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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Airways Control Specialist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #178 of 702. Estimated risk: 11.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Airways Control Specialist” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

43%

“Airways Control Specialist” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 43% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Air Traffic Controllers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Control air traffic on and within vicinity of airport, and movement of air traffic between altitude sectors and control centers, according to established procedures and policies. Authorize, regulate, and control commercial airline flights according to government or company regulations to expedite and ensure flight safety.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,740
Avg. Hourly Wage $68.62
Available Jobs (US) 22,400
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Air Traffic Controllers #53-2021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Air Traffic Controllers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Monitor or direct the movement of aircraft within an assigned air space or on the ground at airports to minimize delays and maximize safety.

  • Determine the timing or procedures for flight vector changes.

  • Provide on-the-job training to new air traffic controllers.

  • Provide flight path changes or directions to emergency landing fields for pilots traveling in bad weather or in emergency situations.

  • Alert airport emergency services in cases of emergency or when aircraft are experiencing difficulties.

  • Direct ground traffic, including taxiing aircraft, maintenance or baggage vehicles, or airport workers.

  • Inform pilots about nearby planes or potentially hazardous conditions, such as weather, speed and direction of wind, or visibility problems.

  • Inspect, adjust, or control radio equipment or airport lights.

  • Initiate or coordinate searches for missing aircraft.

  • Direct pilots to runways when space is available or direct them to maintain a traffic pattern until there is space for them to land.

  • Transfer control of departing flights to traffic control centers and accept control of arriving flights.

  • Review records or reports for clarity and completeness and maintain records or reports, as required under federal law.

  • Check conditions and traffic at different altitudes in response to pilots' requests for altitude changes.

  • Issue landing and take-off authorizations or instructions.

  • Relay air traffic information, such as courses, altitudes, or expected arrival times, to control centers.

  • Conduct pre-flight briefings on weather conditions, suggested routes, altitudes, indications of turbulence, or other flight safety information.

  • Contact pilots by radio to provide meteorological, navigational, or other information.

  • Complete daily activity reports and keep records of messages from aircraft.

  • Compile information about flights from flight plans, pilot reports, radar, or observations.

  • Organize flight plans or traffic management plans to prepare for planes about to enter assigned airspace.

  • Analyze factors such as weather reports, fuel requirements, or maps to determine air routes.

  • Monitor aircraft within a specific airspace, using radar, computer equipment, or visual references.

  • Maintain radio or telephone contact with adjacent control towers, terminal control units, or other area control centers to coordinate aircraft movement.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Excel
  • Advanced technologies and oceanic procedures ATOP
  • Enterprise resource planning ERP software
  • Mobileye AI
  • Multi-center traffic management advisor McTMA
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Gemini (Google)
  • DeepSeek
  • Really Simple Syndication RSS
  • Automated radar terminal systems ARTS
  • Center TRACON automation systems CTAS
  • Expedite departure path EDP software
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Microsoft Access
  • Gatik AI
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Microsoft Word
  • Final approach spacing tool FAST
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Llama (Meta)
  • En route descent advisor EDA
  • Flight simulation software
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Traffic management advisor TMA software
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Direct-to-tool software
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • SAP software
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Binoculars
  • Standard terminal automation replacement systems STARS
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Mode S radar systems
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Area navigation RNAV systems
  • Digital airport surveillance radar DASR systems
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • High frequency HF radio communications systems
  • Frequency modulation FM two way radios
  • Precision runway monitor PRM
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Airport surface detection equipment ASDE systems
  • Wide area augmentation systems WAAS
  • Differential global positioning system DGPS surveillance systems
  • Mainframe computers
  • Global positioning system GPS surveillance systems
  • Controller pilot datalink communication CPDC systems
  • Personal computers
  • Desktop computers
  • Airport surveillance radar ASR systems
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Air route surveillance radar ARSR systems
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Local area augmentation systems LAAS
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Flight simulators