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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “CNC Machinist (Computer Numerically Controlled Machinist)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #358 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

51%

“CNC Machinist (Computer Numerically Controlled Machinist)” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 51% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“CNC Machinist (Computer Numerically Controlled Machinist)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Machinists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Set up and operate a variety of machine tools to produce precision parts and instruments out of metal. Includes precision instrument makers who fabricate, modify, or repair mechanical instruments. May also fabricate and modify parts to make or repair machine tools or maintain industrial machines, applying knowledge of mechanics, mathematics, metal properties, layout, and machining procedures.

Avg. Annual Salary $57,390
Avg. Hourly Wage $27.59
Available Jobs (US) 298,790
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Machinists #51-4041
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Machinists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Install experimental parts or assemblies, such as hydraulic systems, electrical wiring, lubricants, or batteries into machines or mechanisms.

  • Separate scrap waste and related materials for reuse, recycling, or disposal.

  • Check work pieces to ensure that they are properly lubricated or cooled.

  • Advise clients about the materials being used for finished products.

  • Calculate dimensions or tolerances, using instruments, such as micrometers or vernier calipers.

  • Test experimental models under simulated operating conditions, for purposes such as development, standardization, or feasibility of design.

  • Confer with numerical control programmers to check and ensure that new programs or machinery will function properly and that output will meet specifications.

  • Lay out, measure, and mark metal stock to display placement of cuts.

  • Evaluate machining procedures and recommend changes or modifications for improved efficiency or adaptability.

  • Install repaired parts into equipment or install new equipment.

  • Dispose of scrap or waste material in accordance with company policies and environmental regulations.

  • Prepare working sketches for the illustration of product appearance.

  • Diagnose machine tool malfunctions to determine need for adjustments or repairs.

  • Establish work procedures for fabricating new structural products, using a variety of metalworking machines.

  • Design fixtures, tooling, or experimental parts to meet special engineering needs.

  • Fit and assemble parts to make or repair machine tools.

  • Confer with engineering, supervisory, or manufacturing personnel to exchange technical information.

  • Set up or operate metalworking, brazing, heat-treating, welding, or cutting equipment.

  • Align and secure holding fixtures, cutting tools, attachments, accessories, or materials onto machines.

  • Operate equipment to verify operational efficiency.

  • Machine parts to specifications, using machine tools, such as lathes, milling machines, shapers, or grinders.

  • Monitor the feed and speed of machines during the machining process.

  • Maintain machine tools in proper operational condition.

  • Set up, adjust, or operate basic or specialized machine tools used to perform precision machining operations.

  • Support metalworking projects from planning and fabrication through assembly, inspection, and testing, using knowledge of machine functions, metal properties, and mathematics.

  • Study sample parts, blueprints, drawings, or engineering information to determine methods or sequences of operations needed to fabricate products.

  • Program computers or electronic instruments, such as numerically controlled machine tools.

  • Measure, examine, or test completed units to check for defects and ensure conformance to specifications, using precision instruments, such as micrometers.

  • Dismantle machines or equipment, using hand tools or power tools to examine parts for defects and replace defective parts where needed.

