treating, welding, or cutting equipment.

  • Measure, examine, or test completed units to check for defects and ensure conformance to specifications, using precision instruments, such as micrometers.

  • Diagnose machine tool malfunctions to determine need for adjustments or repairs.

  • Prepare working sketches for the illustration of product appearance.

  • Support metalworking projects from planning and fabrication through assembly, inspection, and testing, using knowledge of machine functions, metal properties, and mathematics.

  • Confer with engineering, supervisory, or manufacturing personnel to exchange technical information.

  • Align and secure holding fixtures, cutting tools, attachments, accessories, or materials onto machines.

  • Dispose of scrap or waste material in accordance with company policies and environmental regulations.

  • Confer with numerical control programmers to check and ensure that new programs or machinery will function properly and that output will meet specifications.

  • Establish work procedures for fabricating new structural products, using a variety of metalworking machines.

  • Calculate dimensions or tolerances, using instruments, such as micrometers or vernier calipers.

  • Evaluate machining procedures and recommend changes or modifications for improved efficiency or adaptability.

  • Program computers or electronic instruments, such as numerically controlled machine tools.

  • Lay out, measure, and mark metal stock to display placement of cuts.

  • Set up, adjust, or operate basic or specialized machine tools used to perform precision machining operations.

  • Monitor the feed and speed of machines during the machining process.

  • Maintain machine tools in proper operational condition.

  • Install experimental parts or assemblies, such as hydraulic systems, electrical wiring, lubricants, or batteries into machines or mechanisms.

  • Install repaired parts into equipment or install new equipment.

  • Separate scrap waste and related materials for reuse, recycling, or disposal.

  • Advise clients about the materials being used for finished products.

  • Check work pieces to ensure that they are properly lubricated or cooled.

  • Machine parts to specifications, using machine tools, such as lathes, milling machines, shapers, or grinders.

  • Study sample parts, blueprints, drawings, or engineering information to determine methods or sequences of operations needed to fabricate products.

  • Dismantle machines or equipment, using hand tools or power tools to examine parts for defects and replace defective parts where needed.

  • Fit and assemble parts to make or repair machine tools.

  • Test experimental models under simulated operating conditions, for purposes such as development, standardization, or feasibility of design.

  • Operate equipment to verify operational efficiency.

  • Design fixtures, tooling, or experimental parts to meet special engineering needs.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Autodesk HSMWorks
  • G-code
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • IMSI TurboCAD
  • ABB AI Robotics
  • Siemens Industrial AI
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Autodesk Fusion 360
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Kentech Kipware Trig Kalculator
  • Siemens NX
  • EditCNC
  • Rockwell Automation AI
  • CNC Consulting Machinists' Calculator
  • SolidCAM CAM software
  • GRZ Software MeshCAM
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Mazak Mazatrol SMART CNC
  • Hexagon Metrology PC-DMIS
  • ERP software
  • OneCNC CAD/CAM
  • Sight Machine AI
  • JobBOSS
  • Dassault Systemes CATIA
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Vero Software SURFCAM
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • CNC Mastercam
  • Dassault Systemes SolidWorks
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Armchair Machinist software
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • DeepSeek
  • SAP software
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Mastercam computer-aided design and manufacturing software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Kentech Kipware Studio
  • 3D Printing software
  • OnShape
  • JETCAM
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Cognex Vision AI
  • Scribers
  • Pipe threaders
  • Utility knives
  • Vertical milling machines
  • Vernier bevel protractors
  • Plasma welders
  • Single-cut mill saw files
  • Angle plates
  • Sharpening equipment
  • Feeler gauges
  • Tongs
  • Reamers
  • Chucks
  • Shapers
  • Ladders
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Ball peen hammers
  • Hex wrenches
  • 3-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Grinders
  • Knee mills
  • Dial calipers
  • Rubber mallets
  • Binocular light compound microscopes
  • Radius gauges
  • Half-round files
  • Turret lathes
  • Multi-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Spindle blade screwdrivers
  • Planer gauges
  • Cutoff saws
  • Planers
  • Tube benders
  • Dial indicators
  • Hand clamps
  • Grinding dogs
  • Coordinate measuring machines CMM
  • Metal cutting taps
  • Lathes
  • Ring gauges
  • Square chisels
  • Flat files
  • V blocks
  • Power drills
  • Oxyacetylene welding equipment
  • Computerized numerical control CNC turning lathes
  • Hydraulic presses
  • Edge finders
  • Turning lathes
  • Cold chisels
  • Drum lathes
  • Putty knives
  • Micrometers
  • Ratchet sets
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Portable welding equipment
  • Broachers
  • Engine lathes
  • Flywheel lathes
  • Resurfacing machines
  • Horizontal mills
  • Shims
  • Thread gauges
  • Spirit levels
  • Bandsaws
  • Milling angle form cutters
  • Center drills
  • Inside micrometers
  • Aviation snips
  • Torches
  • Combination drills
  • Machine shop rigging equipment
  • Radial drill presses
  • Anvils
  • Inside spring calipers
  • Gauges
  • Hacksaws
  • Soldering equipment
  • Cylindrical grinders
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Vernier calipers
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Threading machines
  • Horizontal lathes
  • Vernier height gauges
  • Marking blocks
  • Vertical turret lathes VTL
  • Valve grinding machines
  • Arbor presses
  • Horizontal boring bars
  • Pillar drill machines
  • Forklifts
  • Brazing equipment
  • Radial drills
  • Milling vises
  • Outside micrometers
  • Vernier gear tooth calipers
  • Workshop cranes
  • Screwdrivers
  • Jointers
  • Sine bars
  • Power hacksaws
  • Cold saws
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Sensitive drill presses
  • Prick punches
  • Hand saws
  • Combination pliers
  • Angled feeler gauges
  • Desktop computers
  • Pry bars
  • Steel wedges
  • Parallel blocks
  • Telescoping gauges
  • Platforms
  • Milling machines
  • Power sanders
  • Welding shields
  • Brass hammers
  • Personal computers
  • Buffers
  • Handheld welders
  • Breaker lathes
  • Metal shears
  • Hermaphrodite calipers
  • Combination wrenches
  • Sandblasters
  • Swaging tools
  • Undercut tools
  • Sledgehammers
  • Computerized numerical control CNC machining centers
  • Metal inert gas MIG welders
  • Beverly shears
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Full face shields
  • Wedges
  • Boring tools
  • Screw pitch gauges
  • Surface gauges
  • Steel rules
  • Deburring tools
  • Welding lenses
  • Surface grinding machines
  • Height gauges
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Chamfer tools
  • Machinists' squares
  • Brake presses
  • Heat-treating equipment
  • Magnetic retrievers
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Centrifugal spin casters
  • Grinding wheel arbors
  • Shears
  • Shielded arc welding tools
  • Chippers
  • Hex keys
  • Boring bars
  • Cylinder honers
  • Calipers
  • Machinists' hammers
  • Outside spring calipers
  • Crankshaft grinders
  • Laser printers
  • Composition hammers
  • Tungsten inert gas TIG welding equipment
  • Metal spray equipment
  • Punches
  • Staging equipment