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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Center Air Traffic Controller (Center ATC)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #178 of 702. Estimated risk: 11.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Center Air Traffic Controller (Center ATC)” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

43%

“Center Air Traffic Controller (Center ATC)” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 43% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Air Traffic Controllers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Control air traffic on and within vicinity of airport, and movement of air traffic between altitude sectors and control centers, according to established procedures and policies. Authorize, regulate, and control commercial airline flights according to government or company regulations to expedite and ensure flight safety.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,740
Avg. Hourly Wage $68.62
Available Jobs (US) 22,400
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Air Traffic Controllers #53-2021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Air Traffic Controllers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Review records or reports for clarity and completeness and maintain records or reports, as required under federal law.

  • Complete daily activity reports and keep records of messages from aircraft.

  • Contact pilots by radio to provide meteorological, navigational, or other information.

  • Provide flight path changes or directions to emergency landing fields for pilots traveling in bad weather or in emergency situations.

  • Compile information about flights from flight plans, pilot reports, radar, or observations.

  • Initiate or coordinate searches for missing aircraft.

  • Maintain radio or telephone contact with adjacent control towers, terminal control units, or other area control centers to coordinate aircraft movement.

  • Inspect, adjust, or control radio equipment or airport lights.

  • Alert airport emergency services in cases of emergency or when aircraft are experiencing difficulties.

  • Provide on-the-job training to new air traffic controllers.

  • Issue landing and take-off authorizations or instructions.

  • Direct ground traffic, including taxiing aircraft, maintenance or baggage vehicles, or airport workers.

  • Organize flight plans or traffic management plans to prepare for planes about to enter assigned airspace.

  • Conduct pre-flight briefings on weather conditions, suggested routes, altitudes, indications of turbulence, or other flight safety information.

  • Monitor aircraft within a specific airspace, using radar, computer equipment, or visual references.

  • Analyze factors such as weather reports, fuel requirements, or maps to determine air routes.

  • Relay air traffic information, such as courses, altitudes, or expected arrival times, to control centers.

  • Monitor or direct the movement of aircraft within an assigned air space or on the ground at airports to minimize delays and maximize safety.

  • Direct pilots to runways when space is available or direct them to maintain a traffic pattern until there is space for them to land.

  • Inform pilots about nearby planes or potentially hazardous conditions, such as weather, speed and direction of wind, or visibility problems.

  • Transfer control of departing flights to traffic control centers and accept control of arriving flights.

  • Check conditions and traffic at different altitudes in response to pilots' requests for altitude changes.

  • Determine the timing or procedures for flight vector changes.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Center TRACON automation systems CTAS
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Direct-to-tool software
  • Traffic management advisor TMA software
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Advanced technologies and oceanic procedures ATOP
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Multi-center traffic management advisor McTMA
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • DeepSeek
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Mobileye AI
  • En route descent advisor EDA
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Enterprise resource planning ERP software
  • Automated radar terminal systems ARTS
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • SAP software
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Gatik AI
  • Expedite departure path EDP software
  • Flight simulation software
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Really Simple Syndication RSS
  • Final approach spacing tool FAST
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Microsoft Access
  • Airport surveillance radar ASR systems
  • Digital airport surveillance radar DASR systems
  • Differential global positioning system DGPS surveillance systems
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Global positioning system GPS surveillance systems
  • Precision runway monitor PRM
  • High frequency HF radio communications systems
  • Frequency modulation FM two way radios
  • Local area augmentation systems LAAS
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Mainframe computers
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Wide area augmentation systems WAAS
  • Desktop computers
  • Mode S radar systems
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Binoculars
  • Air route surveillance radar ARSR systems
  • Personal computers
  • Airport surface detection equipment ASDE systems
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Standard terminal automation replacement systems STARS
  • Controller pilot datalink communication CPDC systems
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Area navigation RNAV systems
  • Flight simulators