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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Traffic Control Specialist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #178 of 702. Estimated risk: 11.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Traffic Control Specialist” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

43%

“Traffic Control Specialist” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 43% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Air Traffic Controllers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Control air traffic on and within vicinity of airport, and movement of air traffic between altitude sectors and control centers, according to established procedures and policies. Authorize, regulate, and control commercial airline flights according to government or company regulations to expedite and ensure flight safety.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,740
Avg. Hourly Wage $68.62
Available Jobs (US) 22,400
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Air Traffic Controllers #53-2021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Air Traffic Controllers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Monitor or direct the movement of aircraft within an assigned air space or on the ground at airports to minimize delays and maximize safety.

  • Check conditions and traffic at different altitudes in response to pilots' requests for altitude changes.

  • Compile information about flights from flight plans, pilot reports, radar, or observations.

  • Complete daily activity reports and keep records of messages from aircraft.

  • Determine the timing or procedures for flight vector changes.

  • Inform pilots about nearby planes or potentially hazardous conditions, such as weather, speed and direction of wind, or visibility problems.

  • Issue landing and take-off authorizations or instructions.

  • Monitor aircraft within a specific airspace, using radar, computer equipment, or visual references.

  • Initiate or coordinate searches for missing aircraft.

  • Alert airport emergency services in cases of emergency or when aircraft are experiencing difficulties.

  • Provide flight path changes or directions to emergency landing fields for pilots traveling in bad weather or in emergency situations.

  • Transfer control of departing flights to traffic control centers and accept control of arriving flights.

  • Organize flight plans or traffic management plans to prepare for planes about to enter assigned airspace.

  • Direct pilots to runways when space is available or direct them to maintain a traffic pattern until there is space for them to land.

  • Review records or reports for clarity and completeness and maintain records or reports, as required under federal law.

  • Direct ground traffic, including taxiing aircraft, maintenance or baggage vehicles, or airport workers.

  • Contact pilots by radio to provide meteorological, navigational, or other information.

  • Analyze factors such as weather reports, fuel requirements, or maps to determine air routes.

  • Inspect, adjust, or control radio equipment or airport lights.

  • Provide on-the-job training to new air traffic controllers.

  • Maintain radio or telephone contact with adjacent control towers, terminal control units, or other area control centers to coordinate aircraft movement.

  • Relay air traffic information, such as courses, altitudes, or expected arrival times, to control centers.

  • Conduct pre-flight briefings on weather conditions, suggested routes, altitudes, indications of turbulence, or other flight safety information.

Technologies & Software

  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Direct-to-tool software
  • Expedite departure path EDP software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Automated radar terminal systems ARTS
  • Traffic management advisor TMA software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • DeepSeek
  • SAP software
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Really Simple Syndication RSS
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Microsoft Word
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Center TRACON automation systems CTAS
  • Enterprise resource planning ERP software
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • En route descent advisor EDA
  • Final approach spacing tool FAST
  • Gatik AI
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Mobileye AI
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Advanced technologies and oceanic procedures ATOP
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Flight simulation software
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Microsoft Access
  • Multi-center traffic management advisor McTMA
  • Mainframe computers
  • Precision runway monitor PRM
  • Controller pilot datalink communication CPDC systems
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Wide area augmentation systems WAAS
  • Differential global positioning system DGPS surveillance systems
  • Local area augmentation systems LAAS
  • Mode S radar systems
  • High frequency HF radio communications systems
  • Airport surveillance radar ASR systems
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Digital airport surveillance radar DASR systems
  • Binoculars
  • Airport surface detection equipment ASDE systems
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Frequency modulation FM two way radios
  • Flight simulators
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Desktop computers
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Area navigation RNAV systems
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Global positioning system GPS surveillance systems
  • Air route surveillance radar ARSR systems
  • Personal computers
  • Standard terminal automation replacement systems STARS