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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Jobber” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #358 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

51%

“Jobber” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 51% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“Jobber” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Machinists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Set up and operate a variety of machine tools to produce precision parts and instruments out of metal. Includes precision instrument makers who fabricate, modify, or repair mechanical instruments. May also fabricate and modify parts to make or repair machine tools or maintain industrial machines, applying knowledge of mechanics, mathematics, metal properties, layout, and machining procedures.

Avg. Annual Salary $57,390
Avg. Hourly Wage $27.59
Available Jobs (US) 298,790
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Machinists #51-4041
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Machinists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Diagnose machine tool malfunctions to determine need for adjustments or repairs.

  • Align and secure holding fixtures, cutting tools, attachments, accessories, or materials onto machines.

  • Dismantle machines or equipment, using hand tools or power tools to examine parts for defects and replace defective parts where needed.

  • Install repaired parts into equipment or install new equipment.

  • Install experimental parts or assemblies, such as hydraulic systems, electrical wiring, lubricants, or batteries into machines or mechanisms.

  • Separate scrap waste and related materials for reuse, recycling, or disposal.

  • Advise clients about the materials being used for finished products.

  • Monitor the feed and speed of machines during the machining process.

  • Study sample parts, blueprints, drawings, or engineering information to determine methods or sequences of operations needed to fabricate products.

  • Confer with engineering, supervisory, or manufacturing personnel to exchange technical information.

  • Check work pieces to ensure that they are properly lubricated or cooled.

  • Lay out, measure, and mark metal stock to display placement of cuts.

  • Support metalworking projects from planning and fabrication through assembly, inspection, and testing, using knowledge of machine functions, metal properties, and mathematics.

  • Fit and assemble parts to make or repair machine tools.

  • Machine parts to specifications, using machine tools, such as lathes, milling machines, shapers, or grinders.

  • Prepare working sketches for the illustration of product appearance.

  • Calculate dimensions or tolerances, using instruments, such as micrometers or vernier calipers.

  • Test experimental models under simulated operating conditions, for purposes such as development, standardization, or feasibility of design.

  • Set up, adjust, or operate basic or specialized machine tools used to perform precision machining operations.

  • Measure, examine, or test completed units to check for defects and ensure conformance to specifications, using precision instruments, such as micrometers.

  • Design fixtures, tooling, or experimental parts to meet special engineering needs.

  • Confer with numerical control programmers to check and ensure that new programs or machinery will function properly and that output will meet specifications.

  • Maintain machine tools in proper operational condition.

  • Set up or operate metalworking, brazing, heat-treating, welding, or cutting equipment.

  • Dispose of scrap or waste material in accordance with company policies and environmental regulations.

  • Operate equipment to verify operational efficiency.

  • Establish work procedures for fabricating new structural products, using a variety of metalworking machines.

  • Program computers or electronic instruments, such as numerically controlled machine tools.

  • Evaluate machining procedures and recommend changes or modifications for improved efficiency or adaptability.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Office software
  • Dassault Systemes CATIA
  • G-code
  • IMSI TurboCAD
  • ABB AI Robotics
  • Sight Machine AI
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Siemens NX
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Cognex Vision AI
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Dassault Systemes SolidWorks
  • JETCAM
  • GRZ Software MeshCAM
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • CNC Mastercam
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Autodesk HSMWorks
  • Kentech Kipware Studio
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • JobBOSS
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Microsoft Word
  • Rockwell Automation AI
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Autodesk Fusion 360
  • Mazak Mazatrol SMART CNC
  • OnShape
  • EditCNC
  • Armchair Machinist software
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • Gemini (Google)
  • SolidCAM CAM software
  • Kentech Kipware Trig Kalculator
  • CNC Consulting Machinists' Calculator
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Siemens Industrial AI
  • DeepSeek
  • Mastercam computer-aided design and manufacturing software
  • SAP software
  • Vero Software SURFCAM
  • OneCNC CAD/CAM
  • Llama (Meta)
  • 3D Printing software
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • ERP software
  • Hexagon Metrology PC-DMIS
  • Sensitive drill presses
  • Half-round files
  • Buffers
  • Spindle blade screwdrivers
  • Staging equipment
  • Full face shields
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Center drills
  • Ring gauges
  • Combination wrenches
  • Horizontal boring bars
  • Edge finders
  • Vernier gear tooth calipers
  • Personal computers
  • Hand clamps
  • Angled feeler gauges
  • Deburring tools
  • Cylindrical grinders
  • Sharpening equipment
  • Desktop computers
  • Computerized numerical control CNC turning lathes
  • Calipers
  • Shims
  • Computerized numerical control CNC machining centers
  • Height gauges
  • Tungsten inert gas TIG welding equipment
  • Power drills
  • Telescoping gauges
  • Radial drill presses
  • Ratchet sets
  • Shapers
  • Forklifts
  • Radial drills
  • Metal cutting taps
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Combination pliers
  • Engine lathes
  • Turning lathes
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Milling vises
  • Oxyacetylene welding equipment
  • 3-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Screwdrivers
  • Steel rules
  • Welding shields
  • Rubber mallets
  • Torches
  • Outside micrometers
  • Sledgehammers
  • Horizontal lathes
  • Magnetic retrievers
  • Hand saws
  • Sine bars
  • Grinders
  • Vernier bevel protractors
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Metal inert gas MIG welders
  • Resurfacing machines
  • Chippers
  • Knee mills
  • Centrifugal spin casters
  • Metal shears
  • Tongs
  • Combination drills
  • Breaker lathes
  • Hex wrenches
  • Flat files
  • Undercut tools
  • Utility knives
  • Shears
  • Cutoff saws
  • Wedges
  • Brass hammers
  • Planers
  • Grinding wheel arbors
  • Valve grinding machines
  • Metal spray equipment
  • Coordinate measuring machines CMM
  • Cylinder honers
  • Bandsaws
  • Hydraulic presses
  • Threading machines
  • Hermaphrodite calipers
  • Drum lathes
  • Ladders
  • Swaging tools
  • Jointers
  • Anvils
  • Lathes
  • Hex keys
  • Power sanders
  • Laser printers
  • Cold chisels
  • Tube benders
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Welding lenses
  • Milling machines
  • Spirit levels
  • Turret lathes
  • Screw pitch gauges
  • Vernier calipers
  • Inside spring calipers
  • Outside spring calipers
  • Horizontal mills
  • Vernier height gauges
  • Gauges
  • Ball peen hammers
  • Chucks
  • Flywheel lathes
  • Punches
  • Socket wrench sets
  • V blocks
  • Boring bars
  • Dial indicators
  • Micrometers
  • Pipe threaders
  • Square chisels
  • Boring tools
  • Beverly shears
  • Power hacksaws
  • Pry bars
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Surface grinding machines
  • Single-cut mill saw files
  • Machinists' squares
  • Dial calipers
  • Brake presses
  • Planer gauges
  • Radius gauges
  • Milling angle form cutters
  • Cold saws
  • Broachers
  • Pillar drill machines
  • Crankshaft grinders
  • Handheld welders
  • Machinists' hammers
  • Vertical turret lathes VTL
  • Sandblasters
  • Hacksaws
  • Surface gauges
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Marking blocks
  • Multi-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Feeler gauges
  • Plasma welders
  • Heat-treating equipment
  • Reamers
  • Machine shop rigging equipment
  • Binocular light compound microscopes
  • Platforms
  • Soldering equipment
  • Vertical milling machines
  • Portable welding equipment
  • Aviation snips
  • Prick punches
  • Arbor presses
  • Workshop cranes
  • Brazing equipment
  • Inside micrometers
  • Thread gauges
  • Scribers
  • Parallel blocks
  • Composition hammers
  • Chamfer tools
  • Shielded arc welding tools
  • Putty knives
  • Angle plates
  • Steel wedges
  • Grinding dogs