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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Air Traffic Controller (ATC)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #178 of 702. Estimated risk: 11.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Air Traffic Controller (ATC)” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

43%

“Air Traffic Controller (ATC)” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 43% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Air Traffic Controllers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Control air traffic on and within vicinity of airport, and movement of air traffic between altitude sectors and control centers, according to established procedures and policies. Authorize, regulate, and control commercial airline flights according to government or company regulations to expedite and ensure flight safety.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,740
Avg. Hourly Wage $68.62
Available Jobs (US) 22,400
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Air Traffic Controllers #53-2021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Air Traffic Controllers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Complete daily activity reports and keep records of messages from aircraft.

  • Organize flight plans or traffic management plans to prepare for planes about to enter assigned airspace.

  • Monitor aircraft within a specific airspace, using radar, computer equipment, or visual references.

  • Contact pilots by radio to provide meteorological, navigational, or other information.

  • Initiate or coordinate searches for missing aircraft.

  • Inspect, adjust, or control radio equipment or airport lights.

  • Review records or reports for clarity and completeness and maintain records or reports, as required under federal law.

  • Issue landing and take-off authorizations or instructions.

  • Determine the timing or procedures for flight vector changes.

  • Check conditions and traffic at different altitudes in response to pilots' requests for altitude changes.

  • Alert airport emergency services in cases of emergency or when aircraft are experiencing difficulties.

  • Analyze factors such as weather reports, fuel requirements, or maps to determine air routes.

  • Inform pilots about nearby planes or potentially hazardous conditions, such as weather, speed and direction of wind, or visibility problems.

  • Maintain radio or telephone contact with adjacent control towers, terminal control units, or other area control centers to coordinate aircraft movement.

  • Relay air traffic information, such as courses, altitudes, or expected arrival times, to control centers.

  • Provide on-the-job training to new air traffic controllers.

  • Transfer control of departing flights to traffic control centers and accept control of arriving flights.

  • Conduct pre-flight briefings on weather conditions, suggested routes, altitudes, indications of turbulence, or other flight safety information.

  • Direct ground traffic, including taxiing aircraft, maintenance or baggage vehicles, or airport workers.

  • Direct pilots to runways when space is available or direct them to maintain a traffic pattern until there is space for them to land.

  • Provide flight path changes or directions to emergency landing fields for pilots traveling in bad weather or in emergency situations.

  • Compile information about flights from flight plans, pilot reports, radar, or observations.

  • Monitor or direct the movement of aircraft within an assigned air space or on the ground at airports to minimize delays and maximize safety.

Technologies & Software

  • Final approach spacing tool FAST
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Microsoft Access
  • Center TRACON automation systems CTAS
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Expedite departure path EDP software
  • SAP software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Gatik AI
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Direct-to-tool software
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Enterprise resource planning ERP software
  • Traffic management advisor TMA software
  • Mobileye AI
  • Flight simulation software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Advanced technologies and oceanic procedures ATOP
  • DeepSeek
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Really Simple Syndication RSS
  • En route descent advisor EDA
  • Multi-center traffic management advisor McTMA
  • Automated radar terminal systems ARTS
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Flight simulators
  • Area navigation RNAV systems
  • Wide area augmentation systems WAAS
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Personal computers
  • Airport surface detection equipment ASDE systems
  • Desktop computers
  • Controller pilot datalink communication CPDC systems
  • Mainframe computers
  • Binoculars
  • Precision runway monitor PRM
  • Mode S radar systems
  • Air route surveillance radar ARSR systems
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Local area augmentation systems LAAS
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Digital airport surveillance radar DASR systems
  • High frequency HF radio communications systems
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Differential global positioning system DGPS surveillance systems
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Airport surveillance radar ASR systems
  • Global positioning system GPS surveillance systems
  • Standard terminal automation replacement systems STARS
  • Frequency modulation FM two way radios