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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Airport Traffic Controller” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #178 of 702. Estimated risk: 11.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Airport Traffic Controller” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

43%

“Airport Traffic Controller” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 43% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Air Traffic Controllers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Control air traffic on and within vicinity of airport, and movement of air traffic between altitude sectors and control centers, according to established procedures and policies. Authorize, regulate, and control commercial airline flights according to government or company regulations to expedite and ensure flight safety.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,740
Avg. Hourly Wage $68.62
Available Jobs (US) 22,400
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Air Traffic Controllers #53-2021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Air Traffic Controllers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Analyze factors such as weather reports, fuel requirements, or maps to determine air routes.

  • Provide flight path changes or directions to emergency landing fields for pilots traveling in bad weather or in emergency situations.

  • Transfer control of departing flights to traffic control centers and accept control of arriving flights.

  • Contact pilots by radio to provide meteorological, navigational, or other information.

  • Check conditions and traffic at different altitudes in response to pilots' requests for altitude changes.

  • Complete daily activity reports and keep records of messages from aircraft.

  • Compile information about flights from flight plans, pilot reports, radar, or observations.

  • Inspect, adjust, or control radio equipment or airport lights.

  • Relay air traffic information, such as courses, altitudes, or expected arrival times, to control centers.

  • Initiate or coordinate searches for missing aircraft.

  • Monitor aircraft within a specific airspace, using radar, computer equipment, or visual references.

  • Direct ground traffic, including taxiing aircraft, maintenance or baggage vehicles, or airport workers.

  • Provide on-the-job training to new air traffic controllers.

  • Determine the timing or procedures for flight vector changes.

  • Direct pilots to runways when space is available or direct them to maintain a traffic pattern until there is space for them to land.

  • Organize flight plans or traffic management plans to prepare for planes about to enter assigned airspace.

  • Review records or reports for clarity and completeness and maintain records or reports, as required under federal law.

  • Monitor or direct the movement of aircraft within an assigned air space or on the ground at airports to minimize delays and maximize safety.

  • Conduct pre-flight briefings on weather conditions, suggested routes, altitudes, indications of turbulence, or other flight safety information.

  • Alert airport emergency services in cases of emergency or when aircraft are experiencing difficulties.

  • Inform pilots about nearby planes or potentially hazardous conditions, such as weather, speed and direction of wind, or visibility problems.

  • Issue landing and take-off authorizations or instructions.

  • Maintain radio or telephone contact with adjacent control towers, terminal control units, or other area control centers to coordinate aircraft movement.

Technologies & Software

  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Enterprise resource planning ERP software
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Really Simple Syndication RSS
  • Expedite departure path EDP software
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Traffic management advisor TMA software
  • Automated radar terminal systems ARTS
  • Microsoft Access
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Advanced technologies and oceanic procedures ATOP
  • Center TRACON automation systems CTAS
  • Microsoft Word
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Flight simulation software
  • DeepSeek
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Final approach spacing tool FAST
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Multi-center traffic management advisor McTMA
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Gatik AI
  • Mobileye AI
  • En route descent advisor EDA
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • SAP software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Direct-to-tool software
  • Local area augmentation systems LAAS
  • Wide area augmentation systems WAAS
  • High frequency HF radio communications systems
  • Area navigation RNAV systems
  • Digital airport surveillance radar DASR systems
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Mainframe computers
  • Frequency modulation FM two way radios
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Standard terminal automation replacement systems STARS
  • Flight simulators
  • Air route surveillance radar ARSR systems
  • Global positioning system GPS surveillance systems
  • Airport surface detection equipment ASDE systems
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Precision runway monitor PRM
  • Desktop computers
  • Personal computers
  • Mode S radar systems
  • Airport surveillance radar ASR systems
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Binoculars
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Differential global positioning system DGPS surveillance systems
  • Controller pilot datalink communication CPDC systems
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems