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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Airport Traffic Controller” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #178 of 702. Estimated risk: 11.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Airport Traffic Controller” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

43%

“Airport Traffic Controller” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 43% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Air Traffic Controllers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Control air traffic on and within vicinity of airport, and movement of air traffic between altitude sectors and control centers, according to established procedures and policies. Authorize, regulate, and control commercial airline flights according to government or company regulations to expedite and ensure flight safety.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,740
Avg. Hourly Wage $68.62
Available Jobs (US) 22,400
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Air Traffic Controllers #53-2021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Air Traffic Controllers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Organize flight plans or traffic management plans to prepare for planes about to enter assigned airspace.

  • Initiate or coordinate searches for missing aircraft.

  • Provide on-the-job training to new air traffic controllers.

  • Check conditions and traffic at different altitudes in response to pilots' requests for altitude changes.

  • Conduct pre-flight briefings on weather conditions, suggested routes, altitudes, indications of turbulence, or other flight safety information.

  • Analyze factors such as weather reports, fuel requirements, or maps to determine air routes.

  • Alert airport emergency services in cases of emergency or when aircraft are experiencing difficulties.

  • Direct pilots to runways when space is available or direct them to maintain a traffic pattern until there is space for them to land.

  • Relay air traffic information, such as courses, altitudes, or expected arrival times, to control centers.

  • Contact pilots by radio to provide meteorological, navigational, or other information.

  • Maintain radio or telephone contact with adjacent control towers, terminal control units, or other area control centers to coordinate aircraft movement.

  • Inspect, adjust, or control radio equipment or airport lights.

  • Determine the timing or procedures for flight vector changes.

  • Inform pilots about nearby planes or potentially hazardous conditions, such as weather, speed and direction of wind, or visibility problems.

  • Complete daily activity reports and keep records of messages from aircraft.

  • Review records or reports for clarity and completeness and maintain records or reports, as required under federal law.

  • Issue landing and take-off authorizations or instructions.

  • Transfer control of departing flights to traffic control centers and accept control of arriving flights.

  • Direct ground traffic, including taxiing aircraft, maintenance or baggage vehicles, or airport workers.

  • Provide flight path changes or directions to emergency landing fields for pilots traveling in bad weather or in emergency situations.

  • Compile information about flights from flight plans, pilot reports, radar, or observations.

  • Monitor aircraft within a specific airspace, using radar, computer equipment, or visual references.

  • Monitor or direct the movement of aircraft within an assigned air space or on the ground at airports to minimize delays and maximize safety.

Technologies & Software

  • SAP software
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Really Simple Syndication RSS
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Flight simulation software
  • Microsoft Access
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Final approach spacing tool FAST
  • Microsoft Word
  • Expedite departure path EDP software
  • Multi-center traffic management advisor McTMA
  • Center TRACON automation systems CTAS
  • Enterprise resource planning ERP software
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Traffic management advisor TMA software
  • Gatik AI
  • DeepSeek
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Direct-to-tool software
  • En route descent advisor EDA
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Advanced technologies and oceanic procedures ATOP
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Automated radar terminal systems ARTS
  • Mobileye AI
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Area navigation RNAV systems
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Local area augmentation systems LAAS
  • Standard terminal automation replacement systems STARS
  • Binoculars
  • Digital airport surveillance radar DASR systems
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Personal computers
  • Desktop computers
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • High frequency HF radio communications systems
  • Mainframe computers
  • Frequency modulation FM two way radios
  • Differential global positioning system DGPS surveillance systems
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Global positioning system GPS surveillance systems
  • Wide area augmentation systems WAAS
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Precision runway monitor PRM
  • Controller pilot datalink communication CPDC systems
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Airport surface detection equipment ASDE systems
  • Flight simulators
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Mode S radar systems
  • Airport surveillance radar ASR systems
  • Air route surveillance radar ARSR systems
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems