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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Signal Tower Operator” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #178 of 702. Estimated risk: 11.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Signal Tower Operator” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

43%

“Signal Tower Operator” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 43% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Air Traffic Controllers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Control air traffic on and within vicinity of airport, and movement of air traffic between altitude sectors and control centers, according to established procedures and policies. Authorize, regulate, and control commercial airline flights according to government or company regulations to expedite and ensure flight safety.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,740
Avg. Hourly Wage $68.62
Available Jobs (US) 22,400
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Air Traffic Controllers #53-2021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Air Traffic Controllers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Alert airport emergency services in cases of emergency or when aircraft are experiencing difficulties.

  • Direct ground traffic, including taxiing aircraft, maintenance or baggage vehicles, or airport workers.

  • Organize flight plans or traffic management plans to prepare for planes about to enter assigned airspace.

  • Contact pilots by radio to provide meteorological, navigational, or other information.

  • Analyze factors such as weather reports, fuel requirements, or maps to determine air routes.

  • Relay air traffic information, such as courses, altitudes, or expected arrival times, to control centers.

  • Provide flight path changes or directions to emergency landing fields for pilots traveling in bad weather or in emergency situations.

  • Complete daily activity reports and keep records of messages from aircraft.

  • Initiate or coordinate searches for missing aircraft.

  • Monitor or direct the movement of aircraft within an assigned air space or on the ground at airports to minimize delays and maximize safety.

  • Direct pilots to runways when space is available or direct them to maintain a traffic pattern until there is space for them to land.

  • Conduct pre-flight briefings on weather conditions, suggested routes, altitudes, indications of turbulence, or other flight safety information.

  • Check conditions and traffic at different altitudes in response to pilots' requests for altitude changes.

  • Issue landing and take-off authorizations or instructions.

  • Determine the timing or procedures for flight vector changes.

  • Provide on-the-job training to new air traffic controllers.

  • Inspect, adjust, or control radio equipment or airport lights.

  • Inform pilots about nearby planes or potentially hazardous conditions, such as weather, speed and direction of wind, or visibility problems.

  • Compile information about flights from flight plans, pilot reports, radar, or observations.

  • Monitor aircraft within a specific airspace, using radar, computer equipment, or visual references.

  • Review records or reports for clarity and completeness and maintain records or reports, as required under federal law.

  • Maintain radio or telephone contact with adjacent control towers, terminal control units, or other area control centers to coordinate aircraft movement.

  • Transfer control of departing flights to traffic control centers and accept control of arriving flights.

Technologies & Software

  • Gemini (Google)
  • DeepSeek
  • Mobileye AI
  • Microsoft Access
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Flight simulation software
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Really Simple Syndication RSS
  • Direct-to-tool software
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • SAP software
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft Word
  • En route descent advisor EDA
  • Automated radar terminal systems ARTS
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Enterprise resource planning ERP software
  • Final approach spacing tool FAST
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Center TRACON automation systems CTAS
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Traffic management advisor TMA software
  • Expedite departure path EDP software
  • Gatik AI
  • Multi-center traffic management advisor McTMA
  • Advanced technologies and oceanic procedures ATOP
  • Wide area augmentation systems WAAS
  • Digital airport surveillance radar DASR systems
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Controller pilot datalink communication CPDC systems
  • Binoculars
  • Personal computers
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Mode S radar systems
  • Mainframe computers
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Desktop computers
  • Differential global positioning system DGPS surveillance systems
  • Airport surveillance radar ASR systems
  • Local area augmentation systems LAAS
  • Flight simulators
  • Global positioning system GPS surveillance systems
  • Area navigation RNAV systems
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Airport surface detection equipment ASDE systems
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • High frequency HF radio communications systems
  • Air route surveillance radar ARSR systems
  • Precision runway monitor PRM
  • Frequency modulation FM two way radios
  • Standard terminal automation replacement systems STARS