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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Airport Tower Controller” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #178 of 702. Estimated risk: 11.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Airport Tower Controller” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

43%

“Airport Tower Controller” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 43% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Air Traffic Controllers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Control air traffic on and within vicinity of airport, and movement of air traffic between altitude sectors and control centers, according to established procedures and policies. Authorize, regulate, and control commercial airline flights according to government or company regulations to expedite and ensure flight safety.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,740
Avg. Hourly Wage $68.62
Available Jobs (US) 22,400
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Air Traffic Controllers #53-2021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Air Traffic Controllers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Alert airport emergency services in cases of emergency or when aircraft are experiencing difficulties.

  • Monitor or direct the movement of aircraft within an assigned air space or on the ground at airports to minimize delays and maximize safety.

  • Provide flight path changes or directions to emergency landing fields for pilots traveling in bad weather or in emergency situations.

  • Check conditions and traffic at different altitudes in response to pilots' requests for altitude changes.

  • Relay air traffic information, such as courses, altitudes, or expected arrival times, to control centers.

  • Conduct pre-flight briefings on weather conditions, suggested routes, altitudes, indications of turbulence, or other flight safety information.

  • Contact pilots by radio to provide meteorological, navigational, or other information.

  • Organize flight plans or traffic management plans to prepare for planes about to enter assigned airspace.

  • Complete daily activity reports and keep records of messages from aircraft.

  • Direct pilots to runways when space is available or direct them to maintain a traffic pattern until there is space for them to land.

  • Provide on-the-job training to new air traffic controllers.

  • Issue landing and take-off authorizations or instructions.

  • Direct ground traffic, including taxiing aircraft, maintenance or baggage vehicles, or airport workers.

  • Analyze factors such as weather reports, fuel requirements, or maps to determine air routes.

  • Transfer control of departing flights to traffic control centers and accept control of arriving flights.

  • Initiate or coordinate searches for missing aircraft.

  • Monitor aircraft within a specific airspace, using radar, computer equipment, or visual references.

  • Inform pilots about nearby planes or potentially hazardous conditions, such as weather, speed and direction of wind, or visibility problems.

  • Compile information about flights from flight plans, pilot reports, radar, or observations.

  • Determine the timing or procedures for flight vector changes.

  • Maintain radio or telephone contact with adjacent control towers, terminal control units, or other area control centers to coordinate aircraft movement.

  • Inspect, adjust, or control radio equipment or airport lights.

  • Review records or reports for clarity and completeness and maintain records or reports, as required under federal law.

Technologies & Software

  • Multi-center traffic management advisor McTMA
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Automated radar terminal systems ARTS
  • Direct-to-tool software
  • Flight simulation software
  • Mobileye AI
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Microsoft Access
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Really Simple Syndication RSS
  • Microsoft Word
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • DeepSeek
  • Advanced technologies and oceanic procedures ATOP
  • Center TRACON automation systems CTAS
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • En route descent advisor EDA
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Traffic management advisor TMA software
  • SAP software
  • Gatik AI
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Final approach spacing tool FAST
  • Enterprise resource planning ERP software
  • Expedite departure path EDP software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Differential global positioning system DGPS surveillance systems
  • Air route surveillance radar ARSR systems
  • Flight simulators
  • Mode S radar systems
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Local area augmentation systems LAAS
  • Airport surface detection equipment ASDE systems
  • Global positioning system GPS surveillance systems
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • High frequency HF radio communications systems
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Precision runway monitor PRM
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Standard terminal automation replacement systems STARS
  • Digital airport surveillance radar DASR systems
  • Personal computers
  • Binoculars
  • Area navigation RNAV systems
  • Mainframe computers
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Frequency modulation FM two way radios
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Desktop computers
  • Airport surveillance radar ASR systems
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Wide area augmentation systems WAAS
  • Controller pilot datalink communication CPDC systems