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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Machinist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #358 of 702. Estimated risk: 65.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

51%

“Machinist” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 51% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

65%

“Machinist” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Machinists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Set up and operate a variety of machine tools to produce precision parts and instruments out of metal. Includes precision instrument makers who fabricate, modify, or repair mechanical instruments. May also fabricate and modify parts to make or repair machine tools or maintain industrial machines, applying knowledge of mechanics, mathematics, metal properties, layout, and machining procedures.

Avg. Annual Salary $57,390
Avg. Hourly Wage $27.59
Available Jobs (US) 298,790
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Machinists #51-4041
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Machinists”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Calculate dimensions or tolerances, using instruments, such as micrometers or vernier calipers.

  • Operate equipment to verify operational efficiency.

  • Machine parts to specifications, using machine tools, such as lathes, milling machines, shapers, or grinders.

  • Dispose of scrap or waste material in accordance with company policies and environmental regulations.

  • Evaluate machining procedures and recommend changes or modifications for improved efficiency or adaptability.

  • Study sample parts, blueprints, drawings, or engineering information to determine methods or sequences of operations needed to fabricate products.

  • Install repaired parts into equipment or install new equipment.

  • Align and secure holding fixtures, cutting tools, attachments, accessories, or materials onto machines.

  • Set up or operate metalworking, brazing, heat-treating, welding, or cutting equipment.

  • Set up, adjust, or operate basic or specialized machine tools used to perform precision machining operations.

  • Maintain machine tools in proper operational condition.

  • Support metalworking projects from planning and fabrication through assembly, inspection, and testing, using knowledge of machine functions, metal properties, and mathematics.

  • Separate scrap waste and related materials for reuse, recycling, or disposal.

  • Design fixtures, tooling, or experimental parts to meet special engineering needs.

  • Check work pieces to ensure that they are properly lubricated or cooled.

  • Diagnose machine tool malfunctions to determine need for adjustments or repairs.

  • Dismantle machines or equipment, using hand tools or power tools to examine parts for defects and replace defective parts where needed.

  • Install experimental parts or assemblies, such as hydraulic systems, electrical wiring, lubricants, or batteries into machines or mechanisms.

  • Monitor the feed and speed of machines during the machining process.

  • Measure, examine, or test completed units to check for defects and ensure conformance to specifications, using precision instruments, such as micrometers.

  • Prepare working sketches for the illustration of product appearance.

  • Establish work procedures for fabricating new structural products, using a variety of metalworking machines.

  • Confer with numerical control programmers to check and ensure that new programs or machinery will function properly and that output will meet specifications.

  • Advise clients about the materials being used for finished products.

  • Program computers or electronic instruments, such as numerically controlled machine tools.

  • Confer with engineering, supervisory, or manufacturing personnel to exchange technical information.

  • Test experimental models under simulated operating conditions, for purposes such as development, standardization, or feasibility of design.

  • Lay out, measure, and mark metal stock to display placement of cuts.

  • Fit and assemble parts to make or repair machine tools.

