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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Mechanist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #358 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

51%

“Mechanist” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 51% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“Mechanist” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Machinists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Set up and operate a variety of machine tools to produce precision parts and instruments out of metal. Includes precision instrument makers who fabricate, modify, or repair mechanical instruments. May also fabricate and modify parts to make or repair machine tools or maintain industrial machines, applying knowledge of mechanics, mathematics, metal properties, layout, and machining procedures.

Avg. Annual Salary $57,390
Avg. Hourly Wage $27.59
Available Jobs (US) 298,790
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Machinists #51-4041
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Machinists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Dismantle machines or equipment, using hand tools or power tools to examine parts for defects and replace defective parts where needed.

  • Advise clients about the materials being used for finished products.

  • Prepare working sketches for the illustration of product appearance.

  • Check work pieces to ensure that they are properly lubricated or cooled.

  • Measure, examine, or test completed units to check for defects and ensure conformance to specifications, using precision instruments, such as micrometers.

  • Evaluate machining procedures and recommend changes or modifications for improved efficiency or adaptability.

  • Establish work procedures for fabricating new structural products, using a variety of metalworking machines.

  • Design fixtures, tooling, or experimental parts to meet special engineering needs.

  • Diagnose machine tool malfunctions to determine need for adjustments or repairs.

  • Monitor the feed and speed of machines during the machining process.

  • Maintain machine tools in proper operational condition.

  • Install repaired parts into equipment or install new equipment.

  • Operate equipment to verify operational efficiency.

  • Confer with numerical control programmers to check and ensure that new programs or machinery will function properly and that output will meet specifications.

  • Dispose of scrap or waste material in accordance with company policies and environmental regulations.

  • Calculate dimensions or tolerances, using instruments, such as micrometers or vernier calipers.

  • Confer with engineering, supervisory, or manufacturing personnel to exchange technical information.

  • Test experimental models under simulated operating conditions, for purposes such as development, standardization, or feasibility of design.

  • Separate scrap waste and related materials for reuse, recycling, or disposal.

  • Lay out, measure, and mark metal stock to display placement of cuts.

  • Align and secure holding fixtures, cutting tools, attachments, accessories, or materials onto machines.

  • Program computers or electronic instruments, such as numerically controlled machine tools.

  • Fit and assemble parts to make or repair machine tools.

  • Set up, adjust, or operate basic or specialized machine tools used to perform precision machining operations.

  • Study sample parts, blueprints, drawings, or engineering information to determine methods or sequences of operations needed to fabricate products.

  • Support metalworking projects from planning and fabrication through assembly, inspection, and testing, using knowledge of machine functions, metal properties, and mathematics.

  • Set up or operate metalworking, brazing, heat-treating, welding, or cutting equipment.

  • Machine parts to specifications, using machine tools, such as lathes, milling machines, shapers, or grinders.

  • Install experimental parts or assemblies, such as hydraulic systems, electrical wiring, lubricants, or batteries into machines or mechanisms.