Technologies & Software

  • Autodesk Fusion 360
  • GRZ Software MeshCAM
  • IMSI TurboCAD
  • Mazak Mazatrol SMART CNC
  • Siemens NX
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Dassault Systemes CATIA
  • EditCNC
  • G-code
  • Siemens Industrial AI
  • Armchair Machinist software
  • OnShape
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • ERP software
  • Rockwell Automation AI
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • OneCNC CAD/CAM
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • Mastercam computer-aided design and manufacturing software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Kentech Kipware Trig Kalculator
  • Hexagon Metrology PC-DMIS
  • Vero Software SURFCAM
  • CNC Consulting Machinists' Calculator
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Microsoft Word
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Autodesk HSMWorks
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • JETCAM
  • Cognex Vision AI
  • SolidCAM CAM software
  • SAP software
  • 3D Printing software
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Sight Machine AI
  • Llama (Meta)
  • DeepSeek
  • Gemini (Google)
  • CNC Mastercam
  • ABB AI Robotics
  • Dassault Systemes SolidWorks
  • Kentech Kipware Studio
  • Microsoft Excel
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • JobBOSS
  • Vertical milling machines
  • Bandsaws
  • Machine shop rigging equipment
  • Sledgehammers
  • Staging equipment
  • Angle plates
  • Brass hammers
  • Power sanders
  • Portable welding equipment
  • Breaker lathes
  • Knee mills
  • Forklifts
  • Screwdrivers
  • Radius gauges
  • Metal spray equipment
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Composition hammers
  • Steel rules
  • Surface gauges
  • Steel wedges
  • Metal inert gas MIG welders
  • Vernier gear tooth calipers
  • Reamers
  • Buffers
  • Cylindrical grinders
  • Coordinate measuring machines CMM
  • Sandblasters
  • Outside spring calipers
  • Wedges
  • Grinding wheel arbors
  • Grinders
  • Radial drills
  • Milling vises
  • Machinists' squares
  • Shears
  • Ratchet sets
  • Thread gauges
  • Inside spring calipers
  • Combination drills
  • Sensitive drill presses
  • Cylinder honers
  • Dial indicators
  • Machinists' hammers
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Torches
  • Hermaphrodite calipers
  • Edge finders
  • Horizontal lathes
  • Tube benders
  • Horizontal boring bars
  • Screw pitch gauges
  • Cutoff saws
  • Chippers
  • Workshop cranes
  • Tungsten inert gas TIG welding equipment
  • Desktop computers
  • Height gauges
  • Handheld welders
  • Beverly shears
  • Shims
  • Tongs
  • Prick punches
  • Brazing equipment
  • Magnetic retrievers
  • Putty knives
  • Heat-treating equipment
  • Pillar drill machines
  • Planer gauges
  • Resurfacing machines
  • Vertical turret lathes VTL
  • Utility knives
  • Full face shields
  • Cold chisels
  • Computerized numerical control CNC machining centers
  • Anvils
  • Outside micrometers
  • Cold saws
  • Personal computers
  • Center drills
  • Ball peen hammers
  • Parallel blocks
  • Scribers
  • Sharpening equipment
  • Calipers
  • Micrometers
  • Boring tools
  • Hand clamps
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Welding lenses
  • Turning lathes
  • Lathes
  • V blocks
  • Combination pliers
  • Metal cutting taps
  • Engine lathes
  • Milling angle form cutters
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Telescoping gauges
  • Shielded arc welding tools
  • Plasma welders
  • Radial drill presses
  • Binocular light compound microscopes
  • Ladders
  • Dial calipers
  • Sine bars
  • Chamfer tools
  • Ring gauges
  • Threading machines
  • Oxyacetylene welding equipment
  • Vernier calipers
  • Brake presses
  • Metal shears
  • Valve grinding machines
  • Spindle blade screwdrivers
  • Inside micrometers
  • Punches
  • Pry bars
  • Arbor presses
  • Undercut tools
  • Multi-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Gauges
  • Broachers
  • Feeler gauges
  • Pipe threaders
  • Jointers
  • Power drills
  • Computerized numerical control CNC turning lathes
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Crankshaft grinders
  • Platforms
  • Vernier bevel protractors
  • Laser printers
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Welding shields
  • Hand saws
  • Rubber mallets
  • Vernier height gauges
  • Shapers
  • Grinding dogs
  • Horizontal mills
  • Spirit levels
  • Surface grinding machines
  • Milling machines
  • Flat files
  • Swaging tools
  • Power hacksaws
  • Boring bars
  • Angled feeler gauges
  • Square chisels
  • Single-cut mill saw files
  • Half-round files
  • Side cutting pliers
  • 3-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Chucks
  • Hydraulic presses
  • Drum lathes
  • Soldering equipment
  • Flywheel lathes
  • Hacksaws
  • Hex keys
  • Centrifugal spin casters
  • Aviation snips
  • Marking blocks
  • Planers
  • Hex wrenches
  • Deburring tools
  • Combination wrenches
  • Turret lathes