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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Airway Traffic Controller” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #178 of 702. Estimated risk: 11.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Airway Traffic Controller” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

43%

“Airway Traffic Controller” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 43% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Air Traffic Controllers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Control air traffic on and within vicinity of airport, and movement of air traffic between altitude sectors and control centers, according to established procedures and policies. Authorize, regulate, and control commercial airline flights according to government or company regulations to expedite and ensure flight safety.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,740
Avg. Hourly Wage $68.62
Available Jobs (US) 22,400
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Air Traffic Controllers #53-2021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Air Traffic Controllers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Compile information about flights from flight plans, pilot reports, radar, or observations.

  • Conduct pre-flight briefings on weather conditions, suggested routes, altitudes, indications of turbulence, or other flight safety information.

  • Issue landing and take-off authorizations or instructions.

  • Provide flight path changes or directions to emergency landing fields for pilots traveling in bad weather or in emergency situations.

  • Maintain radio or telephone contact with adjacent control towers, terminal control units, or other area control centers to coordinate aircraft movement.

  • Complete daily activity reports and keep records of messages from aircraft.

  • Initiate or coordinate searches for missing aircraft.

  • Monitor or direct the movement of aircraft within an assigned air space or on the ground at airports to minimize delays and maximize safety.

  • Direct ground traffic, including taxiing aircraft, maintenance or baggage vehicles, or airport workers.

  • Monitor aircraft within a specific airspace, using radar, computer equipment, or visual references.

  • Relay air traffic information, such as courses, altitudes, or expected arrival times, to control centers.

  • Contact pilots by radio to provide meteorological, navigational, or other information.

  • Transfer control of departing flights to traffic control centers and accept control of arriving flights.

  • Determine the timing or procedures for flight vector changes.

  • Analyze factors such as weather reports, fuel requirements, or maps to determine air routes.

  • Check conditions and traffic at different altitudes in response to pilots' requests for altitude changes.

  • Organize flight plans or traffic management plans to prepare for planes about to enter assigned airspace.

  • Review records or reports for clarity and completeness and maintain records or reports, as required under federal law.

  • Direct pilots to runways when space is available or direct them to maintain a traffic pattern until there is space for them to land.

  • Inform pilots about nearby planes or potentially hazardous conditions, such as weather, speed and direction of wind, or visibility problems.

  • Alert airport emergency services in cases of emergency or when aircraft are experiencing difficulties.

  • Inspect, adjust, or control radio equipment or airport lights.

  • Provide on-the-job training to new air traffic controllers.

Technologies & Software

  • Advanced technologies and oceanic procedures ATOP
  • Microsoft Access
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Direct-to-tool software
  • Really Simple Syndication RSS
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Enterprise resource planning ERP software
  • DeepSeek
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Flight simulation software
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Traffic management advisor TMA software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Gatik AI
  • Multi-center traffic management advisor McTMA
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Center TRACON automation systems CTAS
  • En route descent advisor EDA
  • Automated radar terminal systems ARTS
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Final approach spacing tool FAST
  • Expedite departure path EDP software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Microsoft Word
  • Mobileye AI
  • SAP software
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Desktop computers
  • Frequency modulation FM two way radios
  • Airport surface detection equipment ASDE systems
  • Area navigation RNAV systems
  • Flight simulators
  • Binoculars
  • Controller pilot datalink communication CPDC systems
  • Differential global positioning system DGPS surveillance systems
  • High frequency HF radio communications systems
  • Mode S radar systems
  • Global positioning system GPS surveillance systems
  • Digital airport surveillance radar DASR systems
  • Local area augmentation systems LAAS
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Wide area augmentation systems WAAS
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Precision runway monitor PRM
  • Mainframe computers
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Airport surveillance radar ASR systems
  • Personal computers
  • Standard terminal automation replacement systems STARS
  • Air route surveillance radar ARSR systems