Technologies & Software

  • Siemens NX
  • Sight Machine AI
  • OneCNC CAD/CAM
  • Kentech Kipware Studio
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Dassault Systemes SolidWorks
  • ABB AI Robotics
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • G-code
  • Grok (xAI)
  • JETCAM
  • OnShape
  • CNC Mastercam
  • SAP software
  • Autodesk HSMWorks
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Hexagon Metrology PC-DMIS
  • CNC Consulting Machinists' Calculator
  • Rockwell Automation AI
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Mastercam computer-aided design and manufacturing software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • 3D Printing software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Kentech Kipware Trig Kalculator
  • GRZ Software MeshCAM
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • SolidCAM CAM software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • JobBOSS
  • Autodesk Fusion 360
  • Cognex Vision AI
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Siemens Industrial AI
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • DeepSeek
  • Mazak Mazatrol SMART CNC
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Armchair Machinist software
  • Dassault Systemes CATIA
  • EditCNC
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • ERP software
  • Vero Software SURFCAM
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • IMSI TurboCAD
  • Combination pliers
  • Hand saws
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Composition hammers
  • Engine lathes
  • Inside micrometers
  • Buffers
  • Sine bars
  • Feeler gauges
  • Turning lathes
  • Parallel blocks
  • Forklifts
  • Swaging tools
  • Jointers
  • Thread gauges
  • Sandblasters
  • Brake presses
  • Valve grinding machines
  • Dial indicators
  • Tungsten inert gas TIG welding equipment
  • Machinists' squares
  • Surface gauges
  • Steel rules
  • Binocular light compound microscopes
  • Hex wrenches
  • Shielded arc welding tools
  • Milling machines
  • Planers
  • Cutoff saws
  • Metal spray equipment
  • Threading machines
  • Knee mills
  • Surface grinding machines
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Shims
  • Lathes
  • Radial drill presses
  • Planer gauges
  • Outside micrometers
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Broachers
  • Angle plates
  • Desktop computers
  • Metal shears
  • Coordinate measuring machines CMM
  • Combination drills
  • Chucks
  • Power drills
  • Ladders
  • Ratchet sets
  • Pry bars
  • Staging equipment
  • Welding lenses
  • Spirit levels
  • Ball peen hammers
  • Resurfacing machines
  • Spindle blade screwdrivers
  • Screwdrivers
  • Heat-treating equipment
  • Undercut tools
  • Vertical milling machines
  • Workshop cranes
  • 3-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Single-cut mill saw files
  • Vernier gear tooth calipers
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Flywheel lathes
  • Prick punches
  • Sensitive drill presses
  • Grinders
  • Beverly shears
  • Height gauges
  • Power hacksaws
  • Hacksaws
  • Wedges
  • Marking blocks
  • Flat files
  • Shears
  • Power sanders
  • Cold chisels
  • Cylindrical grinders
  • Sledgehammers
  • Telescoping gauges
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Platforms
  • Computerized numerical control CNC machining centers
  • Scribers
  • Horizontal lathes
  • Angled feeler gauges
  • Hydraulic presses
  • Grinding wheel arbors
  • Chippers
  • Multi-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Grinding dogs
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Cold saws
  • Steel wedges
  • Inside spring calipers
  • Sharpening equipment
  • Utility knives
  • Vertical turret lathes VTL
  • V blocks
  • Horizontal boring bars
  • Torches
  • Pipe threaders
  • Rubber mallets
  • Pillar drill machines
  • Brazing equipment
  • Metal inert gas MIG welders
  • Handheld welders
  • Putty knives
  • Turret lathes
  • Radial drills
  • Milling angle form cutters
  • Half-round files
  • Breaker lathes
  • Outside spring calipers
  • Calipers
  • Vernier calipers
  • Oxyacetylene welding equipment
  • Metal cutting taps
  • Dial calipers
  • Brass hammers
  • Punches
  • Vernier bevel protractors
  • Full face shields
  • Combination wrenches
  • Arbor presses
  • Milling vises
  • Tube benders
  • Machine shop rigging equipment
  • Crankshaft grinders
  • Hand clamps
  • Deburring tools
  • Shapers
  • Machinists' hammers
  • Soldering equipment
  • Laser printers
  • Radius gauges
  • Screw pitch gauges
  • Ring gauges
  • Anvils
  • Boring tools
  • Square chisels
  • Drum lathes
  • Hex keys
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Micrometers
  • Personal computers
  • Portable welding equipment
  • Gauges
  • Reamers
  • Aviation snips
  • Welding shields
  • Edge finders
  • Centrifugal spin casters
  • Tongs
  • Center drills
  • Computerized numerical control CNC turning lathes
  • Horizontal mills
  • Bandsaws
  • Boring bars
  • Plasma welders
  • Magnetic retrievers
  • Chamfer tools
  • Vernier height gauges
  • Cylinder honers
  • Hermaphrodite calipers