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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Air Traffic Controller (ATC)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #178 of 702. Estimated risk: 11.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Air Traffic Controller (ATC)” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

43%

“Air Traffic Controller (ATC)” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 43% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Air Traffic Controllers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Control air traffic on and within vicinity of airport, and movement of air traffic between altitude sectors and control centers, according to established procedures and policies. Authorize, regulate, and control commercial airline flights according to government or company regulations to expedite and ensure flight safety.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,740
Avg. Hourly Wage $68.62
Available Jobs (US) 22,400
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Air Traffic Controllers #53-2021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Air Traffic Controllers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Check conditions and traffic at different altitudes in response to pilots' requests for altitude changes.

  • Direct ground traffic, including taxiing aircraft, maintenance or baggage vehicles, or airport workers.

  • Relay air traffic information, such as courses, altitudes, or expected arrival times, to control centers.

  • Conduct pre-flight briefings on weather conditions, suggested routes, altitudes, indications of turbulence, or other flight safety information.

  • Transfer control of departing flights to traffic control centers and accept control of arriving flights.

  • Contact pilots by radio to provide meteorological, navigational, or other information.

  • Complete daily activity reports and keep records of messages from aircraft.

  • Analyze factors such as weather reports, fuel requirements, or maps to determine air routes.

  • Review records or reports for clarity and completeness and maintain records or reports, as required under federal law.

  • Inspect, adjust, or control radio equipment or airport lights.

  • Alert airport emergency services in cases of emergency or when aircraft are experiencing difficulties.

  • Provide on-the-job training to new air traffic controllers.

  • Organize flight plans or traffic management plans to prepare for planes about to enter assigned airspace.

  • Monitor or direct the movement of aircraft within an assigned air space or on the ground at airports to minimize delays and maximize safety.

  • Inform pilots about nearby planes or potentially hazardous conditions, such as weather, speed and direction of wind, or visibility problems.

  • Determine the timing or procedures for flight vector changes.

  • Initiate or coordinate searches for missing aircraft.

  • Direct pilots to runways when space is available or direct them to maintain a traffic pattern until there is space for them to land.

  • Issue landing and take-off authorizations or instructions.

  • Provide flight path changes or directions to emergency landing fields for pilots traveling in bad weather or in emergency situations.

  • Compile information about flights from flight plans, pilot reports, radar, or observations.

  • Monitor aircraft within a specific airspace, using radar, computer equipment, or visual references.

  • Maintain radio or telephone contact with adjacent control towers, terminal control units, or other area control centers to coordinate aircraft movement.

Technologies & Software

  • En route descent advisor EDA
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Microsoft Access
  • Final approach spacing tool FAST
  • Microsoft Word
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Multi-center traffic management advisor McTMA
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Traffic management advisor TMA software
  • Advanced technologies and oceanic procedures ATOP
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Direct-to-tool software
  • DeepSeek
  • Expedite departure path EDP software
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Mobileye AI
  • Flight simulation software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Center TRACON automation systems CTAS
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Automated radar terminal systems ARTS
  • SAP software
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Gatik AI
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Enterprise resource planning ERP software
  • Really Simple Syndication RSS
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Digital airport surveillance radar DASR systems
  • Mainframe computers
  • Air route surveillance radar ARSR systems
  • Wide area augmentation systems WAAS
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Global positioning system GPS surveillance systems
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Frequency modulation FM two way radios
  • Area navigation RNAV systems
  • Controller pilot datalink communication CPDC systems
  • Precision runway monitor PRM
  • Differential global positioning system DGPS surveillance systems
  • Airport surface detection equipment ASDE systems
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Mode S radar systems
  • Standard terminal automation replacement systems STARS
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Flight simulators
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • High frequency HF radio communications systems
  • Local area augmentation systems LAAS
  • Binoculars
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Personal computers
  • Airport surveillance radar ASR systems
  • Desktop computers