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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Control Operator” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #178 of 702. Estimated risk: 11.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Control Operator” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

43%

“Control Operator” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 43% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Air Traffic Controllers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Control air traffic on and within vicinity of airport, and movement of air traffic between altitude sectors and control centers, according to established procedures and policies. Authorize, regulate, and control commercial airline flights according to government or company regulations to expedite and ensure flight safety.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,740
Avg. Hourly Wage $68.62
Available Jobs (US) 22,400
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Air Traffic Controllers #53-2021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Air Traffic Controllers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Organize flight plans or traffic management plans to prepare for planes about to enter assigned airspace.

  • Inform pilots about nearby planes or potentially hazardous conditions, such as weather, speed and direction of wind, or visibility problems.

  • Alert airport emergency services in cases of emergency or when aircraft are experiencing difficulties.

  • Contact pilots by radio to provide meteorological, navigational, or other information.

  • Transfer control of departing flights to traffic control centers and accept control of arriving flights.

  • Determine the timing or procedures for flight vector changes.

  • Direct pilots to runways when space is available or direct them to maintain a traffic pattern until there is space for them to land.

  • Monitor aircraft within a specific airspace, using radar, computer equipment, or visual references.

  • Initiate or coordinate searches for missing aircraft.

  • Direct ground traffic, including taxiing aircraft, maintenance or baggage vehicles, or airport workers.

  • Compile information about flights from flight plans, pilot reports, radar, or observations.

  • Provide on-the-job training to new air traffic controllers.

  • Check conditions and traffic at different altitudes in response to pilots' requests for altitude changes.

  • Provide flight path changes or directions to emergency landing fields for pilots traveling in bad weather or in emergency situations.

  • Conduct pre-flight briefings on weather conditions, suggested routes, altitudes, indications of turbulence, or other flight safety information.

  • Inspect, adjust, or control radio equipment or airport lights.

  • Monitor or direct the movement of aircraft within an assigned air space or on the ground at airports to minimize delays and maximize safety.

  • Issue landing and take-off authorizations or instructions.

  • Relay air traffic information, such as courses, altitudes, or expected arrival times, to control centers.

  • Complete daily activity reports and keep records of messages from aircraft.

  • Analyze factors such as weather reports, fuel requirements, or maps to determine air routes.

  • Maintain radio or telephone contact with adjacent control towers, terminal control units, or other area control centers to coordinate aircraft movement.

  • Review records or reports for clarity and completeness and maintain records or reports, as required under federal law.

Technologies & Software

  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Multi-center traffic management advisor McTMA
  • Expedite departure path EDP software
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Really Simple Syndication RSS
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Microsoft Access
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Direct-to-tool software
  • DeepSeek
  • Gemini (Google)
  • En route descent advisor EDA
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • SAP software
  • Gatik AI
  • Enterprise resource planning ERP software
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Flight simulation software
  • Mobileye AI
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Traffic management advisor TMA software
  • Center TRACON automation systems CTAS
  • Automated radar terminal systems ARTS
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Advanced technologies and oceanic procedures ATOP
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Final approach spacing tool FAST
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Airport surface detection equipment ASDE systems
  • Desktop computers
  • Mode S radar systems
  • Precision runway monitor PRM
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Binoculars
  • Digital airport surveillance radar DASR systems
  • Area navigation RNAV systems
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Air route surveillance radar ARSR systems
  • Frequency modulation FM two way radios
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Global positioning system GPS surveillance systems
  • Mainframe computers
  • Flight simulators
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Wide area augmentation systems WAAS
  • Airport surveillance radar ASR systems
  • Local area augmentation systems LAAS
  • Controller pilot datalink communication CPDC systems
  • Personal computers
  • High frequency HF radio communications systems
  • Differential global positioning system DGPS surveillance systems
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Standard terminal automation replacement systems STARS