Technologies & Software

  • Dassault Systemes SolidWorks
  • CNC Mastercam
  • Hexagon Metrology PC-DMIS
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • IMSI TurboCAD
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • SolidCAM CAM software
  • 3D Printing software
  • OneCNC CAD/CAM
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Autodesk HSMWorks
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Vero Software SURFCAM
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • GRZ Software MeshCAM
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Mastercam computer-aided design and manufacturing software
  • JobBOSS
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • EditCNC
  • Kentech Kipware Studio
  • ERP software
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • CNC Consulting Machinists' Calculator
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Dassault Systemes CATIA
  • Cognex Vision AI
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • G-code
  • JETCAM
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Siemens NX
  • Rockwell Automation AI
  • Autodesk Fusion 360
  • ABB AI Robotics
  • SAP software
  • Armchair Machinist software
  • Sight Machine AI
  • Mazak Mazatrol SMART CNC
  • Microsoft Word
  • DeepSeek
  • OnShape
  • Kentech Kipware Trig Kalculator
  • Siemens Industrial AI
  • Lathes
  • Magnetic retrievers
  • Brake presses
  • Single-cut mill saw files
  • Combination drills
  • Sharpening equipment
  • Square chisels
  • Combination wrenches
  • Handheld welders
  • Staging equipment
  • Ratchet sets
  • Grinding dogs
  • Welding lenses
  • Combination pliers
  • Scribers
  • Angled feeler gauges
  • Horizontal lathes
  • Power hacksaws
  • Shielded arc welding tools
  • Power sanders
  • Milling angle form cutters
  • Radial drill presses
  • Surface grinding machines
  • Horizontal mills
  • Sensitive drill presses
  • Outside spring calipers
  • Grinders
  • Grinding wheel arbors
  • Chucks
  • Cylindrical grinders
  • Torches
  • Machine shop rigging equipment
  • Milling vises
  • Portable welding equipment
  • Outside micrometers
  • Brass hammers
  • Rubber mallets
  • Center drills
  • Personal computers
  • Micrometers
  • Machinists' hammers
  • Heat-treating equipment
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Hydraulic presses
  • Screw pitch gauges
  • Half-round files
  • Anvils
  • Spirit levels
  • Brazing equipment
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Feeler gauges
  • Plasma welders
  • Tube benders
  • Parallel blocks
  • Ball peen hammers
  • Inside micrometers
  • Tongs
  • Steel wedges
  • Edge finders
  • Coordinate measuring machines CMM
  • Vernier height gauges
  • Radial drills
  • Cold chisels
  • Metal inert gas MIG welders
  • Pipe threaders
  • Aviation snips
  • Vernier bevel protractors
  • Marking blocks
  • Ladders
  • Surface gauges
  • Beverly shears
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Engine lathes
  • Chippers
  • Soldering equipment
  • Cold saws
  • Gauges
  • 3-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Spindle blade screwdrivers
  • Sledgehammers
  • Angle plates
  • Machinists' squares
  • Desktop computers
  • Dial calipers
  • Shears
  • Metal shears
  • Shapers
  • Buffers
  • Laser printers
  • Turning lathes
  • Drum lathes
  • Pry bars
  • Bandsaws
  • Metal spray equipment
  • Power drills
  • Radius gauges
  • Computerized numerical control CNC turning lathes
  • Ring gauges
  • Hand clamps
  • Oxyacetylene welding equipment
  • Hex wrenches
  • Telescoping gauges
  • Inside spring calipers
  • Vernier calipers
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Full face shields
  • Cutoff saws
  • Knee mills
  • Binocular light compound microscopes
  • Computerized numerical control CNC machining centers
  • Chamfer tools
  • Planer gauges
  • Centrifugal spin casters
  • Threading machines
  • Swaging tools
  • Hacksaws
  • Sine bars
  • Turret lathes
  • Steel rules
  • V blocks
  • Multi-axis computerized numerical control CNC machines
  • Flywheel lathes
  • Reamers
  • Vertical turret lathes VTL
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Screwdrivers
  • Undercut tools
  • Hex keys
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Utility knives
  • Workshop cranes
  • Boring bars
  • Horizontal boring bars
  • Tungsten inert gas TIG welding equipment
  • Valve grinding machines
  • Calipers
  • Boring tools
  • Planers
  • Broachers
  • Milling machines
  • Composition hammers
  • Pillar drill machines
  • Shims
  • Wedges
  • Jointers
  • Hand saws
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Prick punches
  • Metal cutting taps
  • Vertical milling machines
  • Resurfacing machines
  • Vernier gear tooth calipers
  • Breaker lathes
  • Hermaphrodite calipers
  • Dial indicators
  • Punches
  • Flat files
  • Thread gauges
  • Cylinder honers
  • Platforms
  • Crankshaft grinders
  • Deburring tools
  • Arbor presses
  • Forklifts
  • Height gauges
  • Sandblasters
  • Welding shields
  • Putty knives