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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Flight Controller” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #178 of 702. Estimated risk: 11.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Flight Controller” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

43%

“Flight Controller” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 43% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Air Traffic Controllers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Control air traffic on and within vicinity of airport, and movement of air traffic between altitude sectors and control centers, according to established procedures and policies. Authorize, regulate, and control commercial airline flights according to government or company regulations to expedite and ensure flight safety.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,740
Avg. Hourly Wage $68.62
Available Jobs (US) 22,400
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Air Traffic Controllers #53-2021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Air Traffic Controllers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Inform pilots about nearby planes or potentially hazardous conditions, such as weather, speed and direction of wind, or visibility problems.

  • Conduct pre-flight briefings on weather conditions, suggested routes, altitudes, indications of turbulence, or other flight safety information.

  • Review records or reports for clarity and completeness and maintain records or reports, as required under federal law.

  • Check conditions and traffic at different altitudes in response to pilots' requests for altitude changes.

  • Relay air traffic information, such as courses, altitudes, or expected arrival times, to control centers.

  • Organize flight plans or traffic management plans to prepare for planes about to enter assigned airspace.

  • Provide on-the-job training to new air traffic controllers.

  • Initiate or coordinate searches for missing aircraft.

  • Complete daily activity reports and keep records of messages from aircraft.

  • Compile information about flights from flight plans, pilot reports, radar, or observations.

  • Determine the timing or procedures for flight vector changes.

  • Alert airport emergency services in cases of emergency or when aircraft are experiencing difficulties.

  • Analyze factors such as weather reports, fuel requirements, or maps to determine air routes.

  • Contact pilots by radio to provide meteorological, navigational, or other information.

  • Direct pilots to runways when space is available or direct them to maintain a traffic pattern until there is space for them to land.

  • Issue landing and take-off authorizations or instructions.

  • Inspect, adjust, or control radio equipment or airport lights.

  • Provide flight path changes or directions to emergency landing fields for pilots traveling in bad weather or in emergency situations.

  • Monitor or direct the movement of aircraft within an assigned air space or on the ground at airports to minimize delays and maximize safety.

  • Monitor aircraft within a specific airspace, using radar, computer equipment, or visual references.

  • Transfer control of departing flights to traffic control centers and accept control of arriving flights.

  • Maintain radio or telephone contact with adjacent control towers, terminal control units, or other area control centers to coordinate aircraft movement.

  • Direct ground traffic, including taxiing aircraft, maintenance or baggage vehicles, or airport workers.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Advanced technologies and oceanic procedures ATOP
  • Automated radar terminal systems ARTS
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Microsoft Word
  • Direct-to-tool software
  • Center TRACON automation systems CTAS
  • Expedite departure path EDP software
  • Microsoft Access
  • DeepSeek
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Really Simple Syndication RSS
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • En route descent advisor EDA
  • Multi-center traffic management advisor McTMA
  • Gatik AI
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Enterprise resource planning ERP software
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Flight simulation software
  • Final approach spacing tool FAST
  • Grok (xAI)
  • SAP software
  • Traffic management advisor TMA software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Mobileye AI
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Airport surface detection equipment ASDE systems
  • Standard terminal automation replacement systems STARS
  • Frequency modulation FM two way radios
  • Desktop computers
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Local area augmentation systems LAAS
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • High frequency HF radio communications systems
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Precision runway monitor PRM
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Digital airport surveillance radar DASR systems
  • Mainframe computers
  • Air route surveillance radar ARSR systems
  • Controller pilot datalink communication CPDC systems
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Global positioning system GPS surveillance systems
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Mode S radar systems
  • Personal computers
  • Flight simulators
  • Area navigation RNAV systems
  • Wide area augmentation systems WAAS
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Binoculars
  • Airport surveillance radar ASR systems
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Differential global positioning system DGPS surveillance systems