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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Airway Traffic Controller” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #178 of 702. Estimated risk: 11.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Airway Traffic Controller” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

43%

“Airway Traffic Controller” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 43% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Air Traffic Controllers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Control air traffic on and within vicinity of airport, and movement of air traffic between altitude sectors and control centers, according to established procedures and policies. Authorize, regulate, and control commercial airline flights according to government or company regulations to expedite and ensure flight safety.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,740
Avg. Hourly Wage $68.62
Available Jobs (US) 22,400
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Air Traffic Controllers #53-2021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Air Traffic Controllers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Monitor or direct the movement of aircraft within an assigned air space or on the ground at airports to minimize delays and maximize safety.

  • Determine the timing or procedures for flight vector changes.

  • Initiate or coordinate searches for missing aircraft.

  • Check conditions and traffic at different altitudes in response to pilots' requests for altitude changes.

  • Monitor aircraft within a specific airspace, using radar, computer equipment, or visual references.

  • Transfer control of departing flights to traffic control centers and accept control of arriving flights.

  • Maintain radio or telephone contact with adjacent control towers, terminal control units, or other area control centers to coordinate aircraft movement.

  • Relay air traffic information, such as courses, altitudes, or expected arrival times, to control centers.

  • Inspect, adjust, or control radio equipment or airport lights.

  • Direct pilots to runways when space is available or direct them to maintain a traffic pattern until there is space for them to land.

  • Review records or reports for clarity and completeness and maintain records or reports, as required under federal law.

  • Provide flight path changes or directions to emergency landing fields for pilots traveling in bad weather or in emergency situations.

  • Alert airport emergency services in cases of emergency or when aircraft are experiencing difficulties.

  • Complete daily activity reports and keep records of messages from aircraft.

  • Analyze factors such as weather reports, fuel requirements, or maps to determine air routes.

  • Issue landing and take-off authorizations or instructions.

  • Organize flight plans or traffic management plans to prepare for planes about to enter assigned airspace.

  • Contact pilots by radio to provide meteorological, navigational, or other information.

  • Compile information about flights from flight plans, pilot reports, radar, or observations.

  • Conduct pre-flight briefings on weather conditions, suggested routes, altitudes, indications of turbulence, or other flight safety information.

  • Inform pilots about nearby planes or potentially hazardous conditions, such as weather, speed and direction of wind, or visibility problems.

  • Direct ground traffic, including taxiing aircraft, maintenance or baggage vehicles, or airport workers.

  • Provide on-the-job training to new air traffic controllers.

Technologies & Software

  • Gatik AI
  • Automated radar terminal systems ARTS
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Mobileye AI
  • SAP software
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Enterprise resource planning ERP software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Expedite departure path EDP software
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Final approach spacing tool FAST
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Direct-to-tool software
  • DeepSeek
  • En route descent advisor EDA
  • Multi-center traffic management advisor McTMA
  • Microsoft Access
  • Advanced technologies and oceanic procedures ATOP
  • Really Simple Syndication RSS
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Traffic management advisor TMA software
  • Flight simulation software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Center TRACON automation systems CTAS
  • Airport surface detection equipment ASDE systems
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Local area augmentation systems LAAS
  • Desktop computers
  • Air route surveillance radar ARSR systems
  • Digital airport surveillance radar DASR systems
  • Airport surveillance radar ASR systems
  • Precision runway monitor PRM
  • Personal computers
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Controller pilot datalink communication CPDC systems
  • Flight simulators
  • Wide area augmentation systems WAAS
  • Global positioning system GPS surveillance systems
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Differential global positioning system DGPS surveillance systems
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Binoculars
  • High frequency HF radio communications systems
  • Mode S radar systems
  • Mainframe computers
  • Area navigation RNAV systems
  • Standard terminal automation replacement systems STARS
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Frequency modulation FM two way radios
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems