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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Mechanist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #358 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

51%

“Mechanist” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 51% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“Mechanist” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Machinists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Set up and operate a variety of machine tools to produce precision parts and instruments out of metal. Includes precision instrument makers who fabricate, modify, or repair mechanical instruments. May also fabricate and modify parts to make or repair machine tools or maintain industrial machines, applying knowledge of mechanics, mathematics, metal properties, layout, and machining procedures.

Avg. Annual Salary $57,390
Avg. Hourly Wage $27.59
Available Jobs (US) 298,790
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Machinists #51-4041
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Machinists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Install experimental parts or assemblies, such as hydraulic systems, electrical wiring, lubricants, or batteries into machines or mechanisms.

  • Establish work procedures for fabricating new structural products, using a variety of metalworking machines.

  • Dismantle machines or equipment, using hand tools or power tools to examine parts for defects and replace defective parts where needed.

  • Machine parts to specifications, using machine tools, such as lathes, milling machines, shapers, or grinders.

  • Confer with numerical control programmers to check and ensure that new programs or machinery will function properly and that output will meet specifications.

  • Set up, adjust, or operate basic or specialized machine tools used to perform precision machining operations.

  • Lay out, measure, and mark metal stock to display placement of cuts.

  • Confer with engineering, supervisory, or manufacturing personnel to exchange technical information.

  • Measure, examine, or test completed units to check for defects and ensure conformance to specifications, using precision instruments, such as micrometers.

  • Operate equipment to verify operational efficiency.

  • Diagnose machine tool malfunctions to determine need for adjustments or repairs.

  • Calculate dimensions or tolerances, using instruments, such as micrometers or vernier calipers.

  • Maintain machine tools in proper operational condition.

  • Fit and assemble parts to make or repair machine tools.

  • Study sample parts, blueprints, drawings, or engineering information to determine methods or sequences of operations needed to fabricate products.

  • Support metalworking projects from planning and fabrication through assembly, inspection, and testing, using knowledge of machine functions, metal properties, and mathematics.

  • Evaluate machining procedures and recommend changes or modifications for improved efficiency or adaptability.

  • Monitor the feed and speed of machines during the machining process.

  • Test experimental models under simulated operating conditions, for purposes such as development, standardization, or feasibility of design.

  • Check work pieces to ensure that they are properly lubricated or cooled.

  • Program computers or electronic instruments, such as numerically controlled machine tools.

  • Install repaired parts into equipment or install new equipment.

  • Advise clients about the materials being used for finished products.

  • Align and secure holding fixtures, cutting tools, attachments, accessories, or materials onto machines.

  • Dispose of scrap or waste material in accordance with company policies and environmental regulations.

  • Design fixtures, tooling, or experimental parts to meet special engineering needs.

  • Separate scrap waste and related materials for reuse, recycling, or disposal.

  • Set up or operate metalworking, brazing, heat-treating, welding, or cutting equipment.

  • Prepare working sketches for the illustration of product appearance.

