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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Control Tower Operator” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #178 of 702. Estimated risk: 11.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Control Tower Operator” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

43%

“Control Tower Operator” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 43% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Air Traffic Controllers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Control air traffic on and within vicinity of airport, and movement of air traffic between altitude sectors and control centers, according to established procedures and policies. Authorize, regulate, and control commercial airline flights according to government or company regulations to expedite and ensure flight safety.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,740
Avg. Hourly Wage $68.62
Available Jobs (US) 22,400
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Air Traffic Controllers #53-2021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Air Traffic Controllers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Check conditions and traffic at different altitudes in response to pilots' requests for altitude changes.

  • Provide on-the-job training to new air traffic controllers.

  • Contact pilots by radio to provide meteorological, navigational, or other information.

  • Issue landing and take-off authorizations or instructions.

  • Alert airport emergency services in cases of emergency or when aircraft are experiencing difficulties.

  • Inform pilots about nearby planes or potentially hazardous conditions, such as weather, speed and direction of wind, or visibility problems.

  • Complete daily activity reports and keep records of messages from aircraft.

  • Direct ground traffic, including taxiing aircraft, maintenance or baggage vehicles, or airport workers.

  • Determine the timing or procedures for flight vector changes.

  • Relay air traffic information, such as courses, altitudes, or expected arrival times, to control centers.

  • Organize flight plans or traffic management plans to prepare for planes about to enter assigned airspace.

  • Compile information about flights from flight plans, pilot reports, radar, or observations.

  • Analyze factors such as weather reports, fuel requirements, or maps to determine air routes.

  • Monitor or direct the movement of aircraft within an assigned air space or on the ground at airports to minimize delays and maximize safety.

  • Maintain radio or telephone contact with adjacent control towers, terminal control units, or other area control centers to coordinate aircraft movement.

  • Review records or reports for clarity and completeness and maintain records or reports, as required under federal law.

  • Direct pilots to runways when space is available or direct them to maintain a traffic pattern until there is space for them to land.

  • Provide flight path changes or directions to emergency landing fields for pilots traveling in bad weather or in emergency situations.

  • Conduct pre-flight briefings on weather conditions, suggested routes, altitudes, indications of turbulence, or other flight safety information.

  • Transfer control of departing flights to traffic control centers and accept control of arriving flights.

  • Monitor aircraft within a specific airspace, using radar, computer equipment, or visual references.

  • Inspect, adjust, or control radio equipment or airport lights.

  • Initiate or coordinate searches for missing aircraft.

Technologies & Software

  • Traffic management advisor TMA software
  • Automated radar terminal systems ARTS
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Advanced technologies and oceanic procedures ATOP
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Flight simulation software
  • Mobileye AI
  • Center TRACON automation systems CTAS
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Expedite departure path EDP software
  • Really Simple Syndication RSS
  • SAP software
  • Final approach spacing tool FAST
  • Gatik AI
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Direct-to-tool software
  • Microsoft Access
  • DeepSeek
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • En route descent advisor EDA
  • Microsoft Word
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Enterprise resource planning ERP software
  • Multi-center traffic management advisor McTMA
  • Binoculars
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Global positioning system GPS surveillance systems
  • High frequency HF radio communications systems
  • Standard terminal automation replacement systems STARS
  • Mode S radar systems
  • Personal computers
  • Desktop computers
  • Differential global positioning system DGPS surveillance systems
  • Digital airport surveillance radar DASR systems
  • Precision runway monitor PRM
  • Area navigation RNAV systems
  • Local area augmentation systems LAAS
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Flight simulators
  • Airport surface detection equipment ASDE systems
  • Mainframe computers
  • Wide area augmentation systems WAAS
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Air route surveillance radar ARSR systems
  • Airport surveillance radar ASR systems
  • Frequency modulation FM two way radios
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Controller pilot datalink communication CPDC systems
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems