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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Gear Machinist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #358 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

51%

“Gear Machinist” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 51% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“Gear Machinist” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Machinists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Set up and operate a variety of machine tools to produce precision parts and instruments out of metal. Includes precision instrument makers who fabricate, modify, or repair mechanical instruments. May also fabricate and modify parts to make or repair machine tools or maintain industrial machines, applying knowledge of mechanics, mathematics, metal properties, layout, and machining procedures.

Avg. Annual Salary $57,390
Avg. Hourly Wage $27.59
Available Jobs (US) 298,790
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Machinists #51-4041
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Machinists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Diagnose machine tool malfunctions to determine need for adjustments or repairs.

  • Support metalworking projects from planning and fabrication through assembly, inspection, and testing, using knowledge of machine functions, metal properties, and mathematics.

  • Measure, examine, or test completed units to check for defects and ensure conformance to specifications, using precision instruments, such as micrometers.

  • Evaluate machining procedures and recommend changes or modifications for improved efficiency or adaptability.

  • Confer with numerical control programmers to check and ensure that new programs or machinery will function properly and that output will meet specifications.

  • Lay out, measure, and mark metal stock to display placement of cuts.

  • Dismantle machines or equipment, using hand tools or power tools to examine parts for defects and replace defective parts where needed.

  • Dispose of scrap or waste material in accordance with company policies and environmental regulations.

  • Maintain machine tools in proper operational condition.

  • Fit and assemble parts to make or repair machine tools.

  • Install experimental parts or assemblies, such as hydraulic systems, electrical wiring, lubricants, or batteries into machines or mechanisms.

  • Operate equipment to verify operational efficiency.

  • Design fixtures, tooling, or experimental parts to meet special engineering needs.

  • Program computers or electronic instruments, such as numerically controlled machine tools.

  • Monitor the feed and speed of machines during the machining process.

  • Align and secure holding fixtures, cutting tools, attachments, accessories, or materials onto machines.

  • Separate scrap waste and related materials for reuse, recycling, or disposal.

  • Calculate dimensions or tolerances, using instruments, such as micrometers or vernier calipers.

  • Prepare working sketches for the illustration of product appearance.

  • Confer with engineering, supervisory, or manufacturing personnel to exchange technical information.

  • Set up or operate metalworking, brazing, heat-treating, welding, or cutting equipment.

  • Study sample parts, blueprints, drawings, or engineering information to determine methods or sequences of operations needed to fabricate products.

  • Test experimental models under simulated operating conditions, for purposes such as development, standardization, or feasibility of design.

  • Advise clients about the materials being used for finished products.

  • Establish work procedures for fabricating new structural products, using a variety of metalworking machines.

  • Check work pieces to ensure that they are properly lubricated or cooled.

  • Install repaired parts into equipment or install new equipment.

  • Set up, adjust, or operate basic or specialized machine tools used to perform precision machining operations.

  • Machine parts to specifications, using machine tools, such as lathes, milling machines, shapers, or grinders.

