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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Air Route Controller” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #178 of 702. Estimated risk: 11.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Air Route Controller” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

43%

“Air Route Controller” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 43% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Air Traffic Controllers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Control air traffic on and within vicinity of airport, and movement of air traffic between altitude sectors and control centers, according to established procedures and policies. Authorize, regulate, and control commercial airline flights according to government or company regulations to expedite and ensure flight safety.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,740
Avg. Hourly Wage $68.62
Available Jobs (US) 22,400
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Air Traffic Controllers #53-2021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Air Traffic Controllers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Inform pilots about nearby planes or potentially hazardous conditions, such as weather, speed and direction of wind, or visibility problems.

  • Monitor or direct the movement of aircraft within an assigned air space or on the ground at airports to minimize delays and maximize safety.

  • Analyze factors such as weather reports, fuel requirements, or maps to determine air routes.

  • Determine the timing or procedures for flight vector changes.

  • Provide on-the-job training to new air traffic controllers.

  • Alert airport emergency services in cases of emergency or when aircraft are experiencing difficulties.

  • Issue landing and take-off authorizations or instructions.

  • Contact pilots by radio to provide meteorological, navigational, or other information.

  • Direct ground traffic, including taxiing aircraft, maintenance or baggage vehicles, or airport workers.

  • Compile information about flights from flight plans, pilot reports, radar, or observations.

  • Check conditions and traffic at different altitudes in response to pilots' requests for altitude changes.

  • Direct pilots to runways when space is available or direct them to maintain a traffic pattern until there is space for them to land.

  • Conduct pre-flight briefings on weather conditions, suggested routes, altitudes, indications of turbulence, or other flight safety information.

  • Maintain radio or telephone contact with adjacent control towers, terminal control units, or other area control centers to coordinate aircraft movement.

  • Inspect, adjust, or control radio equipment or airport lights.

  • Complete daily activity reports and keep records of messages from aircraft.

  • Organize flight plans or traffic management plans to prepare for planes about to enter assigned airspace.

  • Monitor aircraft within a specific airspace, using radar, computer equipment, or visual references.

  • Provide flight path changes or directions to emergency landing fields for pilots traveling in bad weather or in emergency situations.

  • Transfer control of departing flights to traffic control centers and accept control of arriving flights.

  • Review records or reports for clarity and completeness and maintain records or reports, as required under federal law.

  • Initiate or coordinate searches for missing aircraft.

  • Relay air traffic information, such as courses, altitudes, or expected arrival times, to control centers.

Technologies & Software

  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • DeepSeek
  • Center TRACON automation systems CTAS
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Final approach spacing tool FAST
  • Advanced technologies and oceanic procedures ATOP
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Gatik AI
  • Flight simulation software
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Microsoft Access
  • Enterprise resource planning ERP software
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Direct-to-tool software
  • Multi-center traffic management advisor McTMA
  • Traffic management advisor TMA software
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Expedite departure path EDP software
  • Microsoft Word
  • En route descent advisor EDA
  • Automated radar terminal systems ARTS
  • Mobileye AI
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • SAP software
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Really Simple Syndication RSS
  • Desktop computers
  • Standard terminal automation replacement systems STARS
  • Personal computers
  • Area navigation RNAV systems
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Precision runway monitor PRM
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Frequency modulation FM two way radios
  • Mode S radar systems
  • Air route surveillance radar ARSR systems
  • Global positioning system GPS surveillance systems
  • Wide area augmentation systems WAAS
  • Controller pilot datalink communication CPDC systems
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Airport surveillance radar ASR systems
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Mainframe computers
  • Local area augmentation systems LAAS
  • Flight simulators
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • High frequency HF radio communications systems
  • Digital airport surveillance radar DASR systems
  • Airport surface detection equipment ASDE systems
  • Binoculars
  • Differential global positioning system DGPS surveillance systems
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Transponder landing systems TLS