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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Tower Air Traffic Control Specialist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #178 of 702. Estimated risk: 11.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Tower Air Traffic Control Specialist” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

43%

“Tower Air Traffic Control Specialist” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 43% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Air Traffic Controllers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Control air traffic on and within vicinity of airport, and movement of air traffic between altitude sectors and control centers, according to established procedures and policies. Authorize, regulate, and control commercial airline flights according to government or company regulations to expedite and ensure flight safety.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,740
Avg. Hourly Wage $68.62
Available Jobs (US) 22,400
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Air Traffic Controllers #53-2021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Air Traffic Controllers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Compile information about flights from flight plans, pilot reports, radar, or observations.

  • Alert airport emergency services in cases of emergency or when aircraft are experiencing difficulties.

  • Monitor or direct the movement of aircraft within an assigned air space or on the ground at airports to minimize delays and maximize safety.

  • Direct pilots to runways when space is available or direct them to maintain a traffic pattern until there is space for them to land.

  • Provide flight path changes or directions to emergency landing fields for pilots traveling in bad weather or in emergency situations.

  • Analyze factors such as weather reports, fuel requirements, or maps to determine air routes.

  • Transfer control of departing flights to traffic control centers and accept control of arriving flights.

  • Maintain radio or telephone contact with adjacent control towers, terminal control units, or other area control centers to coordinate aircraft movement.

  • Determine the timing or procedures for flight vector changes.

  • Issue landing and take-off authorizations or instructions.

  • Relay air traffic information, such as courses, altitudes, or expected arrival times, to control centers.

  • Organize flight plans or traffic management plans to prepare for planes about to enter assigned airspace.

  • Complete daily activity reports and keep records of messages from aircraft.

  • Inspect, adjust, or control radio equipment or airport lights.

  • Contact pilots by radio to provide meteorological, navigational, or other information.

  • Conduct pre-flight briefings on weather conditions, suggested routes, altitudes, indications of turbulence, or other flight safety information.

  • Check conditions and traffic at different altitudes in response to pilots' requests for altitude changes.

  • Review records or reports for clarity and completeness and maintain records or reports, as required under federal law.

  • Direct ground traffic, including taxiing aircraft, maintenance or baggage vehicles, or airport workers.

  • Provide on-the-job training to new air traffic controllers.

  • Inform pilots about nearby planes or potentially hazardous conditions, such as weather, speed and direction of wind, or visibility problems.

  • Monitor aircraft within a specific airspace, using radar, computer equipment, or visual references.

  • Initiate or coordinate searches for missing aircraft.

Technologies & Software

  • Really Simple Syndication RSS
  • Automated radar terminal systems ARTS
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • DeepSeek
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Advanced technologies and oceanic procedures ATOP
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Gatik AI
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Flight simulation software
  • En route descent advisor EDA
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Enterprise resource planning ERP software
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Traffic management advisor TMA software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Center TRACON automation systems CTAS
  • Expedite departure path EDP software
  • Microsoft Access
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Mobileye AI
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Multi-center traffic management advisor McTMA
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Direct-to-tool software
  • SAP software
  • Final approach spacing tool FAST
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Mainframe computers
  • Airport surface detection equipment ASDE systems
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Mode S radar systems
  • Area navigation RNAV systems
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Global positioning system GPS surveillance systems
  • Controller pilot datalink communication CPDC systems
  • High frequency HF radio communications systems
  • Air route surveillance radar ARSR systems
  • Flight simulators
  • Differential global positioning system DGPS surveillance systems
  • Desktop computers
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Local area augmentation systems LAAS
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Standard terminal automation replacement systems STARS
  • Airport surveillance radar ASR systems
  • Precision runway monitor PRM
  • Wide area augmentation systems WAAS
  • Binoculars
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Frequency modulation FM two way radios
  • Personal computers
  • Digital airport surveillance radar DASR systems