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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Traffic Control Specialist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #178 of 702. Estimated risk: 11.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Traffic Control Specialist” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

43%

“Traffic Control Specialist” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 43% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Air Traffic Controllers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Control air traffic on and within vicinity of airport, and movement of air traffic between altitude sectors and control centers, according to established procedures and policies. Authorize, regulate, and control commercial airline flights according to government or company regulations to expedite and ensure flight safety.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,740
Avg. Hourly Wage $68.62
Available Jobs (US) 22,400
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Air Traffic Controllers #53-2021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Air Traffic Controllers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Issue landing and take-off authorizations or instructions.

  • Provide flight path changes or directions to emergency landing fields for pilots traveling in bad weather or in emergency situations.

  • Analyze factors such as weather reports, fuel requirements, or maps to determine air routes.

  • Conduct pre-flight briefings on weather conditions, suggested routes, altitudes, indications of turbulence, or other flight safety information.

  • Alert airport emergency services in cases of emergency or when aircraft are experiencing difficulties.

  • Complete daily activity reports and keep records of messages from aircraft.

  • Inform pilots about nearby planes or potentially hazardous conditions, such as weather, speed and direction of wind, or visibility problems.

  • Transfer control of departing flights to traffic control centers and accept control of arriving flights.

  • Relay air traffic information, such as courses, altitudes, or expected arrival times, to control centers.

  • Monitor aircraft within a specific airspace, using radar, computer equipment, or visual references.

  • Monitor or direct the movement of aircraft within an assigned air space or on the ground at airports to minimize delays and maximize safety.

  • Review records or reports for clarity and completeness and maintain records or reports, as required under federal law.

  • Organize flight plans or traffic management plans to prepare for planes about to enter assigned airspace.

  • Maintain radio or telephone contact with adjacent control towers, terminal control units, or other area control centers to coordinate aircraft movement.

  • Contact pilots by radio to provide meteorological, navigational, or other information.

  • Determine the timing or procedures for flight vector changes.

  • Compile information about flights from flight plans, pilot reports, radar, or observations.

  • Initiate or coordinate searches for missing aircraft.

  • Inspect, adjust, or control radio equipment or airport lights.

  • Direct ground traffic, including taxiing aircraft, maintenance or baggage vehicles, or airport workers.

  • Provide on-the-job training to new air traffic controllers.

  • Direct pilots to runways when space is available or direct them to maintain a traffic pattern until there is space for them to land.

  • Check conditions and traffic at different altitudes in response to pilots' requests for altitude changes.

Technologies & Software

  • Advanced technologies and oceanic procedures ATOP
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Multi-center traffic management advisor McTMA
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Mobileye AI
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Flight simulation software
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Microsoft Access
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • En route descent advisor EDA
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • SAP software
  • Automated radar terminal systems ARTS
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Really Simple Syndication RSS
  • Final approach spacing tool FAST
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Gatik AI
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Center TRACON automation systems CTAS
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Microsoft Word
  • Traffic management advisor TMA software
  • Direct-to-tool software
  • DeepSeek
  • Enterprise resource planning ERP software
  • Expedite departure path EDP software
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Air route surveillance radar ARSR systems
  • Wide area augmentation systems WAAS
  • Personal computers
  • Flight simulators
  • Precision runway monitor PRM
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Binoculars
  • Airport surveillance radar ASR systems
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Controller pilot datalink communication CPDC systems
  • Digital airport surveillance radar DASR systems
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Global positioning system GPS surveillance systems
  • Desktop computers
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Standard terminal automation replacement systems STARS
  • Area navigation RNAV systems
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Frequency modulation FM two way radios
  • Mainframe computers
  • High frequency HF radio communications systems
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Mode S radar systems
  • Local area augmentation systems LAAS
  • Differential global positioning system DGPS surveillance systems
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Airport surface detection equipment ASDE systems