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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Air Route Controller” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #178 of 702. Estimated risk: 11.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Air Route Controller” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

43%

“Air Route Controller” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 43% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Air Traffic Controllers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Control air traffic on and within vicinity of airport, and movement of air traffic between altitude sectors and control centers, according to established procedures and policies. Authorize, regulate, and control commercial airline flights according to government or company regulations to expedite and ensure flight safety.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,740
Avg. Hourly Wage $68.62
Available Jobs (US) 22,400
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Air Traffic Controllers #53-2021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Air Traffic Controllers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Inspect, adjust, or control radio equipment or airport lights.

  • Check conditions and traffic at different altitudes in response to pilots' requests for altitude changes.

  • Analyze factors such as weather reports, fuel requirements, or maps to determine air routes.

  • Monitor aircraft within a specific airspace, using radar, computer equipment, or visual references.

  • Conduct pre-flight briefings on weather conditions, suggested routes, altitudes, indications of turbulence, or other flight safety information.

  • Issue landing and take-off authorizations or instructions.

  • Organize flight plans or traffic management plans to prepare for planes about to enter assigned airspace.

  • Maintain radio or telephone contact with adjacent control towers, terminal control units, or other area control centers to coordinate aircraft movement.

  • Provide on-the-job training to new air traffic controllers.

  • Monitor or direct the movement of aircraft within an assigned air space or on the ground at airports to minimize delays and maximize safety.

  • Direct pilots to runways when space is available or direct them to maintain a traffic pattern until there is space for them to land.

  • Review records or reports for clarity and completeness and maintain records or reports, as required under federal law.

  • Contact pilots by radio to provide meteorological, navigational, or other information.

  • Complete daily activity reports and keep records of messages from aircraft.

  • Determine the timing or procedures for flight vector changes.

  • Relay air traffic information, such as courses, altitudes, or expected arrival times, to control centers.

  • Initiate or coordinate searches for missing aircraft.

  • Inform pilots about nearby planes or potentially hazardous conditions, such as weather, speed and direction of wind, or visibility problems.

  • Provide flight path changes or directions to emergency landing fields for pilots traveling in bad weather or in emergency situations.

  • Compile information about flights from flight plans, pilot reports, radar, or observations.

  • Direct ground traffic, including taxiing aircraft, maintenance or baggage vehicles, or airport workers.

  • Alert airport emergency services in cases of emergency or when aircraft are experiencing difficulties.

  • Transfer control of departing flights to traffic control centers and accept control of arriving flights.

Technologies & Software

  • Flight simulation software
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • DeepSeek
  • Center TRACON automation systems CTAS
  • Microsoft Word
  • Mobileye AI
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Direct-to-tool software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft Access
  • Expedite departure path EDP software
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • SAP software
  • En route descent advisor EDA
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Gatik AI
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Really Simple Syndication RSS
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Final approach spacing tool FAST
  • Advanced technologies and oceanic procedures ATOP
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Automated radar terminal systems ARTS
  • Enterprise resource planning ERP software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Traffic management advisor TMA software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Multi-center traffic management advisor McTMA
  • Airport surveillance radar ASR systems
  • Controller pilot datalink communication CPDC systems
  • Differential global positioning system DGPS surveillance systems
  • Flight simulators
  • Standard terminal automation replacement systems STARS
  • Area navigation RNAV systems
  • Global positioning system GPS surveillance systems
  • Personal computers
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Digital airport surveillance radar DASR systems
  • Local area augmentation systems LAAS
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Airport surface detection equipment ASDE systems
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • High frequency HF radio communications systems
  • Binoculars
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Air route surveillance radar ARSR systems
  • Wide area augmentation systems WAAS
  • Frequency modulation FM two way radios
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Mainframe computers
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Precision runway monitor PRM
  • Mode S radar systems
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Desktop computers