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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Air Traffic Control Operator” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #178 of 702. Estimated risk: 11.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Air Traffic Control Operator” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

43%

“Air Traffic Control Operator” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 43% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Air Traffic Controllers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Control air traffic on and within vicinity of airport, and movement of air traffic between altitude sectors and control centers, according to established procedures and policies. Authorize, regulate, and control commercial airline flights according to government or company regulations to expedite and ensure flight safety.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,740
Avg. Hourly Wage $68.62
Available Jobs (US) 22,400
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Air Traffic Controllers #53-2021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Air Traffic Controllers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Conduct pre-flight briefings on weather conditions, suggested routes, altitudes, indications of turbulence, or other flight safety information.

  • Complete daily activity reports and keep records of messages from aircraft.

  • Direct pilots to runways when space is available or direct them to maintain a traffic pattern until there is space for them to land.

  • Monitor aircraft within a specific airspace, using radar, computer equipment, or visual references.

  • Contact pilots by radio to provide meteorological, navigational, or other information.

  • Transfer control of departing flights to traffic control centers and accept control of arriving flights.

  • Provide flight path changes or directions to emergency landing fields for pilots traveling in bad weather or in emergency situations.

  • Maintain radio or telephone contact with adjacent control towers, terminal control units, or other area control centers to coordinate aircraft movement.

  • Determine the timing or procedures for flight vector changes.

  • Analyze factors such as weather reports, fuel requirements, or maps to determine air routes.

  • Alert airport emergency services in cases of emergency or when aircraft are experiencing difficulties.

  • Check conditions and traffic at different altitudes in response to pilots' requests for altitude changes.

  • Initiate or coordinate searches for missing aircraft.

  • Inspect, adjust, or control radio equipment or airport lights.

  • Monitor or direct the movement of aircraft within an assigned air space or on the ground at airports to minimize delays and maximize safety.

  • Direct ground traffic, including taxiing aircraft, maintenance or baggage vehicles, or airport workers.

  • Provide on-the-job training to new air traffic controllers.

  • Review records or reports for clarity and completeness and maintain records or reports, as required under federal law.

  • Inform pilots about nearby planes or potentially hazardous conditions, such as weather, speed and direction of wind, or visibility problems.

  • Compile information about flights from flight plans, pilot reports, radar, or observations.

  • Organize flight plans or traffic management plans to prepare for planes about to enter assigned airspace.

  • Issue landing and take-off authorizations or instructions.

  • Relay air traffic information, such as courses, altitudes, or expected arrival times, to control centers.

Technologies & Software

  • Enterprise resource planning ERP software
  • SAP software
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Traffic management advisor TMA software
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Microsoft Access
  • Center TRACON automation systems CTAS
  • Expedite departure path EDP software
  • DeepSeek
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Multi-center traffic management advisor McTMA
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Advanced technologies and oceanic procedures ATOP
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Direct-to-tool software
  • Automated radar terminal systems ARTS
  • Gatik AI
  • Mobileye AI
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Really Simple Syndication RSS
  • Final approach spacing tool FAST
  • Flight simulation software
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • En route descent advisor EDA
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Personal computers
  • Standard terminal automation replacement systems STARS
  • Differential global positioning system DGPS surveillance systems
  • Desktop computers
  • Precision runway monitor PRM
  • Digital airport surveillance radar DASR systems
  • Air route surveillance radar ARSR systems
  • Airport surface detection equipment ASDE systems
  • Mode S radar systems
  • Controller pilot datalink communication CPDC systems
  • Binoculars
  • Airport surveillance radar ASR systems
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Global positioning system GPS surveillance systems
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Local area augmentation systems LAAS
  • Mainframe computers
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Area navigation RNAV systems
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Frequency modulation FM two way radios
  • Wide area augmentation systems WAAS
  • High frequency HF radio communications systems
  • Flight simulators
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS