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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Air Route Traffic Controller” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #178 of 702. Estimated risk: 11.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Air Route Traffic Controller” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

43%

“Air Route Traffic Controller” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 43% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Air Traffic Controllers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Control air traffic on and within vicinity of airport, and movement of air traffic between altitude sectors and control centers, according to established procedures and policies. Authorize, regulate, and control commercial airline flights according to government or company regulations to expedite and ensure flight safety.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,740
Avg. Hourly Wage $68.62
Available Jobs (US) 22,400
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Air Traffic Controllers #53-2021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Air Traffic Controllers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Transfer control of departing flights to traffic control centers and accept control of arriving flights.

  • Alert airport emergency services in cases of emergency or when aircraft are experiencing difficulties.

  • Organize flight plans or traffic management plans to prepare for planes about to enter assigned airspace.

  • Monitor aircraft within a specific airspace, using radar, computer equipment, or visual references.

  • Provide on-the-job training to new air traffic controllers.

  • Direct pilots to runways when space is available or direct them to maintain a traffic pattern until there is space for them to land.

  • Direct ground traffic, including taxiing aircraft, maintenance or baggage vehicles, or airport workers.

  • Analyze factors such as weather reports, fuel requirements, or maps to determine air routes.

  • Maintain radio or telephone contact with adjacent control towers, terminal control units, or other area control centers to coordinate aircraft movement.

  • Determine the timing or procedures for flight vector changes.

  • Check conditions and traffic at different altitudes in response to pilots' requests for altitude changes.

  • Provide flight path changes or directions to emergency landing fields for pilots traveling in bad weather or in emergency situations.

  • Review records or reports for clarity and completeness and maintain records or reports, as required under federal law.

  • Initiate or coordinate searches for missing aircraft.

  • Contact pilots by radio to provide meteorological, navigational, or other information.

  • Compile information about flights from flight plans, pilot reports, radar, or observations.

  • Conduct pre-flight briefings on weather conditions, suggested routes, altitudes, indications of turbulence, or other flight safety information.

  • Issue landing and take-off authorizations or instructions.

  • Complete daily activity reports and keep records of messages from aircraft.

  • Inspect, adjust, or control radio equipment or airport lights.

  • Monitor or direct the movement of aircraft within an assigned air space or on the ground at airports to minimize delays and maximize safety.

  • Inform pilots about nearby planes or potentially hazardous conditions, such as weather, speed and direction of wind, or visibility problems.

  • Relay air traffic information, such as courses, altitudes, or expected arrival times, to control centers.

Technologies & Software

  • DeepSeek
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Really Simple Syndication RSS
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • SAP software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Gatik AI
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Expedite departure path EDP software
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Microsoft Access
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Final approach spacing tool FAST
  • Center TRACON automation systems CTAS
  • Traffic management advisor TMA software
  • En route descent advisor EDA
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Advanced technologies and oceanic procedures ATOP
  • Automated radar terminal systems ARTS
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Mobileye AI
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Enterprise resource planning ERP software
  • Multi-center traffic management advisor McTMA
  • Flight simulation software
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Direct-to-tool software
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Standard terminal automation replacement systems STARS
  • Flight simulators
  • Local area augmentation systems LAAS
  • Mode S radar systems
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Wide area augmentation systems WAAS
  • Mainframe computers
  • Personal computers
  • High frequency HF radio communications systems
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Controller pilot datalink communication CPDC systems
  • Air route surveillance radar ARSR systems
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Global positioning system GPS surveillance systems
  • Frequency modulation FM two way radios
  • Area navigation RNAV systems
  • Differential global positioning system DGPS surveillance systems
  • Desktop computers
  • Precision runway monitor PRM
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Digital airport surveillance radar DASR systems
  • Binoculars
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Airport surveillance radar ASR systems
  • Airport surface detection equipment ASDE systems