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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Airway Traffic Controller” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #178 of 702. Estimated risk: 11.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Airway Traffic Controller” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

43%

“Airway Traffic Controller” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 43% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Air Traffic Controllers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Control air traffic on and within vicinity of airport, and movement of air traffic between altitude sectors and control centers, according to established procedures and policies. Authorize, regulate, and control commercial airline flights according to government or company regulations to expedite and ensure flight safety.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,740
Avg. Hourly Wage $68.62
Available Jobs (US) 22,400
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Air Traffic Controllers #53-2021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Air Traffic Controllers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Review records or reports for clarity and completeness and maintain records or reports, as required under federal law.

  • Inform pilots about nearby planes or potentially hazardous conditions, such as weather, speed and direction of wind, or visibility problems.

  • Relay air traffic information, such as courses, altitudes, or expected arrival times, to control centers.

  • Issue landing and take-off authorizations or instructions.

  • Provide on-the-job training to new air traffic controllers.

  • Organize flight plans or traffic management plans to prepare for planes about to enter assigned airspace.

  • Compile information about flights from flight plans, pilot reports, radar, or observations.

  • Conduct pre-flight briefings on weather conditions, suggested routes, altitudes, indications of turbulence, or other flight safety information.

  • Complete daily activity reports and keep records of messages from aircraft.

  • Direct ground traffic, including taxiing aircraft, maintenance or baggage vehicles, or airport workers.

  • Inspect, adjust, or control radio equipment or airport lights.

  • Initiate or coordinate searches for missing aircraft.

  • Monitor or direct the movement of aircraft within an assigned air space or on the ground at airports to minimize delays and maximize safety.

  • Determine the timing or procedures for flight vector changes.

  • Alert airport emergency services in cases of emergency or when aircraft are experiencing difficulties.

  • Monitor aircraft within a specific airspace, using radar, computer equipment, or visual references.

  • Provide flight path changes or directions to emergency landing fields for pilots traveling in bad weather or in emergency situations.

  • Analyze factors such as weather reports, fuel requirements, or maps to determine air routes.

  • Maintain radio or telephone contact with adjacent control towers, terminal control units, or other area control centers to coordinate aircraft movement.

  • Transfer control of departing flights to traffic control centers and accept control of arriving flights.

  • Check conditions and traffic at different altitudes in response to pilots' requests for altitude changes.

  • Contact pilots by radio to provide meteorological, navigational, or other information.

  • Direct pilots to runways when space is available or direct them to maintain a traffic pattern until there is space for them to land.

Technologies & Software

  • Flight simulation software
  • DeepSeek
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • En route descent advisor EDA
  • SAP software
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Direct-to-tool software
  • Gatik AI
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Center TRACON automation systems CTAS
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Automated radar terminal systems ARTS
  • Multi-center traffic management advisor McTMA
  • Mobileye AI
  • Microsoft Office software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Expedite departure path EDP software
  • Advanced technologies and oceanic procedures ATOP
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Final approach spacing tool FAST
  • Microsoft Access
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Enterprise resource planning ERP software
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Traffic management advisor TMA software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Really Simple Syndication RSS
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Local area augmentation systems LAAS
  • Binoculars
  • Personal computers
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Desktop computers
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Airport surface detection equipment ASDE systems
  • Flight simulators
  • Airport surveillance radar ASR systems
  • Area navigation RNAV systems
  • Mode S radar systems
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Frequency modulation FM two way radios
  • Global positioning system GPS surveillance systems
  • Precision runway monitor PRM
  • Wide area augmentation systems WAAS
  • Controller pilot datalink communication CPDC systems
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Mainframe computers
  • Digital airport surveillance radar DASR systems
  • Standard terminal automation replacement systems STARS
  • High frequency HF radio communications systems
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Differential global positioning system DGPS surveillance systems
  • Air route surveillance radar ARSR systems