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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Communications Operator” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #178 of 702. Estimated risk: 11.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Communications Operator” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

43%

“Communications Operator” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 43% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Air Traffic Controllers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Control air traffic on and within vicinity of airport, and movement of air traffic between altitude sectors and control centers, according to established procedures and policies. Authorize, regulate, and control commercial airline flights according to government or company regulations to expedite and ensure flight safety.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,740
Avg. Hourly Wage $68.62
Available Jobs (US) 22,400
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Air Traffic Controllers #53-2021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Air Traffic Controllers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Determine the timing or procedures for flight vector changes.

  • Initiate or coordinate searches for missing aircraft.

  • Alert airport emergency services in cases of emergency or when aircraft are experiencing difficulties.

  • Monitor or direct the movement of aircraft within an assigned air space or on the ground at airports to minimize delays and maximize safety.

  • Conduct pre-flight briefings on weather conditions, suggested routes, altitudes, indications of turbulence, or other flight safety information.

  • Direct pilots to runways when space is available or direct them to maintain a traffic pattern until there is space for them to land.

  • Monitor aircraft within a specific airspace, using radar, computer equipment, or visual references.

  • Organize flight plans or traffic management plans to prepare for planes about to enter assigned airspace.

  • Inspect, adjust, or control radio equipment or airport lights.

  • Inform pilots about nearby planes or potentially hazardous conditions, such as weather, speed and direction of wind, or visibility problems.

  • Relay air traffic information, such as courses, altitudes, or expected arrival times, to control centers.

  • Check conditions and traffic at different altitudes in response to pilots' requests for altitude changes.

  • Analyze factors such as weather reports, fuel requirements, or maps to determine air routes.

  • Contact pilots by radio to provide meteorological, navigational, or other information.

  • Review records or reports for clarity and completeness and maintain records or reports, as required under federal law.

  • Complete daily activity reports and keep records of messages from aircraft.

  • Compile information about flights from flight plans, pilot reports, radar, or observations.

  • Issue landing and take-off authorizations or instructions.

  • Maintain radio or telephone contact with adjacent control towers, terminal control units, or other area control centers to coordinate aircraft movement.

  • Direct ground traffic, including taxiing aircraft, maintenance or baggage vehicles, or airport workers.

  • Provide flight path changes or directions to emergency landing fields for pilots traveling in bad weather or in emergency situations.

  • Provide on-the-job training to new air traffic controllers.

  • Transfer control of departing flights to traffic control centers and accept control of arriving flights.

Technologies & Software

  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Center TRACON automation systems CTAS
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Gatik AI
  • Final approach spacing tool FAST
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Flight simulation software
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Microsoft Word
  • Enterprise resource planning ERP software
  • Multi-center traffic management advisor McTMA
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Advanced technologies and oceanic procedures ATOP
  • Expedite departure path EDP software
  • En route descent advisor EDA
  • Gemini (Google)
  • DeepSeek
  • Traffic management advisor TMA software
  • Direct-to-tool software
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Microsoft Access
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Automated radar terminal systems ARTS
  • SAP software
  • Mobileye AI
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Really Simple Syndication RSS
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Airport surveillance radar ASR systems
  • Binoculars
  • Standard terminal automation replacement systems STARS
  • Mode S radar systems
  • Mainframe computers
  • Airport surface detection equipment ASDE systems
  • Wide area augmentation systems WAAS
  • Frequency modulation FM two way radios
  • Digital airport surveillance radar DASR systems
  • Local area augmentation systems LAAS
  • Area navigation RNAV systems
  • Controller pilot datalink communication CPDC systems
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Global positioning system GPS surveillance systems
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Personal computers
  • Flight simulators
  • Desktop computers
  • Air route surveillance radar ARSR systems
  • Precision runway monitor PRM
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Differential global positioning system DGPS surveillance systems
  • High frequency HF radio communications systems
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems