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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Controls Specialist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #178 of 702. Estimated risk: 11.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Controls Specialist” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

43%

“Controls Specialist” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 43% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Air Traffic Controllers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Control air traffic on and within vicinity of airport, and movement of air traffic between altitude sectors and control centers, according to established procedures and policies. Authorize, regulate, and control commercial airline flights according to government or company regulations to expedite and ensure flight safety.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,740
Avg. Hourly Wage $68.62
Available Jobs (US) 22,400
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Air Traffic Controllers #53-2021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Air Traffic Controllers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Initiate or coordinate searches for missing aircraft.

  • Issue landing and take-off authorizations or instructions.

  • Direct ground traffic, including taxiing aircraft, maintenance or baggage vehicles, or airport workers.

  • Complete daily activity reports and keep records of messages from aircraft.

  • Organize flight plans or traffic management plans to prepare for planes about to enter assigned airspace.

  • Relay air traffic information, such as courses, altitudes, or expected arrival times, to control centers.

  • Provide flight path changes or directions to emergency landing fields for pilots traveling in bad weather or in emergency situations.

  • Analyze factors such as weather reports, fuel requirements, or maps to determine air routes.

  • Monitor or direct the movement of aircraft within an assigned air space or on the ground at airports to minimize delays and maximize safety.

  • Alert airport emergency services in cases of emergency or when aircraft are experiencing difficulties.

  • Maintain radio or telephone contact with adjacent control towers, terminal control units, or other area control centers to coordinate aircraft movement.

  • Conduct pre-flight briefings on weather conditions, suggested routes, altitudes, indications of turbulence, or other flight safety information.

  • Direct pilots to runways when space is available or direct them to maintain a traffic pattern until there is space for them to land.

  • Determine the timing or procedures for flight vector changes.

  • Review records or reports for clarity and completeness and maintain records or reports, as required under federal law.

  • Provide on-the-job training to new air traffic controllers.

  • Contact pilots by radio to provide meteorological, navigational, or other information.

  • Inspect, adjust, or control radio equipment or airport lights.

  • Inform pilots about nearby planes or potentially hazardous conditions, such as weather, speed and direction of wind, or visibility problems.

  • Check conditions and traffic at different altitudes in response to pilots' requests for altitude changes.

  • Transfer control of departing flights to traffic control centers and accept control of arriving flights.

  • Compile information about flights from flight plans, pilot reports, radar, or observations.

  • Monitor aircraft within a specific airspace, using radar, computer equipment, or visual references.

Technologies & Software

  • DeepSeek
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Mobileye AI
  • Flight simulation software
  • Center TRACON automation systems CTAS
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Really Simple Syndication RSS
  • SAP software
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Traffic management advisor TMA software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Gatik AI
  • Microsoft Access
  • Advanced technologies and oceanic procedures ATOP
  • Automated radar terminal systems ARTS
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Direct-to-tool software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Final approach spacing tool FAST
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Enterprise resource planning ERP software
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • En route descent advisor EDA
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Expedite departure path EDP software
  • Multi-center traffic management advisor McTMA
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Area navigation RNAV systems
  • Digital airport surveillance radar DASR systems
  • Desktop computers
  • Mode S radar systems
  • Wide area augmentation systems WAAS
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Global positioning system GPS surveillance systems
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Air route surveillance radar ARSR systems
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Binoculars
  • Controller pilot datalink communication CPDC systems
  • High frequency HF radio communications systems
  • Airport surveillance radar ASR systems
  • Local area augmentation systems LAAS
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Precision runway monitor PRM
  • Frequency modulation FM two way radios
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Standard terminal automation replacement systems STARS
  • Mainframe computers
  • Personal computers
  • Flight simulators
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Airport surface detection equipment ASDE systems
  • Differential global positioning system DGPS surveillance systems