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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Air Traffic Control Support Specialist (ATC Support Specialist)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #178 of 702. Estimated risk: 11.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Air Traffic Control Support Specialist (ATC Support Specialist)” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

43%

“Air Traffic Control Support Specialist (ATC Support Specialist)” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 43% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Air Traffic Controllers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Control air traffic on and within vicinity of airport, and movement of air traffic between altitude sectors and control centers, according to established procedures and policies. Authorize, regulate, and control commercial airline flights according to government or company regulations to expedite and ensure flight safety.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,740
Avg. Hourly Wage $68.62
Available Jobs (US) 22,400
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Air Traffic Controllers #53-2021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Air Traffic Controllers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Conduct pre-flight briefings on weather conditions, suggested routes, altitudes, indications of turbulence, or other flight safety information.

  • Compile information about flights from flight plans, pilot reports, radar, or observations.

  • Organize flight plans or traffic management plans to prepare for planes about to enter assigned airspace.

  • Review records or reports for clarity and completeness and maintain records or reports, as required under federal law.

  • Analyze factors such as weather reports, fuel requirements, or maps to determine air routes.

  • Monitor aircraft within a specific airspace, using radar, computer equipment, or visual references.

  • Direct pilots to runways when space is available or direct them to maintain a traffic pattern until there is space for them to land.

  • Direct ground traffic, including taxiing aircraft, maintenance or baggage vehicles, or airport workers.

  • Complete daily activity reports and keep records of messages from aircraft.

  • Initiate or coordinate searches for missing aircraft.

  • Inform pilots about nearby planes or potentially hazardous conditions, such as weather, speed and direction of wind, or visibility problems.

  • Inspect, adjust, or control radio equipment or airport lights.

  • Transfer control of departing flights to traffic control centers and accept control of arriving flights.

  • Provide flight path changes or directions to emergency landing fields for pilots traveling in bad weather or in emergency situations.

  • Relay air traffic information, such as courses, altitudes, or expected arrival times, to control centers.

  • Contact pilots by radio to provide meteorological, navigational, or other information.

  • Issue landing and take-off authorizations or instructions.

  • Determine the timing or procedures for flight vector changes.

  • Maintain radio or telephone contact with adjacent control towers, terminal control units, or other area control centers to coordinate aircraft movement.

  • Provide on-the-job training to new air traffic controllers.

  • Check conditions and traffic at different altitudes in response to pilots' requests for altitude changes.

  • Alert airport emergency services in cases of emergency or when aircraft are experiencing difficulties.

  • Monitor or direct the movement of aircraft within an assigned air space or on the ground at airports to minimize delays and maximize safety.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Center TRACON automation systems CTAS
  • Flight simulation software
  • Multi-center traffic management advisor McTMA
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Mobileye AI
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • SAP software
  • DeepSeek
  • Gatik AI
  • Enterprise resource planning ERP software
  • Automated radar terminal systems ARTS
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Expedite departure path EDP software
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • En route descent advisor EDA
  • Traffic management advisor TMA software
  • Microsoft Access
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Direct-to-tool software
  • Advanced technologies and oceanic procedures ATOP
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Final approach spacing tool FAST
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Really Simple Syndication RSS
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Standard terminal automation replacement systems STARS
  • Local area augmentation systems LAAS
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Mode S radar systems
  • High frequency HF radio communications systems
  • Wide area augmentation systems WAAS
  • Precision runway monitor PRM
  • Digital airport surveillance radar DASR systems
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Global positioning system GPS surveillance systems
  • Mainframe computers
  • Airport surveillance radar ASR systems
  • Air route surveillance radar ARSR systems
  • Desktop computers
  • Personal computers
  • Differential global positioning system DGPS surveillance systems
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Airport surface detection equipment ASDE systems
  • Area navigation RNAV systems
  • Frequency modulation FM two way radios
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Flight simulators
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Controller pilot datalink communication CPDC systems
  • Binoculars