Technologies & Software

  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Siemens NX
  • Mastercam computer-aided design and manufacturing software
  • OneCNC CAD/CAM
  • Dassault Systemes SolidWorks
  • CNC Consulting Machinists' Calculator
  • Kentech Kipware Studio
  • Vero Software SURFCAM
  • GRZ Software MeshCAM
  • DeepSeek
  • G-code
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Rockwell Automation AI
  • Dassault Systemes CATIA
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Sight Machine AI
  • SolidCAM CAM software
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • CNC Mastercam
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • Siemens Industrial AI
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • JETCAM
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • 3D Printing software
  • OnShape
  • Mazak Mazatrol SMART CNC
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • SAP software
  • Autodesk HSMWorks
  • Autodesk Fusion 360
  • Kentech Kipware Trig Kalculator
  • JobBOSS
  • ABB AI Robotics
  • ERP software
  • Gemini (Google)
  • IMSI TurboCAD
  • Cognex Vision AI
  • EditCNC
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Armchair Machinist software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Hexagon Metrology PC-DMIS
  • Cold chisels
  • Shielded arc welding tools
  • Shapers
  • Cylindrical grinders
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Machinists' hammers
  • Anvils
  • Surface gauges
  • Sine bars
  • Welding shields
  • Coordinate measuring machines CMM
  • Inside micrometers
  • Jointers
  • Platforms
  • Steel rules
  • Rubber mallets
  • Prick punches
  • Ratchet sets
  • Valve grinding machines
  • Tube benders
  • Center drills
  • Beverly shears
  • Arbor presses
  • Spindle blade screwdrivers
  • Buffers
  • Shears
  • Combination wrenches
  • Square chisels
  • Cutoff saws
  • Broachers
  • Grinding dogs
  • 3-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Radius gauges
  • Inside spring calipers
  • Hand clamps
  • Bandsaws
  • Engine lathes
  • Grinding wheel arbors
  • Crankshaft grinders
  • Pillar drill machines
  • Full face shields
  • Gauges
  • Dial indicators
  • Brass hammers
  • Horizontal boring bars
  • Power hacksaws
  • Tongs
  • Height gauges
  • Laser printers
  • Radial drills
  • Screwdrivers
  • Combination drills
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Cold saws
  • Tungsten inert gas TIG welding equipment
  • Vernier bevel protractors
  • Torches
  • Chippers
  • Boring bars
  • Horizontal lathes
  • Sensitive drill presses
  • Aviation snips
  • Putty knives
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Handheld welders
  • Deburring tools
  • Sandblasters
  • Calipers
  • Angled feeler gauges
  • Marking blocks
  • Outside micrometers
  • Sledgehammers
  • Milling machines
  • Workshop cranes
  • Angle plates
  • Punches
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Threading machines
  • Chucks
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Vertical milling machines
  • Vernier gear tooth calipers
  • Pipe threaders
  • Flywheel lathes
  • Single-cut mill saw files
  • Power sanders
  • Surface grinding machines
  • Boring tools
  • Metal spray equipment
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Horizontal mills
  • Vertical turret lathes VTL
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Turning lathes
  • Personal computers
  • Reamers
  • Pry bars
  • Undercut tools
  • Computerized numerical control CNC machining centers
  • Chamfer tools
  • Plasma welders
  • Vernier height gauges
  • Planers
  • Wedges
  • Hermaphrodite calipers
  • Lathes
  • Spirit levels
  • Breaker lathes
  • Edge finders
  • Forklifts
  • Hex wrenches
  • V blocks
  • Radial drill presses
  • Screw pitch gauges
  • Milling vises
  • Dial calipers
  • Magnetic retrievers
  • Outside spring calipers
  • Scribers
  • Portable welding equipment
  • Hand saws
  • Computerized numerical control CNC turning lathes
  • Ball peen hammers
  • Combination pliers
  • Flat files
  • Knee mills
  • Heat-treating equipment
  • Utility knives
  • Multi-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Vernier calipers
  • Steel wedges
  • Hex keys
  • Swaging tools
  • Staging equipment
  • Half-round files
  • Shims
  • Binocular light compound microscopes
  • Sharpening equipment
  • Brazing equipment
  • Milling angle form cutters
  • Centrifugal spin casters
  • Thread gauges
  • Planer gauges
  • Grinders
  • Resurfacing machines
  • Welding lenses
  • Ladders
  • Turret lathes
  • Drum lathes
  • Telescoping gauges
  • Micrometers
  • Metal cutting taps
  • Oxyacetylene welding equipment
  • Power drills
  • Soldering equipment
  • Machine shop rigging equipment
  • Ring gauges
  • Cylinder honers
  • Metal shears
  • Parallel blocks
  • Desktop computers
  • Brake presses
  • Hacksaws
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Composition hammers
  • Metal inert gas MIG welders
  • Machinists' squares
  • Feeler gauges
  • Hydraulic presses