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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Controls Specialist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #178 of 702. Estimated risk: 11.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Controls Specialist” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

43%

“Controls Specialist” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 43% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Air Traffic Controllers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Control air traffic on and within vicinity of airport, and movement of air traffic between altitude sectors and control centers, according to established procedures and policies. Authorize, regulate, and control commercial airline flights according to government or company regulations to expedite and ensure flight safety.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,740
Avg. Hourly Wage $68.62
Available Jobs (US) 22,400
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Air Traffic Controllers #53-2021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Air Traffic Controllers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Organize flight plans or traffic management plans to prepare for planes about to enter assigned airspace.

  • Compile information about flights from flight plans, pilot reports, radar, or observations.

  • Initiate or coordinate searches for missing aircraft.

  • Monitor or direct the movement of aircraft within an assigned air space or on the ground at airports to minimize delays and maximize safety.

  • Inspect, adjust, or control radio equipment or airport lights.

  • Check conditions and traffic at different altitudes in response to pilots' requests for altitude changes.

  • Transfer control of departing flights to traffic control centers and accept control of arriving flights.

  • Contact pilots by radio to provide meteorological, navigational, or other information.

  • Direct ground traffic, including taxiing aircraft, maintenance or baggage vehicles, or airport workers.

  • Issue landing and take-off authorizations or instructions.

  • Provide on-the-job training to new air traffic controllers.

  • Alert airport emergency services in cases of emergency or when aircraft are experiencing difficulties.

  • Inform pilots about nearby planes or potentially hazardous conditions, such as weather, speed and direction of wind, or visibility problems.

  • Determine the timing or procedures for flight vector changes.

  • Maintain radio or telephone contact with adjacent control towers, terminal control units, or other area control centers to coordinate aircraft movement.

  • Relay air traffic information, such as courses, altitudes, or expected arrival times, to control centers.

  • Complete daily activity reports and keep records of messages from aircraft.

  • Direct pilots to runways when space is available or direct them to maintain a traffic pattern until there is space for them to land.

  • Review records or reports for clarity and completeness and maintain records or reports, as required under federal law.

  • Conduct pre-flight briefings on weather conditions, suggested routes, altitudes, indications of turbulence, or other flight safety information.

  • Provide flight path changes or directions to emergency landing fields for pilots traveling in bad weather or in emergency situations.

  • Monitor aircraft within a specific airspace, using radar, computer equipment, or visual references.

  • Analyze factors such as weather reports, fuel requirements, or maps to determine air routes.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Excel
  • DeepSeek
  • Microsoft Access
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Mobileye AI
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Automated radar terminal systems ARTS
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Enterprise resource planning ERP software
  • Llama (Meta)
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Gatik AI
  • Really Simple Syndication RSS
  • Traffic management advisor TMA software
  • Final approach spacing tool FAST
  • Microsoft Word
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Expedite departure path EDP software
  • Center TRACON automation systems CTAS
  • SAP software
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Direct-to-tool software
  • En route descent advisor EDA
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Advanced technologies and oceanic procedures ATOP
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Flight simulation software
  • Multi-center traffic management advisor McTMA
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Frequency modulation FM two way radios
  • Global positioning system GPS surveillance systems
  • High frequency HF radio communications systems
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Area navigation RNAV systems
  • Differential global positioning system DGPS surveillance systems
  • Local area augmentation systems LAAS
  • Mode S radar systems
  • Precision runway monitor PRM
  • Standard terminal automation replacement systems STARS
  • Controller pilot datalink communication CPDC systems
  • Desktop computers
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Digital airport surveillance radar DASR systems
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Air route surveillance radar ARSR systems
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Airport surface detection equipment ASDE systems
  • Airport surveillance radar ASR systems
  • Flight simulators
  • Wide area augmentation systems WAAS
  • Mainframe computers
  • Binoculars
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Personal computers