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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Air Traffic Control Operator” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #178 of 702. Estimated risk: 11.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Air Traffic Control Operator” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

43%

“Air Traffic Control Operator” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 43% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Air Traffic Controllers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Control air traffic on and within vicinity of airport, and movement of air traffic between altitude sectors and control centers, according to established procedures and policies. Authorize, regulate, and control commercial airline flights according to government or company regulations to expedite and ensure flight safety.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,740
Avg. Hourly Wage $68.62
Available Jobs (US) 22,400
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Air Traffic Controllers #53-2021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Air Traffic Controllers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Transfer control of departing flights to traffic control centers and accept control of arriving flights.

  • Conduct pre-flight briefings on weather conditions, suggested routes, altitudes, indications of turbulence, or other flight safety information.

  • Provide flight path changes or directions to emergency landing fields for pilots traveling in bad weather or in emergency situations.

  • Relay air traffic information, such as courses, altitudes, or expected arrival times, to control centers.

  • Review records or reports for clarity and completeness and maintain records or reports, as required under federal law.

  • Monitor aircraft within a specific airspace, using radar, computer equipment, or visual references.

  • Organize flight plans or traffic management plans to prepare for planes about to enter assigned airspace.

  • Complete daily activity reports and keep records of messages from aircraft.

  • Initiate or coordinate searches for missing aircraft.

  • Contact pilots by radio to provide meteorological, navigational, or other information.

  • Direct ground traffic, including taxiing aircraft, maintenance or baggage vehicles, or airport workers.

  • Issue landing and take-off authorizations or instructions.

  • Provide on-the-job training to new air traffic controllers.

  • Alert airport emergency services in cases of emergency or when aircraft are experiencing difficulties.

  • Check conditions and traffic at different altitudes in response to pilots' requests for altitude changes.

  • Inform pilots about nearby planes or potentially hazardous conditions, such as weather, speed and direction of wind, or visibility problems.

  • Maintain radio or telephone contact with adjacent control towers, terminal control units, or other area control centers to coordinate aircraft movement.

  • Analyze factors such as weather reports, fuel requirements, or maps to determine air routes.

  • Direct pilots to runways when space is available or direct them to maintain a traffic pattern until there is space for them to land.

  • Compile information about flights from flight plans, pilot reports, radar, or observations.

  • Determine the timing or procedures for flight vector changes.

  • Monitor or direct the movement of aircraft within an assigned air space or on the ground at airports to minimize delays and maximize safety.

  • Inspect, adjust, or control radio equipment or airport lights.

Technologies & Software

  • Enterprise resource planning ERP software
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Really Simple Syndication RSS
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Advanced technologies and oceanic procedures ATOP
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Traffic management advisor TMA software
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Gatik AI
  • Automated radar terminal systems ARTS
  • En route descent advisor EDA
  • SAP software
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Microsoft Access
  • DeepSeek
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Direct-to-tool software
  • Expedite departure path EDP software
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Final approach spacing tool FAST
  • Center TRACON automation systems CTAS
  • Flight simulation software
  • Mobileye AI
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Multi-center traffic management advisor McTMA
  • Microsoft Word
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Precision runway monitor PRM
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Airport surveillance radar ASR systems
  • Airport surface detection equipment ASDE systems
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • High frequency HF radio communications systems
  • Desktop computers
  • Personal computers
  • Frequency modulation FM two way radios
  • Mainframe computers
  • Standard terminal automation replacement systems STARS
  • Differential global positioning system DGPS surveillance systems
  • Mode S radar systems
  • Air route surveillance radar ARSR systems
  • Flight simulators
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Controller pilot datalink communication CPDC systems
  • Binoculars
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Wide area augmentation systems WAAS
  • Local area augmentation systems LAAS
  • Area navigation RNAV systems
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Digital airport surveillance radar DASR systems
  • Global positioning system GPS surveillance systems