Technologies & Software

  • Llama (Meta)
  • Kentech Kipware Trig Kalculator
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • Dassault Systemes CATIA
  • Kentech Kipware Studio
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Autodesk Fusion 360
  • ABB AI Robotics
  • Siemens NX
  • Dassault Systemes SolidWorks
  • CNC Consulting Machinists' Calculator
  • G-code
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Siemens Industrial AI
  • EditCNC
  • JobBOSS
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • 3D Printing software
  • Mazak Mazatrol SMART CNC
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • OnShape
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Grok (xAI)
  • OneCNC CAD/CAM
  • CNC Mastercam
  • Microsoft Word
  • SolidCAM CAM software
  • JETCAM
  • DeepSeek
  • IMSI TurboCAD
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • GRZ Software MeshCAM
  • Armchair Machinist software
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Vero Software SURFCAM
  • Autodesk HSMWorks
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • SAP software
  • Mastercam computer-aided design and manufacturing software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • ERP software
  • Sight Machine AI
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Cognex Vision AI
  • Rockwell Automation AI
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Hexagon Metrology PC-DMIS
  • Tungsten inert gas TIG welding equipment
  • Hex wrenches
  • Gauges
  • Plasma welders
  • Sine bars
  • Edge finders
  • Flat files
  • Radial drill presses
  • Beverly shears
  • Shapers
  • Steel wedges
  • Breaker lathes
  • Metal spray equipment
  • Sensitive drill presses
  • V blocks
  • Hacksaws
  • Boring tools
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Dial calipers
  • Chamfer tools
  • Sharpening equipment
  • Planer gauges
  • Punches
  • Boring bars
  • Inside micrometers
  • Feeler gauges
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Chippers
  • Desktop computers
  • Flywheel lathes
  • Screw pitch gauges
  • Full face shields
  • Hermaphrodite calipers
  • 3-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Brazing equipment
  • Anvils
  • Vernier bevel protractors
  • Screwdrivers
  • Calipers
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Buffers
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Welding lenses
  • Personal computers
  • Half-round files
  • Turret lathes
  • Torches
  • Machine shop rigging equipment
  • Angle plates
  • Staging equipment
  • Chucks
  • Cold chisels
  • Surface grinding machines
  • Forklifts
  • Portable welding equipment
  • Milling angle form cutters
  • Telescoping gauges
  • Knee mills
  • Scribers
  • Dial indicators
  • Power drills
  • Threading machines
  • Grinding wheel arbors
  • Heat-treating equipment
  • Tongs
  • Shims
  • Ratchet sets
  • Workshop cranes
  • Machinists' hammers
  • Horizontal mills
  • Shielded arc welding tools
  • Undercut tools
  • Ladders
  • Binocular light compound microscopes
  • Parallel blocks
  • Vernier gear tooth calipers
  • Handheld welders
  • Hex keys
  • Cylindrical grinders
  • Machinists' squares
  • Center drills
  • Vernier height gauges
  • Laser printers
  • Valve grinding machines
  • Reamers
  • Broachers
  • Platforms
  • Power sanders
  • Tube benders
  • Pillar drill machines
  • Computerized numerical control CNC machining centers
  • Rubber mallets
  • Vertical turret lathes VTL
  • Wedges
  • Steel rules
  • Deburring tools
  • Surface gauges
  • Centrifugal spin casters
  • Ring gauges
  • Spindle blade screwdrivers
  • Composition hammers
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Hydraulic presses
  • Shears
  • Sandblasters
  • Hand clamps
  • Milling machines
  • Angled feeler gauges
  • Combination pliers
  • Soldering equipment
  • Computerized numerical control CNC turning lathes
  • Putty knives
  • Bandsaws
  • Utility knives
  • Square chisels
  • Hand saws
  • Engine lathes
  • Combination wrenches
  • Horizontal lathes
  • Grinders
  • Radius gauges
  • Multi-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Metal shears
  • Vernier calipers
  • Outside spring calipers
  • Vertical milling machines
  • Aviation snips
  • Height gauges
  • Radial drills
  • Arbor presses
  • Brass hammers
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Oxyacetylene welding equipment
  • Grinding dogs
  • Milling vises
  • Single-cut mill saw files
  • Pipe threaders
  • Micrometers
  • Combination drills
  • Metal inert gas MIG welders
  • Drum lathes
  • Marking blocks
  • Sledgehammers
  • Ball peen hammers
  • Swaging tools
  • Cutoff saws
  • Thread gauges
  • Cold saws
  • Planers
  • Cylinder honers
  • Outside micrometers
  • Spirit levels
  • Inside spring calipers
  • Turning lathes
  • Jointers
  • Crankshaft grinders
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Prick punches
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Power hacksaws
  • Coordinate measuring machines CMM
  • Metal cutting taps
  • Lathes
  • Horizontal boring bars
  • Brake presses
  • Magnetic retrievers
  • Resurfacing machines
  • Welding shields
  • Pry bars