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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Traffic Supervisor” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #178 of 702. Estimated risk: 11.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Traffic Supervisor” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

43%

“Traffic Supervisor” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 43% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Air Traffic Controllers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Control air traffic on and within vicinity of airport, and movement of air traffic between altitude sectors and control centers, according to established procedures and policies. Authorize, regulate, and control commercial airline flights according to government or company regulations to expedite and ensure flight safety.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,740
Avg. Hourly Wage $68.62
Available Jobs (US) 22,400
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Air Traffic Controllers #53-2021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Air Traffic Controllers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Compile information about flights from flight plans, pilot reports, radar, or observations.

  • Direct ground traffic, including taxiing aircraft, maintenance or baggage vehicles, or airport workers.

  • Initiate or coordinate searches for missing aircraft.

  • Monitor or direct the movement of aircraft within an assigned air space or on the ground at airports to minimize delays and maximize safety.

  • Inform pilots about nearby planes or potentially hazardous conditions, such as weather, speed and direction of wind, or visibility problems.

  • Provide flight path changes or directions to emergency landing fields for pilots traveling in bad weather or in emergency situations.

  • Direct pilots to runways when space is available or direct them to maintain a traffic pattern until there is space for them to land.

  • Maintain radio or telephone contact with adjacent control towers, terminal control units, or other area control centers to coordinate aircraft movement.

  • Analyze factors such as weather reports, fuel requirements, or maps to determine air routes.

  • Determine the timing or procedures for flight vector changes.

  • Issue landing and take-off authorizations or instructions.

  • Inspect, adjust, or control radio equipment or airport lights.

  • Complete daily activity reports and keep records of messages from aircraft.

  • Review records or reports for clarity and completeness and maintain records or reports, as required under federal law.

  • Alert airport emergency services in cases of emergency or when aircraft are experiencing difficulties.

  • Check conditions and traffic at different altitudes in response to pilots' requests for altitude changes.

  • Provide on-the-job training to new air traffic controllers.

  • Transfer control of departing flights to traffic control centers and accept control of arriving flights.

  • Monitor aircraft within a specific airspace, using radar, computer equipment, or visual references.

  • Contact pilots by radio to provide meteorological, navigational, or other information.

  • Organize flight plans or traffic management plans to prepare for planes about to enter assigned airspace.

  • Relay air traffic information, such as courses, altitudes, or expected arrival times, to control centers.

  • Conduct pre-flight briefings on weather conditions, suggested routes, altitudes, indications of turbulence, or other flight safety information.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Expedite departure path EDP software
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Microsoft Access
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Flight simulation software
  • Automated radar terminal systems ARTS
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Final approach spacing tool FAST
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Mobileye AI
  • En route descent advisor EDA
  • Multi-center traffic management advisor McTMA
  • Gatik AI
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Really Simple Syndication RSS
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Traffic management advisor TMA software
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Microsoft Word
  • Center TRACON automation systems CTAS
  • Enterprise resource planning ERP software
  • SAP software
  • DeepSeek
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Advanced technologies and oceanic procedures ATOP
  • Direct-to-tool software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Mode S radar systems
  • Mainframe computers
  • Standard terminal automation replacement systems STARS
  • Flight simulators
  • Precision runway monitor PRM
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Airport surveillance radar ASR systems
  • Local area augmentation systems LAAS
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Airport surface detection equipment ASDE systems
  • Digital airport surveillance radar DASR systems
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Area navigation RNAV systems
  • Air route surveillance radar ARSR systems
  • Global positioning system GPS surveillance systems
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Personal computers
  • High frequency HF radio communications systems
  • Desktop computers
  • Controller pilot datalink communication CPDC systems
  • Wide area augmentation systems WAAS
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Frequency modulation FM two way radios
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Binoculars
  • Differential global positioning system DGPS surveillance systems