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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Airport Traffic Controller” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #178 of 702. Estimated risk: 11.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Airport Traffic Controller” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

43%

“Airport Traffic Controller” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 43% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Air Traffic Controllers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Control air traffic on and within vicinity of airport, and movement of air traffic between altitude sectors and control centers, according to established procedures and policies. Authorize, regulate, and control commercial airline flights according to government or company regulations to expedite and ensure flight safety.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,740
Avg. Hourly Wage $68.62
Available Jobs (US) 22,400
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Air Traffic Controllers #53-2021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Air Traffic Controllers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Initiate or coordinate searches for missing aircraft.

  • Relay air traffic information, such as courses, altitudes, or expected arrival times, to control centers.

  • Direct ground traffic, including taxiing aircraft, maintenance or baggage vehicles, or airport workers.

  • Conduct pre-flight briefings on weather conditions, suggested routes, altitudes, indications of turbulence, or other flight safety information.

  • Complete daily activity reports and keep records of messages from aircraft.

  • Issue landing and take-off authorizations or instructions.

  • Maintain radio or telephone contact with adjacent control towers, terminal control units, or other area control centers to coordinate aircraft movement.

  • Contact pilots by radio to provide meteorological, navigational, or other information.

  • Check conditions and traffic at different altitudes in response to pilots' requests for altitude changes.

  • Provide flight path changes or directions to emergency landing fields for pilots traveling in bad weather or in emergency situations.

  • Determine the timing or procedures for flight vector changes.

  • Inspect, adjust, or control radio equipment or airport lights.

  • Review records or reports for clarity and completeness and maintain records or reports, as required under federal law.

  • Provide on-the-job training to new air traffic controllers.

  • Transfer control of departing flights to traffic control centers and accept control of arriving flights.

  • Monitor or direct the movement of aircraft within an assigned air space or on the ground at airports to minimize delays and maximize safety.

  • Alert airport emergency services in cases of emergency or when aircraft are experiencing difficulties.

  • Direct pilots to runways when space is available or direct them to maintain a traffic pattern until there is space for them to land.

  • Analyze factors such as weather reports, fuel requirements, or maps to determine air routes.

  • Organize flight plans or traffic management plans to prepare for planes about to enter assigned airspace.

  • Inform pilots about nearby planes or potentially hazardous conditions, such as weather, speed and direction of wind, or visibility problems.

  • Compile information about flights from flight plans, pilot reports, radar, or observations.

  • Monitor aircraft within a specific airspace, using radar, computer equipment, or visual references.

Technologies & Software

  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Microsoft Access
  • DeepSeek
  • Gatik AI
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Advanced technologies and oceanic procedures ATOP
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Traffic management advisor TMA software
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Automated radar terminal systems ARTS
  • En route descent advisor EDA
  • Enterprise resource planning ERP software
  • SAP software
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Mobileye AI
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Direct-to-tool software
  • Flight simulation software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Center TRACON automation systems CTAS
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Really Simple Syndication RSS
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Microsoft Word
  • Expedite departure path EDP software
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Multi-center traffic management advisor McTMA
  • Final approach spacing tool FAST
  • Area navigation RNAV systems
  • Mainframe computers
  • Desktop computers
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Global positioning system GPS surveillance systems
  • Controller pilot datalink communication CPDC systems
  • Precision runway monitor PRM
  • Wide area augmentation systems WAAS
  • Airport surface detection equipment ASDE systems
  • High frequency HF radio communications systems
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Digital airport surveillance radar DASR systems
  • Frequency modulation FM two way radios
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Local area augmentation systems LAAS
  • Differential global positioning system DGPS surveillance systems
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Flight simulators
  • Personal computers
  • Standard terminal automation replacement systems STARS
  • Airport surveillance radar ASR systems
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Air route surveillance radar ARSR systems
  • Binoculars
  • Mode S radar systems