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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Air Traffic Controller (ATC)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #178 of 702. Estimated risk: 11.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Air Traffic Controller (ATC)” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

43%

“Air Traffic Controller (ATC)” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 43% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Air Traffic Controllers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Control air traffic on and within vicinity of airport, and movement of air traffic between altitude sectors and control centers, according to established procedures and policies. Authorize, regulate, and control commercial airline flights according to government or company regulations to expedite and ensure flight safety.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,740
Avg. Hourly Wage $68.62
Available Jobs (US) 22,400
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Air Traffic Controllers #53-2021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Air Traffic Controllers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Complete daily activity reports and keep records of messages from aircraft.

  • Monitor or direct the movement of aircraft within an assigned air space or on the ground at airports to minimize delays and maximize safety.

  • Conduct pre-flight briefings on weather conditions, suggested routes, altitudes, indications of turbulence, or other flight safety information.

  • Inform pilots about nearby planes or potentially hazardous conditions, such as weather, speed and direction of wind, or visibility problems.

  • Provide flight path changes or directions to emergency landing fields for pilots traveling in bad weather or in emergency situations.

  • Alert airport emergency services in cases of emergency or when aircraft are experiencing difficulties.

  • Organize flight plans or traffic management plans to prepare for planes about to enter assigned airspace.

  • Transfer control of departing flights to traffic control centers and accept control of arriving flights.

  • Analyze factors such as weather reports, fuel requirements, or maps to determine air routes.

  • Review records or reports for clarity and completeness and maintain records or reports, as required under federal law.

  • Initiate or coordinate searches for missing aircraft.

  • Contact pilots by radio to provide meteorological, navigational, or other information.

  • Issue landing and take-off authorizations or instructions.

  • Inspect, adjust, or control radio equipment or airport lights.

  • Provide on-the-job training to new air traffic controllers.

  • Monitor aircraft within a specific airspace, using radar, computer equipment, or visual references.

  • Direct pilots to runways when space is available or direct them to maintain a traffic pattern until there is space for them to land.

  • Check conditions and traffic at different altitudes in response to pilots' requests for altitude changes.

  • Relay air traffic information, such as courses, altitudes, or expected arrival times, to control centers.

  • Compile information about flights from flight plans, pilot reports, radar, or observations.

  • Direct ground traffic, including taxiing aircraft, maintenance or baggage vehicles, or airport workers.

  • Maintain radio or telephone contact with adjacent control towers, terminal control units, or other area control centers to coordinate aircraft movement.

  • Determine the timing or procedures for flight vector changes.

Technologies & Software

  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Multi-center traffic management advisor McTMA
  • Microsoft Word
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Expedite departure path EDP software
  • Direct-to-tool software
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Flight simulation software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Traffic management advisor TMA software
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Final approach spacing tool FAST
  • Mobileye AI
  • Really Simple Syndication RSS
  • SAP software
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Enterprise resource planning ERP software
  • Gatik AI
  • DeepSeek
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Advanced technologies and oceanic procedures ATOP
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Microsoft Access
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • En route descent advisor EDA
  • Automated radar terminal systems ARTS
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Center TRACON automation systems CTAS
  • Flight simulators
  • Area navigation RNAV systems
  • Global positioning system GPS surveillance systems
  • Precision runway monitor PRM
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Controller pilot datalink communication CPDC systems
  • Digital airport surveillance radar DASR systems
  • Standard terminal automation replacement systems STARS
  • Mode S radar systems
  • Airport surveillance radar ASR systems
  • Personal computers
  • Wide area augmentation systems WAAS
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Airport surface detection equipment ASDE systems
  • Mainframe computers
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Frequency modulation FM two way radios
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Differential global positioning system DGPS surveillance systems
  • Binoculars
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Local area augmentation systems LAAS
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Air route surveillance radar ARSR systems
  • Desktop computers
  • High frequency HF radio communications systems