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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Airways Control Specialist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #178 of 702. Estimated risk: 11.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Airways Control Specialist” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

43%

“Airways Control Specialist” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 43% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Air Traffic Controllers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Control air traffic on and within vicinity of airport, and movement of air traffic between altitude sectors and control centers, according to established procedures and policies. Authorize, regulate, and control commercial airline flights according to government or company regulations to expedite and ensure flight safety.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,740
Avg. Hourly Wage $68.62
Available Jobs (US) 22,400
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Air Traffic Controllers #53-2021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Air Traffic Controllers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Provide on-the-job training to new air traffic controllers.

  • Issue landing and take-off authorizations or instructions.

  • Relay air traffic information, such as courses, altitudes, or expected arrival times, to control centers.

  • Inform pilots about nearby planes or potentially hazardous conditions, such as weather, speed and direction of wind, or visibility problems.

  • Direct ground traffic, including taxiing aircraft, maintenance or baggage vehicles, or airport workers.

  • Maintain radio or telephone contact with adjacent control towers, terminal control units, or other area control centers to coordinate aircraft movement.

  • Complete daily activity reports and keep records of messages from aircraft.

  • Alert airport emergency services in cases of emergency or when aircraft are experiencing difficulties.

  • Monitor or direct the movement of aircraft within an assigned air space or on the ground at airports to minimize delays and maximize safety.

  • Inspect, adjust, or control radio equipment or airport lights.

  • Determine the timing or procedures for flight vector changes.

  • Analyze factors such as weather reports, fuel requirements, or maps to determine air routes.

  • Organize flight plans or traffic management plans to prepare for planes about to enter assigned airspace.

  • Contact pilots by radio to provide meteorological, navigational, or other information.

  • Transfer control of departing flights to traffic control centers and accept control of arriving flights.

  • Provide flight path changes or directions to emergency landing fields for pilots traveling in bad weather or in emergency situations.

  • Direct pilots to runways when space is available or direct them to maintain a traffic pattern until there is space for them to land.

  • Initiate or coordinate searches for missing aircraft.

  • Conduct pre-flight briefings on weather conditions, suggested routes, altitudes, indications of turbulence, or other flight safety information.

  • Check conditions and traffic at different altitudes in response to pilots' requests for altitude changes.

  • Monitor aircraft within a specific airspace, using radar, computer equipment, or visual references.

  • Review records or reports for clarity and completeness and maintain records or reports, as required under federal law.

  • Compile information about flights from flight plans, pilot reports, radar, or observations.

Technologies & Software

  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Enterprise resource planning ERP software
  • Traffic management advisor TMA software
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Multi-center traffic management advisor McTMA
  • Direct-to-tool software
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Flight simulation software
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Gatik AI
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Llama (Meta)
  • SAP software
  • Microsoft Access
  • Mobileye AI
  • Really Simple Syndication RSS
  • Center TRACON automation systems CTAS
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Microsoft Word
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Expedite departure path EDP software
  • Final approach spacing tool FAST
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • En route descent advisor EDA
  • Advanced technologies and oceanic procedures ATOP
  • Automated radar terminal systems ARTS
  • DeepSeek
  • Differential global positioning system DGPS surveillance systems
  • Wide area augmentation systems WAAS
  • Mode S radar systems
  • Standard terminal automation replacement systems STARS
  • Flight simulators
  • Binoculars
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Airport surveillance radar ASR systems
  • Mainframe computers
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Personal computers
  • Precision runway monitor PRM
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Airport surface detection equipment ASDE systems
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Controller pilot datalink communication CPDC systems
  • Global positioning system GPS surveillance systems
  • Area navigation RNAV systems
  • High frequency HF radio communications systems
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Digital airport surveillance radar DASR systems
  • Desktop computers
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Local area augmentation systems LAAS
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Frequency modulation FM two way radios
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Air route surveillance radar ARSR systems