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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Station Air Traffic Control Specialist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #178 of 702. Estimated risk: 11.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Station Air Traffic Control Specialist” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

43%

“Station Air Traffic Control Specialist” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 43% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Air Traffic Controllers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Control air traffic on and within vicinity of airport, and movement of air traffic between altitude sectors and control centers, according to established procedures and policies. Authorize, regulate, and control commercial airline flights according to government or company regulations to expedite and ensure flight safety.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,740
Avg. Hourly Wage $68.62
Available Jobs (US) 22,400
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Air Traffic Controllers #53-2021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Air Traffic Controllers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Transfer control of departing flights to traffic control centers and accept control of arriving flights.

  • Organize flight plans or traffic management plans to prepare for planes about to enter assigned airspace.

  • Conduct pre-flight briefings on weather conditions, suggested routes, altitudes, indications of turbulence, or other flight safety information.

  • Inform pilots about nearby planes or potentially hazardous conditions, such as weather, speed and direction of wind, or visibility problems.

  • Review records or reports for clarity and completeness and maintain records or reports, as required under federal law.

  • Determine the timing or procedures for flight vector changes.

  • Alert airport emergency services in cases of emergency or when aircraft are experiencing difficulties.

  • Inspect, adjust, or control radio equipment or airport lights.

  • Check conditions and traffic at different altitudes in response to pilots' requests for altitude changes.

  • Maintain radio or telephone contact with adjacent control towers, terminal control units, or other area control centers to coordinate aircraft movement.

  • Provide flight path changes or directions to emergency landing fields for pilots traveling in bad weather or in emergency situations.

  • Monitor aircraft within a specific airspace, using radar, computer equipment, or visual references.

  • Issue landing and take-off authorizations or instructions.

  • Initiate or coordinate searches for missing aircraft.

  • Analyze factors such as weather reports, fuel requirements, or maps to determine air routes.

  • Monitor or direct the movement of aircraft within an assigned air space or on the ground at airports to minimize delays and maximize safety.

  • Complete daily activity reports and keep records of messages from aircraft.

  • Direct ground traffic, including taxiing aircraft, maintenance or baggage vehicles, or airport workers.

  • Provide on-the-job training to new air traffic controllers.

  • Relay air traffic information, such as courses, altitudes, or expected arrival times, to control centers.

  • Direct pilots to runways when space is available or direct them to maintain a traffic pattern until there is space for them to land.

  • Contact pilots by radio to provide meteorological, navigational, or other information.

  • Compile information about flights from flight plans, pilot reports, radar, or observations.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Enterprise resource planning ERP software
  • Really Simple Syndication RSS
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Advanced technologies and oceanic procedures ATOP
  • Final approach spacing tool FAST
  • Direct-to-tool software
  • Center TRACON automation systems CTAS
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Mobileye AI
  • Automated radar terminal systems ARTS
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Microsoft Excel
  • En route descent advisor EDA
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Microsoft Access
  • DeepSeek
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Expedite departure path EDP software
  • SAP software
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Flight simulation software
  • Gatik AI
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Multi-center traffic management advisor McTMA
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Traffic management advisor TMA software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Differential global positioning system DGPS surveillance systems
  • Mode S radar systems
  • Digital airport surveillance radar DASR systems
  • Frequency modulation FM two way radios
  • High frequency HF radio communications systems
  • Standard terminal automation replacement systems STARS
  • Mainframe computers
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Desktop computers
  • Personal computers
  • Wide area augmentation systems WAAS
  • Binoculars
  • Area navigation RNAV systems
  • Global positioning system GPS surveillance systems
  • Air route surveillance radar ARSR systems
  • Controller pilot datalink communication CPDC systems
  • Local area augmentation systems LAAS
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Precision runway monitor PRM
  • Flight simulators
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Airport surveillance radar ASR systems
  • Airport surface detection equipment ASDE systems
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS