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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Mechanist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #358 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

51%

“Mechanist” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 51% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“Mechanist” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Machinists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Set up and operate a variety of machine tools to produce precision parts and instruments out of metal. Includes precision instrument makers who fabricate, modify, or repair mechanical instruments. May also fabricate and modify parts to make or repair machine tools or maintain industrial machines, applying knowledge of mechanics, mathematics, metal properties, layout, and machining procedures.

Avg. Annual Salary $57,390
Avg. Hourly Wage $27.59
Available Jobs (US) 298,790
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Machinists #51-4041
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Machinists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Evaluate machining procedures and recommend changes or modifications for improved efficiency or adaptability.

  • Dispose of scrap or waste material in accordance with company policies and environmental regulations.

  • Diagnose machine tool malfunctions to determine need for adjustments or repairs.

  • Study sample parts, blueprints, drawings, or engineering information to determine methods or sequences of operations needed to fabricate products.

  • Lay out, measure, and mark metal stock to display placement of cuts.

  • Check work pieces to ensure that they are properly lubricated or cooled.

  • Dismantle machines or equipment, using hand tools or power tools to examine parts for defects and replace defective parts where needed.

  • Advise clients about the materials being used for finished products.

  • Separate scrap waste and related materials for reuse, recycling, or disposal.

  • Program computers or electronic instruments, such as numerically controlled machine tools.

  • Maintain machine tools in proper operational condition.

  • Monitor the feed and speed of machines during the machining process.

  • Install repaired parts into equipment or install new equipment.

  • Calculate dimensions or tolerances, using instruments, such as micrometers or vernier calipers.

  • Establish work procedures for fabricating new structural products, using a variety of metalworking machines.

  • Confer with engineering, supervisory, or manufacturing personnel to exchange technical information.

  • Install experimental parts or assemblies, such as hydraulic systems, electrical wiring, lubricants, or batteries into machines or mechanisms.

  • Confer with numerical control programmers to check and ensure that new programs or machinery will function properly and that output will meet specifications.

  • Set up or operate metalworking, brazing, heat-treating, welding, or cutting equipment.

  • Machine parts to specifications, using machine tools, such as lathes, milling machines, shapers, or grinders.

  • Fit and assemble parts to make or repair machine tools.

  • Operate equipment to verify operational efficiency.

  • Align and secure holding fixtures, cutting tools, attachments, accessories, or materials onto machines.

  • Prepare working sketches for the illustration of product appearance.

  • Measure, examine, or test completed units to check for defects and ensure conformance to specifications, using precision instruments, such as micrometers.

  • Design fixtures, tooling, or experimental parts to meet special engineering needs.

  • Set up, adjust, or operate basic or specialized machine tools used to perform precision machining operations.

  • Test experimental models under simulated operating conditions, for purposes such as development, standardization, or feasibility of design.

  • Support metalworking projects from planning and fabrication through assembly, inspection, and testing, using knowledge of machine functions, metal properties, and mathematics.

