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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Access Control Specialist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #178 of 702. Estimated risk: 11.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Access Control Specialist” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

43%

“Access Control Specialist” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 43% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Air Traffic Controllers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Control air traffic on and within vicinity of airport, and movement of air traffic between altitude sectors and control centers, according to established procedures and policies. Authorize, regulate, and control commercial airline flights according to government or company regulations to expedite and ensure flight safety.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,740
Avg. Hourly Wage $68.62
Available Jobs (US) 22,400
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Air Traffic Controllers #53-2021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Air Traffic Controllers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Direct pilots to runways when space is available or direct them to maintain a traffic pattern until there is space for them to land.

  • Monitor aircraft within a specific airspace, using radar, computer equipment, or visual references.

  • Transfer control of departing flights to traffic control centers and accept control of arriving flights.

  • Relay air traffic information, such as courses, altitudes, or expected arrival times, to control centers.

  • Inspect, adjust, or control radio equipment or airport lights.

  • Provide on-the-job training to new air traffic controllers.

  • Review records or reports for clarity and completeness and maintain records or reports, as required under federal law.

  • Initiate or coordinate searches for missing aircraft.

  • Direct ground traffic, including taxiing aircraft, maintenance or baggage vehicles, or airport workers.

  • Alert airport emergency services in cases of emergency or when aircraft are experiencing difficulties.

  • Check conditions and traffic at different altitudes in response to pilots' requests for altitude changes.

  • Issue landing and take-off authorizations or instructions.

  • Analyze factors such as weather reports, fuel requirements, or maps to determine air routes.

  • Monitor or direct the movement of aircraft within an assigned air space or on the ground at airports to minimize delays and maximize safety.

  • Determine the timing or procedures for flight vector changes.

  • Compile information about flights from flight plans, pilot reports, radar, or observations.

  • Organize flight plans or traffic management plans to prepare for planes about to enter assigned airspace.

  • Maintain radio or telephone contact with adjacent control towers, terminal control units, or other area control centers to coordinate aircraft movement.

  • Conduct pre-flight briefings on weather conditions, suggested routes, altitudes, indications of turbulence, or other flight safety information.

  • Inform pilots about nearby planes or potentially hazardous conditions, such as weather, speed and direction of wind, or visibility problems.

  • Complete daily activity reports and keep records of messages from aircraft.

  • Contact pilots by radio to provide meteorological, navigational, or other information.

  • Provide flight path changes or directions to emergency landing fields for pilots traveling in bad weather or in emergency situations.

Technologies & Software

  • Gemini (Google)
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Expedite departure path EDP software
  • Traffic management advisor TMA software
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Mobileye AI
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Really Simple Syndication RSS
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Multi-center traffic management advisor McTMA
  • Microsoft Word
  • Advanced technologies and oceanic procedures ATOP
  • DeepSeek
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Microsoft Access
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Final approach spacing tool FAST
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Center TRACON automation systems CTAS
  • Gatik AI
  • Direct-to-tool software
  • En route descent advisor EDA
  • Flight simulation software
  • Enterprise resource planning ERP software
  • SAP software
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Automated radar terminal systems ARTS
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Mainframe computers
  • High frequency HF radio communications systems
  • Desktop computers
  • Personal computers
  • Frequency modulation FM two way radios
  • Binoculars
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Airport surveillance radar ASR systems
  • Digital airport surveillance radar DASR systems
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Flight simulators
  • Mode S radar systems
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Air route surveillance radar ARSR systems
  • Controller pilot datalink communication CPDC systems
  • Area navigation RNAV systems
  • Local area augmentation systems LAAS
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Wide area augmentation systems WAAS
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Standard terminal automation replacement systems STARS
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Global positioning system GPS surveillance systems
  • Precision runway monitor PRM
  • Differential global positioning system DGPS surveillance systems
  • Airport surface detection equipment ASDE systems