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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Air Route Controller” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #178 of 702. Estimated risk: 11.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Air Route Controller” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

43%

“Air Route Controller” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 43% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Air Traffic Controllers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Control air traffic on and within vicinity of airport, and movement of air traffic between altitude sectors and control centers, according to established procedures and policies. Authorize, regulate, and control commercial airline flights according to government or company regulations to expedite and ensure flight safety.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,740
Avg. Hourly Wage $68.62
Available Jobs (US) 22,400
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Air Traffic Controllers #53-2021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Air Traffic Controllers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Monitor aircraft within a specific airspace, using radar, computer equipment, or visual references.

  • Alert airport emergency services in cases of emergency or when aircraft are experiencing difficulties.

  • Issue landing and take-off authorizations or instructions.

  • Compile information about flights from flight plans, pilot reports, radar, or observations.

  • Analyze factors such as weather reports, fuel requirements, or maps to determine air routes.

  • Provide on-the-job training to new air traffic controllers.

  • Relay air traffic information, such as courses, altitudes, or expected arrival times, to control centers.

  • Inspect, adjust, or control radio equipment or airport lights.

  • Contact pilots by radio to provide meteorological, navigational, or other information.

  • Complete daily activity reports and keep records of messages from aircraft.

  • Monitor or direct the movement of aircraft within an assigned air space or on the ground at airports to minimize delays and maximize safety.

  • Initiate or coordinate searches for missing aircraft.

  • Conduct pre-flight briefings on weather conditions, suggested routes, altitudes, indications of turbulence, or other flight safety information.

  • Direct pilots to runways when space is available or direct them to maintain a traffic pattern until there is space for them to land.

  • Review records or reports for clarity and completeness and maintain records or reports, as required under federal law.

  • Transfer control of departing flights to traffic control centers and accept control of arriving flights.

  • Inform pilots about nearby planes or potentially hazardous conditions, such as weather, speed and direction of wind, or visibility problems.

  • Provide flight path changes or directions to emergency landing fields for pilots traveling in bad weather or in emergency situations.

  • Check conditions and traffic at different altitudes in response to pilots' requests for altitude changes.

  • Organize flight plans or traffic management plans to prepare for planes about to enter assigned airspace.

  • Maintain radio or telephone contact with adjacent control towers, terminal control units, or other area control centers to coordinate aircraft movement.

  • Determine the timing or procedures for flight vector changes.

  • Direct ground traffic, including taxiing aircraft, maintenance or baggage vehicles, or airport workers.

Technologies & Software

  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Flight simulation software
  • Enterprise resource planning ERP software
  • Really Simple Syndication RSS
  • Microsoft Word
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Advanced technologies and oceanic procedures ATOP
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Center TRACON automation systems CTAS
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Multi-center traffic management advisor McTMA
  • Traffic management advisor TMA software
  • Gatik AI
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Final approach spacing tool FAST
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • DeepSeek
  • Automated radar terminal systems ARTS
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • SAP software
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Expedite departure path EDP software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Direct-to-tool software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • En route descent advisor EDA
  • Microsoft Access
  • Mobileye AI
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Airport surveillance radar ASR systems
  • Air route surveillance radar ARSR systems
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Differential global positioning system DGPS surveillance systems
  • Precision runway monitor PRM
  • Standard terminal automation replacement systems STARS
  • Mainframe computers
  • Digital airport surveillance radar DASR systems
  • Wide area augmentation systems WAAS
  • Area navigation RNAV systems
  • Mode S radar systems
  • Global positioning system GPS surveillance systems
  • Desktop computers
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Flight simulators
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Frequency modulation FM two way radios
  • Airport surface detection equipment ASDE systems
  • Binoculars
  • Personal computers
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • High frequency HF radio communications systems
  • Controller pilot datalink communication CPDC systems
  • Local area augmentation systems LAAS