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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Air Route Traffic Controller” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #178 of 702. Estimated risk: 11.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Air Route Traffic Controller” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

43%

“Air Route Traffic Controller” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 43% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Air Traffic Controllers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Control air traffic on and within vicinity of airport, and movement of air traffic between altitude sectors and control centers, according to established procedures and policies. Authorize, regulate, and control commercial airline flights according to government or company regulations to expedite and ensure flight safety.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,740
Avg. Hourly Wage $68.62
Available Jobs (US) 22,400
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Air Traffic Controllers #53-2021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Air Traffic Controllers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Inform pilots about nearby planes or potentially hazardous conditions, such as weather, speed and direction of wind, or visibility problems.

  • Complete daily activity reports and keep records of messages from aircraft.

  • Conduct pre-flight briefings on weather conditions, suggested routes, altitudes, indications of turbulence, or other flight safety information.

  • Determine the timing or procedures for flight vector changes.

  • Compile information about flights from flight plans, pilot reports, radar, or observations.

  • Monitor or direct the movement of aircraft within an assigned air space or on the ground at airports to minimize delays and maximize safety.

  • Direct pilots to runways when space is available or direct them to maintain a traffic pattern until there is space for them to land.

  • Transfer control of departing flights to traffic control centers and accept control of arriving flights.

  • Check conditions and traffic at different altitudes in response to pilots' requests for altitude changes.

  • Provide on-the-job training to new air traffic controllers.

  • Contact pilots by radio to provide meteorological, navigational, or other information.

  • Issue landing and take-off authorizations or instructions.

  • Maintain radio or telephone contact with adjacent control towers, terminal control units, or other area control centers to coordinate aircraft movement.

  • Review records or reports for clarity and completeness and maintain records or reports, as required under federal law.

  • Monitor aircraft within a specific airspace, using radar, computer equipment, or visual references.

  • Initiate or coordinate searches for missing aircraft.

  • Organize flight plans or traffic management plans to prepare for planes about to enter assigned airspace.

  • Analyze factors such as weather reports, fuel requirements, or maps to determine air routes.

  • Provide flight path changes or directions to emergency landing fields for pilots traveling in bad weather or in emergency situations.

  • Alert airport emergency services in cases of emergency or when aircraft are experiencing difficulties.

  • Inspect, adjust, or control radio equipment or airport lights.

  • Direct ground traffic, including taxiing aircraft, maintenance or baggage vehicles, or airport workers.

  • Relay air traffic information, such as courses, altitudes, or expected arrival times, to control centers.

Technologies & Software

  • Center TRACON automation systems CTAS
  • Final approach spacing tool FAST
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Direct-to-tool software
  • Gatik AI
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • SAP software
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Expedite departure path EDP software
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Enterprise resource planning ERP software
  • Advanced technologies and oceanic procedures ATOP
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • DeepSeek
  • En route descent advisor EDA
  • Mobileye AI
  • Microsoft Access
  • Microsoft Word
  • Traffic management advisor TMA software
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Flight simulation software
  • Automated radar terminal systems ARTS
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Multi-center traffic management advisor McTMA
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Really Simple Syndication RSS
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Mode S radar systems
  • Binoculars
  • Digital airport surveillance radar DASR systems
  • Global positioning system GPS surveillance systems
  • Air route surveillance radar ARSR systems
  • Differential global positioning system DGPS surveillance systems
  • Desktop computers
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Flight simulators
  • Frequency modulation FM two way radios
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • High frequency HF radio communications systems
  • Mainframe computers
  • Personal computers
  • Local area augmentation systems LAAS
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Standard terminal automation replacement systems STARS
  • Controller pilot datalink communication CPDC systems
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Airport surveillance radar ASR systems
  • Precision runway monitor PRM
  • Airport surface detection equipment ASDE systems
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Area navigation RNAV systems
  • Wide area augmentation systems WAAS