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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Terminal Air Traffic Control Specialist (Terminal ATC Specialist)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #178 of 702. Estimated risk: 11.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Terminal Air Traffic Control Specialist (Terminal ATC Specialist)” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

43%

“Terminal Air Traffic Control Specialist (Terminal ATC Specialist)” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 43% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Air Traffic Controllers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Control air traffic on and within vicinity of airport, and movement of air traffic between altitude sectors and control centers, according to established procedures and policies. Authorize, regulate, and control commercial airline flights according to government or company regulations to expedite and ensure flight safety.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,740
Avg. Hourly Wage $68.62
Available Jobs (US) 22,400
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Air Traffic Controllers #53-2021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Air Traffic Controllers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Compile information about flights from flight plans, pilot reports, radar, or observations.

  • Contact pilots by radio to provide meteorological, navigational, or other information.

  • Monitor aircraft within a specific airspace, using radar, computer equipment, or visual references.

  • Check conditions and traffic at different altitudes in response to pilots' requests for altitude changes.

  • Relay air traffic information, such as courses, altitudes, or expected arrival times, to control centers.

  • Inform pilots about nearby planes or potentially hazardous conditions, such as weather, speed and direction of wind, or visibility problems.

  • Monitor or direct the movement of aircraft within an assigned air space or on the ground at airports to minimize delays and maximize safety.

  • Complete daily activity reports and keep records of messages from aircraft.

  • Conduct pre-flight briefings on weather conditions, suggested routes, altitudes, indications of turbulence, or other flight safety information.

  • Provide on-the-job training to new air traffic controllers.

  • Direct ground traffic, including taxiing aircraft, maintenance or baggage vehicles, or airport workers.

  • Issue landing and take-off authorizations or instructions.

  • Direct pilots to runways when space is available or direct them to maintain a traffic pattern until there is space for them to land.

  • Maintain radio or telephone contact with adjacent control towers, terminal control units, or other area control centers to coordinate aircraft movement.

  • Determine the timing or procedures for flight vector changes.

  • Alert airport emergency services in cases of emergency or when aircraft are experiencing difficulties.

  • Inspect, adjust, or control radio equipment or airport lights.

  • Provide flight path changes or directions to emergency landing fields for pilots traveling in bad weather or in emergency situations.

  • Review records or reports for clarity and completeness and maintain records or reports, as required under federal law.

  • Analyze factors such as weather reports, fuel requirements, or maps to determine air routes.

  • Transfer control of departing flights to traffic control centers and accept control of arriving flights.

  • Organize flight plans or traffic management plans to prepare for planes about to enter assigned airspace.

  • Initiate or coordinate searches for missing aircraft.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Access
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • En route descent advisor EDA
  • Traffic management advisor TMA software
  • SAP software
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • DeepSeek
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Expedite departure path EDP software
  • Direct-to-tool software
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Automated radar terminal systems ARTS
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Gatik AI
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Microsoft Word
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Enterprise resource planning ERP software
  • Final approach spacing tool FAST
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Center TRACON automation systems CTAS
  • Multi-center traffic management advisor McTMA
  • Really Simple Syndication RSS
  • Flight simulation software
  • Mobileye AI
  • Advanced technologies and oceanic procedures ATOP
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • High frequency HF radio communications systems
  • Wide area augmentation systems WAAS
  • Digital airport surveillance radar DASR systems
  • Controller pilot datalink communication CPDC systems
  • Differential global positioning system DGPS surveillance systems
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Frequency modulation FM two way radios
  • Mainframe computers
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Local area augmentation systems LAAS
  • Air route surveillance radar ARSR systems
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Binoculars
  • Desktop computers
  • Standard terminal automation replacement systems STARS
  • Global positioning system GPS surveillance systems
  • Airport surveillance radar ASR systems
  • Personal computers
  • Airport surface detection equipment ASDE systems
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Area navigation RNAV systems
  • Flight simulators
  • Precision runway monitor PRM
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Mode S radar systems