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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Terminal Air Traffic Control Specialist (Terminal ATC Specialist)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #178 of 702. Estimated risk: 11.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Terminal Air Traffic Control Specialist (Terminal ATC Specialist)” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

43%

“Terminal Air Traffic Control Specialist (Terminal ATC Specialist)” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 43% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Air Traffic Controllers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Control air traffic on and within vicinity of airport, and movement of air traffic between altitude sectors and control centers, according to established procedures and policies. Authorize, regulate, and control commercial airline flights according to government or company regulations to expedite and ensure flight safety.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,740
Avg. Hourly Wage $68.62
Available Jobs (US) 22,400
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Air Traffic Controllers #53-2021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Air Traffic Controllers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Conduct pre-flight briefings on weather conditions, suggested routes, altitudes, indications of turbulence, or other flight safety information.

  • Alert airport emergency services in cases of emergency or when aircraft are experiencing difficulties.

  • Relay air traffic information, such as courses, altitudes, or expected arrival times, to control centers.

  • Monitor aircraft within a specific airspace, using radar, computer equipment, or visual references.

  • Initiate or coordinate searches for missing aircraft.

  • Determine the timing or procedures for flight vector changes.

  • Transfer control of departing flights to traffic control centers and accept control of arriving flights.

  • Inform pilots about nearby planes or potentially hazardous conditions, such as weather, speed and direction of wind, or visibility problems.

  • Contact pilots by radio to provide meteorological, navigational, or other information.

  • Inspect, adjust, or control radio equipment or airport lights.

  • Monitor or direct the movement of aircraft within an assigned air space or on the ground at airports to minimize delays and maximize safety.

  • Organize flight plans or traffic management plans to prepare for planes about to enter assigned airspace.

  • Compile information about flights from flight plans, pilot reports, radar, or observations.

  • Issue landing and take-off authorizations or instructions.

  • Provide on-the-job training to new air traffic controllers.

  • Check conditions and traffic at different altitudes in response to pilots' requests for altitude changes.

  • Maintain radio or telephone contact with adjacent control towers, terminal control units, or other area control centers to coordinate aircraft movement.

  • Review records or reports for clarity and completeness and maintain records or reports, as required under federal law.

  • Analyze factors such as weather reports, fuel requirements, or maps to determine air routes.

  • Complete daily activity reports and keep records of messages from aircraft.

  • Direct pilots to runways when space is available or direct them to maintain a traffic pattern until there is space for them to land.

  • Direct ground traffic, including taxiing aircraft, maintenance or baggage vehicles, or airport workers.

  • Provide flight path changes or directions to emergency landing fields for pilots traveling in bad weather or in emergency situations.

Technologies & Software

  • En route descent advisor EDA
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Automated radar terminal systems ARTS
  • Multi-center traffic management advisor McTMA
  • Microsoft Access
  • Direct-to-tool software
  • Traffic management advisor TMA software
  • Mobileye AI
  • Enterprise resource planning ERP software
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Advanced technologies and oceanic procedures ATOP
  • DeepSeek
  • Really Simple Syndication RSS
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Center TRACON automation systems CTAS
  • Flight simulation software
  • SAP software
  • Expedite departure path EDP software
  • Gatik AI
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Final approach spacing tool FAST
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Standard terminal automation replacement systems STARS
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Mode S radar systems
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Frequency modulation FM two way radios
  • Airport surface detection equipment ASDE systems
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Digital airport surveillance radar DASR systems
  • Wide area augmentation systems WAAS
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Differential global positioning system DGPS surveillance systems
  • Binoculars
  • Flight simulators
  • High frequency HF radio communications systems
  • Desktop computers
  • Global positioning system GPS surveillance systems
  • Controller pilot datalink communication CPDC systems
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Area navigation RNAV systems
  • Air route surveillance radar ARSR systems
  • Mainframe computers
  • Personal computers
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Airport surveillance radar ASR systems
  • Local area augmentation systems LAAS
  • Precision runway monitor PRM