Technologies & Software

  • Dassault Systemes CATIA
  • CNC Consulting Machinists' Calculator
  • ERP software
  • Gemini (Google)
  • DeepSeek
  • Rockwell Automation AI
  • Sight Machine AI
  • G-code
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • Mazak Mazatrol SMART CNC
  • EditCNC
  • Cognex Vision AI
  • SolidCAM CAM software
  • Vero Software SURFCAM
  • GRZ Software MeshCAM
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Microsoft Word
  • JETCAM
  • Kentech Kipware Studio
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Llama (Meta)
  • SAP software
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Dassault Systemes SolidWorks
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Autodesk Fusion 360
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Hexagon Metrology PC-DMIS
  • CNC Mastercam
  • Kentech Kipware Trig Kalculator
  • OneCNC CAD/CAM
  • ABB AI Robotics
  • Siemens Industrial AI
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • 3D Printing software
  • Armchair Machinist software
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • Siemens NX
  • IMSI TurboCAD
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Autodesk HSMWorks
  • JobBOSS
  • Mastercam computer-aided design and manufacturing software
  • OnShape
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Sandblasters
  • Cold chisels
  • Planers
  • 3-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Vertical turret lathes VTL
  • Laser printers
  • Metal inert gas MIG welders
  • Utility knives
  • Brake presses
  • Machinists' squares
  • Soldering equipment
  • Tongs
  • Spindle blade screwdrivers
  • Hex keys
  • Planer gauges
  • Dial indicators
  • Lathes
  • Vernier gear tooth calipers
  • Full face shields
  • Workshop cranes
  • Power drills
  • Brazing equipment
  • Vertical milling machines
  • Cutoff saws
  • Telescoping gauges
  • Flywheel lathes
  • Anvils
  • Reamers
  • Milling angle form cutters
  • Turret lathes
  • Dial calipers
  • Hex wrenches
  • Sledgehammers
  • Metal cutting taps
  • Shims
  • Square chisels
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Cylinder honers
  • Computerized numerical control CNC machining centers
  • Boring tools
  • Milling vises
  • Deburring tools
  • Hand clamps
  • Resurfacing machines
  • Grinders
  • Jointers
  • Breaker lathes
  • Height gauges
  • Angle plates
  • Single-cut mill saw files
  • Power sanders
  • Horizontal boring bars
  • Shielded arc welding tools
  • Arbor presses
  • Engine lathes
  • Hydraulic presses
  • Surface grinding machines
  • Ball peen hammers
  • Oxyacetylene welding equipment
  • Surface gauges
  • Cold saws
  • Grinding dogs
  • Pipe threaders
  • Hand saws
  • Milling machines
  • Magnetic retrievers
  • Aviation snips
  • Welding lenses
  • Metal shears
  • Inside spring calipers
  • Radial drills
  • Coordinate measuring machines CMM
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Gauges
  • Grinding wheel arbors
  • Desktop computers
  • Boring bars
  • Valve grinding machines
  • Pry bars
  • Tungsten inert gas TIG welding equipment
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Metal spray equipment
  • Pillar drill machines
  • Broachers
  • Beverly shears
  • Angled feeler gauges
  • Heat-treating equipment
  • Portable welding equipment
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Outside micrometers
  • Sine bars
  • Tube benders
  • Centrifugal spin casters
  • Machine shop rigging equipment
  • Plasma welders
  • Prick punches
  • Putty knives
  • Staging equipment
  • Power hacksaws
  • Sharpening equipment
  • Bandsaws
  • Marking blocks
  • Parallel blocks
  • Binocular light compound microscopes
  • Chamfer tools
  • Platforms
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Horizontal lathes
  • Radial drill presses
  • Swaging tools
  • Shears
  • Machinists' hammers
  • Welding shields
  • Undercut tools
  • Chucks
  • Scribers
  • Center drills
  • Screwdrivers
  • Multi-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Forklifts
  • Vernier height gauges
  • Feeler gauges
  • Personal computers
  • Computerized numerical control CNC turning lathes
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Turning lathes
  • Handheld welders
  • Steel rules
  • Composition hammers
  • Calipers
  • Steel wedges
  • Crankshaft grinders
  • Inside micrometers
  • Ratchet sets
  • Combination pliers
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Vernier bevel protractors
  • Hermaphrodite calipers
  • Shapers
  • V blocks
  • Outside spring calipers
  • Threading machines
  • Combination drills
  • Spirit levels
  • Edge finders
  • Torches
  • Sensitive drill presses
  • Half-round files
  • Micrometers
  • Punches
  • Vernier calipers
  • Rubber mallets
  • Ring gauges
  • Combination wrenches
  • Drum lathes
  • Radius gauges
  • Hacksaws
  • Screw pitch gauges
  • Cylindrical grinders
  • Thread gauges
  • Wedges
  • Ladders
  • Buffers
  • Horizontal mills
  • Knee mills
  • Chippers
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Flat files
  • Brass hammers