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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Airway Controller” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #178 of 702. Estimated risk: 11.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Airway Controller” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

43%

“Airway Controller” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 43% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Air Traffic Controllers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Control air traffic on and within vicinity of airport, and movement of air traffic between altitude sectors and control centers, according to established procedures and policies. Authorize, regulate, and control commercial airline flights according to government or company regulations to expedite and ensure flight safety.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,740
Avg. Hourly Wage $68.62
Available Jobs (US) 22,400
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Air Traffic Controllers #53-2021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Air Traffic Controllers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Provide on-the-job training to new air traffic controllers.

  • Direct pilots to runways when space is available or direct them to maintain a traffic pattern until there is space for them to land.

  • Contact pilots by radio to provide meteorological, navigational, or other information.

  • Determine the timing or procedures for flight vector changes.

  • Alert airport emergency services in cases of emergency or when aircraft are experiencing difficulties.

  • Initiate or coordinate searches for missing aircraft.

  • Conduct pre-flight briefings on weather conditions, suggested routes, altitudes, indications of turbulence, or other flight safety information.

  • Monitor or direct the movement of aircraft within an assigned air space or on the ground at airports to minimize delays and maximize safety.

  • Transfer control of departing flights to traffic control centers and accept control of arriving flights.

  • Inspect, adjust, or control radio equipment or airport lights.

  • Relay air traffic information, such as courses, altitudes, or expected arrival times, to control centers.

  • Organize flight plans or traffic management plans to prepare for planes about to enter assigned airspace.

  • Direct ground traffic, including taxiing aircraft, maintenance or baggage vehicles, or airport workers.

  • Issue landing and take-off authorizations or instructions.

  • Check conditions and traffic at different altitudes in response to pilots' requests for altitude changes.

  • Complete daily activity reports and keep records of messages from aircraft.

  • Provide flight path changes or directions to emergency landing fields for pilots traveling in bad weather or in emergency situations.

  • Compile information about flights from flight plans, pilot reports, radar, or observations.

  • Review records or reports for clarity and completeness and maintain records or reports, as required under federal law.

  • Maintain radio or telephone contact with adjacent control towers, terminal control units, or other area control centers to coordinate aircraft movement.

  • Analyze factors such as weather reports, fuel requirements, or maps to determine air routes.

  • Monitor aircraft within a specific airspace, using radar, computer equipment, or visual references.

  • Inform pilots about nearby planes or potentially hazardous conditions, such as weather, speed and direction of wind, or visibility problems.

Technologies & Software

  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Really Simple Syndication RSS
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • DeepSeek
  • Advanced technologies and oceanic procedures ATOP
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Automated radar terminal systems ARTS
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Flight simulation software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Direct-to-tool software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • En route descent advisor EDA
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Enterprise resource planning ERP software
  • SAP software
  • Microsoft Access
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Center TRACON automation systems CTAS
  • Traffic management advisor TMA software
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Expedite departure path EDP software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Mobileye AI
  • Final approach spacing tool FAST
  • Gatik AI
  • Multi-center traffic management advisor McTMA
  • Air route surveillance radar ARSR systems
  • Mainframe computers
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Binoculars
  • Wide area augmentation systems WAAS
  • Desktop computers
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Standard terminal automation replacement systems STARS
  • Airport surveillance radar ASR systems
  • Controller pilot datalink communication CPDC systems
  • Personal computers
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Frequency modulation FM two way radios
  • Local area augmentation systems LAAS
  • Precision runway monitor PRM
  • Digital airport surveillance radar DASR systems
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Area navigation RNAV systems
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • High frequency HF radio communications systems
  • Mode S radar systems
  • Flight simulators
  • Differential global positioning system DGPS surveillance systems
  • Global positioning system GPS surveillance systems
  • Airport surface detection equipment ASDE systems
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems