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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Aircraft Communicator” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #178 of 702. Estimated risk: 11.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Aircraft Communicator” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

43%

“Aircraft Communicator” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 43% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Air Traffic Controllers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Control air traffic on and within vicinity of airport, and movement of air traffic between altitude sectors and control centers, according to established procedures and policies. Authorize, regulate, and control commercial airline flights according to government or company regulations to expedite and ensure flight safety.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,740
Avg. Hourly Wage $68.62
Available Jobs (US) 22,400
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Air Traffic Controllers #53-2021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Air Traffic Controllers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Issue landing and take-off authorizations or instructions.

  • Provide flight path changes or directions to emergency landing fields for pilots traveling in bad weather or in emergency situations.

  • Compile information about flights from flight plans, pilot reports, radar, or observations.

  • Initiate or coordinate searches for missing aircraft.

  • Inform pilots about nearby planes or potentially hazardous conditions, such as weather, speed and direction of wind, or visibility problems.

  • Monitor aircraft within a specific airspace, using radar, computer equipment, or visual references.

  • Transfer control of departing flights to traffic control centers and accept control of arriving flights.

  • Contact pilots by radio to provide meteorological, navigational, or other information.

  • Determine the timing or procedures for flight vector changes.

  • Relay air traffic information, such as courses, altitudes, or expected arrival times, to control centers.

  • Alert airport emergency services in cases of emergency or when aircraft are experiencing difficulties.

  • Conduct pre-flight briefings on weather conditions, suggested routes, altitudes, indications of turbulence, or other flight safety information.

  • Complete daily activity reports and keep records of messages from aircraft.

  • Analyze factors such as weather reports, fuel requirements, or maps to determine air routes.

  • Direct ground traffic, including taxiing aircraft, maintenance or baggage vehicles, or airport workers.

  • Organize flight plans or traffic management plans to prepare for planes about to enter assigned airspace.

  • Monitor or direct the movement of aircraft within an assigned air space or on the ground at airports to minimize delays and maximize safety.

  • Provide on-the-job training to new air traffic controllers.

  • Inspect, adjust, or control radio equipment or airport lights.

  • Maintain radio or telephone contact with adjacent control towers, terminal control units, or other area control centers to coordinate aircraft movement.

  • Check conditions and traffic at different altitudes in response to pilots' requests for altitude changes.

  • Direct pilots to runways when space is available or direct them to maintain a traffic pattern until there is space for them to land.

  • Review records or reports for clarity and completeness and maintain records or reports, as required under federal law.

Technologies & Software

  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Expedite departure path EDP software
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Really Simple Syndication RSS
  • Microsoft Access
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Mobileye AI
  • SAP software
  • Enterprise resource planning ERP software
  • Microsoft Word
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Advanced technologies and oceanic procedures ATOP
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Multi-center traffic management advisor McTMA
  • Direct-to-tool software
  • DeepSeek
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • En route descent advisor EDA
  • Flight simulation software
  • Traffic management advisor TMA software
  • Final approach spacing tool FAST
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Automated radar terminal systems ARTS
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Gatik AI
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Center TRACON automation systems CTAS
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Digital airport surveillance radar DASR systems
  • Local area augmentation systems LAAS
  • High frequency HF radio communications systems
  • Mainframe computers
  • Airport surface detection equipment ASDE systems
  • Global positioning system GPS surveillance systems
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Controller pilot datalink communication CPDC systems
  • Personal computers
  • Standard terminal automation replacement systems STARS
  • Desktop computers
  • Mode S radar systems
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Area navigation RNAV systems
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Air route surveillance radar ARSR systems
  • Precision runway monitor PRM
  • Differential global positioning system DGPS surveillance systems
  • Wide area augmentation systems WAAS
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Frequency modulation FM two way radios
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Airport surveillance radar ASR systems
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Flight simulators
  • Binoculars