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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Airway Controller” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #178 of 702. Estimated risk: 11.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Airway Controller” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

43%

“Airway Controller” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 43% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Air Traffic Controllers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Control air traffic on and within vicinity of airport, and movement of air traffic between altitude sectors and control centers, according to established procedures and policies. Authorize, regulate, and control commercial airline flights according to government or company regulations to expedite and ensure flight safety.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,740
Avg. Hourly Wage $68.62
Available Jobs (US) 22,400
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Air Traffic Controllers #53-2021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Air Traffic Controllers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Determine the timing or procedures for flight vector changes.

  • Initiate or coordinate searches for missing aircraft.

  • Organize flight plans or traffic management plans to prepare for planes about to enter assigned airspace.

  • Provide on-the-job training to new air traffic controllers.

  • Provide flight path changes or directions to emergency landing fields for pilots traveling in bad weather or in emergency situations.

  • Issue landing and take-off authorizations or instructions.

  • Analyze factors such as weather reports, fuel requirements, or maps to determine air routes.

  • Relay air traffic information, such as courses, altitudes, or expected arrival times, to control centers.

  • Direct pilots to runways when space is available or direct them to maintain a traffic pattern until there is space for them to land.

  • Conduct pre-flight briefings on weather conditions, suggested routes, altitudes, indications of turbulence, or other flight safety information.

  • Alert airport emergency services in cases of emergency or when aircraft are experiencing difficulties.

  • Monitor aircraft within a specific airspace, using radar, computer equipment, or visual references.

  • Maintain radio or telephone contact with adjacent control towers, terminal control units, or other area control centers to coordinate aircraft movement.

  • Inform pilots about nearby planes or potentially hazardous conditions, such as weather, speed and direction of wind, or visibility problems.

  • Direct ground traffic, including taxiing aircraft, maintenance or baggage vehicles, or airport workers.

  • Review records or reports for clarity and completeness and maintain records or reports, as required under federal law.

  • Compile information about flights from flight plans, pilot reports, radar, or observations.

  • Transfer control of departing flights to traffic control centers and accept control of arriving flights.

  • Complete daily activity reports and keep records of messages from aircraft.

  • Check conditions and traffic at different altitudes in response to pilots' requests for altitude changes.

  • Monitor or direct the movement of aircraft within an assigned air space or on the ground at airports to minimize delays and maximize safety.

  • Contact pilots by radio to provide meteorological, navigational, or other information.

  • Inspect, adjust, or control radio equipment or airport lights.

Technologies & Software

  • Enterprise resource planning ERP software
  • Gatik AI
  • Multi-center traffic management advisor McTMA
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Microsoft Access
  • Gemini (Google)
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Automated radar terminal systems ARTS
  • Microsoft Word
  • En route descent advisor EDA
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Mobileye AI
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Expedite departure path EDP software
  • SAP software
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Flight simulation software
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Direct-to-tool software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Center TRACON automation systems CTAS
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Really Simple Syndication RSS
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Advanced technologies and oceanic procedures ATOP
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Final approach spacing tool FAST
  • Traffic management advisor TMA software
  • DeepSeek
  • Global positioning system GPS surveillance systems
  • High frequency HF radio communications systems
  • Desktop computers
  • Flight simulators
  • Digital airport surveillance radar DASR systems
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Differential global positioning system DGPS surveillance systems
  • Area navigation RNAV systems
  • Mode S radar systems
  • Airport surface detection equipment ASDE systems
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Binoculars
  • Mainframe computers
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Airport surveillance radar ASR systems
  • Local area augmentation systems LAAS
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Wide area augmentation systems WAAS
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Precision runway monitor PRM
  • Standard terminal automation replacement systems STARS
  • Frequency modulation FM two way radios
  • Personal computers
  • Air route surveillance radar ARSR systems
  • Controller pilot datalink communication CPDC systems
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems