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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Outside Machinist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #358 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

51%

“Outside Machinist” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 51% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“Outside Machinist” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Machinists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Set up and operate a variety of machine tools to produce precision parts and instruments out of metal. Includes precision instrument makers who fabricate, modify, or repair mechanical instruments. May also fabricate and modify parts to make or repair machine tools or maintain industrial machines, applying knowledge of mechanics, mathematics, metal properties, layout, and machining procedures.

Avg. Annual Salary $57,390
Avg. Hourly Wage $27.59
Available Jobs (US) 298,790
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Machinists #51-4041
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Machinists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Establish work procedures for fabricating new structural products, using a variety of metalworking machines.

  • Dispose of scrap or waste material in accordance with company policies and environmental regulations.

  • Support metalworking projects from planning and fabrication through assembly, inspection, and testing, using knowledge of machine functions, metal properties, and mathematics.

  • Operate equipment to verify operational efficiency.

  • Diagnose machine tool malfunctions to determine need for adjustments or repairs.

  • Set up or operate metalworking, brazing, heat-treating, welding, or cutting equipment.

  • Set up, adjust, or operate basic or specialized machine tools used to perform precision machining operations.

  • Install experimental parts or assemblies, such as hydraulic systems, electrical wiring, lubricants, or batteries into machines or mechanisms.

  • Machine parts to specifications, using machine tools, such as lathes, milling machines, shapers, or grinders.

  • Dismantle machines or equipment, using hand tools or power tools to examine parts for defects and replace defective parts where needed.

  • Separate scrap waste and related materials for reuse, recycling, or disposal.

  • Evaluate machining procedures and recommend changes or modifications for improved efficiency or adaptability.

  • Advise clients about the materials being used for finished products.

  • Program computers or electronic instruments, such as numerically controlled machine tools.

  • Monitor the feed and speed of machines during the machining process.

  • Check work pieces to ensure that they are properly lubricated or cooled.

  • Fit and assemble parts to make or repair machine tools.

  • Study sample parts, blueprints, drawings, or engineering information to determine methods or sequences of operations needed to fabricate products.

  • Measure, examine, or test completed units to check for defects and ensure conformance to specifications, using precision instruments, such as micrometers.

  • Align and secure holding fixtures, cutting tools, attachments, accessories, or materials onto machines.

  • Confer with engineering, supervisory, or manufacturing personnel to exchange technical information.

  • Confer with numerical control programmers to check and ensure that new programs or machinery will function properly and that output will meet specifications.

  • Test experimental models under simulated operating conditions, for purposes such as development, standardization, or feasibility of design.

  • Maintain machine tools in proper operational condition.

  • Lay out, measure, and mark metal stock to display placement of cuts.

  • Calculate dimensions or tolerances, using instruments, such as micrometers or vernier calipers.

  • Prepare working sketches for the illustration of product appearance.

  • Install repaired parts into equipment or install new equipment.

  • Design fixtures, tooling, or experimental parts to meet special engineering needs.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Office software
  • Dassault Systemes CATIA
  • DeepSeek
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • IMSI TurboCAD
  • Rockwell Automation AI
  • CNC Consulting Machinists' Calculator
  • SolidCAM CAM software
  • Kentech Kipware Studio
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Vero Software SURFCAM
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Gemini (Google)
  • OneCNC CAD/CAM
  • Armchair Machinist software
  • Microsoft Word
  • OnShape
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Sight Machine AI
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • 3D Printing software
  • JobBOSS
  • ERP software
  • Mastercam computer-aided design and manufacturing software
  • EditCNC
  • Grok (xAI)
  • G-code
  • Siemens NX
  • SAP software
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • ABB AI Robotics
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Autodesk HSMWorks
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Hexagon Metrology PC-DMIS
  • Siemens Industrial AI
  • GRZ Software MeshCAM
  • CNC Mastercam
  • Cognex Vision AI
  • Kentech Kipware Trig Kalculator
  • Dassault Systemes SolidWorks
  • Autodesk Fusion 360
  • JETCAM
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Mazak Mazatrol SMART CNC
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Portable welding equipment
  • Personal computers
  • 3-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Metal cutting taps
  • Resurfacing machines
  • Sine bars
  • Grinders
  • Dial indicators
  • Utility knives
  • Brake presses
  • Calipers
  • Boring bars
  • Staging equipment
  • Surface gauges
  • Center drills
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Thread gauges
  • Combination wrenches
  • Drum lathes
  • Platforms
  • Buffers
  • Turning lathes
  • Shims
  • Vertical milling machines
  • Pipe threaders
  • Tongs
  • Reamers
  • Tube benders
  • Gauges
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Engine lathes
  • Lathes
  • Valve grinding machines
  • Torches
  • Swaging tools
  • Flywheel lathes
  • Ladders
  • Hacksaws
  • Breaker lathes
  • Flat files
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Spirit levels
  • Computerized numerical control CNC machining centers
  • Vernier gear tooth calipers
  • Welding lenses
  • Machinists' squares
  • Sensitive drill presses
  • Horizontal boring bars
  • Computerized numerical control CNC turning lathes
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Full face shields
  • Vertical turret lathes VTL
  • Vernier bevel protractors
  • Hydraulic presses
  • V blocks
  • Parallel blocks
  • Sandblasters
  • Composition hammers
  • Coordinate measuring machines CMM
  • Wedges
  • Steel rules
  • Grinding wheel arbors
  • Multi-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Single-cut mill saw files
  • Combination drills
  • Chippers
  • Dial calipers
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Chamfer tools
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Feeler gauges
  • Height gauges
  • Forklifts
  • Hand saws
  • Deburring tools
  • Putty knives
  • Handheld welders
  • Half-round files
  • Metal inert gas MIG welders
  • Workshop cranes
  • Bandsaws
  • Hex keys
  • Milling vises
  • Metal shears
  • Micrometers
  • Brazing equipment
  • Machine shop rigging equipment
  • Heat-treating equipment
  • Combination pliers
  • Binocular light compound microscopes
  • Crankshaft grinders
  • Surface grinding machines
  • Soldering equipment
  • Punches
  • Shielded arc welding tools
  • Cylinder honers
  • Spindle blade screwdrivers
  • Cold chisels
  • Marking blocks
  • Cylindrical grinders
  • Ball peen hammers
  • Aviation snips
  • Planers
  • Screw pitch gauges
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Centrifugal spin casters
  • Magnetic retrievers
  • Knee mills
  • Power sanders
  • Power hacksaws
  • Jointers
  • Horizontal mills
  • Ring gauges
  • Sledgehammers
  • Beverly shears
  • Shapers
  • Vernier calipers
  • Telescoping gauges
  • Pry bars
  • Sharpening equipment
  • Brass hammers
  • Welding shields
  • Prick punches
  • Cold saws
  • Shears
  • Ratchet sets
  • Turret lathes
  • Outside spring calipers
  • Undercut tools
  • Screwdrivers
  • Boring tools
  • Arbor presses
  • Outside micrometers
  • Chucks
  • Vernier height gauges
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Oxyacetylene welding equipment
  • Plasma welders
  • Hand clamps
  • Radial drill presses
  • Hermaphrodite calipers
  • Hex wrenches
  • Scribers
  • Grinding dogs
  • Laser printers
  • Edge finders
  • Pillar drill machines
  • Steel wedges
  • Radial drills
  • Machinists' hammers
  • Anvils
  • Angle plates
  • Metal spray equipment
  • Horizontal lathes
  • Milling angle form cutters
  • Power drills
  • Rubber mallets
  • Radius gauges
  • Threading machines
  • Cutoff saws
  • Inside spring calipers
  • Angled feeler gauges
  • Square chisels
  • Planer gauges
  • Milling machines
  • Desktop computers
  • Inside micrometers
  • Tungsten inert gas TIG welding equipment
  • Broachers