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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Dispatcher” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #178 of 702. Estimated risk: 11.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Dispatcher” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

43%

“Dispatcher” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 43% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Air Traffic Controllers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Control air traffic on and within vicinity of airport, and movement of air traffic between altitude sectors and control centers, according to established procedures and policies. Authorize, regulate, and control commercial airline flights according to government or company regulations to expedite and ensure flight safety.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,740
Avg. Hourly Wage $68.62
Available Jobs (US) 22,400
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Air Traffic Controllers #53-2021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Air Traffic Controllers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Check conditions and traffic at different altitudes in response to pilots' requests for altitude changes.

  • Initiate or coordinate searches for missing aircraft.

  • Organize flight plans or traffic management plans to prepare for planes about to enter assigned airspace.

  • Determine the timing or procedures for flight vector changes.

  • Maintain radio or telephone contact with adjacent control towers, terminal control units, or other area control centers to coordinate aircraft movement.

  • Relay air traffic information, such as courses, altitudes, or expected arrival times, to control centers.

  • Direct ground traffic, including taxiing aircraft, maintenance or baggage vehicles, or airport workers.

  • Direct pilots to runways when space is available or direct them to maintain a traffic pattern until there is space for them to land.

  • Transfer control of departing flights to traffic control centers and accept control of arriving flights.

  • Issue landing and take-off authorizations or instructions.

  • Provide flight path changes or directions to emergency landing fields for pilots traveling in bad weather or in emergency situations.

  • Compile information about flights from flight plans, pilot reports, radar, or observations.

  • Review records or reports for clarity and completeness and maintain records or reports, as required under federal law.

  • Contact pilots by radio to provide meteorological, navigational, or other information.

  • Complete daily activity reports and keep records of messages from aircraft.

  • Inspect, adjust, or control radio equipment or airport lights.

  • Provide on-the-job training to new air traffic controllers.

  • Inform pilots about nearby planes or potentially hazardous conditions, such as weather, speed and direction of wind, or visibility problems.

  • Monitor aircraft within a specific airspace, using radar, computer equipment, or visual references.

  • Alert airport emergency services in cases of emergency or when aircraft are experiencing difficulties.

  • Analyze factors such as weather reports, fuel requirements, or maps to determine air routes.

  • Monitor or direct the movement of aircraft within an assigned air space or on the ground at airports to minimize delays and maximize safety.

  • Conduct pre-flight briefings on weather conditions, suggested routes, altitudes, indications of turbulence, or other flight safety information.

Technologies & Software

  • Enterprise resource planning ERP software
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Center TRACON automation systems CTAS
  • DeepSeek
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Microsoft Access
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Microsoft Word
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Mobileye AI
  • Really Simple Syndication RSS
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Automated radar terminal systems ARTS
  • En route descent advisor EDA
  • Multi-center traffic management advisor McTMA
  • Direct-to-tool software
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Final approach spacing tool FAST
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • SAP software
  • Gatik AI
  • Advanced technologies and oceanic procedures ATOP
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Expedite departure path EDP software
  • Flight simulation software
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Traffic management advisor TMA software
  • Airport surveillance radar ASR systems
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Mainframe computers
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Desktop computers
  • Digital airport surveillance radar DASR systems
  • Local area augmentation systems LAAS
  • Personal computers
  • Frequency modulation FM two way radios
  • Global positioning system GPS surveillance systems
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Airport surface detection equipment ASDE systems
  • Air route surveillance radar ARSR systems
  • Controller pilot datalink communication CPDC systems
  • Precision runway monitor PRM
  • Binoculars
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Standard terminal automation replacement systems STARS
  • Flight simulators
  • Area navigation RNAV systems
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Wide area augmentation systems WAAS
  • Mode S radar systems
  • High frequency HF radio communications systems
  • Differential global positioning system DGPS surveillance systems
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers