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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Tower Control Operator” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #178 of 702. Estimated risk: 11.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Tower Control Operator” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

43%

“Tower Control Operator” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 43% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Air Traffic Controllers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Control air traffic on and within vicinity of airport, and movement of air traffic between altitude sectors and control centers, according to established procedures and policies. Authorize, regulate, and control commercial airline flights according to government or company regulations to expedite and ensure flight safety.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,740
Avg. Hourly Wage $68.62
Available Jobs (US) 22,400
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Air Traffic Controllers #53-2021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Air Traffic Controllers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Relay air traffic information, such as courses, altitudes, or expected arrival times, to control centers.

  • Maintain radio or telephone contact with adjacent control towers, terminal control units, or other area control centers to coordinate aircraft movement.

  • Analyze factors such as weather reports, fuel requirements, or maps to determine air routes.

  • Monitor or direct the movement of aircraft within an assigned air space or on the ground at airports to minimize delays and maximize safety.

  • Determine the timing or procedures for flight vector changes.

  • Initiate or coordinate searches for missing aircraft.

  • Direct pilots to runways when space is available or direct them to maintain a traffic pattern until there is space for them to land.

  • Alert airport emergency services in cases of emergency or when aircraft are experiencing difficulties.

  • Direct ground traffic, including taxiing aircraft, maintenance or baggage vehicles, or airport workers.

  • Provide on-the-job training to new air traffic controllers.

  • Transfer control of departing flights to traffic control centers and accept control of arriving flights.

  • Check conditions and traffic at different altitudes in response to pilots' requests for altitude changes.

  • Issue landing and take-off authorizations or instructions.

  • Provide flight path changes or directions to emergency landing fields for pilots traveling in bad weather or in emergency situations.

  • Conduct pre-flight briefings on weather conditions, suggested routes, altitudes, indications of turbulence, or other flight safety information.

  • Compile information about flights from flight plans, pilot reports, radar, or observations.

  • Inspect, adjust, or control radio equipment or airport lights.

  • Complete daily activity reports and keep records of messages from aircraft.

  • Organize flight plans or traffic management plans to prepare for planes about to enter assigned airspace.

  • Inform pilots about nearby planes or potentially hazardous conditions, such as weather, speed and direction of wind, or visibility problems.

  • Contact pilots by radio to provide meteorological, navigational, or other information.

  • Review records or reports for clarity and completeness and maintain records or reports, as required under federal law.

  • Monitor aircraft within a specific airspace, using radar, computer equipment, or visual references.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Office software
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Advanced technologies and oceanic procedures ATOP
  • Microsoft Word
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • SAP software
  • Multi-center traffic management advisor McTMA
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • En route descent advisor EDA
  • Final approach spacing tool FAST
  • Traffic management advisor TMA software
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Flight simulation software
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Gatik AI
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Enterprise resource planning ERP software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Center TRACON automation systems CTAS
  • Really Simple Syndication RSS
  • Mobileye AI
  • Expedite departure path EDP software
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Direct-to-tool software
  • Microsoft Access
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Automated radar terminal systems ARTS
  • DeepSeek
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • High frequency HF radio communications systems
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Controller pilot datalink communication CPDC systems
  • Flight simulators
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Air route surveillance radar ARSR systems
  • Personal computers
  • Precision runway monitor PRM
  • Frequency modulation FM two way radios
  • Airport surveillance radar ASR systems
  • Area navigation RNAV systems
  • Standard terminal automation replacement systems STARS
  • Wide area augmentation systems WAAS
  • Mode S radar systems
  • Local area augmentation systems LAAS
  • Airport surface detection equipment ASDE systems
  • Binoculars
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Digital airport surveillance radar DASR systems
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Mainframe computers
  • Global positioning system GPS surveillance systems
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Desktop computers
  • Differential global positioning system DGPS surveillance systems